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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 27, 2024 6:41:45 GMT
In a traditional British measuerment how many football pitches is that? Roughly an armful. Seriously though, if you want to look at one of the most fascinating and sad political and social concepts in Europe, google France's "Empty Diagonal". I Googled it and the first article after the wiki one was this www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/tidm75/the_socalled_empty_diagonal_of_france_a_sudden/It looks like some of our forum members were already there a couple of years ago judging by the first few comments..
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Post by rcronald on Jun 27, 2024 10:04:46 GMT
Quite high. Last time, only 325,000 voted in total. But they are really quite irrelevant to the final seat allocation. No RN has a chance there. I wonder how much the turnout increased in Israel. It had one the lowest turnouts in the world in both 2022,2017 but a lot of French Jews probably want to send a message to the left.
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Post by observer on Jun 27, 2024 10:09:16 GMT
Across France as a whole, will a relatively high turnout benefit the left or right?
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Post by relique on Jun 27, 2024 11:37:16 GMT
Across France as a whole, will a relatively high turnout benefit the left or right? No idea. Depends where it is. Usually we say conservatives benefit from low turnout as the youth are less inclined to vote, but nowadays, the youth is also conservative so...
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 27, 2024 13:05:00 GMT
Apparently we're up to a million proxy vote registrations (vote par procuration), presumably driven by the holidays.
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,391
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Post by right on Jun 27, 2024 14:04:00 GMT
Apparently we're up to a million proxy vote registrations (vote par procuration), presumably driven by the holidays. But also engagement?
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,751
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 27, 2024 14:15:26 GMT
Expat voting has started. 250,000 have voted in 24 hours. Mrs Tonyotim was one of them online last night... Her second out of 4 votes in as many weeks.
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,391
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Post by right on Jun 27, 2024 14:18:17 GMT
Expat voting has started. 250,000 have voted in 24 hours. Mrs Tonyotim was one of them online last night... Her second out of 4 votes in as many weeks. France votes online? Are there no worries about fraud?
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,751
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 27, 2024 14:27:42 GMT
Mrs Tonyotim was one of them online last night... Her second out of 4 votes in as many weeks. France votes online? Are there no worries about fraud? I'm not sure how widespread online voting is - she couldn't for the Euro elections and not sure if it's an option for those resident in France for these elections - relique would have a much better idea I suspect. It being French bureaucracy, it was not a simple process with numerous different identification and verification codes and much swearing involved.
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Post by where2travel on Jun 27, 2024 14:29:39 GMT
Mrs Tonyotim was one of them online last night... Her second out of 4 votes in as many weeks. France votes online? Are there no worries about fraud? I think only resident overseas voters can vote online (each in a specific constituency which applies to everyone in that constituency). By contrast, they couldn't vote online for the Euro elections for France earlier this month.
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Post by relique on Jun 27, 2024 15:13:35 GMT
France votes online? Are there no worries about fraud? I think only resident overseas voters can vote online (each in a specific constituency which applies to everyone in that constituency). By contrast, they couldn't vote online for the Euro elections for France earlier this month. That's it. 400,000 already cast a vote in those constituencies (there were 250,000 votes in 2022) and there still is a physical vote in embassies if I recall
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,523
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 27, 2024 21:40:47 GMT
Oh well, in it Toulouse - i.i.r.c. for some time the fastest growing city...
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Post by relique on Jun 27, 2024 21:48:05 GMT
Oh well, in it Toulouse - i.i.r.c. for some time the fastest growing city...
I don't like this map. I would put the eastern diagonal above Clermont and Toulouse.
