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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 15, 2013 14:20:49 GMT
Walsall MBC - Aldridge Central & South Con 39.5% UKIP 27.5% Lab 22.1% LD 8.8% ED 2.1% Hartlepool UA - Manor House Lab 48.7% UKIP 29.5% H1st 15.5% Con 6.3% West Berkshire UA - Hungerford Con 49.7% LD 40.8% Lab 7.8% UPP 1.7% Torridge DC - Shebbear & Langtry Con 44.9% UKIP 35.9% ND 14.6% Grn 4.6% |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 15, 2013 17:11:08 GMT
13 full entries plus a cameo appearance from ianrobo for the Walsall contest only.
Unanimity form Conservative holds in Walsall and West Berkshire from the regular entrants but ianrobo predicts a UKIP gain in Walsall. Near unanimity in Hrrtlepool with only Justlooking predicting that Hartlepool 1st will gain from Labour and in Torridge Justlooking and Catholic left predict a UKIP gain.
Dibs gets 1 fault for adding to 101% in Walsall
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Post by andrewteale on Aug 15, 2013 18:09:04 GMT
Should all add up to 100 this time. HARTLEPOOL, MANOR HOUSE: Lab 39 PHF 35 UKIP 20 C 6 ALDRIDGE CENTRAL AND SOUTH: C 36 UKIP 26 Lab 24 LD 11 EDP 3 SHEBBEAR AND LANGTREE: C 51 UKIP 35 Ind 9 Grn 5 HUNGERFORD: C 56 LD 31 Lab 9 UPP 4 |
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 15, 2013 22:08:14 GMT
Torridge: Phildav a decisive winner and into the lead for the month as well, I think.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 15, 2013 22:11:19 GMT
Torridge - phildav 9.5, Andrew Teale 21.6, Pete Whitehead 25.3, greatkingrat 27.6, Tonyotim 30.5, Lancastrian 48.1, Mark Senior & Robert Waller 50.1, Hempie 51.6, dibs 51.9, Justlooking 51.9 + 10, catholic Left 57.3 + 10
edit. It appears I had missed James Doyle's predictions off the spreadsheet for this one. He gets 30.1 ordinary faults but also an additioanl 14 points for adding up to 86%
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Post by Philip Davies on Aug 15, 2013 22:16:09 GMT
Was I the only one who looked at the two county council division results from May that this ward straddles?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 15, 2013 22:21:15 GMT
No I did glance at them but there wasn't much guide as to how Bob Woortton would do.
Looks like you've come up trumps in Hartlepool as well
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 15, 2013 22:22:16 GMT
Well, I think you've done very well in Hartlepool too, as have Mark and Tony.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 15, 2013 22:26:49 GMT
HArtlepool - phildav 5.8, Mark Senior 7.0, Tonyotim 7.7, Lancastrian 15.0, Pete Whitehead 19.1, Robert Waller 23.9, greatkingrat 25.9, catholic Left 29.8, James Doyle 29.9, Hempie 31.9, dibs 32.8, Andrew Teale 35.9, Justlooking 49.9 + 10
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 15, 2013 22:29:22 GMT
I make that for the month Phil about 20 faults ahead of Tony, then Pete and Mark about 20 more behind.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 16, 2013 7:32:42 GMT
Copied from the other thread
Hungerford
Conservative: 48.36%
Liberal Democrat: 44.84%
Labour: 5.13%
United People’s Party: 1.67%
No actual votes given but Tory majority reported as 59 so some extrapolation is possible. Unfortunately I've left my spreadsheet at home so cannot do detailed results till later but from memory Phil, Robert and myself were probably closest to this result so a very good week indeed for Phil (I think he's averaged about 10 faults per contest this week) which will put him well ahead on the month.
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 16, 2013 11:08:03 GMT
I think Phil won the week extremely convincingly, and now leads for the month by at least 30 from Tony, followed by Pete third then Mark and Lancastrian close for fourth place, then GKR then me.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 16, 2013 11:13:47 GMT
Congratulations to Phil on the week.
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Post by marksenior on Aug 16, 2013 12:51:49 GMT
A superb performance by Phil this week .
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Post by Philip Davies on Aug 16, 2013 13:12:14 GMT
All my past bad luck decided to even itself out all in the same week!
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 16, 2013 16:48:25 GMT
I concur with the DRO's faults for Hartlepool and Torridge, including James Doyle's additional 14 faults in the latter, but for the sake of completeness post all four of this week's contests.
