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Post by batman on Jun 10, 2023 19:28:04 GMT
I am aware of party members in Essex and Hertfordshire who have had 4 or 5 emails asking for help in MidBeds. This shows the limitations of regional organisations, especially in such artificla regions as this one. This seat isn't very accessible to most parts of Hertfordshire, let alone Essex. The best and nearest source of Labour activists (apart from Luton and Bedford obviously) would be in Milton Keynes. which is in a different Labour Party region as you imply |
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graham
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Post by graham on Jun 10, 2023 20:36:02 GMT
Councillor Gareth Mackey, deputy leader of the independent group who took control of the council last month will be an Independent candidate in the by election. The council does not exactly correspond to the parliamentary constituency, but the independent group spectacularly overthrew the Conservatives who ran it prior to May.
Gareth Mackey is a longstanding councillor in Flitwick, the largest town in Mid Beds. He has started a Go Fund Me appeal for support to fund his campaign which already has a significant number of contributors.
This could well help the Tories by splitting the Opposition vote further.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 10, 2023 20:45:00 GMT
Mackey was a Conservative candidate for Barton-le-Clay in 2015 before winning Flitwick as an Independent in 2019 - may not be best placed to get many anti-Conservative votes.
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 10, 2023 20:48:02 GMT
Councillor Gareth Mackey, deputy leader of the independent group who took control of the council last month will be an Independent candidate in the by election. The council does not exactly correspond to the parliamentary constituency, but the independent group spectacularly overthrew the Conservatives who ran it prior to May. Gareth Mackey is a longstanding councillor in Flitwick, the largest town in Mid Beds. He has started a Go Fund Me appeal for support to fund his campaign which already has a significant number of contributors. This could well help the Tories by splitting the Opposition vote further.Or it could split their vote. |
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graham
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Post by graham on Jun 10, 2023 20:52:12 GMT
Councillor Gareth Mackey, deputy leader of the independent group who took control of the council last month will be an Independent candidate in the by election. The council does not exactly correspond to the parliamentary constituency, but the independent group spectacularly overthrew the Conservatives who ran it prior to May. Gareth Mackey is a longstanding councillor in Flitwick, the largest town in Mid Beds. He has started a Go Fund Me appeal for support to fund his campaign which already has a significant number of contributors. This could well help the Tories by splitting the Opposition vote further.Or it could split their vote. Possible. But voters who might have switched from the Tories to Labour or LDs might now go for the other option. |
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 10, 2023 20:55:23 GMT
Or it could split their vote. Possible. But voters who might have switched from the Tories to Labour or LDs might now go for the other option. They might. But then again they might not.
You are perceiving his vote as inherently anti Tory, but as we know it ain't necessarily so. Especially as he was a Tory himself until relatively recently.
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graham
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Post by graham on Jun 10, 2023 21:04:43 GMT
Possible. But voters who might have switched from the Tories to Labour or LDs might now go for the other option. They might. But then again they might not.
You are perceiving his vote as inherently anti Tory, but as we know it ain't necessarily so. Especially as he was a Tory himself until relatively recently.
I am not sure he will have much appeal to those who remain loyal to the Tory cause.He is also unlikely to present himself as an Independent Tory. - much more likely to want to build on the success achieved at the local elections. |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jun 10, 2023 21:17:24 GMT
Councillors in the constituency:
12 Con + 6 partially inside
10 Ind
1 Grn
1 LD
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 11, 2023 9:40:05 GMT
Apparently Labour members are now being bombarded by emails from Eastern region asking for campaign help. Just checked my inbox. One from Keir Starmer urging me to work in Uxbridge & S Ruislip. Nothing about Mid Beds. It may be different for members in Eastern Region. Certainly am not being bombarded. Despite my being some way away, had an email yesterday about Uxbridge. Still nothing regarding this seat though. |
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Post by Ron Swanson on Jun 11, 2023 9:55:25 GMT
Just checked my inbox. One from Keir Starmer urging me to work in Uxbridge & S Ruislip. Nothing about Mid Beds. It may be different for members in Eastern Region. Certainly am not being bombarded. Despite my being some way away, had an email yesterday about Uxbridge. Still nothing regarding this seat though. Hopefully this means that the opposition parties have been talking. It would be a real shame to see the Tories hold one or both of these seats because the opposition campaign collectively isn’t co-ordinated. Throw Selby into the mix and we could have three on the same day… which might play into the hands of the blue team. |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 11, 2023 9:59:37 GMT
It might not if they have to defend every seat seriously, whilst the opposition divide their resources appropriately.
(indeed that is one reason, despite the public proclamations, why the latter could well happen)
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Post by Ron Swanson on Jun 11, 2023 10:05:28 GMT
It might not if they have to defend every seat seriously, whilst the opposition divide their resources appropriately. (indeed that is one reason, despite the public proclamations, why that could well happen) True enough… try and take an educated guess at whether there are any they have no chance of retaining and just let that one go. And try in the others. |
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Post by johnloony on Jun 11, 2023 14:45:02 GMT
Run what? A bath? Shurely you’re not suggesting that the incumbent MP for Uxbridge & South Ruislip is going to be a candidate in the Mid Bedfordshire by-election? Now I am realising that I wrote that post after Boris Johnson had announced his resignation, but before I knew about it. Hence my confuzzlement. |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 11, 2023 19:10:46 GMT
Labour party chiar in Mid Beds today with Luton MP Rachel Hopkins and, well, 5 other people and 1 dog
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CatholicLeft
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jun 11, 2023 19:15:39 GMT
Labour party chiar in Mid Beds today with Luton MP Rachel Hopkins and, well, 5 other people and 1 dog To be fair, lots of social media with lots of Labour activists across the constituency this weekend. |
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Post by jakegb on Jun 11, 2023 19:20:12 GMT
They are taking it seriously ... don't remember them doing this in N Shropshire + Tiverton/Honiton.
Any word on Lib Dem activity/strategy in this seat?
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CatholicLeft
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jun 11, 2023 19:25:33 GMT
They are taking it seriously ... don't remember them doing this in N Shropshire + Tiverton/Honiton. Any word on Lib Dem activity/strategy in this seat? Lots of social media, ckaims of thousands of doors knocked over the weekend, delivery if questionnaires, etc. |
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Post by mattbewilson on Jun 11, 2023 19:44:28 GMT
I've taken a dog campaigning before. Wouldn't recommend it
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 11, 2023 19:45:51 GMT
Labour party chiar in Mid Beds today with Luton MP Rachel Hopkins and, well, 5 other people and 1 dog To be fair, lots of social media with lots of Labour activists across the constituency this weekend. |
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Post by redtony on Jun 11, 2023 20:33:56 GMT
in 1964 it was 13 years of Tory Misrule
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