neilm
Non-Aligned
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Post by neilm on May 20, 2014 23:57:45 GMT
Hmm, a poll saying the Greens will get nothing seems dubious. Not that it wouldn't be a welcome result. I can see Lib Dems getting 2 now.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 21, 2014 8:42:47 GMT
Interesting stat Nearly 38% of voters UNAWARE European elections take place on Thursday Survation polling for Daily Mirror Probably because Labour hardly mention Europe in their literature? I think you have that the wrong way round. |
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Post by greenchristian on May 21, 2014 20:23:48 GMT
Probably because Labour hardly mention Europe in their literature? I think you have that the wrong way round. Europe hardly mention Labour in their literature? |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 21, 2014 21:04:52 GMT
well if this happens will be bloody delighted
UK - YouGov/@sun_Politics #EP2014 poll:
UKIP 27%(22 seats)
LAB 26%(22)
CON 22%(16)
GRN 9%(4)
LDEM 9%(3)
YG prediction
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 21, 2014 21:05:09 GMT
YouGov have done a final poll:
And have turned it into a European seat projection: Con 14-17, Lab 21-25, LD 2-3, UKIP 21-23, Green 3-6
Which would be a major triumph for the Green Party, I would say.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,916
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Post by Tony Otim on May 21, 2014 21:15:33 GMT
YouGov have done a final poll: And have turned it into a European seat projection: Con 14-17, Lab 21-25, LD 2-3, UKIP 21-23, Green 3-6 Which would be a major triumph for the Green Party, I would say. It would be. I'm not counting on it though. Those figures look plausible and possible, which is not the same as saying it will be anything like what actually happens come Sunday. |
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on May 21, 2014 21:39:27 GMT
According to Opinium for the Daily Mail, UKIP are heading for a clear victory tomorrow:
UKIP: 32%
Lab: 25%
Con 21%
LD: 6%
Green: 6%
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,916
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Post by Tony Otim on May 22, 2014 8:06:23 GMT
I think if UKIP don't top the poll come Sunday, not only will it now be seen as an underachievement if not failure by them, but some pollsters are going to look very silly indeed.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2014 8:24:45 GMT
I think if UKIP don't top the poll come Sunday, not only will it now be seen as an underachievement if not failure by them, but some pollsters are going to look very silly indeed. completely agree, it has become UKIP vs the rest and I do wonder if voters will vote Labour instead of Greens and LIB Dem to make sure UKIP do not top the poll. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on May 22, 2014 8:52:40 GMT
Do you not think a lot of the BNP vote will go UKIP. I think Griffin thinks that - IMO his thing about UKIP being racist the other week wasn't really about discrimination against white europeans, it was a reminder to those who had previously voted for his party that official UKIP policy favoured some immigration from Commonwealth (ie black and Asian immigrants) and that therefore they shouldn't vote UKIP.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2014 9:16:23 GMT
Do you not think a lot of the BNP vote will go UKIP. I think Griffin thinks that - IMO his thing about UKIP being racist the other week wasn't really about discrimination against white europeans, it was a reminder to those who had previously voted for his party that official UKIP policy favoured some immigration from Commonwealth (ie black and Asian immigrants) and that therefore they shouldn't vote UKIP. I think your right tony, most of votes the BNP got last time will go to UKIP. One positive from UKIP getting alot of airtime is turnout should go up from 2009. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2014 9:39:03 GMT
Do you not think a lot of the BNP vote will go UKIP. I think Griffin thinks that - IMO his thing about UKIP being racist the other week wasn't really about discrimination against white europeans, it was a reminder to those who had previously voted for his party that official UKIP policy favoured some immigration from Commonwealth (ie black and Asian immigrants) and that therefore they shouldn't vote UKIP. Maybe if they were in government. The truth is that we don't know. I do think that Ukip, whilst taking predominantly from the Conservatives, have also taken a fair slice from Labour. I still don't think that Ukip will get 30% though. The sad thing is that if Labour do well Milliboy will try and claim it as some kind of justification of his position on the EU. what is his position on the EU? He has been very quiet during the campaign and talking about non related EU issues. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 22, 2014 9:49:16 GMT
Hmm, a poll saying the Greens will get nothing seems dubious. Not that it wouldn't be a welcome result. I can see Lib Dems getting 2 now. Kellner is on the Graun blog this morning tipping the Greens as the performance to watch, states that their votes seem to be coming from all parties but particularly Labour. |
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neilm
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Post by neilm on May 22, 2014 9:51:43 GMT
Have the Greens been running especially strong campaigns locally?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2014 10:14:27 GMT
Hmm, a poll saying the Greens will get nothing seems dubious. Not that it wouldn't be a welcome result. I can see Lib Dems getting 2 now. Kellner is on the Graun blog this morning tipping the Greens as the performance to watch, states that their votes seem to be coming from all parties but particularly Labour. great news for UKIP if true |
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on May 22, 2014 11:53:27 GMT
I'm hopeful the BNP will do as badly as 1% compared to 6.2% in 2009. Their best region will probably be Yorkshire & The Humber where they might get 2-3%. Griffin will be on the end of a truly appalling defeat in the North West: it'll be interesting to see how low they go there.
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Post by greenchristian on May 23, 2014 15:05:12 GMT
Have the Greens been running especially strong campaigns locally? It varies according to the local party in question. |
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Post by Devonian on May 29, 2014 14:07:14 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2014 14:55:58 GMT
Helps to confirm that ICM and Yougov are the premium pollsters and that ComRes is shite.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on May 29, 2014 17:35:47 GMT
ComedyResults, indeed  |
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