Smartie
Labour
Enter your message here...
Posts: 834 
|
Post by Smartie on Jun 23, 2022 8:08:38 GMT
Neath - Lab 43.6
ID - 27.9
II - 14.3
PC - 11.8
G - 2.4
Harlow
Lab- 47.2
Con - 39.6
HA - 9.1
Grn - 4.1
KuT NMV
LD - 50.6
Con - 21.2
Lab - 15.3
KR - 7.1
Grn - 5.8
Hindhead
LD - 57.3
Con - 42.7
Shropshire
Lab - 31.6
LD - 30.5
Con - 29.6
Grn - 8.3
|
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on Jun 23, 2022 20:10:29 GMT
12 entries this week, losing casualobserver and johnloony. All correct, with Smartie initially receiving 2.5x5 faults for posting a few minutes late, but this is halved for a first time offence. Bush Fair, Harlow: 100% Labour gain from Conservative, with majorities ranging from 0.9% (Tony Otim) to 25% (Richard Cromwell). New Malden Village, Kingston-upon-Thames: 100% Liberal Democrat in first on top vote and 3x hold, with top vote majority ranging from 7% (Richard Cromwell) to 33% (peterl and Robert Waller). Port Talbot, Neath Port Talbot: 12 Labour in first on top vote and 2x hold, with kevinf and Tony Otim Ind (Davies) ahead on top vote and 1x Ind (Davies) gain and 1x Labour hold. Highley, Shropshire: 6 Liberal Democrat gain from Independent, with batman, peterl, Richard Cromwell and Tony Otim Conservative gain, and iainbhx and Smartie Labour gain. Hindhead, Waverley: 100% Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, with majorities ranging from 6% (batman) to 22.4% (Tony Otim). Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oQxUFGLXdix9IzHWdVFPsQlEQnMRnHr63FTAZqWkyZg/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
|
Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
|
Post by Sibboleth on Jun 23, 2022 20:30:25 GMT
I like Highley, but it is a strange place. Good luck to anyone trying to predict an incumbent-free election there!  |
|
|
|
Post by batman on Jun 24, 2022 6:56:56 GMT
yes, that was a difficult one and I was way off!
|
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Jun 24, 2022 7:22:47 GMT
Me too, I knew my lot were doing something, but I saw a lot of Labour activity and thought they'd have a chance. But it is a fairly isolated and very parochial place.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
|
Post by The Bishop on Jun 24, 2022 9:36:50 GMT
Me too, I knew my lot were doing something, but I saw a lot of Labour activity and thought they'd have a chance. But it is a fairly isolated and very parochial place. Yes, when I saw the Labour candidate was from outside the ward and the LibDem was local it wasn't hard to draw the appropriate conclusion. |
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Jun 24, 2022 9:42:41 GMT
Congratulations to yellowperil for winning a complex week and to andrewp for taking the monthly lead. Quite a bunch to come next week, though! |
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Jun 24, 2022 10:05:08 GMT
Congratulations to yellowperil for winning a complex week and to andrewp for taking the monthly lead. Quite a bunch to come next week, though! Thanks- and I'm sure you've got your usual end of the month surge planned to take maximum advantage of that |
|
Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
|
Post by Sibboleth on Jun 24, 2022 10:31:26 GMT
But it is a fairly isolated and very parochial place. More isolated than people might think at first as well: as you o/c know, the main road from Bridgnorth to Kiddy runs on the other side of the river (there is no bridge) and you have physical barriers (the Severn, the Brown Clee and Wyre Forest) on three sides. |
|
|
|
Post by batman on Jun 27, 2022 6:26:49 GMT
BUCKINGHAMSHIRE, Bernwood : Green 38 Con 36 LD 17 Lab 9
CROYDON, S.Croydon : Con 34 Lab 21 Green 14 Ind Pelling 12 LD 10 Ind Samuel 7 UKIP 2
EAST RIDING OF YORKSHIRE, Bridlington N : LD 41 Con 31 Lab 16 Yorkshire 9 SDP 3
EILEAN SIAR, Barraigh agus Bhatarsaigh : MacMillan 42, MacNeil 40, MacDonald 18
EILEAN SIAR, Sgìr’ Ùige agus Carlabhagh : MacDonald 23, MacLeod 21, SNP 20, MacKinnon 17, Brown 10, LD 5, Green 4
LIVERPOOL, Fazackerley : Lab 74 Green 12 LD 8 Ind 6
MIDDLESBROUGH, Berwick Hills & Pallister : Lab 35 Ind 34 Green 15 Con 10 LD 6
NEWARK & SHERWOOD, Ollerton : Lab 58 Con 37 Ind 5
S.DERBYSHIRE, Midway : Lab 58 Con 42
WYRE, Cleveleys Park : Con 54 Lab 46
|
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Jun 27, 2022 8:43:29 GMT
BUCKINGHAMSHIRE, Bernwood : Green 38 Con 36 LD 17 Lab 9 CROYDON, S.Croydon : Con 34 Lab 21 Green 14 Ind Pelling 12 LD 10 Ind Samuel 7 UKIP 2 EAST RIDING OF YORKSHIRE, Bridlington N : LD 41 Con 31 Lab 16 Yorkshire 9 SDP 3 EILEAN SIAR, Barraigh agus Bhatarsaigh : MacMillan 42, MacNeil 40, MacDonald 18 EILEAN SIAR, Sgìr’ Ùige agus Carlabhagh : MacDonald 23, MacLeod 21, SNP 20, MacKinnon 17, Brown 10, LD 5, Green 4 LIVERPOOL, Fazackerley : Lab 74 Green 12 LD 8 Ind 6 MIDDLESBROUGH, Berwick Hills & Pallister : Lab 35 Ind 34 Green 15 Con 10 LD 6 NEWARK & SHERWOOD, Ollerton : Lab 58 Con 37 Ind 5 S.DERBYSHIRE, Midway : Lab 58 Con 42 WYRE, Cleveleys Park : Con 54 Lab 46 Are we doing Barraigh agus Bhatarsaig? I thought in the past we had excluded contests with solely independent candidates? |
|
|
|
Post by andrewp on Jun 27, 2022 9:28:13 GMT
BUCKINGHAMSHIRE, Bernwood : Green 38 Con 36 LD 17 Lab 9 CROYDON, S.Croydon : Con 34 Lab 21 Green 14 Ind Pelling 12 LD 10 Ind Samuel 7 UKIP 2 EAST RIDING OF YORKSHIRE, Bridlington N : LD 41 Con 31 Lab 16 Yorkshire 9 SDP 3 EILEAN SIAR, Barraigh agus Bhatarsaigh : MacMillan 42, MacNeil 40, MacDonald 18 EILEAN SIAR, Sgìr’ Ùige agus Carlabhagh : MacDonald 23, MacLeod 21, SNP 20, MacKinnon 17, Brown 10, LD 5, Green 4 LIVERPOOL, Fazackerley : Lab 74 Green 12 LD 8 Ind 6 MIDDLESBROUGH, Berwick Hills & Pallister : Lab 35 Ind 34 Green 15 Con 10 LD 6 NEWARK & SHERWOOD, Ollerton : Lab 58 Con 37 Ind 5 S.DERBYSHIRE, Midway : Lab 58 Con 42 WYRE, Cleveleys Park : Con 54 Lab 46 Are we doing Barraigh agus Bhatarsaig? I thought in the past we had excluded contests with solely independent candidates? Yes, I thought we had too. |
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
|
Post by Tony Otim on Jun 27, 2022 12:32:32 GMT