Hartlepool, Manor House:
PhilDav 5.8 faults, Mark Senior 7.0, tonyotim 7.7, Lancastrian 15.0, Pete Whitehead 19.1, Robert Waller 23.9, greatkingrat 25.9, CatholicLeft 29.8, James Doyle 29.9, hempie 31.9, Dibs 32.8, Andrew Teale 35.9, Just Looking 49.9+10
Torridge, Shebbear & Langtry
PhilDav 9.5, Andrew Teale 21.6, Pete Whitehead 25.3, greatkingrat 27.6, tonyotim 30.5, James Doyle 30.1+14, Lancastrian 48.1, Mark Senior & Robert Waller 50.1, hempie 51.6, Dibs 51.9, Just Looking 51.9+10, Catholic Left 57.3+10
Walsall, Aldridge Central & South
PhilDav 17.2 faults, Robert Waller 18.1, Mark Senior 19.3, Pete Whitehead 21.8, James Doyle 22.0, tonyotim 22.6, greatkingrat 23.3, hempie & Lancastrian 25.3, Andrew Teale 27.3, CatholicLeft 27.9, Dibs 28.3+1, Just Looking 34.1, ianrobo 46.4+10
West Berkshire, Hungerford
PhilDav 6.9 faults, Pete Whitehead 8.1,Lancastrian 13.0, hempie 13.7, tonyotim 16.3, CatholicLeft 18.4, greatkingrat 23.7, James Doyle 27.0, Andrew Teale 27.7, Robert Waller 28.4, Dibs 31.0, Mark Senior 33.7, Just Looking 41.0
and for the week:
PhilDav 39.4, Pete Whitehead 74.3, tonyotim 77.1, greatkingrat 100.4, Lancastrian 101.4, Mark Senior 110.1, Andrew Teale 112.4, Robert Waller 120.4, hempie 122.4, James Doyle 123.0, CatholicLeft 143.4, Dibs 145.1, Just Looking 196.9
and for the month to date:
284.2 PhilDav
316.4 tonyotim
328.1 Pete Whitehead
351.4 Lancastrian
352.2 Mark Senior
363.3 greatkingrat
368.2 Robert Waller
393.1 hempie
404.8 Andrew Teale
429.6 CatholicLeft
430.0 James Doyle
535.1 Just Looking
1,045.1 Dibs
Objections please by 5.00 pm Sunday.
4 contests next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.
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Post by lancastrian on Aug 21, 2013 19:46:40 GMT
Doncaster: Lab 53 UKIP 21 Con 16 LD 3 ED 3 TUSC 2 Ind 2
Lincoln: Con 37 Lab 36 UKIP 20 LD 5 TUSC 2
Scarborough(Newby):Ind 29 Con 28 Lab 21 UKIP 13 Green 9
Scarborough(Ramshill):Lab 30 Con 28 LD 18 UKIP 14 Green 10
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 21, 2013 23:09:58 GMT
Doncaster: Lab 55 UKIP 19 Con 12 LD 3 ED 5 TUSC 3 Ind 3
Lincoln: Con 39 Lab 37 UKIP 18 LD 4 TUSC 2
Scarborough(Newby):Ind 31 Con 33 Lab 18 UKIP 14 Green 4
Scarborough(Ramshill):Lab 26 Con 33 LD 13 UKIP 21 Green 7
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Post by greatkingrat on Aug 21, 2013 23:15:03 GMT
DONCASTER - Lab 53, Con 15, ED 10, UKIP 8, Ind 7, LD 4, TUSC 3
LINCOLN - Lab 39, Con 35, UKIP 20, LD 4, TUSC 2
SCARBOROUGH Newby - Ind 27, Con 25, UKIP 20, Lab 16, Grn 12
SCARBOROUGH Ramshill - Con 27, UKIP 24, Lab 22, LD 17, Grn 10
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 22, 2013 6:08:47 GMT
DONCASTER - Lab 36,UKIP 23, Con 15, ED 10, Ind 7, TUSC 7,LD 2
LINCOLN - Lab 30, Con 25, UKIP 25, TUSC 15, ld 5
SCARBOROUGH Newby - UKIP 30, Ind 22, Con 20, Lab 16, Grn 12
SCARBOROUGH Ramshill - UKIP 29, Con 25, Lab 22, Grn 15, ld 9
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