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Post by andrewp on Jan 19, 2023 17:55:50 GMT
Yes, plus a small element of Sunak being preferable to Johnson in some Con voters minds in those places and a small element of it not being a Brexit election. It depends where the 'new' Labour votes come from. It's surely possible that quite a few will have voted Tory in the previous election and may actually therefore help the Lib Dems get over the line. Yep that’s possible. I was thinking that Sunak/ Hunt might be more popular to Tory remainers in those sorts of places than Johnson in 2019. I think if Labour win the election by 15%, then the Lib Dems probably would win those places though. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jan 19, 2023 20:14:13 GMT
The relevant statistic is that the Lib Dem vote dropped by 1% nationally between 1992 and 1997, but their seat total still went up by 150%.
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Post by manchesterman on Jan 19, 2023 21:35:54 GMT
Which all goes to show the significant impact of voter distribution* |
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Post by philvn on Feb 1, 2023 11:30:34 GMT
My mum (in Ormskirk town centre) has had one leaflet from Labour and nothing from anyone else. Not much going on it seems, understandable when it will be a very easy Labour hold.
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Post by greenhert on Feb 1, 2023 18:43:05 GMT
No wonder your post has been the first in this thread for nearly a fortnight!
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Post by batman on Feb 1, 2023 19:55:06 GMT
Time was when a by-election in this constituency would have been interesting, but it seems those times have passed.
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,375 
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Post by stb12 on Feb 1, 2023 22:01:55 GMT
Time was when a by-election in this constituency would have been interesting, but it seems those times have passed. It maybe could be again once there’s a Labour government |
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Post by batman on Feb 1, 2023 22:10:33 GMT
yes, you may well be right
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 1, 2023 22:38:56 GMT
Time was when a by-election in this constituency would have been interesting, but it seems those times have passed. It maybe could be again once there’s a Labour government Of course. All potential by elections will be changed by which party is in power and how popular/unpopular they are. |
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,375
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Post by stb12 on Feb 1, 2023 22:56:24 GMT
It maybe could be again once there’s a Labour government Of course. All potential by elections will be changed by which party is in power and how popular/unpopular they are. That probably marks the next time the Lib Dems can expect to make any gains from Labour again |
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 1, 2023 23:21:52 GMT
Reports from my friend who lives there is that it's deathly quiet. Almost zero campaigning on all sides amd we should brace ourselves for a very low turnout!
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 2, 2023 14:47:21 GMT
Front bench activity alert!!! Apparently Lisa Nandy from neighbouring Wigan, will be in Skem on Saturday, presumably doing doorknocking, leafleting and other good "photo ops"  Should be OK just so long as she dosent get caught doing a Lee Anderson though!  Maybe the campaign has woken from its slumber? |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,780
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Post by john07 on Feb 5, 2023 0:28:58 GMT
Front bench activity alert!!! Apparently Lisa Nandy from neighbouring Wigan, will be in Skem on Saturday, presumably doing doorknocking, leafleting and other good "photo ops" Should be OK just so long as she dosent get caught doing a Lee Anderson though! Maybe the campaign has woken from its slumber? Or maybe not? |
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Post by phil156 on Feb 8, 2023 9:51:09 GMT
Confirmed that this will count on Thursday night
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Crimson King
Lib Dem
Be nice to each other and sing in tune
Posts: 9,842
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Post by Crimson King on Feb 8, 2023 16:12:03 GMT
Confirmed that this will count on Thursday night what, all three ballots? |
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 8, 2023 16:43:36 GMT
I wonder if the news channels will more or less ignore this in terms of "on the spot" coverage - given it's been a very low profile campaign all round.
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Post by johnloony on Feb 8, 2023 16:59:37 GMT
Confirmed that this will count on Thursday night what, all three ballots? Three? What are the other two? Parliamentary by-election, and what else? |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 8, 2023 17:02:10 GMT
Three? What are the other two? Parliamentary by-election, and what else? I believe it is a comical remark about the low level of electoral turnout in parts of Skelmersdale, m'lord. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Feb 8, 2023 17:32:35 GMT
Reports from my friend who lives there is that it's deathly quiet And what about the election? |
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Post by johnloony on Feb 8, 2023 18:08:56 GMT
Three? What are the other two? Parliamentary by-election, and what else? I believe it is a comical remark about the low level of electoral turnout in parts of Skelmersdale, m'lord. Oh. I assumed that Crimson King was referring to some sort of local referendum or by-election which we didn’t know about. I didn’t realise that he was stupid enough to think that they are called “ballots”. It is of course entirely realistic that there will be a turnout of only 3 votes in the by-election. |
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Should be OK just so long as she dosent get caught doing a Lee Anderson though! 