My predictions for the elections:
Ain 0101 BRETON LR Ain 0102 KOTARAC RN Ain 0103 GIVERNET ENS Ain 0104 BUISSON RN Ain 0105 CHAVENT LRN
Aisne 0201 DARAGON RN Aisne 0202 DIVE LR Aisne 0203 BRICOUT LIOT Aisne 0204 BEAURAIN RN Aisne 0205 DESSIGNY RN
Allier 0301 THES RN Allier 0302 JORET RN Allier 0303 QUENEY RN
Alpes-de-Hte-Provence 0401 GIRARD RN Alpes-de-Hte-Provence 0402 WALTER LFI-NFP
Hautes-Alpes 0501 SAINTE-MARIE RN Hautes-Alpes 0502 ROSSI PS-NFP
Alpes-Maritimes 0601 CIOTTI LRN Alpes-Maritimes 0602 TIVOLI RN Alpes-Maritimes 0603 PRADAL HOR-ENS Alpes-Maritimes 0604 MASSON RN Alpes-Maritimes 0605 D'INTORNI LRN Alpes-Maritimes 0606 MASSON RN Alpes-Maritimes 0607 PAUGET LR Alpes-Maritimes 0608 MARTIN LR Alpes-Maritimes 0609 TABAROT LR
Ardèche 0701 SAULIGNAC PS-NFP Ardèche 0702 TREBUCHET LRN Ardèche 0703 BRUN LR
Ardennes 0801 TERMET RN Ardennes 0802 CORDIER LR Ardennes 0803 WARSMANN DVD
Ariège 0901 FROGER LIOT Ariège 0902 PANIFOUS LIOT
Aube 1001 GUITTON RN Aube 1002 BAZIN-MALGRAS LR Aube 1003 RANC RN
Aude 1101 BARTHES RN Aude 1102 FALCON RN Aude 1103 RANCOULE RN
Aveyron 1201 MAZARS LREM Aveyron 1202 ALEXANDRE LFI-NFP Aveyron 1203 BOUIGUE PS-NFP
Bouches-du-Rhône 1301 GRISETI RN Bouches-du-Rhône 1302 LHARDIT PS-NFP Bouches-du-Rhône 1303 LELOUIS RN Bouches-du-Rhône 1304 BOMPARD LFI-NFP Bouches-du-Rhône 1305 POPELARD LFI-NFP Bouches-du-Rhône 1306 FAYSSAT LRN Bouches-du-Rhône 1307 DELOGU LFI-NFP Bouches-du-Rhône 1308 TONUSSI RN Bouches-du-Rhône 1309 MELIN RN Bouches-du-Rhône 1310 GONZALEZ RN Bouches-du-Rhône 1311 FABRE AUBRESPY RN Bouches-du-Rhône 1312 ALLISIO RN Bouches-du-Rhône 1313 DHAREVILLE PCF-NFP Bouches-du-Rhône 1314 PETEL ENS Bouches-du-Rhône 1315 Baubry RN Bouches-du-Rhône 1316 TACHE de la PAGERIE RN
Calvados 1401 BRUNEAU DVD Calvados 1402 DELAPORTE PS-NFP Calvados 1403 FAUVAGE RN Calvados 1404 HENRY RN Calvados 1405 BOUYX HOR-ENS Calvados 1406 CALBRIX RN
Cantal 1501 DESCOEUR LR Cantal 1502 BONY LR
Charente 1601 PILATO LFI-NFP Charente 1602 MARTIN app RN Charente 1603 COLOMBIER RN
Charente-Maritime 1701 FALORNI LIOT Charente-Maritime 1702 BITEAU EELV-NFP Charente-Maritime 1703 MORIN RN Charente-Maritime 1704 MARKOWSKI RN Charente-Maritime 1705 MONGELOUS app RN
Cher 1801 IANNUZZI RN Cher 1802 DUENAS RN Cher 1803 GENTILLET RN
Corrèze 1901 HOLLANDE PS-NFP Corrèze 1902 MEUNIER LR
Corse-du-Sud 2A01 COLONNA REG Corse-du-Sud 2A02 BOZZI DVD
Haute-Corse 2B03 CASTELLANI REG/Femu Haute-Corse 2B04 ACQUAVIVA REG/Femu
Côte-d'Or 2101 GODART PS-NFP Côte-d'Or 2102 HERVIEU EELV-NFP Côte-d'Or 2103 COUDERT LRN Côte-d'Or 2104 BRIGAND LR Côte-d'Or 2105 LLORET RN
Côtes-d'Armor 2201 GORGIARD LFI-NFP Côtes-d'Armor 2202 DAUPHIN EELV-NFP Côtes-d'Armor 2203de MELLON RN Côtes-d'Armor 2204 LEPVRAUD LFI-NFP Côtes-d'Armor 2205 BOTHORAL ENS
Creuse 2301 LENOIR LRN
Dordogne 2401 LECHON RN Dordogne 2402 MULLER RN Dordogne 2403 JOUBERT RN Dordogne 2404 PEYTAVIE G.s-NFP
Doubs 2501 VEZIES LFI-NFP Doubs 2502 VOYNET EELV-NFP Doubs 2503 BLOCH LRN Doubs 2504 GRANGIER RN Doubs 2505 GENNEVARD LR
Drôme 2601 CHRISTOPHE PS-NFP Drôme 2602 POLLET RN Drôme 2603 POCHON EELV-NFP Drôme 2604 ANTHOINE LR
Eure 2701 LOIR RN Eure 2702 LEVAVASSEUR RN Eure 2703 MAUVIEUX RN Eure 2704 BRUN PS-NFP Eure 2705 HOUSSIN RN
Eure-et-Loir 2801 KASBARIAN ENS Eure-et-Loir 2802 MARLEIX LR Eure-et-Loir 2803 BAY RN Eure-et-Loir 2804 VIGIER ENS
Finistère 2901 LE MEUR ENS Finistère 2902 CADALEN LFI-NFP Finistère 2903 SMOLARZ LFI-NFP Finistère 2904 VULPIANI G.s-NFP Finistère 2905 MELCHIOR ENS Finistère 2906 THOMIN PS-NFP Finistère 2907 HARVINDER LFI-NFP Finistère 2908 MIOSSEC PS (LIOT?)
