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Post by tonygreaves on Apr 6, 2015 13:35:52 GMT
Creation and membership of the Lords are different things. Lord Ashcroft will still be Lord Ashcroft, just not a member of the House of Lords. If you resign from the Lords that is it, you can't come back. (It's possible to take leave of absence for a parliament, then you can come back).
Tony
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Post by mrhell on Apr 13, 2015 15:04:23 GMT
Con 33% -3
Lab 33% -1
UKIP 13% +3
LD 9% +3
Green 6% -1
Others 8% +2 (SNP 4% no change)
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Post by tonygreaves on Apr 13, 2015 15:40:26 GMT
The polls are all rubbish at the moment. With a bit of luck they will be so discredited that no one will pay any attention any more.
Well I can dream.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,916
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Post by Tony Otim on Apr 14, 2015 8:13:37 GMT
Con 33% -3 Lab 33% -1 UKIP 13% +3 LD 9% +3 Green 6% -1 Others 8% +2 (SNP 4% no change)What other others are there. Nobody else seems to be standing significant numbers of candidates to be noticed? |
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Post by mrhell on Apr 14, 2015 10:07:31 GMT
Con 33% -3 Lab 33% -1 UKIP 13% +3 LD 9% +3 Green 6% -1 Others 8% +2 (SNP 4% no change)What other others are there. Nobody else seems to be standing significant numbers of candidates to be noticed? 2% Plaid. 2% other (it's just given as other). |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,916
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Post by Tony Otim on Apr 14, 2015 10:10:24 GMT
2% for PLaid would represent a four fold increase in their vote from last time.
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Post by mrhell on Apr 14, 2015 12:18:20 GMT
2% for PLaid would represent a four fold increase in their vote from last time. I've checked the figures and they add up to 102%! |
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Post by bolbridge on Apr 14, 2015 12:37:49 GMT
2% for PLaid would represent a four fold increase in their vote from last time. I've checked the figures and they add up to 102%! Lots of parties, a few rounded up. |
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Apr 14, 2015 12:43:44 GMT
The polls are all rubbish at the moment. With a bit of luck they will be so discredited that no one will pay any attention any more. Well I can dream. In what way are the polls all rubbish? Once you take into account margin of error most are telling a similar story. The problem as always is poor reporting of polls and poor understanding of polls. |
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Post by johnloony on Apr 14, 2015 23:02:19 GMT
The polls are all rubbish at the moment. With a bit of luck they will be so discredited that no one will pay any attention any more. All opinion polls are "rubbish" (i.e. inaccurate) in the sense that they are all, by definition, out of date. The only accurate guide to the result of the election is the result of the election. |
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Post by manchesterman on Apr 14, 2015 23:06:27 GMT
This is true in the same way that in football all the pre-match chatter amongst "experts and pundits" is all very interesting and informative but has no real bearing on the only thing which really matters..namely the result.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,044
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Post by Sibboleth on Apr 20, 2015 17:47:54 GMT
His Lordship's rubber ball says: Con 34, Labour 30, UKIP 13, LDem 10, Greens 4, Others 9
Others 9? Burn it.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,452 
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Post by iain on Apr 20, 2015 19:08:41 GMT
Scottish subsample has: SNP 59% Lab 15% LD 11% Con 10% Interesting ...  |
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Post by gwynthegriff on Apr 20, 2015 20:04:35 GMT
Scottish subsample has: SNP 59% Lab 15% LD 11% Con 10% Interesting ... Lib Dem - Labour crossover by May 7th?  ad infinitum |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,015
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 21, 2015 10:21:38 GMT
Is "interesting" in the above post a euphemism for "bats*** laughable"?
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,452
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Post by iain on Apr 21, 2015 10:44:59 GMT
Is "interesting" in the above post a euphemism for "bats*** laughable"? Yes |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,015
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 21, 2015 14:40:41 GMT
Just as well, somebody else in another place seemed to think you and gwyn were being serious  |
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Post by Robert Waller on Apr 21, 2015 16:48:40 GMT
The polls are all rubbish at the moment. With a bit of luck they will be so discredited that no one will pay any attention any more. Well I can dream. Well, I agree that the eventual result may be different even from the general polling consensus of current standings. But one figure I really doubt will change much is the LD national share. However, I've just had a largeish spread bet that the LDs will get more than 26.5 seats. All that predicting on this site weekly local byelection site has suggested as much for years, not months. |
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Post by gwynthegriff on Apr 21, 2015 21:03:28 GMT
Just as well, somebody else in another place seemed to think you and gwyn were being serious Oh dear god, no! Who could be so .... immune to irony? |
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Apr 22, 2015 5:25:33 GMT
The polls are all rubbish at the moment. With a bit of luck they will be so discredited that no one will pay any attention any more. Well I can dream. Well, I agree that the eventual result may be different even from the general polling consensus of current standings. But one figure I really doubt will change much is the LD national share. However, I've just had a largeish spread bet that the LDs will get more than 26.5 seats. All that predicting on this site weekly local byelection site has suggested as much for years, not months. Evens on the exchanges for those who like conventional betting (or more conventional than spreads, depending on your POV). |
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