Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 29, 2022 21:00:10 GMT
Buckinghamshire: Con 33.7; Grn 33.4; LD 25.2; Lab 7.7
Croydon: Con 33.2; Lab 27.3; Grn 14.5; LD 13.4; Pelling 6.9; Samuel 3.0; UKIP 1.7
East Riding: LD 44.3; Con 32.8; YP 9.9; Lab 7.1; SDP 5.9
Barraigh agus Bhatarsaigh: MacDonald 52.1; MacNeil 28.7; MacMillan 19.2
Sgìr’ Ùige agus Carlabhagh: MacDonals 23.1; Grn 20.0; SNP 16.5; MacLeod 13.2; Brown 11.9; MacKinnon 11.1; LD 4.2
Liverpool: Lab 58.2; LD 22.4; Grn 10.5; Wharton 8.9
Middlesbrough: James 47.3; Lab 40.3; Con 5.6; LD 4.6; Grn 2.2
Newark & Sherwood: Lab 67.8; Con 29.8; Spry 2.4
South Derbyshire: Lab 53.2; Con 46.8
Wyre: Con 58.4; Lab 41.6
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Post by andrewp on Jun 29, 2022 21:10:49 GMT
Buckinghamshire, Bernwood. Green 50, Con 35, LD 10, Lab 5
Croydon, South Croydon. Con 37, Lab 26, LD 13, Green 9, Pelling 8, Samuel 6, UKIP 1
East Riding, Bridlington North, LD 42, Con 33: Yorks14, Lab 9, SDP 2
Liverpool. Fazakerley. Lab 60, LD 22, Green 10, Ind 8
Middlesbrough. Berwick Hills and Pallister. Ind 52, Lab 36, Con 5, Green 4, LD 3
Comhairlre, nan, Sgir Uige Angus Carlabhagh. MacDonald 23, SNP 22: Brown 18, Mackinnin 19, Macleod 10, Green 5 LD 3. MacDonald to win
Newark and Sherwood. Ollerton. Lab 60, Con 35, Ind 5
South Derbyshire. Midway. Lab 53, Con 47
Wyre. Clevelys Park. Con 59, Lab 41
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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 29, 2022 22:52:58 GMT
Buckinghamshire, Bernwood: Green 41, Con 35, LD 15, Lab 9
Croydon, South Croydon: Con 35, Lab 28, LD 12, Green 12, Pelling 10, Samuel 2, UKIP 1
East Riding, Bridlington North: LD 51, Con 33: Yorks 8, Lab 6, SDP 2
Liverpool. Fazakerley: Lab 56, LD 17, Green 7, Ind 20
Middlesbrough: Berwick Hills and Pallister: Ind 51, Lab 35, Con 4, Green 5, LD 5
EILEAN SIAR, Sgir Uige Angus Carlabhagh: MacDonald 26, SNP 27, Brown 18, Mackinnin 14, Macleod 5, Green 7 LD 3. MacDonald to win on transfers
Newark and Sherwood: Ollerton: Lab 58, Con 39, Ind 3
South Derbyshire: Midway. Lab 58, Con 42
Wyre. Clevelys Park: Con 56, Lab 44
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Post by yellowperil on Jun 30, 2022 3:55:49 GMT
Buckinghamshire,Bernwood: Con 33, Lab 8, LD 14, GP 45.
Croydon, South Croydon: Con 37, Lab 28, LD 10, GP 12, UKIP 1, Pelling 11,Samuel 1.
Yorks East Riding,Bridlington N:Con 34, Lab 5, LD 50, YP 9, SDP 2.
Liverpool, Fazakerley: Lab 61, LD 15, GP 9, Ind 15.
Middlesbrough, Berwick Hills & Pallister: Con 5, Lab 35, LD 4,GP 6, Ind 50.
Newark & Sherwood, Overton: Con 40, Lab 55.
South Derbyshire, Midway: Con 45, Lab 55.
Wyre, Cleveleys Park: Con 52, Lab 48.
