Local Council by-elections 4th/6th July 2023

[YL]

(Maidstone Central)

Jul 7, 2023 9:09:35 GMT phil156 said:

Any chance of the percentages please up or down from last time 

Using "top vote" I make it Lib Dem -1.6, Green +13.9, Con -12.4, Lab -5.0

[YL]

	Count 1	Family	Count 2	Lib Dem	Count 3	Keane	Count 4	Green	Count 5	SNP	Count 6
		transfers		transfers		transfers		transfers		transfers
Lab	1386	6	1392	42	1434	35	1469	31	1500	345	1845
Con	904	10	914	5	919	14	933	4	937	28	965
SNP	778	0	778	7	785	21	806	93	899	-899
Green	131	0	131	8	139	16	155	-155		0
Keane	99	13	112	11	123	-123		0		0
Lib Dem	83	2	85	-85		0		0		0
Family	42	-42		0		0		0		0
non transf	0	11	11	12	23	37	60	27	87	526	613

[Davıd Boothroyd]

One wonders if 13 Scottish Family Party first pref voters know much about Kristofer Keane.

[Kristofer Keane]

Jul 7, 2023 14:03:54 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

One wonders if 13 Scottish Family Party first pref voters know much about Kristofer Keane.

"Hate gay rights, love gay candidates, nuff said."

[andrewteale]

Jul 7, 2023 12:55:17 GMT YL said:

	Count 1	Family	Count 2	Lib Dem	Count 3	Keane	Count 4	Green	Count 5	SNP	Count 6
		transfers		transfers		transfers		transfers		transfers
Lab	1386	6	1392	42	1434	35	1469	31	1500	345	1845
Con	904	10	914	5	919	14	933	4	937	28	965
SNP	778	0	778	7	785	21	806	93	899	-899
Green	131	0	131	8	139	16	155	-155		0
Keane	99	13	112	11	123	-123		0		0
Lib Dem	83	2	85	-85		0		0		0
Family	42	-42		0		0		0		0
non transf	0	11	11	12	23	37	60	27	87	526	613

In a three-seat ordinary election that would have been one each for the top three, which is the normal pattern in this ward.

[greenman]

So the top LD vote in 2021 for Maidstone Central was 33.5%, the 2nd Conservative vote 29.8%, top Labour vote 21.1% and Green 16.2%. There were no Reform or Independents. The top Conservative in 2021 obtained 40.5%. Conservative and LD won the two seats.

LD vote drops from 33.5% to 28.5% a drop of 5%. Conservative either drops from 40.5% or 29.8% a drop of 16.5% or 5.8%. Labour drops from 21.1% to 14% a drop of 7.1%. Green goes from 16.2% to 28.4% a rise of 12.2%. Some corrections over last nights quick figuring.

[Tony Otim]

Jul 7, 2023 14:56:44 GMT andrewteale said:

Jul 7, 2023 12:55:17 GMT YL said:

	Count 1	Family	Count 2	Lib Dem	Count 3	Keane	Count 4	Green	Count 5	SNP	Count 6
		transfers		transfers		transfers		transfers		transfers
Lab	1386	6	1392	42	1434	35	1469	31	1500	345	1845
Con	904	10	914	5	919	14	933	4	937	28	965
SNP	778	0	778	7	785	21	806	93	899	-899
Green	131	0	131	8	139	16	155	-155		0
Keane	99	13	112	11	123	-123		0		0
Lib Dem	83	2	85	-85		0		0		0
Family	42	-42		0		0		0		0
non transf	0	11	11	12	23	37	60	27	87	526	613

In a three-seat ordinary election that would have been one each for the top three, which is the normal pattern in this ward.

Although the incumbent indy might make things interesting for the second and third seats, although Labour would probably be safe enough for one here.

[Khunanup]

Jul 7, 2023 16:02:20 GMT greenman said:

So the top LD vote in 2021 for Maidstone Central was 33.5%, the 2nd Conservative vote 29.8%, top Labour vote 21.1% and Green 16.2%. There were no Reform or Independents. The top Conservative in 2021 obtained 40.5%. Conservative and LD won the two seats.

LD vote drops from 33.5% to 28.5% a drop of 5%. Conservative either drops from 40.5% or 29.8% a drop of 16.5% or 5.8%. Labour drops from 21.1% to 14% a drop of 7.1%. Green goes from 16.2% to 28.4% a rise of 12.2%. Some corrections over last nights quick figuring.

You've got your numbers all wrong.

The correct numbers are here:

www.andrewteale.me.uk/leap/ward/18223/

[Deleted]

King’s Hedges recent voting history. If you’re interested in Cambridge politics, follow this guy. Top LE2023 analysis.

[stb12]

Jul 7, 2023 16:10:16 GMT Tony Otim said:

Jul 7, 2023 14:56:44 GMT andrewteale said:

In a three-seat ordinary election that would have been one each for the top three, which is the normal pattern in this ward.

Although the incumbent indy might make things interesting for the second and third seats, although Labour would probably be safe enough for one here.

The Tory incumbent came 2nd in first preferences last year, but transfers to the SNP turned independent candidate killed him off. Considering the wealthy areas there are in this ward i'm still surprised it happened and was most certainly to do with a Boris backlash

[Devil Wincarnate]

Jun 12, 2023 18:47:47 GMT iainbhx said:

Jun 12, 2023 18:15:28 GMT iang said:

Yolande Kenward is a candidate of...let's say idiosyncratic opinions

And several aliases and a trail of interesting law suits.

It seems an odd move to use various aliases but keep the very distinctive first name as part of each one.