Gard 3001 GILLET RN Gard 3002 MEYZONNET RN Gard 3003 BORDES RN Gard 3004 MEURIN RN Gard 3005ALLEGRET-PICOT LRN Gard 3006 COLSON MDM-ENS
Hte-Garonne 3101 CLOUET LFI-NFP Hte-Garonne 3102 STAMBACH-TERRENOIR LFI-NFP Hte-Garonne 3103 ROBY LFI-NFP Hte Garonne 3104 PIQUEMAL LFI-NFP Hte-Garonne 3105 LEONARDELLI RN Hte-Garonne 3106 SIMION PS-NFP Hte-Garonne 3107 BEX LFI-NFP Hte-Garonne 3108 AVIRAGNET PS-NFP Hte-Garonne 3109 ARRIGHI EELV-NFP Hte-Garonne 3110 OBERTI PS-NFP
Gers 3201 LEVIEUX LFI-NFP Gers 3202 TAUPIAC LIOT
Gironde 3301 CAZENAVE ENS Gironde 3302 THIERRY EELV-NFP Gironde 3303PRUDHOMME LFI-NFP Gironde 3304 DAVID PS-NFP Gironde 3305 DE FOURNAS RN Gironde 3306 RECALDE PS-NFP Gironde 3307 SAINT-PASTEUR PS-NFP Gironde 3308 PANONACLE ENS Gironde 3309 MARTINEZ PS-NFP Gironde 3310 CHADOURNE RN Gironde 3311 DIAZ RN Gironde 3312 BERTHONNEAU RN
Hérault 3401 ROUMEGAS EELV-NFP Hérault 3402 OZIOL LFI-NFP Hérault 3403 DOMBRE COSTE PS-NFP Hérault 3404 BOUQUIN RN Hérault 3405 GALZI RN Hérault 3406 MENARD EXD Hérault 3407 LOPEZ LIGUORI RN Hérault 3408 DELAPIERRE RN Hérault 3409 ALLONCLE LRN
Ille-et-Vilaine 3501 MESMEUR LFI-NFP Ille-et-Vilaine 3502 LAHAIS G.s-NFP Ille-et-Vilaine 3503 ROUAUX PS-NFP Ille-et-Vilaine 3504 HIGNET LFI-NFP Ille-et-Vilaine 3505 LENABOUR ENS Ille-et-Vilaine 3506 BENOIT HOR-ENS Ille-et-Vilaine 3507 BOURGEAUD LR Ille-et-Vilaine 3508 BOULOUX PS-NFP
Indre 3601 WUNSCH RN Indre 3602 FORISSIER LR
Indre-et-Loire 3701 FOURNIER EELV-NFP Indre-et-Loire 3702LABARONNE REN-ENS Indre-et-Loire 3703 ALFANDERI HOR-ENS Indre-et-Loire 3704 BAUMEL PS-NFP Indre-et-Loire 3705 THILLAYE MDM-ENS
Isère 3801 PREVOST LFI-NFP Isère 3802 CHATELAIN EELV-NFP Isère 3803 MARTIN LFI-NFP Isère 3804 BATTISTEL PS-NFP Isère 3805 JORDANOFF EELV-NFP Isère 3806 JOLLY RN Isère 3807 NEUDER LR Isère 3808 MANSOURI LRN Isère 3809 BENE RN Isère 3810 PEREZ RN
Jura 3901 GRABY RN Jura 3902 DALLOZ LR Jura 3903 VUILLEMIN PLANCON RN
Landes 4001 LAFARGUE PS-NFP Landes 4002 LESPADE PCF-NFP Landes 4003 VALLAUD PS-NFP
Loir-et-Cher 4101 FESNAUT MDM-ENS Loir-et-Cher 4102 CHUDEAU RN Loir-et-Cher 4103 DE OLIVEIRA RN
Loire 4201 COURBON PS-NFP Loire 4202 TAURINYA LFI-NFP Loire 4203 LA MARCA RN Loire 4204 RAMBAUD RN Loire 4205 VERMOREL-MARQUES LR Loire 4206 TAITE LR
Haute-Loire 4301 WAUQUIEZ LR Haute-Loire 4302 VIGIER LR
Loire-Atlantique 4401 BENBRAHIM PS-NFP Loire-Atlantique 4402 KERBRAT LFI-NFP Loire-Atlantique 4403 AMIOT LFI-NFP Loire-Atlantique 4404 LOAERNOES EELV.-NFP Loire-Atlantique 4405 ROUSSEL PS-NFP Loire-Atlantique 4406 RAUX EELV-NFP Loire-Atlantique 4407 JOSSO MDM-ENS Loire-Atlantique 4408 TAVEL LFI-NFP Loire-Atlantique 4409 BRARD DVD-ENS Loire-Atlantique 4410 ERRANTE ENS
