Prediction Competition - June 2022

[johnloony]

Sunderland: Copt Hill: Lab 47 Con 24 LD 15 Grn 9 Ind 5
Rother: Brede & Udimore: LD 61 Con 39
Warwick: Leamington Clarendon: Lab 34 Con 23 LD 21 Grn 18 UKIP 4
Wyre Forest: Franche & Habberley North: Con 44 Lab 31 LD 25

[batman]

SUNDERLAND, Copt Hill : Lab 48 Con 25 Ind 10 Green 9 LD 8

ROTHER, Brede & Udimore : Con 53 LD 47

WARWICK, Leamington Clarendon : Lab 41 LD 21 Con 20 Green 12 UKIP 6

WYRE FOREST, Franche & Habberley N. : Lab 41 Con 39 LD 20

[kevinf]

Sunderland. Lab 40, Ind 20, Con, 19, LD 13, Green 8
Rather. LD 51, Con 49
Warwick Lab 48, LD 22, Con 20, Green 8, Ukip 2
We’re Forest. Lab 38, Con 34, LD 28

[greenhert]

Sunderland MBC, Copt Hill (deferred election): Labour 49, Conservative 24, Liberal Democrats 11, Green 9, Independent (Pearson) 7.
Rother DC, Brede & Udimore: Conservative 52, Liberal Democrats 48.
Warwick DC, Leamington Clarendon: Labour 41, Liberal Democrats 34, Conservative 13, Green 11, UKIP 1.
Wyre Forest DC, Franche & Habberley North: Labour 40, Conservative 36, Liberal Democrats 24. Labour gain from ICHC.

[peterl]

Sunderland MBC, Copt Hill: Labour 45, Conservative 24, Liberal Democrats 14, Green 10, Independent (Pearson) 7.
Rother DC, Brede & Udimore: Liberal Democrats 52, Conservative 48.
Warwick DC, Leamington Clarendon: Labour 40, Liberal Democrats 37, Green 12, Conservative 10, UKIP 1.
Wyre Forest DC, Franche & Habberley North: Labour 43, Conservative 32, Liberal Democrats 25.

[Tony Otim]

Sunderland: Lab 44.5; LD 22.9; Con 14.2; Pearson 10.2; Grn 8.2
Rother: LD 53.2; Con 46.8
Warwick: Lab 46.2; Grn 20.5; LD 16.6; Con 15.2; UKIP 1.5
Wyre Forest: LD 38.0; Con 35.2; Lab 26.8

[batman]

Jun 10, 2022 10:26:18 GMT yellowperil said:

Congratulations to batman for a thoroughly deserved win for the week, and to iainbhx for running him so close. A lot of quite low scores this week but not all of us could quite keep up with that level of consistency, especially when it came to what was normal for Norfolk.

thanks - I didn't realise I'd won until I saw this comment!

[Richard Cromwell]

Leamington Clarendon, Warwick

LAB	39%
LDEM	31%
GRN	16%
UKIP	8%
CON	6%

Franche & Habberley North, Wyre Forest

LAB	46%
CON	28%
LDEM	26%

Copt Hill, Sunderland

LAB	53%
LDEM	18%
CON	16%
GRN	11%
IND	2%

Brede & Udimore, Rother

CON	55%
LDEM	45%

[yellowperil]

Sunderland, Copt Hill: Con 15, Lab 41, LD 25, GP 9, Ind 10.
Rother, Brede & Udimore: Con 52, LD 48.
Warwick, Leamington Clarendon: Con 12, Lab 45, LD 25, GP 17, UKIP 1.
Wyre Forest, Franche & Habberley N:Con 36, Lab 27, LD 37.

[andrewp]

Sunderland. Copt Hill. Lab 41, LD 22, Con 18, Ind 11, Green 8
Rather. Brede and Udimore. LD 51, Con 49
Warwick. Leamington Clarendon. Lab 40, LD 28, Con 20. Green 10, UKIP 2
Wyre Foresr. Franche and Habberley North. Con 38, Lab 36, LD 26

[Robert Waller]

Sunderland: Lab 44; LD 22; Con 15; Pearson 14; Grn 5

Rother: LD 51; Con 49

Warwick: Lab 44; Grn 19; LD 19; Con 16; UKIP 2

Wyre Forest: LD 33; Con 33; Lab 34

[rightleaning]

Sunderland: Copt Hill: Lab 40, LD 27, Con 19, Gn 10, Ind 4
Rother: Brede & Udimore: LD 53, Con 47
Warwick: Leamington Clarendon: Lab 39, Gn 22, Con 20, LD 15 UKIP 4
Wyre Forest: Franche & Habberley North: Con 40, Lab 37, LD 23

[Smartie]

Sunderland: Lab 47.0, LD 24.9; Con 12.2; Ind 9.5, Grn 6.4
Rother: LD 55.7, Con 44.3
Warwick: Lab 45.6, Grn 20.3, LD16.6; Con 16.2; UKIP 1.3
Wyre Forest: LD 40.0; Con 35.2; Lab 24.8

[iainbhx]

SUNDERLAND MBC, Copt Hill: LAB 43 CON 24 LDM 17 IND 9 GRN 7
ROTHER DC, Brede & Udimore: CON 52 LDM 48
WARWICK DC. Leamington Clarendon: LAB 44 LDM 21, CON 19, GRN 14, UKIP 2
WYRE FOREST DC, Franche & Habberley North: CON 38, LDM 33, LAB 29

[casualobserver]

Sunderland: Lab 40; Con 24; LD 12; Ind 12; Grn 12
Rother: Con 56; LD 44
Warwick: Lab 44; Con 22; Grn 14; LD 13; UKIP 7
Wyre Forest: Con 41; LD 35; Lab 24

[robbienicoll]

14 entries this week, with johnloony coming in for agbutler, all on time and correct.

Copt Hill, Sunderland: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 13% (Right Leaning) to 35% (Richard Cromwell).

Brede and Udimore, Rother: 8 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, with batman, casualobserver, greenhert, iainbhx, Richard Cromwell and yellowperil Conservative hold.

Leamington Clarendon, Warwick: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 3% (peterl) to 26% (kevinf).

Franche and Habberley North, Wyre Forest: 6 Labour gain from ICHC, with andrewp, casualobserver, iainbhx, johnloony and Right Leaning Conservative gain, and Smartie, Tony Otim and yellowperil Liberal Democrat gain.

I'm away on holiday as of tomorrow so will add results in the morning here - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xuImM0ae2wcbSHzwc0imuY1LW4uP_aQw9qcDCrbXib0/edit?usp=sharing - if there's a delay on the results I'll be back on Tuesday to confirm anything provisional. Good luck to all!

[batman]

Definitely not winning this week. I underestimated the Independent vote in Sunderland way too much.

[Tony Otim]

Jun 16, 2022 22:15:03 GMT batman said:

Definitely not winning this week. I underestimated the Independent vote in Sunderland way too much.

We all did (except Kevinf) so it may not disadvantage you that much...

[Robert Waller]

Jun 16, 2022 22:15:03 GMT batman said:

Definitely not winning this week. I underestimated the Independent vote in Sunderland way too much.

Still in the lead for the month after the first two results, though ...

[batman]

And I got the winner wrong, comfortably, in Wyre Forest. Although plenty others did too. It is a toughie to predict, that one.