carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 22, 2023 13:54:11 GMT
POWYS, Talybont-on-Usk (if I'm not too late) : LD 44 Ind Fitzpatrick 28 C 22 Ind Markinson 6 Yes. You are late and lateness does not mean prizes but I regret penalties. And are you prepared to explain why the strong LD clear win? The circumstances look to be tight and riven by 'Green Farm' issue? Surely that will militate against a firm LD victory and when that party have caused the by-election by a resignation of one narrowly and recently elected? I am intrigued by your reasoning. I did enjoy meeting you on Sunday and you did not conform with my prior expectations. Many good annecdotes. Thanks. |
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Post by batman on Nov 22, 2023 15:03:21 GMT
I am late because I completely forgot there was a Wednesday by-election. Perhaps you dignify my prediction too greatly by talking of reasoning; it's just a hunch that the LDs tend not to lose their own seats in by-elections, but of course they sometimes do, and I can't pretend my knowledge of mid-Wales politics is sufficient to make authoritative predictions. I deliberately have left the other by-elections a bit late to predict as well, waiting for the autumn statement.
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Post by batman on Nov 22, 2023 15:04:19 GMT
I expect at least 250 words from everyone who says I didn't conform to expectations, explaining in what ways this was the case, on my desk by 12 noon sharp tomorrow.
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 22, 2023 15:09:47 GMT
I expect at least 250 words from everyone who says I didn't conform to expectations, explaining in what ways this was the case, on my desk by 12 noon sharp tomorrow. I understand from my friend Bunbury that Booliaks have eaten my 250 words. Other Sheffield excuses are available. |
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Post by batman on Nov 22, 2023 15:58:27 GMT
CAMBRIDGE, Queen Edith's : LD 38 Lab 29 C 20 Green 13
NEWHAM, Plaistow N. : Lab 47 Ind Khan 21 Green 11 C 9 Ind Naqvi 7 LD 5
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Post by corradino on Nov 22, 2023 22:36:53 GMT
Cambridge, Queen Edith's: LD 40, Lab 26, Con 18, Green 16.
Newham, Plaistow N: Lab 36, Khan (Ind) 31, Green 18, Con 7, LD 4, Naqvi (Ind) 4.
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Post by andrewp on Nov 22, 2023 22:46:25 GMT
Cambridge. Queen Edith’s LD 42 Lab 30 Green 15 Con 13
Newham. Plaistow North. Naqvi 36 Lab 33 Khan 13 Con 10 Green 5 LD 3
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 22, 2023 22:50:47 GMT
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 22, 2023 23:06:08 GMT
Cambridge, Queen Edith's: Con 20, Lab 28, LD 39, GP 13.
Newham, Plaistow N: Con 8, Lab 37, LD 4, GP 9, Ind K 8, Ind N 34.
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 22, 2023 23:36:15 GMT
Cambridge. Queen Edith’s LD 44 Lab 31 Green 12 Con 13
Newham. Plaistow North. Naqvi 37 Lab 33 Khan 7 Con 6 Green 15 LD 2
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Post by rightleaning on Nov 23, 2023 6:05:02 GMT
Cambridge, Queen Edith's: LD 46, Lab 25, Con 16, GP 13.
