Pimpernal
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Post by Pimpernal on Nov 27, 2014 7:13:45 GMT
Seems there is a Cambourne and Redruth poll out showing
UKIP 33% (+28%)
Con 30% (-7%),
LAB 22% (+ 6)
Green 7% (+5%)
LibDem 6% (-31%)
Others 1% (-1%)
Update - apparently it's a Survation Poll
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2014 9:21:30 GMT
Seems there is a Cambourne and Redruth poll out showing UKIP 33% (+28%) Con 30% (-7%), LAB 22% (+ 6) Green 7% (+5%) LibDem 6% (-31%) Others 1% (-1%) Update - apparently it's a Survation Poll Lol. Im not sure that I am going to take reports that we lose here but hold Stockton South all that seriously! |
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hedgehog
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Post by hedgehog on Nov 27, 2014 10:07:32 GMT
Seems there is a Cambourne and Redruth poll out showing UKIP 33% (+28%) Con 30% (-7%), LAB 22% (+ 6) Green 7% (+5%) LibDem 6% (-31%) Others 1% (-1%) Update - apparently it's a Survation Poll Lol. Im not sure that I am going to take reports that we lose here but hold Stockton South all that seriously! Is Julia Goldsworthy really that unpopular ! |
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Nov 27, 2014 11:38:31 GMT
I thought these normally came out at 10am
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2014 11:38:41 GMT
It isn't about Julia Goldsworthy, it is about the general state of the Lib Dems in the constituency. They have gone from impressive fighting force to minor local party status since 2010. It is the remarkable fact for this part of Cornwall.
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iain
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Post by iain on Nov 27, 2014 12:11:43 GMT
Seems there is a Cambourne and Redruth poll out showing UKIP 33% (+28%) Con 30% (-7%), LAB 22% (+ 6) Green 7% (+5%) LibDem 6% (-31%) Others 1% (-1%) Update - apparently it's a Survation Poll Do you have links to the tables. All I can find is a newspaper article. Sample size just 500. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 27, 2014 12:16:19 GMT
Seems there is a Cambourne and Redruth poll out showing UKIP 33% (+28%) Con 30% (-7%), LAB 22% (+ 6) Green 7% (+5%) LibDem 6% (-31%) Others 1% (-1%) Update - apparently it's a Survation Poll I think Survation may have mucked up the poll by getting the name of the UKIP candidate wrong. |
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Post by lbarnes on Nov 27, 2014 12:19:18 GMT
It isn't about Julia Goldsworthy, it is about the general state of the Lib Dems in the constituency. They have gone from impressive fighting force to minor local party status since 2010. It is the remarkable fact for this part of Cornwall. "This part of Cornwall" that you refer to really should be Labour heartland. The truly remarkable fact was the huge slipping away of the Labour vote in 2010 in a constituency boundary that could almost have been drawn by them. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Nov 27, 2014 12:32:57 GMT
It isn't about Julia Goldsworthy, it is about the general state of the Lib Dems in the constituency. They have gone from impressive fighting force to minor local party status since 2010. It is the remarkable fact for this part of Cornwall. "This part of Cornwall" that you refer to really should be Labour heartland. The truly remarkable fact was the huge slipping away of the Labour vote in 2010 in a constituency boundary that could almost have been drawn by them. Maybe it should be, but it hasn't actually been so since the 1960s. Nor is it particularly remarkable that a Lib Dem incumbent managed to squeeze the Labour vote. |
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Post by justin124 on Nov 27, 2014 13:02:01 GMT
Falmouth & Cambourne was Labour-held 1997 to 2005.
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 27, 2014 13:04:03 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 27, 2014 13:07:52 GMT
I could just about believe Labour were only 12% ahead of UKIP in a generic Doncaster N poll - but not with Tory support higher than in 2010.
That figure alone makes it suspect.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2014 13:08:36 GMT
Very good poll for us in Thanet South. |
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 27, 2014 13:10:03 GMT
Again, was Farage actually named?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2014 13:10:03 GMT
I could just about believe Labour were only 12% ahead of UKIP in a generic Doncaster N poll - but not with Tory support higher than in 2010. That figure alone makes it suspect. The only thing that could cause that would be a significant negative personal vote for EM. I share your scepticism though. It seems unlikely. |
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iain
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Post by iain on Nov 27, 2014 13:14:11 GMT
Generally good for the Lib Dems, especially leading in Yardley, and only 2 behind the Tories in Watford (labour third)
Clegg is a bit close for comfort, and we are behind in North Devon (by 1 point, should pull through) and in Portsmouth South (by 5 points, disappointing but not surprising giving the ongoing saga plus good UKIP scores - we seem well organised here though, so may be able to salvage something).
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 27, 2014 13:15:54 GMT
I'm not a big fan of these polls because people might start voting according to what the polls might or might not be indicating instead of according to their previous choice of party/candidate.
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iain
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Post by iain on Nov 27, 2014 13:19:02 GMT
A little disappointed not to see either Bristol West or Leeds NW polled
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 27, 2014 13:22:24 GMT
Again, was Farage actually named? I don't think he was named as part of the constituency question. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Nov 27, 2014 13:26:46 GMT
Falmouth & Cambourne was Labour-held 1997 to 2005. Yes, but so was Enfield Southgate. Won by Labour in the past is not the same thing as Labour heartland. |
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