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Post by Andrew_S on Jan 29, 2015 10:55:38 GMT
So when are they actually going to publish the bloody things? Mike Smithson said Lord Ashcroft's latest batch of polls would be published next week. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Jan 29, 2015 10:56:36 GMT
Lord Ashcroft ramping his Scottish constituency polls, probably with good cause, these will be very interesting polls It would be difficult for them not to to be interested given that most Scottish polls are something like SNP 48%, Lab 28%. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 29, 2015 11:00:19 GMT
They would be just as interesting if they showed Labour was still ahead in most constituencies, of course.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 29, 2015 11:22:45 GMT
Exactly, that statement by Ashcroft can be read more than one way - and the rumour is they might not show the SNP doing as brilliantly as some national polls suggest.
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Post by thirdchill on Jan 29, 2015 12:40:45 GMT
Exactly, that statement by Ashcroft can be read more than one way - and the rumour is they might not show the SNP doing as brilliantly as some national polls suggest. Am reserving judgement but this would be my guess as well. Think labour will still lose a few seats in Scotland but am not convinced it'll lose anywhere near the number that has been suggested. Of course I could be proved totally wrong....... |
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Post by hifly15 on Jan 29, 2015 12:57:45 GMT
Exactly, that statement by Ashcroft can be read more than one way - and the rumour is they might not show the SNP doing as brilliantly as some national polls suggest. Ashcroft just mentioned that the SNP surge is "real" in his interview with STV regarding these polls. They're likely to show labour getting demolished. |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 29, 2015 13:10:39 GMT
The second statement does not automatically follow from the first - remember that Labour outpolled the SNP by more than 2 to 1 in 2010.
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Post by Devonian on Feb 1, 2015 21:45:26 GMT
More ramping from Lord Ashcroft
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iain
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Post by iain on Feb 2, 2015 13:44:38 GMT
The polls will (finally) be released on Wednesday at 11
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Post by Deleted on Feb 2, 2015 13:48:31 GMT
Zzz.
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hedgehog
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Post by hedgehog on Feb 2, 2015 16:09:40 GMT
The polls will (finally) be released on Wednesday at 11 Won't they be out of date by then. |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 2, 2015 17:12:13 GMT
The polls will (finally) be released on Wednesday at 11 am or pm? |
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iain
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Post by iain on Feb 2, 2015 17:27:01 GMT
am
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Post by gwynthegriff on Feb 2, 2015 20:07:43 GMT
More ramping from Lord Ashcroft Oh, just get on with it Ashcroft! |
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Post by bolbridge on Feb 2, 2015 21:10:50 GMT
I'm both excited about seeing what's happening in Scotland and terrified that Ashcroft will put us 3rd in one or more of our held seats. My biggest nightmare is that it happens somewhere really unexpected.
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Post by bolbridge on Feb 2, 2015 21:13:55 GMT
I generally find constituency polls useful but it's important to remember their history pre-2010 - I'm thinking about Brighton Pavillion and (more obviously) Norwich South.
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mattb
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Post by mattb on Feb 2, 2015 21:23:24 GMT
I'm both excited about seeing what's happening in Scotland and terrified that Ashcroft will put us 3rd in one or more of our held seats. My biggest nightmare is that it happens somewhere really unexpected. almost certain to happen in present circs I would have thought (has anyone been told which seats are being polled?) |
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Post by dizz on Feb 2, 2015 21:30:58 GMT
I'm both excited about seeing what's happening in Scotland and terrified that Ashcroft will put us 3rd in one or more of our held seats. My biggest nightmare is that it happens somewhere really unexpected. Argyll & Bute Edinburgh West East Dumbartonshire Any others would be shocking. |
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Post by bolbridge on Feb 2, 2015 21:33:35 GMT
I'm both excited about seeing what's happening in Scotland and terrified that Ashcroft will put us 3rd in one or more of our held seats. My biggest nightmare is that it happens somewhere really unexpected. Argyll & Bute Edinburgh West East Dumbartonshire Any others would be shocking. I wish I thought it was only realistic in those 3. |
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iain
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Post by iain on Feb 2, 2015 21:33:51 GMT
I'm both excited about seeing what's happening in Scotland and terrified that Ashcroft will put us 3rd in one or more of our held seats. My biggest nightmare is that it happens somewhere really unexpected. Argyll & Bute Edinburgh West East Dumbartonshire Any others would be shocking. Aberdeenshire West wouldn't be |
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