Newham, Plaistow North: Lab 37, Ind N 36, Con 10, GP 8, Ind K 5, LD 4
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 23, 2023 6:23:11 GMT
Cambridge DC, Queen Edith’s: LDm 43 Lab 32 Grn 14 Con 11
Newham LBC, Plaistow North: Ind Naqvi 34 Lab 32 Grn 13 Ind Khan 10 Con 8 LDm 3
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 23, 2023 7:03:27 GMT
POWYS, Talybont-on-Usk (if I'm not too late) : LD 44 Ind Fitzpatrick 28 C 22 Ind Markinson 6 Yes. You are late and lateness does not mean prizes but I regret penalties. And are you prepared to explain why the strong LD clear win? The circumstances look to be tight and riven by 'Green Farm' issue? Surely that will militate against a firm LD victory and when that party have caused the by-election by a resignation of one narrowly and recently elected? I am intrigued by your reasoning. I did enjoy meeting you on Sunday and you did not conform with my prior expectations. Many good annecdotes. Thanks. Well, Batman may have been late to Powys and indeed got penalties, but he came closer than any of us to getting the result right, even though he still underestimated the LD vote. You on the other hand "surely " got it wrong and it seems the good folk of Talybont were not overly impressed by the issue you thought maybe decisive? |
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Post by batman on Nov 23, 2023 8:42:38 GMT
POWYS, Talybont-on-Usk (if I'm not too late) : LD 44 Ind Fitzpatrick 28 C 22 Ind Markinson 6 Yes. You are late and lateness does not mean prizes but I regret penalties. And are you prepared to explain why the strong LD clear win? The circumstances look to be tight and riven by 'Green Farm' issue? Surely that will militate against a firm LD victory and when that party have caused the by-election by a resignation of one narrowly and recently elected? I am intrigued by your reasoning. I did enjoy meeting you on Sunday and you did not conform with my prior expectations. Many good annecdotes. Thanks. looks like my hunch was right for once. Most of us on the forum greatly overestimated the Fitzpatrick independent vote. |
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 23, 2023 10:09:31 GMT
Yes. You are late and lateness does not mean prizes but I regret penalties. And are you prepared to explain why the strong LD clear win? The circumstances look to be tight and riven by 'Green Farm' issue? Surely that will militate against a firm LD victory and when that party have caused the by-election by a resignation of one narrowly and recently elected? I am intrigued by your reasoning. I did enjoy meeting you on Sunday and you did not conform with my prior expectations. Many good annecdotes. Thanks. Well, Batman may have been late to Powys and indeed got penalties, but he came closer than any of us to getting the result right, even though he still underestimated the LD vote. You on the other hand "surely " got it wrong and it seems the good folk of Talybont were not overly impressed by the issue you thought maybe decisive? I didn't 'get it' at all : I didn't make any prediction. I merely asked him for his reasoning. We had been made aware of certain issues in the preview and I was intrigued at his prediction. |
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 23, 2023 10:16:25 GMT
Yes. You are late and lateness does not mean prizes but I regret penalties. And are you prepared to explain why the strong LD clear win? The circumstances look to be tight and riven by 'Green Farm' issue? Surely that will militate against a firm LD victory and when that party have caused the by-election by a resignation of one narrowly and recently elected? I am intrigued by your reasoning. I did enjoy meeting you on Sunday and you did not conform with my prior expectations. Many good annecdotes. Thanks. looks like my hunch was right for once. Most of us on the forum greatly overestimated the Fitzpatrick independent vote. You are vindicated by the result and indeed you explained your 'reasoning' yesterday! Many congratulations are due to both you and the candidate. I was intrigued to know (I often am) why people decide to make the predictions that they do. In this case the selection of one of the significantly failing independents would have been a better question. Well done! |
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Post by johnloony on Nov 23, 2023 10:40:50 GMT
I expect at least 250 words from everyone who says I didn't conform to expectations, explaining in what ways this was the case, on my desk by 12 noon sharp tomorrow. If my contrafibularities are correct, I got 70 faults for being wrong, whereas you got 28 faults for being wrong and 40 faults for being late. So you win anyway. My hippopotamus ate my homework |
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Post by batman on Nov 23, 2023 11:10:42 GMT
looks like my hunch was right for once. Most of us on the forum greatly overestimated the Fitzpatrick independent vote. You are vindicated by the result and indeed you explained your 'reasoning' yesterday! Many congratulations are due to both you and the candidate. I was intrigued to know (I often am) why people decide to make the predictions that they do. In this case the selection of one of the significantly failing independents would have been a better question. Well done! think you're being a little too kind there. The candidate deserves more congratulations than I do. |
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 23, 2023 23:10:18 GMT
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Post by johnloony on Nov 24, 2023 3:29:18 GMT
Now I am laughing at those of us who predicted that Khan would get more votes than Naqvi.
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