Prediction Competition November 2022

[yellowperil]

Nov 18, 2022 10:02:07 GMT Robert Waller said:

Nov 18, 2022 9:37:14 GMT yellowperil said:

I seem to be going from bad to worse. With a bit of luck I'll stay in the top 10 after Shetland, but not much when there are only 11 to start with...

edit : I see that was a miscount and really it was only out of 10 after Richard pulled out of this week. I still think I'm struggling to make the top 10 at the moment.

WE'll see when Shetland and Robbie's official figures come in, but I reckon you're 6th for the week and 7th for the month at the moment ...

Maybe, it just doesn't feel like that atm- I don't feel I've got a grip on what is going on at all at the moment- nothing anywhere where I feel I really understand what is going on. Looking at how the forecasting is going generally, I feel I may not be alone in that, but it isn't much consolation.

[robbienicoll]

Results are now up. Range of ~60 faults between 1st and 10th - not bad at all for a bumper set!

[iainbhx]

Nov 18, 2022 12:25:01 GMT robbienicoll said:

Results are now up. Range of ~60 faults between 1st and 10th - not bad at all for a bumper set!

It's a very tight month to be honest Most people could still win the month and there's a couple of tricky ones next week.

[Tony Otim]

Everybody please note/remember that there's a Wednesday contest next week - so predictions will need to be in a day early for that one!

[johnloony]

Ashfield: Lab 45 AI 42 Con 13
Bassetlaw: Con 54 Lab 34 LD 12
Isle of Wight: Green 43 Con 29 LD 17 Lab 6 Vectis 5
Sefton: Lab 87 (-) 13
Warrington: Lab 57 Con 32 LD 11

[peterl]

Ashfield: Lab 48 AI 40 Con 12
Bassetlaw: Con 51 Lab 39 LD 10
Isle of Wight: Green 38 Con 28 LD 23 Lab 7 Vectis 4
Sefton: Lab 81 ND 19
Warrington: Lab 57 Con 27 LD 16

[batman]

ASHFIELD, Hucknall Central : Lab 45 Ashfield Ind 37 C 18

BASSETLAW, Sutton : C 56 Lab 35 LD 9

ISLE OF WIGHT, Brighstone, Calbourne & Shalfleet : Green 34 C 32 LD 21 Lab 8 Vectis 5

SEFTON, Linacre : Lab 93 ND 7

WARRINGTON, Rixton & Woolston : Lab 54 C 34 LD 12

[Robert Waller]

As I'm likely to forget this one ...

ASHFIELD, Hucknall Central : Lab 40 Ashfield Ind 45 C 15

[jm]

Ashfield
Lab 43, AshInd 34, Con 23

Bassetlaw
Lab 46, Con 44, LD 10

IoW
Green 34, Con 31, LD 20, Lab 10, Vectis 5

Sefton
Lab 71, ND 29

Warrington
Lab 50, Con 35, LD 15

[kevinf]

Ashfield
AI 50, Lab 40, Con 10
Bassetlaw
Con 40, Lab 39, LD 21
IoW
Green 32, LD 28, Con 27, Vectis 8, Lab 5
Sefton
Lab 73, ND 27
Warrington
Lab 50, Con 40, LD 10

[Richard Cromwell]

Hucknall Central, Ashfield

LAB	44%
Ashfields Independents	41%
CON	15%

[iainbhx]

ASHFIELD DC, Hucknall Central: Lab 42, Ash Ind 40, Con 18

[andrewp]

Ashfield. Hucknall Central. AI 46, Lab 37, Con 17

[Tony Otim]

Ashfield: Ash Ind 44.3; Lab 40.4; Con 15.3
Bassetlaw: Con 46.4; Lab 35.9; LD 17.7
Isle of Wight: LD 33.9; Grn 33.2; Con 21.5; Lab 6.8; Vectis 4.5
Sefton: Lab 79.5; Smith 20.5
Warrington: Lab 49.6; Con 36.2; LD 14.2

[yellowperil]

You may have noticed I missed out on Ashfield, but I think anyway I am pulling out for the rest of the month, and probably December too, with too many other commitments. Have fun, the rest of you.

[Richard Cromwell]

Brighstone, Calbourne & Shalfleet, Isle of Wight

LDEM	33%
CON	28%
GRN	27%
LAB	9%
Vectis	3%

Sutton, Bassetlaw

LDEM	63%
LAB	19%
CON	18%

Linacre, Sefton

LAB	95%
IND	5%

Rixton & Woolston, Warrington

LAB	56%
CON	28%
LDEM	16%

[andrewp]

Bassetlaw. Sutton. Con 48, Lab 37, LD 15
Isle of Wight, Brighstone etc, Green 40, Con 27, LD 26, Lab 4, Vectis 3
Sefton, Linacre. Lab 85, Smith 15
Warrington, Rixton and Woolston. Lab 58, Con 32, LD 10

[Robert Waller]

Bassetlaw. Sutton. Con 45, Lab 35, LD 20

Isle of Wight, Brighstone etc, Green 28, Con 25, LD 35, Lab 7, Vectis 6

Sefton, Linacre. Lab 85, Smith 15

Warrington, Rixton and Woolston. Lab 51, Con 36, LD 13

[iainbhx]

Bassetlaw DC, Sutton: Con 46, Lab 40 LDm 14
Isle of Wight UA, Brighston, Calborne & Shelfleet: Con 33, LDm 30, Grn 26, Lab 7, Vectis 4
Sefton MBC, Linacre: Lab 86 N-I Smith 14
Warrington UA, Rixton & Woolston: Lab 51, Con 34, LDm 15

[rightleaning]

Whoops forgot Ashfield.

Bassetlaw DC, Sutton: Con 44, Lab 42 LD 14
Isle of Wight UA, Brighston, Calborne & Shelfleet: Gn 36, Con 33, Lm 25, Lab 4, Vectis 2
Sefton MBC, Linacre: Lab 87 N-I Smith 13
Warrington UA, Rixton & Woolston: Lab 53, Con 32, LD 15