Are we doing Barraigh agus Bhatarsaig? I thought in the past we had excluded contests with solely independent candidates? Yes, I thought we had too. The Eilean Siar contest in Barra has been excluded from the competition due to it being an Independent-only contest. Top vote for the 2 multi-seat deferred elections and seat winners specified if you have anything other than a clean sweep of the top vote winner. Predictions on this thread at 9.00am on the day of the election. However there's nothing to stop people making predictions for fun if they feel so inclined... |
|
|
|
Post by batman on Jun 27, 2022 19:26:49 GMT
Are we doing Barraigh agus Bhatarsaig? I thought in the past we had excluded contests with solely independent candidates? Yes, I thought we had too. I certainly hope so! it's just guesswork sorting those out. |
|
|
|
Post by kevinf on Jun 28, 2022 11:31:19 GMT
Bucks
Green 40, Con 25, LD 20, Lab 15
Croydon
Con 26, LibDem 22, Lab 18, Ind Pelling 12, Green 11, Ind Samuel 6, Ukip 5
East Riding
LD 47, Con 20, York’s 12, Lab 11, SDP 10
Eliean Sia Ur - Sgir
MacDonald 25, Snp 23, LD 19, Green 15, Brown 7, MacKinnon 6, Macleod 5
Liverpool
Lab 50, Green 26, Ind 19, LD 5
Middlesbrough
Ind 40, Lab 35, Green 11, Con 9, LD 5
Newark
Lab 48, Con 35, Ind 17
South Derby
Lab 60, Con 40
Wyre
Con 53 Lab 47
|
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Jun 29, 2022 6:35:39 GMT
Yes, I thought we had too. I certainly hope so! it's just guesswork sorting those out. I'd guess Mac will win. |
|
|
|
Post by Richard Cromwell on Jun 29, 2022 10:20:57 GMT
Sgìr' Ùige agus Càrlabhagh, Na h-Eileanan an Iar| SNP | 50% | | Donald John Macleod | 29% | | LDEM | 7% | | SGP | 6% | | Iain Joseph MacKinnon | 5% | | Norman Misty MacDonald | 2% | | Sophie Boyd Brown | 1% |
Ollerton, Newark and SherwoodBerwick Hills & Pallister, Middlesbrough| LAB | 46% | | IND | 24% | | LDEM | 13% | | GRN | 9% | | CON | 8% |
Midway, South DerbyshireCleveleys Park, WyreBridlington North, East Riding of Yorkshire| CON | 50% | | LAB | 35% | | LDEM | 6% | | Yorkshire | 5% | | SDP | 4% |
Bernwood, Buckinghamshire| GRN | 31% | | CON | 28% | | LDEM | 23% | | LAB | 18% |
Fazakerley, LiverpoolSouth Croydon, Croydon| LAB | 32% | | CON | 28% | | GRN | 13% | | LDEM | 12% | | Andrew Pelling | 11% | | Mark Samuel | 3% | | UKIP | 1% |
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Jun 29, 2022 14:15:08 GMT
Buckinghamshire UA, Bernwood: Green 43, Conservative 35, Liberal Democrats 14, Labour 8. Green gain from Conservative.
Croydon LBC, South Croydon: Conservative 38, Lab 28, Independent (Pelling) 13, Green 12, Liberal Democrats 6, Independent (Samuel) 2, UKIP 1.
East Riding of Yorkshire UA, Bridlington North: Liberal Democrats 40, Conservative 30, Yorkshire Party 13, Labour 13, SDP 4. Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative.
Eilean Siar UA, Barraigh agus Bhatarsaigh (1st preferences): Independent (MacMillan) 45, Independent (MacNeil) 42, Gerard MacDonald 13. Independent (MacMillan) wins on transfers.
Eilean Siar UA, Sgìr’ Ùige agus Carlabhagh (1st preferences): Independent (MacDonald) 29, SNP 22, Independent (MacLeod) 21, Independent (MacKinnon) 15, Green 6, Liberal Democrats 4, Independent (Brown) 3. Independent (MacDonald) wins on transfers.
