right
Conservative
Posts: 18,389
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Post by right on Jun 30, 2024 16:57:14 GMT
A lot of the most fertile ground for the RN on that map. Nord looks to have a much higher turnout than its neighbours. Interesting how much of it is on the fringes of France I have a vague idea that Calais and much of the South East is RN territory, but with the same vagueness thought Brittany was not and have no idea about Alsace. Wouldn't high turnout strengthen the centre usually, or is France different in that way?
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 30, 2024 17:03:15 GMT
A lot of the most fertile ground for the RN on that map. Nord looks to have a much higher turnout than its neighbours. Interesting how much of it is on the fringes of France I have a vague idea that Calais and much of the South East is RN territory, but with the same vagueness thought Brittany was not and have no idea about Alsace. Wouldn't high turnout strengthen the centre usually, or is France different in that way? Alsace has traditionally voted heavily for the Gaullist Right. That sounds unlikely to happen this time.
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Post by rcronald on Jun 30, 2024 17:03:25 GMT
A lot of the most fertile ground for the RN on that map. Nord looks to have a much higher turnout than its neighbours. Interesting how much of it is on the fringes of France I have a vague idea that Calais and much of the South East is RN territory, but with the same vagueness thought Brittany was not and have no idea about Alsace. Wouldn't high turnout strengthen the centre usually, or is France different in that way? The Centre’s vote is older and more likely to vote anyway. Brittany is the only general region in green where both RN and LR are not strong.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 30, 2024 17:49:10 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Jun 30, 2024 17:58:07 GMT
Interestingly, they also suggest that RN is on track to win an absolute majority.
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,751
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Post by andrea on Jun 30, 2024 18:01:54 GMT
8 pm exit polls/projection
RN 34% NFP 28.1% ENS 20.3% LR 10.2%
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Post by rcronald on Jun 30, 2024 18:02:23 GMT
Ifop: RN - 34.2% NFP - 29.1% Ens - 21.5% LR - 10%
Looks like LR overperformed at the expense of RN.
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,389
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Post by right on Jun 30, 2024 18:02:36 GMT
Interestingly, they also suggest that RN is on track to win an absolute majority. Big call
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 30, 2024 18:02:44 GMT
Hopefully one of them will withdraw and endorse the other
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 30, 2024 18:04:44 GMT
Hopefully one of them will withdraw and endorse the other You'd have to hope that RN will let LR have a crack at it. They must stand the best chance of attracting the entire right-wing vote plus the Macronistas.
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European Lefty
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Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 6,054
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Post by European Lefty on Jun 30, 2024 18:08:34 GMT
Apparently Macron has declared a "large, clearly democratic and republican rally" against the RN, which seems a little self-unaware when you've been beaten into a distant third by two people/parties you called "extreme"
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Post by rcronald on Jun 30, 2024 18:15:32 GMT
Apparently Macron has declared a "large, clearly democratic and republican rally" against the RN, which seems a little self-unaware when you've been beaten into a distant third by two people/parties you called "extreme" He’s also delusional if he thinks that all of his own MPs prefer LFI to RN…
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 30, 2024 18:15:56 GMT
Estimations by IPSOS:
65-85 MPs to be elected tonight. 285-315 trianguliers expected
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 30, 2024 18:19:55 GMT
MLP elected in the first round.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 30, 2024 18:21:34 GMT
Ifop: RN - 34.2% NFP - 29.1% Ens - 21.5% LR - 10% Looks like LR overperformed at the expense of RN. Some decent LR scores coming through. Through in Correze, and Laurent Wauquiez's Wauq agenda has seduced 37 per cent of voters in his seat.
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Post by robert1 on Jun 30, 2024 18:26:28 GMT
Melenchon has just said that if their candidates are in 3rd place the left will withdraw to stop the RN.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 30, 2024 18:37:01 GMT
Fabien Roussel (PCF) beaten handily in Nord, in a seat where the RN took 50 per cent and wins on the first round.
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Post by rcronald on Jun 30, 2024 18:39:26 GMT
Fabien Roussel (PCF) beaten handily in Nord, in a seat where the RN took 50 per cent and wins on the first round. Not surprised, he was done the moment the election was called. Ruffin is also 20% behind his RN opponent and only 3% ahead of his Ens opponent m.
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European Lefty
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Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 6,054
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Post by European Lefty on Jun 30, 2024 18:40:39 GMT
Melenchon has said he will stand down all of his third place candidates for the second round, and called for "not one seat" for the RN. The Greens have gone after Ensemble for not doing the same thing
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Post by rcronald on Jun 30, 2024 18:42:06 GMT
Melenchon has said he will stand down all of his third place candidates for the second round, and called for "not one seat" for the RN. The Greens have gone after Ensemble for not doing the same thing Melenchon doesn’t seem to know his voters very well if he thinks that they are going to vote against RN en-masse if they are against Ens or LR…
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