Eilan Siar,Sgir Uige: LD 3,SGP 5, SNP 21,MacDonald 30, Macleod 10, MacKinnon 14, Brown 17.Macdonald to winon transfers.
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Post by iainbhx on Jun 30, 2022 5:29:17 GMT
BUCKINGHAMSHIRE UA, Bernwood : Con 38 Grn 36 LDm 18 Lab 8
CROYDON LBC, South Croydon : Con 37 Lab 27 Grn 16 Ind Pelling 11 LDm 6 Ind Samuel 2 UKIP 1
EAST RIDING OF YORKSHIRE UA, Bridlington North : LDm 41 Con 35 Lab 15 Yrk 7 SDP 2
EILEAN SIAR UA, Sgìr’ Ùige agus Carlabhagh : SNP 25 Ind MacLeod 23, Ind MacDonald 19, Ind Brown 17, Ind MacKinnon 8, Grn 5 LDm 3 - Ind MacLeod to win on transfers
LIVERPOOL MBC, Fazackerley : Lab 75 Grn 13 LDm 7 Ind 5
MIDDLESBROUGH UA, Berwick Hills & Pallister : Lab 40 Ind 36 Con 13 Grn 8 LDm 3
NEWARK & SHERWOOD DC, Ollerton : Lab 60 Con 36 Ind 4
SOUTH DERBYSHIRE DC, Midway : Lab 53 Con 47
WYRE DC, Cleveleys Park : Con 55 Lab 45
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Post by rightleaning on Jun 30, 2022 5:37:52 GMT
Buckinghamshire, Bernwood. Gn 52, Con 32, LD 12, Lab 4
Croydon, South Croydon. Con 35, Lab 29, LD 12, Gn 10, Pelling 7, Samuel 6, UKIP 1
East Riding, Bridlington North, LD 42, Con 34, Yorks 12, Lab 10, SDP 2
Liverpool. Fazakerley. Lab 64, LD 20, Gn 12, Ind 4
Middlesbrough. Berwick Hills and Pallister. Ind 46, Lab 38, Con 8, Gn 6, LD 2
Comhairlre, nan, Sgir Uige Angus Carlabhagh. MacDonald 26, Mackinnin 20, SNP 19, Brown 16, Macleod 11, Gn 5 LD 3. MacDonald to win
Newark and Sherwood. Ollerton. Lab 58, Con 38, Ind 4
South Derbyshire. Midway. Lab 55, Con 45
Wyre. Clevelys Park. Con 53, Lab 47
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Post by robbienicoll on Jun 30, 2022 20:56:17 GMT
12 entries to close the month, all on time but with Smartie picking up 1 fault for going over in Croydon and yellowperil receiving 5 for only getting to 95 through missing the Independent in Ollerton. Bernwood, Buckinghamshire: 10 Green gain from Conservative, with iainbhx and Tony Otim Conservative hold. South Croydon, Croydon: 10 Conservative hold, with Richard Cromwell and Smartie Labour gain. Bridlington North, East Riding of Yorkshire: 10 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, with Richard Cromwell and Smartie Conservative hold. Sgir Uige agus Carlabhagh, Eilean Siar: 8 have Ind (MacDonald) ahead on first preferences and ultimate winner, with iainbhx, Robert Waller and Richard Cromwell having the SNP ahead on first preferences and Ind (MacLeod), Ind (MacDonald) and SNP ultimate winner respectively, and Smartie with Ind (MacLeod) ahead on first preferences and ultimate winner. Fazakerley, Liverpool: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 24% (kevinf) to 62% (batman). Berwick Hills and Pallister, Middlesbrough: 8 Ind (James) win, with batman, iainbhx, Richard Cromwell and Smartie Labour gain. Ollerton, Newark and Sherwood: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 13% (kevinf) to 41% (Richard Cromwell). Midway, South Derbyshire: 100% Labour gain from Conservative, with majorities ranging from 6% (andrewp and iainbhx) to 20% (kevinf). Cleveleys Park, Wyre: 11 Conservative hold, with Smartie Labour gain (majority 1.2%). (Bonus round available in a separate sheet): 4 entries for Barraigh agus Bhatarsaigh, Eilean Siar: 3 have Ind (MacMillan) ahead on first preferences and ultimate winner, Tony Otim has Ind (MacDonald) ahead on first prefs and ultimate winner. Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1wP8tt_aVTizFr6yF9Xr-kKYCyWSuAd-Yoo2R4bXZwrw/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
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johnloony
Conservative
Posts: 24,532
Member is Online
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Post by johnloony on Jun 30, 2022 21:35:09 GMT
