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Post by andrewteale on Aug 1, 2013 20:03:36 GMT
PENYRHEOL: PC 46 Lab 44 TUSC 5 C 5 THETFORD WEST: Lab 39 UKIP 32 C 21 Ind 4 Grn 4 ST MARY'S: C 28 UKIP 25 Lab 23 Health Concern 17 Ind 4 Grn 3 CODNOR AND WAINGROVES: Lab 54 C 25 UKIP 17 LD 4 LITTLEMOOR: C 35 LD 30 Lab 26 Ind 9
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tricky
Lib Dem
Building a stronger economy and a fairer society so everyone can get on in life
Posts: 1,420
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Post by tricky on Aug 1, 2013 20:32:37 GMT
As a matter of interest would anyone change their prediction if they knew I have been in Clitheroe since very early this morning? I would Jack Straw has also been here so if we get more than Labour then Me > Former Foreign Secretary.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Aug 1, 2013 20:52:26 GMT
I would Jack Straw has also been here so if we get more than Labour then Me > Former Foreign Secretary. To be fair, he was just pickimg up a case of Viognier from Byrne's Wine Store.
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Post by greatkingrat on Aug 1, 2013 20:59:24 GMT
Worcestershire - 4 Conservative gains from UKIP - greatkingrat, Lancastrian, Pete Whiteheld & Robert Waller a Independent gain, Hempie, Just Looking & PhilDav a UKIP hold with CatholicLeft a Labour gain Rare to have 4 different winners predicted in a ward. Clearly going to be a landslide for Health Concern!
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 1, 2013 21:35:15 GMT
And yet we have 2 cases this week
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Post by marksenior on Aug 1, 2013 22:10:21 GMT
And yet we have 2 cases this week Two cases of Viognier !!!!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 1, 2013 22:15:43 GMT
And yet we have 2 cases this week Two cases of Viognier !!!! Don't mind if I do, Mark.
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Post by Philip Davies on Aug 1, 2013 22:22:22 GMT
12 entries this week with Andrew Teale getting 3 additional faults for a non-existent Green candidate in Worcestershire. Amber Valley - 100% Labour hold Caerphilly - 9 Plaid Cymru holds, Just Looking, Pete Whitehead and PhilDav a Labour gain Norfolk - 100% Labour gain from UKIP Ribble Valley - 5 Independent gains from Conservative, - Andrew Teale, CaholicLeft & James Doyle a Conservative hold, Hempie, Pete Whitehead & PhilDav a Lib Dem gain with Just Looking a Labour gain Worcestershire - 4 Conservative gains from UKIP - greatkingrat, Lancastrian, Pete Whiteheld & Robert Waller a Independent gain, Hempie, Just Looking & PhilDav a UKIP hold with CatholicLeft a Labour gain I've got the Worcestershire one as an Ind gain.
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 1, 2013 22:35:11 GMT
12 entries this week with Andrew Teale getting 3 additional faults for a non-existent Green candidate in Worcestershire. Amber Valley - 100% Labour hold Caerphilly - 9 Plaid Cymru holds, Just Looking, Pete Whitehead and PhilDav a Labour gain Norfolk - 100% Labour gain from UKIP Ribble Valley - 5 Independent gains from Conservative, - Andrew Teale, CaholicLeft & James Doyle a Conservative hold, Hempie, Pete Whitehead & PhilDav a Lib Dem gain with Just Looking a Labour gain Worcestershire - 4 Conservative gains from UKIP - greatkingrat, Lancastrian, Pete Whiteheld & Robert Waller a Independent gain, Hempie, Just Looking & PhilDav a UKIP hold with CatholicLeft a Labour gain I've got the Worcestershire one as an Ind gain. So you have but it is still 10 points for a wrong winner!!
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 1, 2013 22:54:16 GMT
After four of the five results I estimate that Tonyotim may have a small lead from Phil and Pete. Not a huge amount in it across most competitors.