Loiret 4501 RIST ENS Loiret 4502 BABIN RN Loiret 4503 PARIS RN Loiret 4504 MENAGE RN Loiret 4505 LACAPELLE RN Loiret 4506 LAVIALLE PS-NFP
Lot 4601 PRADIE LR Lot 4602 PROENCA PS NFP
Lot-et-Garonne 4701 DELBOSQ RN Lot-et-Garonne 4702 LAPORTE RN Lot-et-Garonne 4703 COUSIN RN
Lozère 4801 PANTEL PS-NFP
Maine-et-Loire 4901 RICHARD EELV-NFP Maine-et-Loire 4902 DUPONT ENS Maine-et-Loire 4903 BOURGEAULT RN Maine-et-Loire 4904 SAINT-PAUL REN-ENS Maine-et-Loire 4905 MASSEGLIA REN-ENS Maine-et-Loire 4906 DUBRE CHIRAT ENS Maine-et-Loire 4907 JOUANNEAU PS-NFP
Manche 5001 GOSSELIN LR Manche 5002 SORRE ENS Manche 5003 TRAVERT ENS Manche 5004 PIC PS-NFP
Marne 5101 ALBERTINI HOR-ENS Marne 5102 FRIGOUT RN Marne 5103 MICHELET LRN Marne 5104 BISIAUX LRN Marne 5105 COURSON LIOT
Haute-Marne 5201 BENTZ RN Haute-Marne 5202 ROBERT-DEHAUT RN
Mayenne 5301 GAROT PS-NFP Mayenne 5302 BANNIER MDM-ENS Mayenne 5303 FAVENNEC HOR-ENS
Meurthe-et-Moselle 5401 MERCIER PS-NFP Meurthe-et-Moselle 5402 HABLOT PS-NFP Meurthe-et-Moselle 5403 WEBER RN Meurthe-et-Moselle 5404 BAZIN LR Meurthe-et-Moselle 5405 POTIER PS-NFP Meurthe-et-Moselle 5406 BOULOGNE RN
Meuse 5501 PANCHER LIOT Meuse 5502 GOULET RN
Morbihan 5601 GALLO PS-NFP Morbihan 5602 PAHUN MDM-ENS Morbihan 5603 OLIVIERO RN Morbihan 5604 MOLAC REG Morbihan 5605 GIRARD EELV-NFP Morbihan 5606 JACQUES ENS
Moselle 5701 FELIX LFI-NFP Moselle 5702 NICOLAS PS-NFP Moselle 5703 LEDUC LFI-NFP Moselle 5704 DI FILIPPO LR Moselle 5705 SEITLANGER LR Moselle 5706 PFEFFER RN Moselle 5707 LOUBET RN Moselle 5708 JACOBELLI RN Moselle 5709 RAUCH HOR-ENS
Nièvre 5801 GALLOIS RN Nièvre 5802 GUIBERT RN
Nord 5901 LE COQ LFI-NFP Nord 5902 BERNALICIS LFI-NFP Nord 5903 SAINT-HUILE LIOT-NFP Nord 5904 BRUN PS-NFP Nord 5905 CATTEAU RN Nord 5906 QUATREBOEUFS LRN Nord 5907 CHOUIAT EELV-NFP Nord 5908 GUIRAUD LFI-NFP Nord 5909 SPILLEBOUT ENS Nord 5910 DARMANIN ENS Nord 5911 VICOT PS-NFP Nord 5912 TAVERNE RN Nord 5913 GOKEL PS (LIOT ?) Nord 5914 CHRISTOPHE HOR-ENS Nord 5915 BATAILLE LR Nord 5916 MARCHIO RN Nord 5917 CHEREAU PS-NFP Nord 5918 DUFOSSET RN Nord 5919 CHENU RN Nord 5920 ROUSSEL PCF Nord 5921 LETARD UDI
Oise 6001 MARAIS-BREUIL RN Oise 6002 BALLARD RN Oise 6003 SABATOU RN Oise 6004 WOERTH ENS Oise 6005 VATIN LR Oise 6006 GUINIOT RN Oise 6007 MINOT LR
Orne 6101 JOURDAN PS Orne 6102 LOUWAGIE DVD Orne 6103 NURY LR
Pas-de-Calais 6201 BLAIRY RN Pas-de-Calais 6202 HEUSELE RN Pas-de-Calais 6203 CLAVET RN Pas-de-Calais 6204 FAIT ENS Pas-de-Calais 6205 BARBARIN PS-NFP Pas-de-Calais 6206 ENGRAND RN Pas-de-Calais 6207 DUMONT LR Pas-de-Calais 6208 PETIT PS-NFP Pas-de-Calais 6209 PARMENTIER RN Pas-de-Calais 6210 FRAPPE RN Pas-de-Calais 6211 LE PEN RN Pas-de-Calais 6212 BILDE RN
