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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 27, 2024 6:42:21 GMT
My prediction looks way out now but I'll stick with it.
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Post by manchesterman on Jun 28, 2024 0:38:44 GMT
Conservatives 130
Labour 419
SNP 20
Liberal Democrats 51
Plaid Cymru 4
Green 3
Reform 3
Workers Party 0
SDP 0
OTHERS 1
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 28, 2024 8:11:54 GMT
My prediction
Conservatives 166
Labour 396
SNP 21
Liberal Democrats 43
Plaid Cymru 2
Green 2
Reform 1
Workers Party 0
SDP 0
OTHERS 0
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 28, 2024 8:12:38 GMT
33 entries now in the competition, now mine has been entered.
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Post by norflondon on Jun 28, 2024 9:16:15 GMT
Your one is v v close to mine. Con around high 160s is a uncommon view.
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 28, 2024 9:27:57 GMT
Your one is v v close to mine. Con around high 160s is a uncommon view.
I hadn't realised it was as close to yours. 
I've actually reduced the Conservatives down from around 190 in the last few weeks. I'm going for the higher end of predictions for the Conservatives because historically they haven't dropped much lower in terms of seats. I think we're either going to be right or very wrong with our numbers.
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,450
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Jun 28, 2024 10:35:24 GMT
Your one is v v close to mine. Con around high 160s is a uncommon view.
I hadn't realised it was as close to yours.
I've actually reduced the Conservatives down from around 190 in the last few weeks. I'm going for the higher end of predictions for the Conservatives because historically they haven't dropped much lower in terms of seats. I think we're either going to be right or very wrong with our numbers.
I'm not entering but currently i'm just over 200 for the tories |
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605 
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Post by Ports on Jun 28, 2024 19:04:21 GMT
My prediction, which like others I did based on a fagpacketed seat by seat:
Labour: 429
Conservatives: 123
Lib Dems: 57
Greens: 4
Reform: 1
SNP: 15
Plaid: 2
Speaker: 1
And in NI.
Sinn Fein: 7
DUP: 5
Alliance: 3
SDLP: 2
UUP: 1
Bonus: my most wild individual prediction was the LDs gaining Tewkesbury.
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Post by batman on Jun 28, 2024 20:47:35 GMT
Most of us will have the odd wild prediction. I've gone for a Labour gain in SW Norfolk for example. Some others on the site however will be making multiple wild predictions.
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Post by manchesterman on Jun 28, 2024 21:23:49 GMT
Mine was Uxbridge &SR - CON HOLD. I dont need to explain to members of this forum why Labour appear to be destined never to win this seat. I predict a Tory win by 2 votes  |
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Post by norflondon on Jun 28, 2024 22:13:34 GMT
My prediction for a big surprise is Green total vote share. Imo it will be over 8%.
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Post by Johncrane on Jun 30, 2024 16:54:40 GMT
Conservatives 151
Labour 399
SNP 23
Liberal Democrats 47
Plaid Cymru 4
Green 3
Reform 2
Workers Party 0
SDP 0
OTHERS 2
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 30, 2024 17:24:10 GMT
Conservatives 148
Labour 414
SNP 13
Liberal Democrats 47
Plaid Cymru 3
Green 1
Reform 3
Workers Party 0
SDP 0
OTHERS 2
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Post by batman on Jun 30, 2024 19:07:27 GMT
Unusual for you to forecast more Labour seats than me Pete. Mind you you're also forecasting slightly more Conservative seats than me.
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jul 1, 2024 6:42:43 GMT
35 entries now in the competition.
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Post by finsobruce on Jul 1, 2024 10:11:28 GMT
A reminder of my prediction of 27May which I may amend. Conservative 169 Labour 398 SNP 18 Liberal Democrats 42 Plaid Cymru 2 Green 1 Reform 0 Workers Party of Britain 0 SDP 0 OTHERS 1 Relying on a shy Tory vote and for raw national polls not to accurately transferred onto individual seats. Headlines, highest Tory to lose - Chancellor Hunt. GG won't win Rochdale. Bob Blackman out. Gove to survive. Farage is an MP Gove isn't standing. |
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Post by matureleft on Jul 1, 2024 10:14:40 GMT
A reminder of my prediction of 27May which I may amend. Conservative 169 Labour 398 SNP 18 Liberal Democrats 42 Plaid Cymru 2 Green 1 Reform 0 Workers Party of Britain 0 SDP 0 OTHERS 1 Relying on a shy Tory vote and for raw national polls not to accurately transferred onto individual seats. Headlines, highest Tory to lose - Chancellor Hunt. GG won't win Rochdale. Bob Blackman out. Gove to survive. Farage is an MPBut since Reform is 0 you perhaps suggest that he defects before the election? |
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Post by norflondon on Jul 1, 2024 10:18:30 GMT
Indeed thanks. I may amend, but may let the original prediction run.
My Con looks too high. Lab low. Greens look like getting 2 and REF 1
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jul 1, 2024 10:36:34 GMT
My prediction, which like others I did based on a fagpacketed seat by seat: Labour: 429 Conservatives: 123 Lib Dems: 57 Greens: 4 Reform: 1 SNP: 15 Plaid: 2 Speaker: 1 Just to make it clear: SDP 0 Workers 0 Independents 0 |
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Post by syorkssocialist on Jul 2, 2024 0:29:14 GMT
Conservatives 138
Labour 416
SNP 18
Liberal Democrats 50
Plaid Cymru 2
Green 4
Reform 3
Workers Party 0
SDP 0
OTHERS 19 (NI + Speaker)
Honestly feels too optimistic for my own party, but this is what I came up with from my seat-by-seat predictions. Not confident at all on the Green number either, but I do think they're headed for at least two seats. |
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