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Post by iainbhx on Nov 30, 2023 6:40:22 GMT
Camden LBC, Highgate: Grn 42, Lab 40, Con 10, LDm 8
Durham UA, Dawdon: Lab 51, Ind 37, Con 8, LDm 4
North Yorks UA, Sowerby & Topcliffe: Con 35, Grn 27, LDm 23, Lab 11, Yrk 3, Lny 1
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 30, 2023 21:25:45 GMT
14 entries to close the month, all on time and correct. Highgate, Camden: 8 Labour gain from Green, with batman, iainbhx, johnloony, kevinf, peterl and Richard Cromwell Green hold. Dawdon, Durham: 100% Labour hold, majorities ranging from 1% (yellowperil) to 30% (johnloony). Sowerby and Topcliffe, North Yorkshire: 7 Conservative gain from Green, with batman, corradino, johnloony, peterl, Richard Cromwell and yellowperil Green hold, and Tony Otim Liberal Democrat gain. Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1q-6GHDv2kzlEbJ60oqtprz1L0v5x8trufdROf6W9dpE/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
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Post by kevinf on Dec 1, 2023 0:17:54 GMT
We’ll done to Tony O for spotting that!
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 1, 2023 7:15:58 GMT
We’ll done to Tony O for spotting that! It was, as iainbhx might say, just a hunch... but it paid off |
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 1, 2023 11:10:39 GMT
Well, hunch or not, congrats to Tony Otim for winning the week. And, of course, to iainbhx for winning the month convincingly in a very consistent performance across all the weeks. |
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Post by johnloony on Dec 5, 2023 16:03:24 GMT
Yelmorb: Con 38 Lab 34 LD 18 Grn 10
Denbigh: Lab 68 Con 19 Ind 17
Hertfordshire: Con 44 LD 29 Lab 15 Grn 12
North Norfolk: LD 62 Con 27 Lab 6 Grn 5
Stalbans: LD 58 Con 23 Grn 13 Lab 6
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 5, 2023 18:05:14 GMT
Yelmorb: Con 38 Lab 34 LD 18 Grn 10 Denbigh: Lab 68 Con 19 Ind 17 Hertfordshire: Con 44 LD 29 Lab 15 Grn 12 North Norfolk: LD 62 Con 27 Lab 6 Grn 5 Stalbans: LD 58 Con 23 Grn 13 Lab 6 I know it is considered bad form to comment on other's predictions (particularly perhaps as a non-participant) and I won't say whether I consider one result to be more unlikely than the other. I will point out however that the entirety of the St Albans district ward is contained in the county division and the majority of the electorate of the county division is in the district ward. I dare say there may be some split ticket voting in evidence, but I would not think as much as is implied here |
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Post by johnloony on Dec 5, 2023 18:31:06 GMT
Yelmorb: Con 38 Lab 34 LD 18 Grn 10 Denbigh: Lab 68 Con 19 Ind 17 Hertfordshire: Con 44 LD 29 Lab 15 Grn 12 North Norfolk: LD 62 Con 27 Lab 6 Grn 5 Stalbans: LD 58 Con 23 Grn 13 Lab 6 I know it is considered bad form to comment on other's predictions (particularly perhaps as a non-participant) and I won't say whether I consider one result to be more unlikely than the other. I will point out however that the entirety of the St Albans district ward is contained in the county division and the majority of the electorate of the county division is in the district ward. I dare say there may be some split ticket voting in evidence, but I would not think as much as is implied here I don’t think it’s “bad form” at all. But anyway, I based my predikshunz on the numbers from the previous election results (I wasn’t aware of the overlap), so if there’s a discrepancy then I blame the voters. |
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Post by kevinf on Dec 5, 2023 18:33:53 GMT
Just a note that I’ve started a December thread and mentioned you’ve posted yours here, John.
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