nyx
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,025
Member is Online
|
Post by nyx on Sept 23, 2023 18:37:17 GMT
Interesting that I am so far the only one to predict a Lib Dem victory. I suppose that means I'll probably be either significantly ahead of the rest of the pack, or significantly behind it.
|
|
|
|
Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Sept 23, 2023 19:34:45 GMT
Interesting that I am so far the only one to predict a Lib Dem victory. I suppose that means I'll probably be either significantly ahead of the rest of the pack, or significantly behind it. So far we have. 4 predicting a Conservative win. 2 predicting a Liberal Democrats win 1 predicting a Labour win |
|
peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,468 
|
Post by peterl on Sept 23, 2023 20:33:48 GMT
LD 32.5%
CON 30.2%
LAB 26.5%
IND 4.5%
REF 2.9%
GRN 2.4%
OMRLP 0.3%
ND 0.2%
MAINSTREAM 0.1%
LOVE 0.1%
TRUE & FAIR 0.1%
HERITAGE 0.1%
ENG DEM 0.1%
|
|
|
|
Post by November_Rain on Sept 23, 2023 21:19:12 GMT
Festus Akinbusoye (Con) 25.2
Sid Cordle (CPA) 0.2
Prince Ankit Love Emperor of India (no description) 0.0
Dave Holland (Reform UK) 5.2
Emma Louise Holland-Lindsay (Lib Dem) 28.4
Ann Kelly (OMRLP) 0.7
Gareth Mackey (Independent) 5.5
Chris Rooney (Mainstream) 0.5
Cade Sibley (Green) 4.2
Alistair Luke Strathern (Lab) 27.9
Alberto George Thomas (Heritage) 1.1
Alan Victor (True and Fair) 0.9
Antonio Daniel Vitiello (Eng Dem) 0.2
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Sept 24, 2023 3:27:29 GMT
Festus Akinbusoye (Con) 25.2 Sid Cordle (CPA) 0.2 Prince Ankit Love Emperor of India (no description) 0.0 Dave Holland (Reform UK) 5.2 Emma Louise Holland-Lindsay (Lib Dem) 28.4Ann Kelly (OMRLP) 0.7 Gareth Mackey (Independent) 5.5 Chris Rooney (Mainstream) 0.5 Cade Sibley (Green) 4.2 Alistair Luke Strathern (Lab) 27.9 Alberto George Thomas (Heritage) 1.1 Alan Victor (True and Fair) 0.9 Antonio Daniel Vitiello (Eng Dem) 0.2 First Past The Post is a fucking joke, isn't it? |
|
|
|
Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Sept 24, 2023 5:43:37 GMT
LD 32.5% CON 30.2% LAB 26.5% IND 4.5% REF 2.9% GRN 2.4% OMRLP 0.3% ND 0.2% MAINSTREAM 0.1% LOVE 0.1% TRUE & FAIR 0.1% HERITAGE 0.1% ENG DEM 0.1%
You have the candidate Love (no description) down twice as Love and ND, and are missing Sid Cordle (CPA).
Please rectify if you wish prediction not to attract faults.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
|
Post by The Bishop on Sept 24, 2023 9:33:54 GMT
You have the candidate Love (no description) down twice as Love and ND, and are missing Sid Cordle (CPA).
Please rectify if you wish prediction not to attract faults.
The majority of people entering these competitions are trying to win and are yet so incompetent they are unable to copy down a simple list without error and unable to add up to 100 without error. And this is for someting that matters to them and is important to them. It is a marker for the slip-shod a slovenly habits of the modern age, where nothing matters enough to get it right and no one proof-reads before posting. Seriously! I would not wish to employ any of them in any role. Good morning to you too  |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Sept 24, 2023 9:39:55 GMT
First Past The Post is a fucking joke, isn't it? It would be just so much better to have a winner who was the third choice of all, the second choice of many and the first choice of few wouldn't it? That would be so much more effective, fair and less of an (expletive) joke. The (expletive) joke could well be you. I mean, you are going to vote Green to give Starmer a bloody nose, and doing that because of Corbyn!! So you are hardly a member of the intelligentsia are you? More of an (expletive) joke yourself. I’m voting tactically for the strongest non-Labour candidate. |
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Sept 24, 2023 9:59:49 GMT
Festus Akinbusoye (Con) 25.2 Sid Cordle (CPA) 0.2 Prince Ankit Love Emperor of India (no description) 0.0 Dave Holland (Reform UK) 5.2 Emma Louise Holland-Lindsay (Lib Dem) 28.4Ann Kelly (OMRLP) 0.7 Gareth Mackey (Independent) 5.5 Chris Rooney (Mainstream) 0.5 Cade Sibley (Green) 4.2 Alistair Luke Strathern (Lab) 27.9 Alberto George Thomas (Heritage) 1.1 Alan Victor (True and Fair) 0.9 Antonio Daniel Vitiello (Eng Dem) 0.2 First Past The Post is a fucking joke, isn't it? The Lib Dems don’t support FPTP, and they would no doubt want to disassociate themselves with the absurdity of winning a seat with only 28% of the votes. Therefore they would want people to not vote for them in order to avoid such a situation happening. |
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Sept 24, 2023 10:07:43 GMT
You have the candidate Love (no description) down twice as Love and ND, and are missing Sid Cordle (CPA).
