r34t
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,180
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Post by r34t on Jul 7, 2024 10:18:43 GMT
so, will the riots be over by the time the Olympics start ?
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andrea
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Posts: 7,773
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Post by andrea on Jul 7, 2024 10:23:47 GMT
Nouvelle-Calédonie 1: Nicolas Metzdorf (Loyalists, sitting MP for the 2nd constituency) 39.7% Omayra Naisseline (independentists) 36.3% Philippe Dunoyer (sitting MP, Horizons) 10.3%, Veylma Falaeo (LEO, the party of the Wallisian community) 4.9% Loueckhote (RN) 4,6 % Nouvelle-Calédonie 2: Tjibaou (independentists) 44.04% Ponga (Loyalists) 36.17% Tukumuli (LEO, the party of the Wallisian community) 11.94% Poadjia (Horizons) 5.28% Voudjo 1.49% Frère 1.08% Nouvelle-Calédonie 1: Nicolas Metzdor 52.41% Nouvelle-Calédonie 2: Emmanuel Tjibaou 57.01% |
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Post by relique on Jul 7, 2024 11:15:18 GMT
Nouvelle-Calédonie 1: Nicolas Metzdorf (Loyalists, sitting MP for the 2nd constituency) 39.7% Omayra Naisseline (independentists) 36.3% Philippe Dunoyer (sitting MP, Horizons) 10.3%, Veylma Falaeo (LEO, the party of the Wallisian community) 4.9% Loueckhote (RN) 4,6 % Nouvelle-Calédonie 2: Tjibaou (independentists) 44.04% Ponga (Loyalists) 36.17% Tukumuli (LEO, the party of the Wallisian community) 11.94% Poadjia (Horizons) 5.28% Voudjo 1.49% Frère 1.08% Nouvelle-Calédonie 1: Nicolas Metzdor 52.41% Nouvelle-Calédonie 2: Emmanuel Tjibaou 57.01%
For the first time since 1981, an independentist elected to the assembly. And also, if we cumulate votes, independentists with an absolute majority of votes (but asymetrical distribution).
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jul 7, 2024 11:23:55 GMT
Participation stable in Pas-de-Calais and Lyon, slightly up in Nord.
The highest turnout so far is Bouches du Rhone (ie Marseille), lowest turnouts are in the Ile de France departments.
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Post by mrpastelito on Jul 7, 2024 11:48:57 GMT
Participation stable in Pas-de-Calais and Lyon, slightly up in Nord. The highest turnout so far is Bouches du Rhone (ie Marseille), lowest turnouts are in the Ile de France departments. No RN candidates in Paris and the Petite Couronne. |
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Post by manchesterman on Jul 7, 2024 13:15:33 GMT
Are we ready for madness? Tomorrow's just another day  |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jul 7, 2024 13:19:23 GMT
Turnout at lunchtime in the Alsace departments is around 29 per cent, up from 19 per cent in the second round of the last legislatives.
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Post by relique on Jul 7, 2024 14:53:02 GMT
I spoilt my ballot today. I wrote "Sectarisme !" on the incumbent LFI MP's ballot. He was in the polling station at the time but I respected the vote's secrecy and didn't shout it at him.
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,773
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Post by andrea on Jul 7, 2024 16:23:50 GMT
Reunion 1: Philippe Naillet re-elected
Reunion 2: Karin Lebon re-elected. 67%. RN at 33%
Reunion 3: Joseph Rivière (RN) gain the seat. 51 for RN to 49% for the Left. The LR-affiliated incumbent didn't make the second round. Round 1 was RN 33% Left 23.8% Incumbent 23%
Reunion 4: Emeline K/Bidi re-elected. 61 to 39%
Reunion 5: Jean-Hugues Ratenon re-elected with 57.37%
Reunion 6: Frédéric Maillot re-elected. 59.% vs 40.9% for the RN candidate
Reunion 7: Perceval Gaillard set to be re-elected. Estimations are for a 57-43% split.
So Left unchanged at 6 seats. RN +1, DVD -1
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jul 7, 2024 16:48:23 GMT
RN gain Mayotte 2 from LR
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,846 
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jul 7, 2024 16:56:26 GMT
I wanted to make my own proJection (just to see, how far it takes an ignorant foreigner), but haven't had enough time. Yet, a French topPoster from another forum made use of it (adding also his inSights in candidateQuality aso., of course) and came out with this:   |
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andrea
Non-Aligned
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Post by andrea on Jul 7, 2024 17:14:22 GMT
According RTBF, RN at 210 - 228 seats according to first estimations
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,791
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Post by right on Jul 7, 2024 17:29:36 GMT
According RTBF, RN at 210 - 228 seats according to first estimations So nowhere near a majority |
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Post by rcronald on Jul 7, 2024 17:30:58 GMT
According RTBF, RN at 210 - 228 seats according to first estimations So nowhere near a majority But better than what most post-first round polls/projections anticipated. |
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Post by mattbewilson on Jul 7, 2024 17:37:33 GMT
So nowhere near a majority But better than what most post-first round polls/projections anticipated. only really compared to the last three polls. Prior to that most of not all had RN above 200 and below 250 |
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andrea
Non-Aligned
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Post by andrea on Jul 7, 2024 17:39:58 GMT
Other exit polls leaked on Belgium's La Libre and La Tribune de Genie.
Conclusions: they are all over the place
Two give NUPES ahead
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Post by rcronald on Jul 7, 2024 17:42:23 GMT
Other exit polls leaked on Belgium's La Libre and La Tribune de Genie. Conclusions: they are all over the place Two give NUPES ahead Which one is considered to be the most reliable out of the 3? |
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Post by mattbewilson on Jul 7, 2024 17:43:24 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Jul 7, 2024 17:53:38 GMT
I hope Attal gets hate crimed so hard if LFI and its Nazi wannabe base somehow wins. |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,791
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Post by right on Jul 7, 2024 17:59:45 GMT
Wasn't this what we were expecting at the beginning. I'm not sure this is much better for Macron, particularly as the RN are still quite strong. |
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