stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,365 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:14:17 GMT
Great Yarmouth
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Post by markgoodair on May 28, 2024 16:48:03 GMT
Keir Cozens is the Labour party candidate.
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Post by finsobruce on May 28, 2024 16:54:55 GMT
Keir Cozens is the Labour party candidate. The Keir count continues to rise... |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 28, 2024 16:57:30 GMT
Keir Cozens is the Labour party candidate. The Keir count continues to rise... Maybe they are Cozens... |
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mrtoad
Labour
He is a toad. Who knows what a toad thinks?
Posts: 424
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Post by mrtoad on May 28, 2024 17:01:00 GMT
Total Keirs:
1832-1892: 0
1892-95: 1
1895-1900: 0
1900-1915: 1
1915-2015: 0
2015-23: 1
2023-24: 2
Quite how soon there will be a majority of Keirs in the House of Commons depends on whether the current rate of increase is arithmetic or exponential (and of course whether it is sustained).
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,774
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Post by john07 on May 28, 2024 17:01:47 GMT
Keir Cozens is the Labour party candidate. The Keir count continues to rise... Keir today, gone tomorrow? |
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Max
Labour
Posts: 208
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Post by Max on May 29, 2024 16:06:25 GMT
Four more Keirs! Four more Keirs!
More seriously, Keir Cozens is a very energetic campaigner and I'm hoping for a strong result for him here in Great Yarmouth.
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,760
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Post by right on Jun 5, 2024 7:01:25 GMT
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 5, 2024 7:07:16 GMT
Just looking at the rest of the Norfolk map is enough to know the MRP is bollocks. |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,760
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Post by right on Jun 5, 2024 7:38:27 GMT
Just looking at the rest of the Norfolk map is enough to know the MRP is bollocks. We ain't the audience |
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wallington
Green
The Pride of Croydon 2022 award winner
Posts: 1,322
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Post by wallington on Jun 5, 2024 8:13:31 GMT
Just looking at the rest of the Norfolk map is enough to know the MRP is bollocks. We ain't the audience Indeed, but it can be rather frustrating when you're in a room or meeting with people who should know better discussing MRP or Electoral Calculus earnestly |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 5, 2024 8:27:11 GMT
Indeed, but it can be rather frustrating when you're in a room or meeting with people who should know better discussing MRP or Electoral Calculus earnestly Or UK Polling Report... |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,760
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Post by right on Jun 5, 2024 10:32:46 GMT
Indeed, but it can be rather frustrating when you're in a room or meeting with people who should know better discussing MRP or Electoral Calculus earnestly And those rooms ain't the audience. It's voters in Great Yarmouth who could hear that they've got a chance to vote against Labour without having to choose the Tories |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 5, 2024 16:49:57 GMT
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD |
| | | | | | | | | | 1974 | 42.5% | 35.2% | 22.2% | | | | 1974 | 43.0% | 39.2% | 17.8% | | | | 1979 | 49.9% | 38.6% | 10.4% | | | | 1983 | 50.4% | 25.2% | 24.3% | |
| | 1987 | 51.7% | 31.1% | 17.1% | | | | 1992 | 47.9% | 38.0% | 13.6% | | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP | Grn | BNP | | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 35.6% | 53.4% | 11.0% | | | | | 2001 | 39.1% | 50.4% | 8.4% | 2.1% | | | | 2005 | 38.2% | 45.6% | 11.1% | 4.3% | | | | 2010 | 43.1% | 33.2% | 14.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 3.3% | | 2015 | 42.9% | 29.1% | 2.3% | 23.1% | 2.2% | | | 2017 | 54.1% | 36.1% | 2.2% | 6.3% | 1.3% | | | 2019 | 65.8% | 25.1% | 3.8% | | 2.4% | |
Boudnaries unchanged since 1983 |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 5, 2024 18:19:45 GMT
Thought I was on drugs for a second 28%!!! UKIP got 23% here in 2015 and it's not unreasonable to suggest a Reform campaign more focused on the East Coast (Farage standing in Clacton and Tice in Boston) that their campaign may resonate even more with places like this (and disaffected Tories therein) than UKIP's did in 2015. Also, allow for the fact that the Tories look set to do much worse than 2015 nationally and you have a whole host of reasons Reform could do as well as that here. |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Jun 6, 2024 12:51:24 GMT
There is a real possibility in seats like this that a tipping point is reached. Once there is widespread perception that Reform are ahead of the Tories the possibility for further movement is hard to understate. If CCHQ aren't already extremely concerned about this prospect they bloody well should be.
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Post by carolus on Jun 7, 2024 15:23:23 GMT
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,468
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Post by peterl on Jun 19, 2024 14:49:51 GMT
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 20, 2024 7:07:42 GMT
stb12 - would suggest maybe a poll worthwhile here with con, ref and lab options.
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,760
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Post by right on Jun 24, 2024 21:19:49 GMT
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