Please rectify if you wish prediction not to attract faults.
The majority of people entering these competitions are trying to win and are yet so incompetent they are unable to copy down a simple list without error and unable to add up to 100 without error. And this is for someting that matters to them and is important to them. It is a marker for the slip-shod a slovenly habits of the modern age, where nothing matters enough to get it right and no one proof-reads before posting. Seriously! I would not wish to employ any of them in any role. I think some of them are copying the list from each other (and just changing the numbers). It’s the equivalent of organising a sporting event and playing a recording of a national anthem by getting the first thing you find on YouTube without checking whether it’s the correct thing. |
|
|
|
Post by finsobruce on Sept 24, 2023 10:10:26 GMT
The majority of people entering these competitions are trying to win and are yet so incompetent they are unable to copy down a simple list without error and unable to add up to 100 without error. And this is for someting that matters to them and is important to them. It is a marker for the slip-shod a slovenly habits of the modern age, where nothing matters enough to get it right and no one proof-reads before posting. Seriously! I would not wish to employ any of them in any role. I think some of them are copying the list from each other (and just changing the numbers). It’s the equivalent of organising a sporting event and playing a recording of a national anthem by getting the first thing you find on YouTube without checking whether it’s the correct thing. Of course this could be changed by people submitting their entries by PM to the competition organiser, and figures only being shown once the comp had closed. |
|
peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,468
|
Post by peterl on Sept 24, 2023 21:40:30 GMT
The majority of people entering these competitions are trying to win and are yet so incompetent they are unable to copy down a simple list without error and unable to add up to 100 without error. And this is for someting that matters to them and is important to them. It is a marker for the slip-shod a slovenly habits of the modern age, where nothing matters enough to get it right and no one proof-reads before posting. Seriously! I would not wish to employ any of them in any role. I think some of them are copying the list from each other (and just changing the numbers). It’s the equivalent of organising a sporting event and playing a recording of a national anthem by getting the first thing you find on YouTube without checking whether it’s the correct thing. Well we are not all experts on national anthems of the world after all. I'm sure many people copy paste to avoid having to type out the whole list. And this is only a bit of fun after all. This is my revised prediction: LD 32.5% CON 30.2% LAB 26.5% IND 4.5% REF 2.9% GRN 2.4% OMRLP 0.3% CPA 0.2% MAINSTREAM 0.1% LOVE 0.1% TRUE & FAIR 0.1% HERITAGE 0.1% ENG DEM 0.1% |
|
|
|
Post by carlton43 on Sept 24, 2023 23:14:21 GMT
The majority of people entering these competitions are trying to win and are yet so incompetent they are unable to copy down a simple list without error and unable to add up to 100 without error. And this is for someting that matters to them and is important to them. It is a marker for the slip-shod a slovenly habits of the modern age, where nothing matters enough to get it right and no one proof-reads before posting. Seriously! I would not wish to employ any of them in any role. I think some of them are copying the list from each other (and just changing the numbers). It’s the equivalent of organising a sporting event and playing a recording of a national anthem by getting the first thing you find on YouTube without checking whether it’s the correct thing. Yes. That sounds plausible. I have deleted my post. I live in a casual age where nothing is done very well and I must get used to that. Banking, telephone responses, GP availability, BBC programmes, dress sense, good manners, spelling and punctuation! |
|
|
|
Post by ntyuk1707 on Sept 25, 2023 12:56:31 GMT
| Conservative | 33% | | Labour | 31% | | Liberal Democrat | 21% | | Independent | 5% | | Reform UK | 4% | | Green | 3% | | True & Fair Party | 1% | | CPA | 0.7% | | Heritage | 0.3% | | English Democrat | 0.3% | | Mainstream | 0.3% | | Monster Raving Loony | 0.3% | | Prince Ankit | 0.1% |