Puy-de-Dôme 6301 MAXIMI LFI-NFP Puy-de-Dôme 6302 PIRES-BEAUNE PS-NFP Puy-de-Dôme 6303 BONNET EELV-NFP Puy-de-Dôme 6304 LINGEMANN MDM-ENS Puy-de-Dôme 6305 CHASSAIGNE PCF
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6401 LALANNE GDS Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6402 BRUNEL EELV-NFP Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6403 HABIB LIOT Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6404 ECHANIZ PS-NFP Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6405 LASSERRE MDM Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6406 DUFAU EH Bai-NFP
Hautes-Pyrénées 6501 FERRER LFI-NFP Hautes-Pyrénées 6502 FEGNE PS-NFP
Pyrénées-Orientales 6601 BLANC RN Pyrénées-Orientales 6602 SABATINI RN Pyrénées-Orientales 6603 DOGOR-SUCH RN Pyrénées-Orientales 6604 MARTINEZ RN
Bas-Rhin 6701 REGOL EELV-NFP Bas-Rhin 6702 FERNANDES LFI-NFP Bas-Rhin 6703 SOTHER PS-NFP Bas-Rhin 6704 BUFFET ENS Bas-Rhin 6705 ESTEVE RN Bas-Rhin 6706 RITTER RN Bas-Rhin 6707 HETZEL LR Bas-Rhin 6708 BERNHARDT RN Bas-Rhin 6709 WOLFF RN
Haut-Rhin 6801 HEMEDINGER LR Haut-Rhin 6802 OTT MDM Haut-Rhin 6803 ZIMMERMANN RN Haut-Rhin 6804 SCHELLENBERGER LR Haut-Rhin 6805 BECHT HOR-ENS Haut-Rhin 6806 RITZ RN
Rhône 6901 BELOUASSA-CHERIFI LFI-NFP Rhône 6902 TAVERNIER EELV-NFP Rhône 6903 GARIN EELV-NFP Rhône 6904 RUNEL PS-NFP Rhône 6905 BROCARD ENS Rhône 6906 AMART LFI-NFP Rhône 6907 LAHMAR LFI-NFP Rhône 6908 SERRE LR Rhône 6909 PORTIER LR Rhône 6910 GASSILLOUD ENS Rhône 6911 HUMBER DUPALAIS LRN Rhône 6912 ISAAC-SIBILLE MDM-ENS Rhône 6913 JONCOUR RN Rhône 6914 BOUMERTIT LFI-NFP
Hte-Saône 7001 VILLENEUVE RN Hte-Saône 7002 SALMON RN
Saône-et-Loire 7101 DIRX ENS Saône-et-Loire 7102 CORNELOUP LR Saône-et-Loire 7103 DUTREMBLE RN Saône-et-Loire 7104 UNTERMAIER PS-NFP Saône-et-Loire 7105 SANVERT RN
Sarthe 7201 DELPECH ENS Sarthe 7202 KARAMANLI PS-NFP Sarthe 7203 LEMOIGNE RN Sarthe 7204 LE PEN RN Sarthe 7205 VAUGARNY RN
Savoie 7301 GRANATA PCF-NFP Savoie 7302 ROLLAND LR Savoie 7303 BONNIVARD LR Savoie 7304 COULOMME LFI-NFP
Haute-Savoie 7401 RIOTTON ENS Haute-Savoie 7402 ARMAND ENS Haute-Savoie 7403 PETEX LR Haute-Savoie 7404 DUBY-MULLER LR Haute-Savoie 7405 VOLLAND HOR-ENS Haute-Savoie 7406 PRATS app RN
Paris 7501 KEMPF SE-NFP Paris 7502 ROSSET PS-NFP Paris 7503 BALAGE EL MARIKY EELV-NFP Paris 7504 PANOSYAN-BOUVET ENS Paris 7505 AMIRSHAHI EELV-NFP Paris 7506 CHIKIROU LFI-NFP Paris 7507 GREGOIRE PS-NFP Paris 7508 SAS EELV-NFP Paris 7509 ROUSSEAU EELV-NFP Paris 7510 ARENAS LFI-NFP Paris 7511 HERVIEU PS-NFP Paris 7512 GREGOIRE ENS Paris 7513 AMIEL ENS Paris 7514 HADDAD ENS Paris 7515 SIMMONNET ex-LFI Paris 7516 LEGRAIN LFI-NFP Paris 7517 OBONO LFI-NFP Paris 7518 CARON REV-NFP
