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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on May 24, 2024 10:15:33 GMT
General Elections Total Seats Prediction Competition.
Rules1: Northern Ireland seats (18) and the Speaker’s seat are excluded. (You can do them for fun if you wish.) 2: Number of seats in the Competition is 631 3: Predict the total number of seats the following parties, Conservatives Labour SNP Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru Green Reform Workers Party SDP OTHERS 3: You will be penalised if your seat total doesn’t add up to 631. This penalty will be 1 point per seat out. 4: For each of the 10 party categories listed, you will be penalised 1 point for each seat your prediction is out, compared with the General Election Result. 5: The predictor with the lowest total penalties wins. 6: Predictions must be posted on this thread to be accepted 7: You can change original predictions, before the competition deadline. If you do this, it MUST be done in a new post rather than by editing you original one. 8: All entries MUST be in by Close of Poll, 10pm, on Thursday 4th July May, all entries after this time will be excluded.
Knock Yourselves Out DHAA |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on May 24, 2024 12:22:59 GMT
General Elections Total Seats Prediction Competition.
Rules1: Northern Ireland seats (18) and the Speaker’s seat are excluded. (You can do them for fun if you wish.) 2: Number of seats in the Competition is 631 3: Predict the total number of seats the following parties, Conservatives Labour SNP Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru Green Reform Workers Party SDP OTHERS 3: You will be penalised if your seat total doesn’t add up to 631. This penalty will be 1 point per seat out. 4: For each of the 10 party categories listed, you will be penalised 1 point for each seat your prediction is out, compared with the General Election Result. 5: The predictor with the lowest total penalties wins. 6: Predictions must be posted on this thread to be accepted 7: You can change original predictions, before the competition deadline. If you do this, it MUST be done in a new post rather than by editing you original one. 8: All entries MUST be in by Close of Poll, 10pm, on Thursday 4th May, all entries after this time will be excluded. Knock Yourselves Out DHAA Nit-picking, but you might want to change this date... |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on May 24, 2024 13:03:34 GMT
General Elections Total Seats Prediction Competition.
Rules1: Northern Ireland seats (18) and the Speaker’s seat are excluded. (You can do them for fun if you wish.) 2: Number of seats in the Competition is 631 3: Predict the total number of seats the following parties, Conservatives Labour SNP Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru Green Reform Workers Party SDP OTHERS 3: You will be penalised if your seat total doesn’t add up to 631. This penalty will be 1 point per seat out. 4: For each of the 10 party categories listed, you will be penalised 1 point for each seat your prediction is out, compared with the General Election Result. 5: The predictor with the lowest total penalties wins. 6: Predictions must be posted on this thread to be accepted 7: You can change original predictions, before the competition deadline. If you do this, it MUST be done in a new post rather than by editing you original one. 8: All entries MUST be in by Close of Poll, 10pm, on Thursday 4th May, all entries after this time will be excluded. Knock Yourselves Out DHAA Nit-picking, but you might want to change this date... I May or I May not.  Then again I may July follow your advice.  |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 24, 2024 21:15:08 GMT
I've seen enough
Con 175
Lab 414
LD 27
SNP 11
PC 2
Grn 1
Others 1 (Corbyn)
But I may change my mind later..
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,468 
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Post by peterl on May 24, 2024 21:29:23 GMT
Conservatives 145
Labour 419
SNP 1§
Liberal Democrats 48
Plaid Cymru 2
Green 1
Reform 0
Workers Party 1
SDP 0
OTHERS 0
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Post by LDCaerdydd on May 24, 2024 21:53:13 GMT
Only a fool would make a predication now.
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,468
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Post by peterl on May 24, 2024 22:07:54 GMT
Only a fool would make a predication now. As a new prediction can be made any time before the deadline, there's not much of disadvantage of entering now. |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on May 24, 2024 22:17:42 GMT
Only a fool would make a predication now. As a new prediction can be made any time before the deadline, there's not much of disadvantage of entering now. True. I was I guess attempting at prempt a huge flurry of over excited members when we have a very very long 40+ day campaign ahead of us. |
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Post by gwynthegriff on May 24, 2024 23:00:21 GMT
Only a fool would make a predication now. It might be foolish to wager money at this stage. No downside to a prediction, especially if it can be amended as time passes. |
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islington
Non-Aligned
Posts: 4,396
Member is Online
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Post by islington on May 25, 2024 13:27:01 GMT
OK, I'll play and, for now at least, I'm sticking to the prediction I posted on another thread.
