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Post by Devonian on Feb 23, 2015 16:14:38 GMT
I know that Lord Ashcroft outsources his polling. I have to wonder does he use a different polling company every week. Is there another explanation for the massive swings his polls produce? |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2015 16:18:09 GMT
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 23, 2015 18:09:30 GMT
I know that Lord Ashcroft outsources his polling. I have to wonder does he use a different polling company every week. Is there another explanation for the massive swings his polls produce? He's the oddest swinger in town...  |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 2, 2015 16:04:35 GMT
Living up to its reputation for swinging about wildly:
Conservatives 34% (+2)
Labour 31% (-5)
UK Independence Party 14% (+3)
Green Parties 7% (-1)
Liberal Democrats 7% (nc)
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Post by Devonian on Mar 2, 2015 16:04:39 GMT
More huge swings from Lord Ashcroft
Con 34% (+2)
Lab 31% (-5)
UKIP 14% (+3)
Green 7% (-1)
L Dem 7% (nc)
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Mar 2, 2015 16:16:06 GMT
You know what's going to happen, don't you? After a whole campaign doubtless bouncing around in all directions, his final poll will flukishly get it about right. Urgh.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,015
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Post by The Bishop on Mar 2, 2015 16:56:20 GMT
As (in)famously happened to Harris in the last campaign, after ludicrously underestimating Labour for most of it  They have barely been seen here since, mind, so there is some justice it seems  |
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Post by dizz on Mar 2, 2015 17:17:19 GMT
As (in)famously happened to Harris in the last campaign, after ludicrously underestimating Labour for most of it They have barely been seen here since, mind, so there is some justice it seems There's part of me that wants to believe that his constituency polls are better than the weekly ones. It's a struggle though! |
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Post by Deleted on Mar 2, 2015 18:00:33 GMT
More huge swings from Lord Ashcroft Con 34% (+2) Lab 31% (-5) UKIP 14% (+3) Green 7% (-1) L Dem 7% (nc) I do wonder if he is in the minority in not tampering with his results to make them seem less volatile. |
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Post by casualobserver on Mar 2, 2015 23:49:12 GMT
You may be right, Joe. There's extremely strong evidence that US pollsters have felt great pressure in recent elections to skew their results towards the current "norm" - I see no reason why their UK colleagues wouldn't feel the same pressure.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,015
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Post by The Bishop on Mar 5, 2015 10:00:44 GMT
Along with his constituency surveys, a national Ashcroft "megapoll" of 8k respondents yesterday - Lab 34 Con 30 UKIP 18 LibDem 6 Green 6.
Don't know when it was taken etc etc.
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Post by tonygreaves on Mar 5, 2015 12:30:24 GMT
The great thing about Ashcroft is that all his polls are different, so he's bound to be right on one of them by the time we get to May 7th.
Tony
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Post by Devonian on Mar 9, 2015 16:03:43 GMT
Con 34% (nc)
Lab 30% (-1)
UKIP 15% (+1)
Green 8% (+1)
L Dem 5% (-2)
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Post by Andrew_S on Mar 9, 2015 16:50:16 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Mar 9, 2015 17:31:11 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Mar 9, 2015 17:33:21 GMT
p.s.
From @lordashcroft polling Absolutely certain to vote Scotland 67% England 53%
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Post by carlton43 on Mar 9, 2015 22:08:15 GMT
Can we now see Green surge effect on Labour showing through?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 10, 2015 13:27:52 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 10, 2015 13:29:19 GMT
DOH put it wrong section
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hedgehog
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Post by hedgehog on Mar 10, 2015 15:35:26 GMT
Strange that you should mention Zombies, I had 2 dreams last night the first was about zombies, and the second involved David Cameron attacking a party supporter who had called a former mp a pedophile. |
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