Seine-Maritime 7601 HEROUIN-LEAUTEY PS-NFP Seine-Maritime 7602 VIDAL ENS Seine-Maritime 7603 BENARD PCF-NFP Seine-Maritime 7604 PENNELLE RN Seine-Maritime 7605 MONTIER RN Seine-Maritime 7606 JUMEL PCF-NFP Seine-Maritime 7607 LE BODO HZS Seine-Maritime 7608 LECOQ PCF-NFP Seine-Maritime 7609 POTIER RN Seine-Maritime 7610 LE BOURGEOIS RN
Seine-et-Marne 7701 SAINT-MARTIN LFI-NFP Seine-et-Marne 7702 VALLETOUT HZS Seine-et-Marne 7703 THIERIOT LR Seine-et-Marne 7704 PERIGAULT LR Seine-et-Marne 7705 FONTANA LRN Seine-et-Marne 7706 ROULLAUD RN Seine-et-Marne 7707 LAFFITE RN Seine-et-Marne 7708 BONNET EELV-NFP Seine-et-Marne 7709 VANACKER RN Seine-et-Marne 7710 LAISNEY LFI-NFP Seine-et-Marne 7711 FAURE PS-NFP
Yvelines 7801 RODWELL ENS Yvelines 7802 BARROTMDM Yvelines 7803 PIRONL ENS Yvelines 7804 LEBEC ENS Yvelines 7805 BRAUN-PIVET ENS Yvelines 7806 POUZYREFF ENS Yvelines 7807 ROUSSEAU PP-NFP Yvelines 7808 LUAS G.s-NFP Yvelines 7809 MORIN RN Yvelines 7810 BERGE ENS Yvelines 7811 MARTINET LFI-NFP Yvelines 7812 OLIVE ENS
Deux-Sèvres 7901 LANZI PS-NFP Deux-Sèvres 7902 BATHO ECO-NFP Deux-Sèvres 7903 ROBIN LRN
Somme 8001 RUFFIN PD!-NFP Somme 8002 HAMDANE LFI-NFP Somme 8003 MAQUET LR Somme 8004 TANGUY RN Somme 8005 MENAGE RN
Tarn 8101CABROLLIER RN Tarn 8102 BACOU RN Tarn 8103 CARAYON LRN
Tarn-et-Garonne 8201 RABAULT PS Tarn-et-Garonne 8202 HAMELET RN
Var 8301 SOULE RN Var 8302 LAVALETTE RN Var 8303 RAMBAUD RN Var 8304 LOTTIAUX RN Var 8305 LECHANTEUR RN Var 8306 GILETTI RN Var 8307 BOCCALETTI RN Var 8308 SCHRECK RN
Vaucluse 8401 JAOUEN RN Vaucluse 8402 AUZANOT RN Vaucluse 8403 DE LEPINAU RN Vaucluse 8404 LORHO RN Vaucluse 8405 RIMBERT RN
Vendée 8501 LATOMBE ENS Vendée 8502 BELLAMY HOR-ENS Vendée 8503 BUCHOU ENS Vendée 8504 BESSE DVD Vendée 8505 BUFFETAUT RN
Vienne 8601 BELLUCO EELV-NFP Vienne 8602 SOUMAILLE LFI-NFP Vienne 8603 SOULAT RN Vienne 8604 JACQUEMIN RN
Haute-Vienne 8701 MAUDET LFI-NFP Haute-Vienne 8702 DELAUTRETTE PS-NFP Haute-Vienne 8703 MEUNIER LFI-NFP
Vosges 8801 VIRY LR Vosges 8802 DUSSAUSAYE RN Vosges 8803 NAEGELEN LIOT Vosges 8804 HUMBERT RN
Yonne 8901 GRENON RN Yonne 8902 LAURENCE-ROY LRN Yonne 8903 ODOUL RN
Territoire-de-Belfort 9001 MANCK RN Territoire-de-Belfort 9002 BIGOT RN
Essonne 9101 AMRANI LFI-NFP Essonne 9102 de CARVALHO RN Essonne 9103 MILOSEVIC RN Essonne 9104 RIXAIN ENS Essonne 9105 LARROUTUROU ND-NFP Essonne 9106 GUEDJ PS (NFP) Essonne 9107 LEJEUNE LFI-NFP Essonne 9108 DUPONT-AIGNAN DVD Essonne 9109 OZENNE EELV-NFP Essonne 9110 LEAUMENT LFI-NFP