|
|
|
|
Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Sept 25, 2023 20:22:51 GMT
I think some of them are copying the list from each other (and just changing the numbers). It’s the equivalent of organising a sporting event and playing a recording of a national anthem by getting the first thing you find on YouTube without checking whether it’s the correct thing. Well we are not all experts on national anthems of the world after all. I'm sure many people copy paste to avoid having to type out the whole list. And this is only a bit of fun after all. This is my revised prediction: LD 32.5% CON 30.2% LAB 26.5% IND 4.5% REF 2.9% GRN 2.4% OMRLP 0.3% CPA 0.2% MAINSTREAM 0.1% LOVE 0.1% TRUE & FAIR 0.1% HERITAGE 0.1% ENG DEM 0.1%
Change entered
|
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Oct 6, 2023 18:11:30 GMT
26.5 Festus Akinbusoye (Con) 00.4 Sid Cordle (CPA) 00.1 Prince Ankit Love Emperor of India (-) 03.2 Dave Holland (Reform UK) 18.1 Emma Louise Holland-Lindsay (Lib Dem) 00.2 Ann Kelly (OMRLP) 08.1 Gareth Mackey (Independent) 00.1 Chris Rooney (Mainstream) 03.6 Cade Sibley (Green) 38.4 Alistair Luke Strathern (Lab) 00.3 Alberto George Thomas (Heritage) 00.2 Alan Victor (True and Fair) 00.8 Antonio Daniel Vitiello (Eng Dem) I have changed my predikshun thusly: 26.5 Festus Akinbusoye (Con) 00.4 Sid Cordle (CPA) 00.1 Prince Ankit Love Emperor of India (-) 03.2 Dave Holland (Reform UK) 14.1 Emma Louise Holland-Lindsay (Lib Dem) 00.2 Ann Kelly (OMRLP) 04.1 Gareth Mackey (Independent) 00.1 Chris Rooney (Mainstream) 03.6 Cade Sibley (Green) 46.4 Alistair Luke Strathern (Lab) 00.3 Alberto George Thomas (Heritage) 00.2 Alan Victor (True and Fair) 00.8 Antonio Daniel Vitiello (Eng Dem) I think that I was already predicting a higher % for Labour than anyone else, so changing my prediction means that logically I am less likely to win the prediction competition than on the old figures, but I would prefer to be accurate in predicting what I think rather than predicting tactically to win the competition. |
|
|
|
Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Oct 6, 2023 20:20:36 GMT
Well we are not all experts on national anthems of the world after all. I'm sure many people copy paste to avoid having to type out the whole list. And this is only a bit of fun after all. This is my revised prediction: LD 32.5% CON 30.2% LAB 26.5% IND 4.5% REF 2.9% GRN 2.4% OMRLP 0.3% CPA 0.2% MAINSTREAM 0.1% LOVE 0.1% TRUE & FAIR 0.1% HERITAGE 0.1% ENG DEM 0.1%
Change entered
Change accepted.
|
|
ricmk
Lib Dem
Posts: 2,615
|
Post by ricmk on Oct 7, 2023 11:31:27 GMT
Who knows but let's put something on the table:
Conservative 34%
Labour 27%
Lib Dem 24%
Ind (Mackay) 7%
Green 4%
Reform 2.8%
Loony 0.4%
Eng Dem 0.3%
Mainstream/Love/True and Fair/Heritage/CPA 0.1% each
|
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Oct 7, 2023 12:22:00 GMT
For a while, it looked (perhaps it still looks) as if Bedfordshire Mid has the potential to be an interesting three-way marginal result. It reminds me of Brecon & Radnor in 1985. For the last week or two of the campaign, until a few days before polling day, it was generally looking as if Labour was heading towards a big victory. If I remember correctly, there was an opinion poll during the campaign which put Labour on 46%. Only in the last week was it overtaken by the Liberal Party, and the final result was 36% 34% 28%.
Bedfordshire Mid has been such a high profile campaign (and unusually long) that I wonder if there will be any proper opinion polls in the constituency before polling day. One big unknown factor is the Independent candidate; just because he has a substantial base of support in the local council and in local elections doesn’t mean it’s going to translate into lots of votes in the parliamentary by-election. If he doesn’t, then his votes would have to go somewhere else instead.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
|
Post by The Bishop on Oct 7, 2023 12:27:21 GMT
Tbf the two surveys we have had already in this seat probably count as "proper" polls.
That doesn't mean they will be *reliable*, any more than that late infamous 1985 effort in Brecon and Radnor was.
|
|
