Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922 
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Oct 9, 2024 6:34:44 GMT
Powys counts Wednesday night Most likely in the High School where the local theatre group holds their annual pantomimes |
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Post by sanders on Oct 9, 2024 7:16:29 GMT
Where does Nellist stand on Gaza? Why'd he fall out of contention? Compare that to Liverpool's Liberal Councillors. I know he left Parliament in 1992. Maybe people got sick of him. Couldn't he rejoin Labour under Corbyn? They should've re-affiliated with RMT then. Maybe Nellist stops standing sometime soon.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,729
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Post by Chris from Brum on Oct 9, 2024 7:24:14 GMT
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on Oct 9, 2024 7:29:55 GMT
Re Nellist, Militant really weren’t very anti-Israel in their outlook in the old days, but their former leading figures including Nellist nowadays take a line much more similar to the SWP. His multiple candidacies against Labour would have made it pretty difficult for him to rejoin Labour even in the Corbyn era.
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Post by olympian95 on Oct 9, 2024 8:46:01 GMT
This is quite a meaty night of by-elections with lots of contests in areas where I have previously lived! I reckon the Tories have a good chance of winning in Shirley, Southampton. Until Satvir Kaur was elected in 2011, the seat was Tory for some time. I reckon Kaur was the glue that held everything together. With her now in Westminster and the state of Labour in the polls, I think the seat might well ‘come home’ to the Conservatives. I think Labour will get a massive kicking here. Tories must be favourites to win Weybridge in Elmbridge even though they did not win this year. They won another by-election in Cobham I think on 4 July and this seat is of course outside Esher and Walton. The previous Tory councillor was also extremely liked. Hersham is a little harder to predict, but I would probably just about give the Tories the nod there. Hanger Hill in Ealing will be interesting. This was traditionally one of the safest wards for the Tories and it was very disappointing for them to have lost one of the seats in 2022 and crucially making the Lib Dems the official opposition. I suspect the Tories should just edge it given that they are now out of office in Westminster. A lot of people in this ward send their children to private schools and I think that will help the Tories. I think Hanger Hill is very vulnerable to the Lib Dems. It is quite possible that the blues could be wiped out from the borough in 2026. |
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Post by greenchristian on Oct 9, 2024 9:03:22 GMT
Where does Nellist stand on Gaza? Why'd he fall out of contention? Compare that to Liverpool's Liberal Councillors. I know he left Parliament in 1992. Maybe people got sick of him. Couldn't he rejoin Labour under Corbyn? They should've re-affiliated with RMT then. Maybe Nellist stops standing sometime soon. He fell out of contention at Westminster level because he couldn't pull together a campaign as strong as Labour's, and his name recognition faded over time once he was out of office. The 1997 boundary changes didn't help him either. He was a councillor up until 2012, after which point his voteshare in St Michaels' ward went into freefall. These days the TUSC local election campaign in Coventry usually consists of one leaflet that's printed for all the wards they're standing in and one public meeting for the whole city (which is probably only actually attended by party members and a handful of hangers-on). His wife is arguably more politically active than him these days as she remains a prominent trade unionist. |
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Post by sanders on Oct 9, 2024 9:10:57 GMT
This is quite a meaty night of by-elections with lots of contests in areas where I have previously lived! I reckon the Tories have a good chance of winning in Shirley, Southampton. Until Satvir Kaur was elected in 2011, the seat was Tory for some time. I reckon Kaur was the glue that held everything together. With her now in Westminster and the state of Labour in the polls, I think the seat might well ‘come home’ to the Conservatives. I think Labour will get a massive kicking here. Tories must be favourites to win Weybridge in Elmbridge even though they did not win this year. They won another by-election in Cobham I think on 4 July and this seat is of course outside Esher and Walton. The previous Tory councillor was also extremely liked. Hersham is a little harder to predict, but I would probably just about give the Tories the nod there. Hanger Hill in Ealing will be interesting. This was traditionally one of the safest wards for the Tories and it was very disappointing for them to have lost one of the seats in 2022 and crucially making the Lib Dems the official opposition. I suspect the Tories should just edge it given that they are now out of office in Westminster. A lot of people in this ward send their children to private schools and I think that will help the Tories. I think Hanger Hill is very vulnerable to the Lib Dems. It is quite possible that the blues could be wiped out from the borough in 2026. My 2026 predictions are LD sweep. They should win this by-election, yes. |