Hauts-de-Seine 9201 FAUCILLON PCF-NFP Hauts-de-Seine 9202 PASQUINI G.s-NFP Hauts-de-Seine 9203 JUVIN LR Hauts-de-Seine 9204 SEBAHI EELV-NFP Hauts-de-Seine 9205 CALVEZ ENS Hauts-de-Seine 9206 LE GRIP ENS Hauts-de-Seine 9207 CAZENEUVE ENS Hauts-de-Seine 9208 THEVENOT ENS Hauts-de-Seine 9209 PELLERIN ENS Hauts-de-Seine 9210 SOUBELET PS-NFP Hauts-de-Seine 9211 SAINTOUL LFI-NFP Hauts-de-Seine 9212 ADJROUD PS-NFP Hauts-de-Seine 9213 BREGEON ENS
Seine-Saint-Denis 9301 COQUEREL LFI-NFP Seine-Saint-Denis 9302 PEU PCF-NFP Seine-Saint-Denis 9303 PORTES LFI-NFP Seine-Saint-Denis 9304 BOUROUAHA PCF Seine-Saint-Denis 9305 GARRIDO LFI diss Seine-Saint-Denis 9306 LACHAUD LFI-NFP Seine-Saint-Denis 9307 CORBIERE LFI diss Seine-Saint-Denis 9308 KELOUA-HACHI PS-NFP Seine-Saint-Denis 9309 TROUVE LFI-NFP Seine-Saint-Denis 9310 AROMANGOLI LFI-NFP Seine-Saint-Denis 9311 AUTAIN LFI-NFP Seine-Saint-Denis 9312 LEMOINE Via
Val-de-Marne 9401 BERRIOS LR Val-de-Marne 9402 GUETTE LFI-NFP Val-de-Marne 9403 BOYARD LFI-NFP Val-de-Marne 9404 PETIT MDM-ENS Val-de-Marne 9405 LEGER PCF-NFP Val-de-Marne 9406 BOUHADA EELV-NFP Val-de-Marne 9407 KEKE LFI-NFP Val-de-Marne 9408 HERBILLON LR Val-de-Marne 9409 SANTIAGO PS-NFP Val-de-Marne 9410 PANOT LFI-NFP Val-de-Marne 9411 TAILLE POLIANT ECO-NFP
Val-d'Oise 9501 SICARD RN Val-d'Oise 9502 VHADIZADEH PS-NFP Val-d'Oise 9503 MAUREL GRS-NFP Val-d'Oise 9504 LACOUTURE LFI-NFP Val-d'Oise 9505 VANNIER LFI-NFP Val-d'Oise 9506 CATHALA LFI-NFP Val-d'Oise 9507 ESKENAZI PS-NFP Val-d'Oise 9508 BILONGO LFI- NFP Val-d'Oise 9509 MARION RN Val-d'Oise 9510 TACHE LFI-NFP
Guadeloupe 97101 SERVA DVG Guadeloupe 97102 PPDG Guadeloupe 97103 TOLASSY RN Guadeloupe 97104 DVG
Martinique 97201 WILLIAM REG Martinique 97202 NADEAU REG Martinique 97203 DVG Martinique 97204 GOUSSARD REG
Guyane 97301 CASTOR REG Guyane 97302 RIMANE REG
Réunion 97401 NAILLET PS-NFP Réunion 97402 LEBON DVG-NFP Réunion 97403 BASSIRE DVD Réunion 97404 LORION DVD Réunion 97405 RATENON DVG Réunion 97406 MAILLOT DVG Réunion 97407 POUDROUX RN
Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon 97501 LENORMAND DVD
Mayotte 97601 SAID SAID DVD Mayotte 97602 KAMARDINE LR
St-Barthélémy-et-St-Martin 977/97801 QUESTEL DVD
Wallis-et-Futuna 98601 SEO ENS
Polynésie Fçaise 98701 LE GAYIC REG-NFP Polynésie Fçaise 98702 CHAILLOUX REG-NFP Polynésie Fçaise 98703 REID ARBELOT REG-NFP
Nouvelle-Calédonie 98801 LOUECKHOTTE RN Nouvelle-Calédonie 98802 TJIBAOU REG
Français de l'étranger FDE01 LESCURE ENS Français de l'étranger FDE02 CAROIT ENS Français de l'étranger FDE03 CAURE ENS Français de l'étranger FDE04 ANGLADE ENS Français de l'étranger FDE05 VOJETTA App ENS Français de l'étranger FDE06 FERRACCI ENS Français de l'étranger FDE07 PETIT MDM Français de l'étranger FDE08 HABIB LR Français de l'étranger FDE09 BEN CHEIKH ECO Français de l'étranger FDE10 LAKRAFI ENS Français de l'étranger FDE11 GENETET ENS
