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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Apr 12, 2024 6:53:00 GMT
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on May 22, 2024 19:13:51 GMT
I suspect that the local Labour Party will be swarming over the student parts of this constituency handing out postal voting forms.
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Post by connor on May 22, 2024 21:46:22 GMT
Just a pure invasion on the university until it breaks up. Will be absolute madness from now until the election.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 22, 2024 21:54:28 GMT
Interesting point - won't most students have gone home by 4th July? Might help the Conservatives in one or two seats (eg Uxbridge (again) and Welwyn Hatfield)
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Post by oldhamexile on May 22, 2024 22:07:21 GMT
Interesting point - won't most students have gone home by 4th July? Might help the Conservatives in one or two seats (eg Uxbridge (again) and Welwyn Hatfield) But might also help Labour against the Greens in Bristol Central, and perhaps (at a stretch) Brighton Pavilion? |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,832 
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Post by john07 on May 22, 2024 22:26:45 GMT
Interesting point - won't most students have gone home by 4th July? Might help the Conservatives in one or two seats (eg Uxbridge (again) and Welwyn Hatfield) Most of ours are long gone now. It's just marking and examination boards at the moment. We have some who do a Summer Trimester, generally those on paramedical courses, but most will be gone until late September. |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,926
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Post by right on May 23, 2024 15:48:46 GMT
Interesting point - won't most students have gone home by 4th July? Might help the Conservatives in one or two seats (eg Uxbridge (again) and Welwyn Hatfield) Are meant students double registered? Labour street stalls were telling them to vote twice, once in person and once by post, in 2015 - so there must be quite a few in home seats. Could make a smaller difference in a larger number of seats. |
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Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 1,090
Member is Online
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Post by Sg1 on May 23, 2024 15:50:20 GMT
Interesting point - won't most students have gone home by 4th July? Might help the Conservatives in one or two seats (eg Uxbridge (again) and Welwyn Hatfield) Are meant students double registered? Labour street stalls were telling them to vote twice, once in person and once by post, in 2015 - so there must be quite a few in home seats. Could make a smaller difference in a larger number of seats. I was under the impression that students could only vote in one parliamentary seat at a general election. |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,926
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Post by right on May 23, 2024 15:58:40 GMT
Are meant students double registered? Labour street stalls were telling them to vote twice, once in person and once by post, in 2015 - so there must be quite a few in home seats. Could make a smaller difference in a larger number of seats. I was under the impression that students could only vote in one parliamentary seat at a general election. That's why there was a fuss. But students can register at two places but only vote at one |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 23, 2024 16:08:38 GMT
I suspect that the local Labour Party will be swarming over the student parts of this constituency handing out postal voting forms. You will know better than me for the local context, but I suspect most students aren't too bothered if the Lib Dems beat Labour here, and not too many at all will bother to do a postal vote to stop it. Very different to 2015/17 and to 2024 Lab/Con marginals. |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on May 23, 2024 16:58:18 GMT
I suspect that the local Labour Party will be swarming over the student parts of this constituency handing out postal voting forms. You will know better than me for the local context, but I suspect most students aren't too bothered if the Lib Dems beat Labour here, and not too many at all will bother to do a postal vote to stop it. Very different to 2015/17 and to 2024 Lab/Con marginals. This is probably true, but the student vote has been important to Labour here and I would think they would try quite hard to keep it. |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 7, 2024 17:34:34 GMT
BLAKE, Olivia Frances - Labour Party CHAPMAN, Sam - Rejoin EU COWELL, Andrew Hudson - Social Democratic Party HOWARTH, Isaac - The Conservative Party Candidate LEMAN, Jason - Green Party MOHAMMED, Shaffaq Liberal Democrats MOUI-TABRIZY, Mo Workers Party
No reform uk
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birkinabe
Non-Aligned
winning here
Posts: 155
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Post by birkinabe on Jun 7, 2024 17:39:50 GMT
That seems to be the case for every constituency with 'Sheffield' in its name. I recall reading about talks of a pact between them and the SDP in South Yorkshire, and am wondering if this is related somehow
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on Jun 7, 2024 17:39:56 GMT
BLAKE, Olivia Frances - Labour Party CHAPMAN, Sam - Rejoin EU COWELL, Andrew Hudson - Social Democratic Party HOWARTH, Isaac - The Conservative Party Candidate LEMAN, Jason - Green Party MOHAMMED, Shaffaq Liberal Democrats MOUI-TABRIZY, Mo Workers Party No reform uk
Reform UK are missing all five constituencies with Sheffield in the name (but not Penistone & Stocksbridge). |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 8, 2024 9:41:05 GMT
Now Reform UK who I would have voted for aren't standing my motivation to vote here has dropped to 50/50. Why? Now that it is only the establishment parties, cranks plus SDP standing. Meh.
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Post by carlton43 on Jun 8, 2024 9:50:10 GMT
Now Reform UK who I would have voted for aren't standing my motivation to vote here has dropped to 50/50. Why? Now that it is only the establishment parties, cranks plus SDP standing. Meh. Please may I recommend SDP? I voted for them this year in May at Greenhill. |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on Jun 21, 2024 12:09:19 GMT
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,926
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Post by right on Jun 24, 2024 13:52:28 GMT
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Post by sirnorfolkpassmore on Jun 26, 2024 7:40:37 GMT
Interesting point - won't most students have gone home by 4th July? Might help the Conservatives in one or two seats (eg Uxbridge (again) and Welwyn Hatfield) I'd have thought it would hinder them more than it helps overall. Very few large towns and cities with a university are in play for the Conservatives at this election, whereas there is a reasonable chance an individual student's parental home will be. This is on the margins a bit but, if I were the Tories, I'd prefer students to be voting at university rather than at home in most cases in this election. There are exceptions, but not a lot of them. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2024 9:56:20 GMT
Without the students, Clegg would have won in 2017 and the Lib Dems would have held in 2019. If you simply remove their raw vote, this is surely a three-way marginal in 2019 because of the Tory over-performance in Stannington which voted to Leave while the seat was 66% Remain overall. Stannington is beautiful, but in a different way to the more yummy mummy Dore. You have delightful sheep farming areas and High and Low Bradfield with a class brewery.
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