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Crimson King
Lib Dem
Be nice to each other and sing in tune
Posts: 9,842
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Post by Crimson King on Oct 9, 2024 9:18:05 GMT
Powys counts Wednesday night Most likely in the High School where the local theatre group holds their annual pantomimes oh no it isn’t |
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on Oct 9, 2024 9:52:52 GMT
Most likely in the High School where the local theatre group holds their annual pantomimes oh no it isn’t hopefully all these pantomime jokes are behind us |
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Post by kitesurfer on Oct 9, 2024 11:59:11 GMT
This is quite a meaty night of by-elections with lots of contests in areas where I have previously lived! I reckon the Tories have a good chance of winning in Shirley, Southampton. Until Satvir Kaur was elected in 2011, the seat was Tory for some time. I reckon Kaur was the glue that held everything together. With her now in Westminster and the state of Labour in the polls, I think the seat might well ‘come home’ to the Conservatives. I think Labour will get a massive kicking here. Tories must be favourites to win Weybridge in Elmbridge even though they did not win this year. They won another by-election in Cobham I think on 4 July and this seat is of course outside Esher and Walton. The previous Tory councillor was also extremely liked. Hersham is a little harder to predict, but I would probably just about give the Tories the nod there. Hanger Hill in Ealing will be interesting. This was traditionally one of the safest wards for the Tories and it was very disappointing for them to have lost one of the seats in 2022 and crucially making the Lib Dems the official opposition. I suspect the Tories should just edge it given that they are now out of office in Westminster. A lot of people in this ward send their children to private schools and I think that will help the Tories. I think Hanger Hill is very vulnerable to the Lib Dems. It is quite possible that the blues could be wiped out from the borough in 2026. I would personally be surprised if they were wiped out unless the Lib Dems take all their seats. Assuming their new leader is not a total disaster, now they are in opposition, I think they will at least hold on to what they have. Personally, I think they have a chance in Northfield, Pitshanger and taking the Labour seat in Ealing Common. It is hard to know what the national picture will look like in 2026, but if Labour become deeply unpopular, they may have further opportunities too. |
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Post by olympian95 on Oct 9, 2024 12:35:53 GMT
I think Hanger Hill is very vulnerable to the Lib Dems. It is quite possible that the blues could be wiped out from the borough in 2026. I would personally be surprised if they were wiped out unless the Lib Dems take all their seats. Assuming their new leader is not a total disaster, now they are in opposition, I think they will at least hold on to what they have. Personally, I think they have a chance in Northfield, Pitshanger and taking the Labour seat in Ealing Common. It is hard to know what the national picture will look like in 2026, but if Labour become deeply unpopular, they may have further opportunities too. Yes would agree with Northfield - although I think they may struggle to hold in Ealing Broadway if the LDs go for it (and I think they have very little chance of a comeback in Ealing Common). |
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gaz76
Non-Aligned
Posts: 38
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Post by gaz76 on Oct 9, 2024 13:10:01 GMT
Leeds, Farnley & Wortley Reposting from another thread. The Independent has announced that they are not an eligible candidate due to being an employee of the council but presumably will still appear on the ballot and should they win be automatically disqualified. From the West Leeds Dispatch(online)Independent candidate Peter Allison has been disqualified from standing in next month’s Farnley & Wortley by-election.Mr Allison, of Tong Road, Farnley, took to social media to confirm his disqualification, which is connected to his job as a youth worker with Leeds City Council.He wrote on Facebook: “It is with regret that I have to inform you that I have been disqualified from the local elections on 10 October.“I was always aware that I would have to resign from my role within Leeds City Council as a youth worker but I was unaware that my resignation plus notice period would have to have ended by the time I submitted my nomination papers.“I imagine there will be some other happy candidates today, just unfortunately not myself.Nonetheless, I will endeavour to do what I can to continue supporting our community and who knows what the future will hold.“Thank you to everyone who showed their support since I announced my candidacy.”How would this work with an academy school and a county council? The school still has lots of links to the local authority, and is part of the per pupil funding formula devised (passed down from government and approved by the local council). I think even staff get payslips from the council as they manage (or used to) the school payroll. Would someone in that situation be excluded? |
