andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 8, 2024 11:24:54 GMT
Aberdeenshire. Fraserburgh and District
Con 1145
SNP 895
RefUK 817
LD 222
SFP 71
Con gain from SNP after transfers
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Post by sanders on Nov 8, 2024 11:27:19 GMT
Aberdeenshire. Fraserburgh and District Con 1145 SNP 895 RefUK 817 LD 222 SFP 71 Con gain from SNP after transfers Very solid Reform showing for Scotland. They almost beat the SNP here. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 8, 2024 11:30:25 GMT
Fraserburgh percentages
Con 36.3% (+3.9)
SNP 28.4% (+8.4)
RefUK 25.9% ( new)
LD 7% (+2.2)
SFP 2.3% (+1.4)
No Alba and 2 x Ind from last time
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Post by andrewteale on Nov 8, 2024 11:30:48 GMT
In Burnley there must be an agreement between Tories and Reform not to stand against each other in May The Burnley Conservatives were the subject of a reverse takeover by UKIP a few years ago. I doubt they would be well-disposed to that idea. |
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Post by andrewteale on Nov 8, 2024 11:34:16 GMT
Final count in Fraserburgh was C 1556 SNP 1113.
RUK were eliminated 102 votes behind SNP.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 8, 2024 11:38:10 GMT
Inverclyde West turnout 31.4%.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 8, 2024 11:44:27 GMT
INVERCLYDE Inverclyde West (Ward 5)
Ian Hellyer (Scottish Labour Party) 932
Robert Kirkpatrick (Scottish National Party (SNP)) 923
Ted Runciman (Scottish Conservative and Unionist) 415
Christopher William McEleny (Alba Party) 239
John Stuart Bennet Burleigh (Reform UK) 230
No news on transfers.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 8, 2024 11:44:44 GMT
Aberdeenshire, Central Buchan
Con 1260
SNP 869
LD 435
RefUK 331
SFP 83
Ind 71
Con gain from SNP after transfers
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 8, 2024 11:46:13 GMT
ABERDEENSHIRE Central Buchan
Peter Chapman (Scottish Conservatives) 1,260
Sarah Wilken (Scottish National Party) 869
Ian Bailey (Liberal Democrat) 435
Andrew Curwen (Reform UK) 331
Phil Reynolds (Scottish Family Party) 83
Dean Ward (Ind) 71
Conservative win on transfers
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 8, 2024 11:48:11 GMT
Aberdeenshire. Fraserburgh and District Con 1145 SNP 895 RefUK 817 LD 222 SFP 71 Con gain from SNP after transfers That is an excellent showing by Reform and an enormous right-wing vote. Congratulations to the Conservatives on a superb result despite us doing well. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 8, 2024 11:48:13 GMT
LAB hold in Great Hollands, Bracknell Forest Lab: 681 (46.1%) -27.8% from 2023 Con: 411 (27.8%) +1.7% Reform: 208 (14.1%) Ind (former Tory councillor): 158 (10.7%) Heritage: 20 (1.4%) Reform, Ind, Heritage did not stand in 2023 Swing from Lab to Con, 14.75% Turnout 22.31%, down from 33% in 2023 Must be the safest Lab ward in Bracknell. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 8, 2024 11:49:23 GMT
Aberdeenshire, Central Buchan percentages
Con 41.3% (+8)
SNP 28.5% (-2.6)
LD 14.3% (+1)
RefUK 10.9% ( new)
SFP 2.7% (+1,3)
Ind 2.3% ( new)
No Lab/ Green/ Alba from before
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 8, 2024 11:56:23 GMT
Inverclyde West perecentages- everyone up
Lab 34% (+7.9)
SNP 33.7% (+7,3)
Con 15.2% (+5.7)
Alba 8.7% (+6.1)
RefUK 8.4% ( new)
No Ind x 2 or LD from last time
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Post by redvers on Nov 8, 2024 11:57:23 GMT
LAB hold in Great Hollands, Bracknell Forest Lab: 681 (46.1%) -27.8% from 2023 Con: 411 (27.8%) +1.7% Reform: 208 (14.1%) Ind (former Tory councillor): 158 (10.7%) Heritage: 20 (1.4%) Reform, Ind, Heritage did not stand in 2023 Swing from Lab to Con, 14.75% Turnout 22.31%, down from 33% in 2023 Reform figure given to me was incorrect. Should have been 258. Correct calculations below. Thanks for spotting by couple of people here. LAB hold in Great Hollands, Bracknell Forest Lab: 681 (44.6%) -29.3% from 2023 Con: 411 (26.9%) +0.8% Reform: 258 (16.9%) Ind (former Tory councillor): 158 (10.3%) Heritage: 20 (1.3%) Reform, Ind, Heritage did not stand in 2023 Swing from Lab to Con, 15.05% Turnout 22.31%, down from 33% in 2023 |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 8, 2024 11:58:45 GMT
Elgin City South, Moray- first preferences
SNP 849
Con 834
Lab 487
LD 466
Predictions from there?
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 8, 2024 12:02:10 GMT
Elgin City South, Moray- first preferences SNP 849 Con 834 Lab 487 LD 466 Predictions from there? I’d have thought CON will win but it’s going to come down to Lab transfers. |
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 8, 2024 12:02:28 GMT
INVERCLYDE Inverclyde West (Ward 5) Ian Hellyer (Scottish Labour Party) 932 Robert Kirkpatrick (Scottish National Party (SNP)) 923 Ted Runciman (Scottish Conservative and Unionist) 415 Christopher William McEleny (Alba Party) 239 John Stuart Bennet Burleigh (Reform UK) 230 No news on transfers. To be 5th behind bloody Alba is a real disappointment; but the main event was always going to be a fight-to-the-death LAB-SNP affair. This is very tight and just for the moment I am unsure who I want to see winning? |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 8, 2024 12:03:18 GMT
Confirmed that Labour held Inverclyde West after transfers.
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Post by dizz on Nov 8, 2024 12:07:18 GMT
Elgin City South, Moray- first preferences SNP 849 Con 834 Lab 487 LD 466 Predictions from there? I’d have thought CON will win but it’s going to come down to Lab transfers. Agreed. The excess LD to Con rather than SNP will exceed any equivalent Lab to SNP transfer even if there is such. Now awaits egg on face. ;-) |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 8, 2024 12:09:45 GMT
Aberdeenshire, Mearns
Con 1347
SNP 832
LD 745
RefUK 375
Green 136
Con gain from SNP
CON: 39.2% (+7.5)
SNP: 24.2% (-4.8)
LD :21.7% (+15.2)
RefUK 10.9% (New)
Green: 4.0% (+0.6)
no Ind, Lab or Alba from last time
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