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 1, 2013 23:04:34 GMT
Now after five I'm pretty sure Tony is in a good lead, but Hempie and Mark Senior may have just nosed ahead of Phil and Pete, then Lancastrian and GKR, then the rest, no one vastly behind. Oddly I think Andrew may have been best for Worcestershire despite his fictional Green candidate!
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 1, 2013 23:08:48 GMT
Need to verify and check but looks like tonyotim some 18 faults in the lead from hempie with Mark senior a close third, Phildav 4th, Pete Whitehead 5th and lancastrian 6th (some 10 faults behind hempie). First to last is separated by 63.5 faults.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 2, 2013 8:38:32 GMT
Welsh one messed me up
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Post by Philip Davies on Aug 2, 2013 8:40:27 GMT
It is not just Gwynedd that makes a fool of us!
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 2, 2013 9:01:56 GMT
A lack of research in WOrcestershire seems to have paid off for Andrew and Tony
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Post by andrewteale on Aug 2, 2013 9:04:26 GMT
A lack of research in Cl*theroe didn't pay off though.
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Post by Philip Davies on Aug 2, 2013 9:11:13 GMT
I did a lot of research on the Kidderminster one, but just looked at the last result in Clitheroe and the county result there. There have been quite a few unpredictible independent results over the past few months.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 2, 2013 9:16:49 GMT
Wyre Forest must qualify for the title of the bizarrest local political culture
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 2, 2013 10:47:45 GMT
Willbe away next week and uncertain of access, so predictions for 8th August: Merton: Con 14, Lab 59, LD 9, UKIP 18 Redcar & Cleveland: Con 12 Lab 52, LD 8, UKIP 14, Ind 14 Swindon: Con 41, Lab 37, LD 6, UKIP 16 Waveney: Con 39, Lab 37, LD 4, UKIP 13, Green 7
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 2, 2013 16:26:43 GMT
Amber Valley, Codnor & Waingrove greatkingrat 6.1 faults, Pete Whitehead 7.7, Lancastrian 10.9, Just Looking 11.1, tonyotim 11.3, CatholicLeft 12.1, PhilDav 12.5, Andrew Teale 12.9, hempie 13.5, James Doyle & Mark Senior 16.1, Robert Waller 17.7
Caerphilly, Penyrheol CatholicLeft 17.1 faults, tonyotim 19.9, James Doyle 21.1, hempie, greatkingrat, Lancastrian & Mark Senior all on 24.1, Andrew Teale 26.1, Robert Waller 28.1, Just Looking 25.7+10, Pete Whitehead 27.3+10, PhilDav 31.9+10
Norfolk, Thetford West PhilDav 14.9 faults, Robert Waller & Pete Whitehead 18.3, Lancastrian & Mark Senior 20.3, tonyotim 23.5, Andrew Teale 24.3, James Doyle 26.3, hempie 28.3, Just Looking 32.3, greatkingrat 34.3, CatholicLeft 38.3
Ribble Valley, Littlemoor PhilDav 30.7 faults, Pete Whitehead 40.3, tonyotim 33.5+10, hempie 45.7, Mark Senior 37.7+10, greatkingrat 37.8+10, Lancastrian 41.8+10, Robert Waller 43.7+10, Catholicleft 59.7+10, Just Looking 61.7+10, Andrew Teale 73.7+10, James Doyle 83.7+10
Worcestershire, St Mary's Andrew Teale 12.3+3 faults, tonyotim 18.1, hempie 12.8+10, Just Looking 17.1+10, James Doyle 22.8, Mark Senior 28.8, CatholicLeft & Lancastrian 26.8+10, Pete Whitehead 28.5+10, PhilDav 29.2+10, greatkingrat 30.3+10, Robert Waller 36.3+10
and for the week:
116.4 tonyotim 134.5 hempie 137.0 Mark Senior 139.2 PhilDav 142.1 Pete Whitehead
143.9 Lancastrian 152.6 greatkingrat 162.4 Andrew Teale 164.2 Robert Waller 173.9 CatholicLeft
178.0 Just Looking 179.9 James Doyle
Objections please by noon Sunday
4 contests next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.
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