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Post by greenchristian on Oct 9, 2024 13:29:23 GMT
Leeds, Farnley & Wortley Reposting from another thread. The Independent has announced that they are not an eligible candidate due to being an employee of the council but presumably will still appear on the ballot and should they win be automatically disqualified. From the West Leeds Dispatch(online)Independent candidate Peter Allison has been disqualified from standing in next month’s Farnley & Wortley by-election.Mr Allison, of Tong Road, Farnley, took to social media to confirm his disqualification, which is connected to his job as a youth worker with Leeds City Council.He wrote on Facebook: “It is with regret that I have to inform you that I have been disqualified from the local elections on 10 October.“I was always aware that I would have to resign from my role within Leeds City Council as a youth worker but I was unaware that my resignation plus notice period would have to have ended by the time I submitted my nomination papers.“I imagine there will be some other happy candidates today, just unfortunately not myself.Nonetheless, I will endeavour to do what I can to continue supporting our community and who knows what the future will hold.“Thank you to everyone who showed their support since I announced my candidacy.”How would this work with an academy school and a county council? The school still has lots of links to the local authority, and is part of the per pupil funding formula devised (passed down from government and approved by the local council). I think even staff get payslips from the council as they manage (or used to) the school payroll. Would someone in that situation be excluded? The advice I've seen on this issue is that a teacher at an academy would not be counted as a council employee. But I'm not sure that there is clear legal precedent on it. |
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Oct 9, 2024 13:39:26 GMT
Information for andrewteale following the Newbury by-election in 1993, David Rendel came to Machynlleth and was told by HTV Wales, that his ancestor had stolen the keys to the station when it was opened and was asked if he intended to return them to the Plas, to my knowledge the keys are still missing |
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Post by phil156 on Oct 9, 2024 14:30:22 GMT
Powys counts Wednesday night Most likely in the High School where the local theatre group holds their annual pantomimes Yes Y Plas building |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Oct 9, 2024 14:36:42 GMT
Information for andrewteale following the Newbury by-election in 1993, David Rendel came to Machynlleth and was told by HTV Wales, that his ancestor had stolen the keys to the station when it was opened and was asked if he intended to return them to the Plas, to my knowledge the keys are still missing Stuart Rendel (his GG Uncle), MP for Montgomery 1880-1894? |
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Post by phil156 on Oct 9, 2024 14:36:53 GMT
The following councils are counting on Friday morning
NORTH NORTHAMPTONSHIRE & SUFFOLK
All others on the Thursday night
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Post by gibbon on Oct 9, 2024 15:08:18 GMT
Not sure why David Dresser was the candidate in 2014 locla elections.
At that time I believe he was on good terms with both Alex Sobel who was a Leeds City Councillor and Fabian Hamiltonwho was and still is Labour MP for North East Leeds.
Both Reform and the Green Party are strong contenders for the Farnely and Wortley ward and they may split the anti Labour vote.
We will have to wait and see.
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Merseymike
Independent
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Post by Merseymike on Oct 9, 2024 15:22:15 GMT
Not sure why David Dresser was the candidate in 2014 locla elections. At that time I believe he was on good terms with both Alex Sobel who was a Leeds City Councillor and Fabian Hamiltonwho was and still is Labour MP for North East Leeds. Both Reform and the Green Party are strong contenders for the Farnely and Wortley ward and they may split the anti Labour vote. We will have to wait and see. Well, they are both Jewish (Sobel and Hamilton) but certainly reasonably moderate re: Middle East. Both are soft left. Dresser seems of the Right. He is also Jewish. |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,005
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Post by Khunanup on Oct 9, 2024 16:50:27 GMT
How would this work with an academy school and a county council? The school still has lots of links to the local authority, and is part of the per pupil funding formula devised (passed down from government and approved by the local council). I think even staff get payslips from the council as they manage (or used to) the school payroll. Would someone in that situation be excluded? The advice I've seen on this issue is that a teacher at an academy would not be counted as a council employee. But I'm not sure that there is clear legal precedent on it. That's correct. We had a councillor until recently who worked at academies in Portsmouth and was therefore not disqualified. |
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