Which means NFP + left = 222 (including 72 PS, 71 LFI, 31 EELV, 12 PCF, 7 G.s) RN + Ciotti + some others = 192 (incl 171 RN, 19 LR-RN) ENS + centrists from LIOT + UDI = 101 (incl 90 ENS, 3 UDI, 3 LIOT) LR + allied = 62 (incl 55 LR)
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 28, 2024 17:36:33 GMT
That is a serious piece of research and effort.
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Post by relique on Jun 28, 2024 18:23:38 GMT
That is a serious piece of research and effort. Macron did keep me on my toes by calling for a three week campaign.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 28, 2024 21:13:07 GMT
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,523
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 29, 2024 10:20:44 GMT
That is a serious piece of research and effort. And a courageous one: All other proJections i have seen so far have RN+ more or less clearly ahead.
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Post by relique on Jun 29, 2024 12:15:43 GMT
That is a serious piece of research and effort. And a courageous one: All other proJections i have seen so far have RN+ more or less clearly ahead. It will all depend on macronist voters... I modeled rather good reports on the second round on socialists, greens and communists but bad on insoumis (which explains why socialists would get just ahead of insoumis). It could be that all NFP candidates will get very few votes from macronists. We'll see indeed...
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European Lefty
Top Poster
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 6,054
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Post by European Lefty on Jun 29, 2024 12:35:07 GMT
I'm a little surprised that you have RN winning 3/4 in Dordogne - recent results don't suggest a far-right hotbed. Is there something going on there?
(It is also an area I have a certain sentimental attachment to)
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Post by relique on Jun 29, 2024 13:23:49 GMT
I'm a little surprised that you have RN winning 3/4 in Dordogne - recent results don't suggest a far-right hotbed. Is there something going on there? (It is also an area I have a certain sentimental attachment to) There's already one. And both others had 34 and 35% in the last euros (36% for the one that is already RN). The last one is at 32% and it could be close. In the last legislative election they gained the second constituency with 23% on the first round...
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