maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306 
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Post by maxque on Nov 8, 2014 12:03:29 GMT
Medway UA - Peninsula - Chris Irvine (elected as Conservative, defected to UKIP with Mark Reckless) resigned after defecting in order to trigger a by-election on the issue of an housing development of 5000 houses, at Lodge Hill, on Hoo peninsula. He is standing again.
2011: Con 2557/2307/2125, Lab 975/898/879, ED 535/476, Grn 351, LD 298/282
2007: Con 2396/2054/2036, Ind 1376, Lab 646/561/511, UKIP 427, LD 251/122/94
2003: Con 2640/2503/2451, Lab 776/658/621, LD 195/182/169, UKIP 159
Clive Gregory (Green Party)
Christopher Irvine (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Christopher Sams (Liberal Democrat)
Ron Sands (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Pete Tungate (Labour Party)
Stockport BC - Bramhall South & Woodford - Anita Johnson (Conservative) resigned due to ill health
2014-2018 term
2014: Con 1862, LD 1373, UKIP 538, Lab 369
2012: Con 1900, LD 1007, Lab 389, UKIP 342, Grn 202
2011: Con 2791, LD 1489, Lab 480, UKIP 213, Grn 176
2010: Con 3775, LD 3195, Lab 387, UKIP 213, Grn 173
2008: Con 2762, LD 1554, Lab 170, UKIP 163
2007: Con 2713, LD 1787, UKIP 155, Lab 151
2006: Con 2606, LD 2044, UKIP 146, Lab 142
2004: Con 2673/2656/2620, LD 2507/2418/2085, UKIP 491, Lab 396/270/259
David McDonough (Green Party)
John McGahan (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Jeremy Meal (Liberal Democrat)
Kathryn Priestley (Labour Party Candidate)
Swansea - Uplands - Pearleen Sangha (Labour) resigned after it emerged than she had yet to attend a council meeting this year
2012: Lab 1302/1207/1161/1099, LD 1089/975/812/782, Grn 614/465, Con 319/313/306/301 (14 candidates)
2008: LD 1828/1706/1495/1488, Lab 817/792/765/729, Con 593/500/472/403, Grn 561/391/346, PC 404, Ind 275/236/165/107 (the Independent candidate of 2004 is the leading Conservative, the Democratic Alliance one is the 3rd ranked Independent, 20 candidates)
2004: LD 1373/1354/1230/1120, Lab 769/710/692/676, Ind 649, Grn 616/463/376/352, Swansea Independent Association 600/493/482, Con 507/472, PC 440/436/419/414, Democratic Alliance 83 (23 candidates)
Josh Allard (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate)
Pat Dwan (Independents @ Swansea)
Rhydian Fitter (Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales)
Fran Griffiths (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru)
Ronnie Job (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition)
Peter May (Independent)
Janet Thomas (Welsh Liberal Democrats - Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol Cymru)
Ashley Wakeling (The Green Party - Plaid Werdd)
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306
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Post by maxque on Nov 8, 2014 12:10:46 GMT
In Swansea, Peter May is a former Liberal Democrat councillor from 2004 to 2012 (and constant top vote getter) and former chairman of the local party. He also lost by 504 votes in Swansea West in 2010, so he almost became an MP. Anybody have a clue what happened there?
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306
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Post by maxque on Nov 8, 2014 12:18:57 GMT
The Swansea election seems to be quite a wierd things. Now, we have the Wikipedia page about the ward (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uplands_%28electoral_ward%29) claiming than there was two "independent polls" (who exists nowhere else on internet) saying than the Green leads. Those fishy polls were done in a local park and a parade of shops, which is more than enough to dispel any legitimacy to those polls (if they even existed). let's note they include UKIP in their results despite than there is no UKIP candidate. It's ridiculous!
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Post by independentukip on Nov 8, 2014 12:31:46 GMT
FWIW Mr Irvine of Medway was the candidate who received 2125 votes.
I wonder why there is no UKIP candidate in Stockport.
