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Post by peterski on Nov 8, 2024 5:01:57 GMT
If the results in Blackpool and Wyre are any way indicative of wider local trends then the Lancashire County Council elections next year could be an epic 3 way clusterfuck
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2024 5:37:46 GMT
Reform were presumably pretty buoyed up by their win in Marton ward in Blackpool not that long ago. Great night for them to win a seat in Wyre Forest and get so close to another in Blackpool. Funnily enough, the only Reform gain I predicted was in Fraserburgh! Tories have got a serious problem if the Blackpool result is indicative of wider trends as others have said.
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Post by batman on Nov 8, 2024 5:38:37 GMT
Reform won’t be as strong in many parts of Lancashire, the Blackpool area (including Thornton-Cleveleys and Fleetwood) is likely to be their strongest, but they have potential in the whiter parts of East Lancs too in particular
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2024 5:40:01 GMT
Reform won’t be as strong in many parts of Lancashire, the Blackpool area (including Thornton-Cleveleys and Fleetwood) is likely to be their strongest, but they have potential in the whiter parts of East Lancs too in particular Hyndburn had some pretty decent results for UKIP back in the day, so that along with Blackpool I agree has significant Reform potential. But running a fuller slate of county council candidates and having the activists to support them is a much harder proposition than running in the odd Blackpool by-election here and there. |
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Post by lackeroftalent on Nov 8, 2024 5:58:27 GMT
Reform were presumably pretty buoyed up by their win in Marton ward in Blackpool not that long ago. Great night for them to win a seat in Wyre Forest and get so close to another in Blackpool. Funnily enough, the only Reform gain I predicted was in Fraserburgh! Tories have got a serious problem if the Blackpool result is indicative of wider trends as others have said. Wyre Council - Lancashire Wyre Forest Council - Worcestershire |
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2024 6:00:49 GMT
Reform were presumably pretty buoyed up by their win in Marton ward in Blackpool not that long ago. Great night for them to win a seat in Wyre Forest and get so close to another in Blackpool. Funnily enough, the only Reform gain I predicted was in Fraserburgh! Tories have got a serious problem if the Blackpool result is indicative of wider trends as others have said. Wyre Council - Lancashire Wyre Forest Council - Worcestershire Wait a second - where was last night's by-election? I thought it was in Wyre Forest and used the Wyre Forest GE result as the basis of my prediction  |
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Post by srijan on Nov 8, 2024 6:20:11 GMT
The district of Wyre in Lancashire, named after the river that flows through it. Major towns are Poulton-le-Fylde (the council HQ, and not in the nearby district called Fylde), Cleveleys and Fleetwood. The by-election took place in Marsh Hill, a ward in the quite sizeable village of Thornton, which for all intents and purposes may well be considered part of the surrounds of Blackpool.
Thornton was effectively split in half by the boundary review, and Marsh Mill is now in Blackpool North & Fleetwood.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2024 6:24:48 GMT
I had a senior moment there.e Just rename Wyre Forest 'Kidderminster' or something. There are too many seats and councils with similar names. We have too many layers of local government! Why not have a Lancaster & Wyre council just like the parliamentary seat?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 8, 2024 6:55:33 GMT
Reform won’t be as strong in many parts of Lancashire, the Blackpool area (including Thornton-Cleveleys and Fleetwood) is likely to be their strongest, but they have potential in the whiter parts of East Lancs too in particular Lancashire was odd in that it was one of the (relatively few) counties where UKIP won no seats in 2013 but then they gained one in 2017 (in Padiham) as they were losing most of their seats everywhere else. Edit: it wasn't 'most' - they literally lost every seat they were defending in 2017. Padiham was the only seat they won in the entire country |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 8, 2024 6:56:31 GMT
Blackpool percentages LAB: 31.5% (-16.5) RefUK 30.7% (New) CON: 22.7% (-29.2) IND: 10.7% (New) GRN: 2.6% (New) LD 1.7% (New) Vote Tory get Labour |
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Post by batman on Nov 8, 2024 7:05:57 GMT
Sanders didn’t have a senior moment, it was the whippersnapper who didn’t know the difference between Wyre and Wyre Forest, the more senior of us who did. I favour Wyre Forest to be called either Wyre Forest to annoy sanders, or And to annoy Neath West.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2024 7:16:36 GMT
Sanders didn’t have a senior moment, it was the whippersnapper who didn’t know the difference between Wyre and Wyre Forest, the more senior of us who did. I favour Wyre Forest to be called either Wyre Forest to annoy sanders, or And to annoy Neath West. Another one like that is Rother Valley which could be a place in West Sussex as well as South Yorkshire. My favourite one is actually Almond Valley, aka Livingston. |
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Post by batman on Nov 8, 2024 7:25:23 GMT
That is true but the word Rother has never been used in the name of a Sussex constituency. The Rother Valley Brewery however is in Sussex.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2024 7:53:16 GMT
That is true but the word Rother has never been used in the name of a Sussex constituency. The Rother Valley Brewery however is in Sussex. There's more to life than beer! |
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 8, 2024 7:55:42 GMT
That is true but the word Rother has never been used in the name of a Sussex constituency. The Rother Valley Brewery however is in Sussex. There's more to life than beer! Lies and statistics. |
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Post by Yaffles on Nov 8, 2024 8:00:45 GMT
That is true but the word Rother has never been used in the name of a Sussex constituency. The Rother Valley Brewery however is in Sussex. There's more to life than beer! Yes there is also wine |
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Post by andrewteale on Nov 8, 2024 8:23:47 GMT
I had a senior moment there.e Just rename Wyre Forest 'Kidderminster' or something. There are too many seats and councils with similar names. We have too many layers of local government! Why not have a Lancaster & Wyre council just like the parliamentary seat? Lancaster Council is a very coherent unit as it is. If you want to wipe Wyre off the map, the Garstang area would be better linked with Preston while the towns should be annexed by Blackpool. At which point pitchforks suddenly become difficult to buy. |
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Khunanup
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Post by Khunanup on Nov 8, 2024 8:38:40 GMT
Sanders didn’t have a senior moment, it was the whippersnapper who didn’t know the difference between Wyre and Wyre Forest, the more senior of us who did. I favour Wyre Forest to be called either Wyre Forest to annoy sanders, or And to annoy Neath West. Another one like that is Rother Valley which could be a place in West Sussex as well as South Yorkshire. My favourite one is actually Almond Valley, aka Livingston. Or East Sussex, where Rother District Council is (which is, I suspect, what you were thinking of rather than the other River Rother, tributary of the Arun, that flows through Midhurst right at the other end of (West) Sussex). |
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Clark
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Post by Clark on Nov 8, 2024 8:41:42 GMT
I wonder if Lancs is swinging more to Reform because of what happened in nearby Southport.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2024 8:43:35 GMT
I wonder if Lancs is swinging more to Reform because of what happened in nearby Southport. Reform almost came second in the Blackpool South by-election (months before the Southport stabbing). |
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