Conservatives 175
Labour 405
SNP 30
Liberal Democrats 17
Plaid Cymru 2
Green 1
Reform 0
Workers Party 1
SDP 0
OTHERS 0
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Post by jm on May 25, 2024 19:46:10 GMT
Conservatives 198 170
Labour 368 376
SNP 24 28
Liberal Democrats 38 52
Plaid Cymru 2
Green 1 2
Reform 0 1
Workers Party 0
SDP 0
OTHERS 0
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on May 27, 2024 15:15:16 GMT
Early View:
Conservatives: 171
Labour: 390
SNP: 20
Liberal Democrats: 45
Plaid Cymru; 2
Green: 2
Reform: 0
Workers Party: 0
SDP: 0
OTHERS: 1
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Post by kevinf on May 27, 2024 15:19:08 GMT
Early View: Conservatives: 171 Labour: 390 SNP: 20 Liberal Democrats: 45 Plaid Cymru; 2 Green: 2 Reform: 0 Workers Party: 0 SDP: 0 OTHERS: 1 Who’s your Other? |
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on May 27, 2024 15:37:02 GMT
Early View: Conservatives: 171 Labour: 390 SNP: 20 Liberal Democrats: 45 Plaid Cymru; 2 Green: 2 Reform: 0 Workers Party: 0 SDP: 0 OTHERS: 1 Who’s your Other? Islington North |
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Post by batman on May 27, 2024 15:39:27 GMT
It's interesting that other than in respect of Jeremy Corbyn very few people are predicting any pro-Gaza independent or Workers' Party wins. I know that the number of seats where that is regarded as even a slight possibility is not large but it's still interesting. It is true that in some seats there appears to be a possibility that such a vote could be split.
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Post by kevinf on May 27, 2024 16:35:23 GMT
It's interesting that other than in respect of Jeremy Corbyn very few people are predicting any pro-Gaza independent or Workers' Party wins. I know that the number of seats where that is regarded as even a slight possibility is not large but it's still interesting. It is true that in some seats there appears to be a possibility that such a vote could be split. Yes it is interesting. I think Ashfield if Anderson had been standing as a Tory, but not now. Possibly Eilean an lar, which I think I’ve spelt wrong. Possibly Hackney North if Labour don’t let Abbot stand for them. Possibly Rochdale depending on the Labour candidate’s views. But on balance I’d just go Jeremy Corbyn. |
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Post by greenhert on May 27, 2024 17:19:15 GMT
For the 631 seats not including NI seats and the Speaker's seat of Chorley:
Labour 380
Conservative 180
Liberal Democrats 43
SNP 20
Plaid Cymru 4
Green 1
Workers Party 1
Ashfield Independents 1
Independent 1
Reform UK 0
Others 0
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Post by batman on May 27, 2024 18:56:16 GMT
It's interesting that other than in respect of Jeremy Corbyn very few people are predicting any pro-Gaza independent or Workers' Party wins. I know that the number of seats where that is regarded as even a slight possibility is not large but it's still interesting. It is true that in some seats there appears to be a possibility that such a vote could be split. Yes it is interesting. I think Ashfield if Anderson had been standing as a Tory, but not now. Possibly Eilean an lar, which I think I’ve spelt wrong. Possibly Hackney North if Labour don’t let Abbot stand for them. Possibly Rochdale depending on the Labour candidate’s views. But on balance I’d just go Jeremy Corbyn. I tend to regard Na h'Eileann an Iar (hope that's right) as a pretty nailed-on Labour gain because the nationalist vote will be split. Although I suspect McNeil does have a personal vote I very much doubt whether it's sufficient for him to win. |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on May 27, 2024 19:59:15 GMT
I've seen enough Con 175 Lab 414 LD 27 SNP 11 PC 2 Grn 1 Others 1 (Corbyn) But I may change my mind later..
Pete Whitehead I have assumed the 3 not mentioned are 0 seats, if revised please write out predictions for all 10 options, thanks |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on May 27, 2024 20:00:16 GMT
Conservatives 145 Labour 419 SNP 1§Liberal Democrats 48 Plaid Cymru 2 Green 1 Reform 0 Workers Party 1 SDP 0 OTHERS 0
peterl please confirm what number this is meant to be, thanks. |
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