Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 11, 2018 19:40:30 GMT
To be fair, Benita has only just been selected and has yet to establish much of a profile. Berry is already an Assembly member. Given recent Lib Dem vs Green by election results in London, Berry's lead may not last all the way. But we shall see. this isn't Benita's first outing in London Mayoral elections. Yes Sian does have some recognition as an assembly member but how much is questionable |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
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Post by Chris from Brum on Dec 11, 2018 19:44:32 GMT
To be fair, Benita has only just been selected and has yet to establish much of a profile. Berry is already an Assembly member. Given recent Lib Dem vs Green by election results in London, Berry's lead may not last all the way. But we shall see. this isn't Benita's first outing in London Mayoral elections. Yes Sian does have some recognition as an assembly member but how much is questionable She was an independent last time and that has probably been forgotten now by most people. Building up a profile as the LD candidate is the important bit. |
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hedgehog
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Post by hedgehog on Dec 11, 2018 19:52:29 GMT
To be fair, Benita has only just been selected and has yet to establish much of a profile. Berry is already an Assembly member. Given recent Lib Dem vs Green by election results in London, Berry's lead may not last all the way. But we shall see. Of course we are still a while out from the Mayoral poll, and Sian isn't yet confirmed as our candidate, although I suspect its a formality. |
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on May 13, 2019 11:34:20 GMT
YouGov:
Westminster:
Labour - 35%
Conservative - 23%
Lib Dem - 21%
Brexit - 10%
Green - 7%
CUK - 2%
Euros:
Labour - 24%
Brexit - 20%
Lib Dem - 17%
Green - 14%
Conservative - 10%
CUK - 7%
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Post by tonygreaves on May 13, 2019 12:05:05 GMT
My mind cannot cope with any more of these opinion poll numbers. I am going to lie down with some cold wet towels round my head.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 13, 2019 12:06:25 GMT
My mind cannot cope with any more of these opinion poll numbers. I am going to lie down with some cold wet towels round my head. Soak them in some slack water |
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Post by tonygreaves on May 13, 2019 19:30:20 GMT
Can't find any at the moment...
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CatholicLeft
Labour
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Post by CatholicLeft on May 14, 2019 8:30:45 GMT
Fascinating to see how this poll is being spun by Brexit Party supporters. Have seen the poll tweeted without Labour on it and presented as a big swing to Leave, even though it is a smaller share than the total who voted to leave in London.
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rc18
Non-Aligned
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Post by rc18 on May 14, 2019 9:12:55 GMT
Fascinating to see how this poll is being spun by Brexit Party supporters. Have seen the poll tweeted without Labour on it and presented as a big swing to Leave, even though it is a smaller share than the total who voted to leave in London. You could ask why the LDs aren’t on 60% of the vote. |
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
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Post by CatholicLeft on May 14, 2019 9:32:37 GMT
Fascinating to see how this poll is being spun by Brexit Party supporters. Have seen the poll tweeted without Labour on it and presented as a big swing to Leave, even though it is a smaller share than the total who voted to leave in London. You could ask why the LDs aren’t on 60% of the vote. Not really, because electoral politics doesn't work that way. I was commenting on the claim of a big swing to Leave which is, from the polling evidence they were quoting, palpable nonsense. |
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Post by andrew111 on May 15, 2019 5:49:54 GMT
Fascinating to see how this poll is being spun by Brexit Party supporters. Have seen the poll tweeted without Labour on it and presented as a big swing to Leave, even though it is a smaller share than the total who voted to leave in London. You could ask why the LDs aren’t on 60% of the vote. If this poll is anywhere near correct it is quite possible that the Lib Dems will win most votes in London. It will kill the Chukas for a start (as already happened in the Westminster voting intention) |
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edgbaston
Labour
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Post by edgbaston on May 15, 2019 6:48:57 GMT
You could ask why the LDs aren’t on 60% of the vote. Not really, because electoral politics doesn't work that way. I was commenting on the claim of a big swing to Leave which is, from the polling evidence they were quoting, palpable nonsense. You’re assuming all the reduced Labour vote there is remain when it is probably disproportionately less likely to be so given how well the Lib Dems are doing. Especially in a place like London with a high BAME population - who are more likely to contain a contingent of people who vote Leave and then stay loyal to Labour. |
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
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Post by CatholicLeft on May 15, 2019 8:06:58 GMT
Not really, because electoral politics doesn't work that way. I was commenting on the claim of a big swing to Leave which is, from the polling evidence they were quoting, palpable nonsense. You’re assuming all the reduced Labour vote there is remain when it is probably disproportionately less likely to be so given how well the Lib Dems are doing. Especially in a place like London with a high BAME population - who are more likely to contain a contingent of people who vote Leave and then stay loyal to Labour. Nope, just commenting on the dubious claims based on manipulating a poll. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 15, 2019 20:57:55 GMT
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peterl
Green
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Post by peterl on May 15, 2019 20:59:25 GMT
Based on the latest poll above
Labour 2 (-2)
Brexit 2 (+2)
Lib Dem 2 (+2)
Green 1 (n/c)
Tory 1 (-1)
(UKIP -1)
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Post by jacoblamsden on May 15, 2019 21:12:48 GMT
That's a depressing poll! What does Sadiq Khan actually need to do to lose a big chunk of his vote share? He's doing much worse than Livingstone and Johnson at this stage I'd say. I'm not surprised that Bailey's struggling but I thought the LDs would be much higher than 11%. |
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Post by pragmaticidealist on May 16, 2019 12:02:47 GMT
That would be the biggest majority for a London mayor yet, I think.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 16, 2019 21:12:29 GMT
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
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Post by Chris from Brum on May 16, 2019 21:21:13 GMT
No wonder Sian Berry was acting all rattled the other day, running fifth behind not only us but CHUK 😊 |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 16, 2019 21:25:31 GMT
Has Chuka said he's going to stand for Mayor or are they just trolling ?
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