Liverpool MBC, Fazackerley: Labour 66, Green 19, Liberal Democrats 10, Independent (Wharton) 5.
Middlesbrough UA, Berwick Hills & Pallister: Independent (James) 46, Labour 35, Conservative 11, Green 5, Liberal Democrats 3. Independent gain from other Independent.
Newark & Sherwood DC, Ollerton: Lab 56, Conservative 40, Independent (Spry) 4.
South Derbyshire DC, Midway: Labour 54, Conservative 46. Labour gain from Conservative.
Wyre DC, Cleveleys Park: Conservative 55, Labour 45.
|
|
peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
|
Post by peterl on Jun 29, 2022 16:35:39 GMT
Buckinghamshire UA, Bernwood: Green 45, Conservative 32, Liberal Democrats 15, Labour 8. Green gain from Conservative.
Croydon LBC, South Croydon: Conservative 38, Lab 35, Independent (Pelling) 10, Green 9, Liberal Democrats 5, Independent (Samuel) 2, UKIP 1.
East Riding of Yorkshire UA, Bridlington North: Liberal Democrats 44, Conservative 30, Yorkshire Party 11, Labour 10, SDP 5. Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative.
Eilean Siar UA, Barraigh agus Bhatarsaigh (1st preferences): Independent (MacMillan) 45, Independent (MacNeil) 44, Gerard MacDonald 11. Independent (MacMillan) wins on transfers.
Eilean Siar UA, Sgìr’ Ùige agus Carlabhagh (1st preferences): Independent (MacDonald) 30, SNP 23, Independent (MacLeod) 22, Independent (MacKinnon) 16, Green 5, Liberal Democrats 2, Independent (Brown) 2. Independent (MacDonald) wins on transfers.
Liverpool MBC, Fazackerley: Labour 70, Green 15, Liberal Democrats 11, Independent (Wharton) 4.
Middlesbrough UA, Berwick Hills & Pallister: Independent (James) 42, Labour 37, Conservative 10, Green 6, Liberal Democrats 5. Independent gain from other Independent.
Newark & Sherwood DC, Ollerton: Lab 58, Conservative 35, Independent (Spry) 7.
South Derbyshire DC, Midway: Labour 57, Conservative 43. Labour gain from Conservative.
Wyre DC, Cleveleys Park: Conservative 51, Labour 49.
|
|
Smartie
Labour
Enter your message here...
Posts: 834
|
Post by Smartie on Jun 29, 2022 20:09:53 GMT
Sgìr' Ùige agus Càrlabhagh, Na h-Eileanan an Iar
Donald John Macleod 33%
SNP. 26%
LDEM 6%
SGP 5%
Iain Joseph MacKinnon 9%
Norman Misty MacDonald 12%
Sophie Boyd Brown 9%
Ollerton, Newark and Sherwood
LAB 64.6%
CON 25.2%
IND 11.2%
Berwick Hills & Pallister, Middlesbrough
LAB 47.9%
IND 22.6%
LDEM 11.1%
GRN 9.6%
CON 8.8%
Midway, South Derbyshire
LAB 54.8%
CON 45.2%
Cleveleys Park, Wyre
CON 49.6%
LAB 50.4%
Bridlington North, East Riding of Yorkshire
CON 47.4%
LAB 35%
LDEM 4.3%
Yorkshire 9.3%
SDP 4%
Bernwood, Buckinghamshire
GRN 38.8%
CON 27.9%
LDEM 20.5%
LAB 12.8%
Fazakerley, Liverpool
LAB 73.5%
LDEM 14.9%
GRN 7.3%
IND 4.3%
South Croydon, Croydon
LAB 29.2%
CON 28.3%
GRN 12.7%
LDEM 11.2%
Andrew Pelling 15.6%
Mark Samuel 3%
UKIP 1%
|
|