South Croydon ward: I predict:
Conservative 1,300 (45%)
Labour 700 (24%)
Lib Dem 500 (17%)
Pelling 170 (6%)
Green 170 (6%)
UKIP 40 (1.3%)
Samuel 20 (0.7%)
turnout 2,900 (23%)
electorate c.12,465
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 1, 2022 8:10:16 GMT
12 entries to close the month, all on time but with Smartie picking up 1 fault for going over in Croydon and yellowperil receiving 5 for only getting to 95 through missing the Independent in Ollerton. Bernwood, Buckinghamshire: 10 Green gain from Conservative, with iainbhx and Tony Otim Conservative hold. South Croydon, Croydon: 10 Conservative hold, with Richard Cromwell and Smartie Labour gain. Bridlington North, East Riding of Yorkshire: 10 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, with Richard Cromwell and Smartie Conservative hold. Sgir Uige agus Carlabhagh, Eilean Siar: 8 have Ind (MacDonald) ahead on first preferences and ultimate winner, with iainbhx, Robert Waller and Richard Cromwell having the SNP ahead on first preferences and Ind (MacLeod), Ind (MacDonald) and SNP ultimate winner respectively, and Smartie with Ind (MacLeod) ahead on first preferences and ultimate winner. Fazakerley, Liverpool: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 24% (kevinf) to 62% (batman). Berwick Hills and Pallister, Middlesbrough: 8 Ind (James) win, with batman, iainbhx, Richard Cromwell and Smartie Labour gain. Ollerton, Newark and Sherwood: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 13% (kevinf) to 41% (Richard Cromwell). Midway, South Derbyshire: 100% Labour gain from Conservative, with majorities ranging from 6% (andrewp and iainbhx) to 20% (kevinf). Cleveleys Park, Wyre: 11 Conservative hold, with Smartie Labour gain (majority 1.2%). (Bonus round available in a separate sheet): 4 entries for Barraigh agus Bhatarsaigh, Eilean Siar: 3 have Ind (MacMillan) ahead on first preferences and ultimate winner, Tony Otim has Ind (MacDonald) ahead on first prefs and ultimate winner. Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1wP8tt_aVTizFr6yF9Xr-kKYCyWSuAd-Yoo2R4bXZwrw/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! I've just noticed that for Buckinghamshire that you've reversed my Labour and LD predictions on the spreadsheet |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 1, 2022 8:45:04 GMT
Well at least I won the Barra sub-contest...
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 1, 2022 13:07:44 GMT
And I am now looking with more interest at the final result when it reaches us from the western isles, and wishing I'd taken it a bit more more seriously - seems I am just O.9 points off the lead with just that to come, so all depends on a bit of wild guesswork from an area the only thing I can relate to is those chessmen.I guess those close on the list must have more idea what was going on there- or were better chessmen.
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Post by robbienicoll on Jul 1, 2022 15:19:32 GMT
And I am now looking with more interest at the final result when it reaches us from the western isles, and wishing I'd taken it a bit more more seriously - seems I am just O.9 points off the lead with just that to come, so all depends on a bit of wild guesswork from an area the only thing I can relate to is those chessmen.I guess those close on the list must have more idea what was going on there- or were better chessmen. On the contrary, congratulations for the month! Tough round to finish things up on, but everyone had at least one good prediction, so well done all round. Well done in particular to Tony for topping a difficult week. I'll post the spiel for July over the weekend. |
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