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Post by thirdchill on Nov 8, 2014 12:36:34 GMT
FWIW Mr Irvine of Medway was the candidate who received 2125 votes. I wonder why there is no UKIP candidate in Stockport. Think it was failure to get nomination papers sorted on time, rather than a lack of ability to get a candidate (given that they've had a candidate there at every local election since 2004). Also of interest are the Lib Dems. Their vote hasn't decreased too much around here since going into coalition. UKIP putting up a candidate might have helped them a little. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 8, 2014 13:58:14 GMT
There can't be too many 4 seat wards anywhere in the country, can there?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 8, 2014 14:16:20 GMT
There can't be too many 4 seat wards anywhere in the country, can there? There are no wards above three seats in England. Wales is the only place which has local elections by FPTP and wards with more than three members. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on Nov 8, 2014 22:03:26 GMT
There can't be too many 4 seat wards anywhere in the country, can there? In Swansea, there is four 4-seaters (Uplands, Castle, Cockett and Llansamlet) and two 5-seaters (Morriston and Sketty). |
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Post by David Ashforth on Nov 14, 2014 12:13:36 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 14, 2014 18:13:52 GMT
Well at least I can say I've visited Peninsula ward which I couldn't have said a couple of weeks ago. Hoo St Werburgh is an interesting place - a bit like Canvey Island. I'm sorry I wasnt aware of the almost Jaywickesque looking Hoo Marina park
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Post by Ben Walker on Nov 18, 2014 17:33:26 GMT
I have a friend (Labour) who's going at Swansea University at the moment and she says the Greens are hoping to win Uplands, despite their candidate being a student. Apparently the Labour campaign is highly personal and has backfired completely.
A Green gain seems probable to be fair. Capitalising on a falling Ldem vote and a poor calibre of Labour Cllrs (re: the outgoing Cllr) could deliver it for them.
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Post by marksenior on Nov 18, 2014 18:21:09 GMT
I have a friend (Labour) who's going at Swansea University at the moment and she says the Greens are hoping to win Uplands, despite their candidate being a student. Apparently the Labour campaign is highly personal and has backfired completely. A Green gain seems probable to be fair. Capitalising on a falling Ldem vote and a poor calibre of Labour Cllrs (re: the outgoing Cllr) could deliver it for them. A Green gain is most unlikely , they will probably fall back as they have done in nearly every council by election this year . The split in the Lib Dem vote between Peter May and Janet Thomas will probably let Labour hang on . |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 18, 2014 21:24:12 GMT
Admittedly, if Uplands was a Green gain I might have to seriously revise my whole opinion of the Welsh Green party.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
Member is Online
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Post by Sibboleth on Nov 18, 2014 21:25:39 GMT
It's natural Greenie territory, of course.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Nov 18, 2014 21:53:57 GMT
Controversially I'm going to go for Bramhall South and Woodford as a Lib Dem gain.
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Nov 19, 2014 1:43:37 GMT
There can't be too many 4 seat wards anywhere in the country, can there? There are no wards above three seats in England. Wales is the only place which has local elections by FPTP and wards with more than three members. There were previously seats with (I think) six members, one of which (Chelsea?) was referenced on here a few weeks ago. |
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Post by No Offence Alan on Nov 19, 2014 8:12:50 GMT
There are no wards above three seats in England. Wales is the only place which has local elections by FPTP and wards with more than three members. There were previously seats with (I think) six members, one of which (Chelsea?) was referenced on here a few weeks ago. Parish and town councils may have wards with more than 3 members. I think most parishes are treated as a single ward. |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,786
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Post by john07 on Nov 19, 2014 8:49:45 GMT
I seem to recall the old Chester District Council had one massive ward returning loads of councillors.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Nov 19, 2014 9:39:36 GMT
Controversially I'm going to go for Bramhall South and Woodford as a Lib Dem gain. Have you some inside knowledge? |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Nov 19, 2014 10:01:20 GMT
Controversially I'm going to go for Bramhall South and Woodford as a Lib Dem gain. Have you some inside knowledge? I've none I'm afraid, but I'm working on this logic: 1. The Lib Dem vote has held up remarkably well in recent years and Mark Hunter is very popular locally, and the legacy of Patsy Calton (and arguably Mike Winstanley even) remains strong. 2. I can imagine every Lib Dem activist in Cheadle and Hazel Grove descending on the seat, I can't see Tories coming from far beyond the local vicinity. The Stockport Lib Dem footsoldiers are very keen and I've been aware of them turning up in Trafford wards before to help, something that was never reciprocated when I was involved in Trafford Conservatives. Boots on the ground will make a big difference. 3. The lack of a UKIP candidate means that there is unlikely to be a candidate who draws support away from all parties equally- and therefore, in a throwback to pre-2010, I can see disillusioned Conservative voters either switching to the Lib Dems or switching to Labour in sufficient numbers to drag the Tory vote down and hand the ward to the Lib Dems. 4. The profile of the ward would indicate that even with a UKIP candidate standing, they wouldn't have seen anything like the surge of votes that they might have done had this been even a couple of miles up the road. The closest to inside knowledge I've got is purely anecdotal knowledge from knowing the patch fairly well (as I imagine you do as well)- there's just not the hostility to the Lib Dems that there is in some other areas round there, and Stockport does like to do its own thing! Come Thursday of course, I will be proven spectacularly wrong. Going back through the thread, I note that thirdchill has possibly come to similar conclusions. |
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