Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Jul 3, 2013 18:39:32 GMT
John Chorlton is certainly an interesting individual.
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libfozzy
Lib Dem
Building a stronger economy in a fairer society.
Posts: 300 
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Post by libfozzy on Jul 3, 2013 19:34:41 GMT
John Chorlton is certainly an interesting individual. There's a story there, for sure.....  |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 3, 2013 20:16:16 GMT
Mr Chorlton failed to get re-elected to the local authority in May so his star is not exactly in the ascendency.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2013 19:13:16 GMT
The final candidate is from the Socialist Labour Party, and she's called Kathrine Jones
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libfozzy
Lib Dem
Building a stronger economy in a fairer society.
Posts: 300
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Post by libfozzy on Jul 5, 2013 20:59:12 GMT
My suspicion at this stage is that Rhun will hold it for Plaid. Labour will probably close the gap a bit - purely down to the amount they'll throw at this, but I don't think they'll get close enough.
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Post by Penddu on Jul 8, 2013 18:18:42 GMT
It should be a straightforward Plaid hold. Plaid have momentum following the local elections - while Labour's momentum is going in the opposite direction - and their parachuted in candidate will not help, no matter how much money they throw at this seat!
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,589
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Post by cibwr on Jul 8, 2013 19:09:34 GMT
I predict lots of high profile visits from Labour people to Ynys Mon in the next few weeks and telephone canvasing to go into overdrive (from outside the island). Winning the seat will give Labour a majority in the National Assembly.
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libfozzy
Lib Dem
Building a stronger economy in a fairer society.
Posts: 300
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Post by libfozzy on Jul 9, 2013 7:25:02 GMT
Sorry Penddu, but Plaid don't really think Plaid has that much momentum after the locals. They have momentum now because of a solid candidate and a lot of bodies & money on the ground.....
Also, Cibwr is right, Labour will completely flood the seat over the next few weeks. The sheer volume of direct mail, leaflets and phone calls is going to suppress a big chunk the Plaid turnout and squeeze the Tories & Lib Dems just through an anti-Nat vote.
Like I say, Rhun will probably tip it, but I'm not sure he'll pull off a landslide victory......
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Post by erlend on Jul 9, 2013 21:05:02 GMT
I think a bye is probably OK for Plaid. Other parties squeezed by both.
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,589
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Post by cibwr on Jul 10, 2013 8:12:27 GMT
I think there is momentum for Plaid - Labour seem to be in a bit of a mess locally in Ynys Mon, not that they will be running the Labour campaign but it can't help. Other parties will be squeezed and the "send a message to Westminster" will not play out here.
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Post by Penddu on Jul 21, 2013 11:12:45 GMT
A few days ago Martin Shipton in the Western Mail reported a Labour source as effectively conceding the election to Plaid - although I don't give Martin Shipton much credibility. That is about the only thing I have heard - any news from the ground?
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Post by Penddu on Jul 21, 2013 11:18:39 GMT
Go to forum home page....by elections to Westminster, Holyrood or Cardiff Bay!
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Post by Penddu on Jul 21, 2013 11:20:29 GMT
Dim problem
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,589
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Post by cibwr on Jul 21, 2013 15:50:07 GMT
A few days ago Martin Shipton in the Western Mail reported a Labour source as effectively conceding the election to Plaid - although I don't give Martin Shipton much credibility. That is about the only thing I have heard - any news from the ground? Having spent a very pleasant afternoon with Martin Shipton with a great deal of wine, I have some respect for him, not sure about the Western Mail though or his individual motives, but in this I think he is right. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2013 19:45:32 GMT
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dazza
Non-Aligned
Posts: 134
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Post by dazza on Jul 24, 2013 17:54:32 GMT
Well. it took a bit of time but I saw that my old mate Steve Churchman is Lib Dem Candidate in Ynys Mon, he was a Barking Lib Dem Cllr and thoroughly decent guy he moved to Wales learnt Welsh and, along with his other Eastbury Ward Cllr Dave Smith in LBBD, great guy. sorry Steve but I still will vote red !!.
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,774
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Post by john07 on Jul 25, 2013 14:02:38 GMT
.... he was a Barking Lib Dem Cllr ..... Tautology alert! |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 25, 2013 18:36:28 GMT
V. drole.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,849
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Post by johng on Jul 30, 2013 18:26:26 GMT
Just a day and a half until polls open.
Anyone fancy making a prediction?
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 31, 2013 6:38:48 GMT
PC 45%
Lab 25%
Con 20%
UKIP 6%
LD 3%
Soc L 1%
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