French Legislative Elections 2022

[The Bishop]

Jun 16, 2022 13:04:06 GMT finsobruce said:

Jun 16, 2022 13:02:04 GMT mattbewilson said:

I've got a COHSE badge at home

Don't say it too loud or everyone will want one.

Only available while stocks last!

[mattbewilson]

If you're good I'll show you my collection

[mattbewilson]

If you ever wanted to see NUPES as anime opening credits you're in luck

[mattbewilson]

For every 4 RN switches to NUPES there's 1 to Ensemble

[Devil Wincarnate]

Does anyone else hate Melenchon and dislike his platform intensely, but would deeply enjoy him becoming prime minister?

[relique]

Predictions for the second round

Ain
1. Xavier Breton UDC-LR
2. Romain Daubié ENS-Modem
3. Olga Givernet ENS-Ren
4. Philippe Lerda NUPES-LFI
5. Damien Abad ENS-Ren

Aisne
1. Aude Bono ENS-Ren
2. Julien Dive UDC-LR
3. Jean-Louis Bricout NUPES-PS
4. José Beaurain RN
5. Stéphane Frère NUPES-LFI

Allier
1. Yannick Monnet NUPES-PCF
2. Louise Héritier NUPES-LFI
3. Nicolas Ray UDC-LR

Alpes-de-Haute-Provence
1. Delphine Bagarry NUPES-LND
2. Christophe Castaner ENS-Ren

Hautes-Alpes
1. Pascale Boyer ENS-Ren
2. Joël Giraud ENS-PRV

Alpes-Maritimes
1. Eric Ciotti UDC-LR
2. Loïc Dombreval ENS-Hor
3. Philippe Pradal ENS-Hor
4. Alexandra Valetta-Ardisson ENS-Ren
5. Christelle d’Intorni UDC-LR
6. Jean-Bernard Mion ENS-Hor
7. Eric Pauget UDC-LR
8. Alexandra Martin UDC-LR
9. Michèle Tabarot UDC-LR

Ardèche
1. Hervé Salignac NUPES-PS
2. Olivier Dussopt ENS-TdP
3. Fabrice Brun UDC-LR

Ardennes
1. Lionel Vuibert ENS-Agir
2. Pierre Cordier UDC-LR
3. Jean-Luc Warsmann UDC-UDI

Ariège
1. Bénédicte Taurine NUPES-LFI
2. Laurent Panifous DVG-PS

Aube
1. Grégory Besson-Moreau ENS-Ren
2. Valérie Bazin-Malgras UDC-LR
3. Loëtitia Beury ENS-Ren

Aude
1. Sophie Courrière-Calmon NUPES-PS
2. Alain Péréa ENS-Ren
3. Johanna Adda-Netter NUPES-LFI

Aveyron
1. Stéphane Mazars ENS-Ren
2. Laurent Alexandre NUPES-LFI
3. Jean-François Rousset ENS-Ren

Bouches-du-Rhône
1. Sabrina Agresti-Roubache ENS-Ren
2. Claire Pitollat ENS-Ren
3. Mohamed Bensaada NUPES-LFI
4. Manuel Bompard NUPES-LFI
5. Hendric Davi NUPES-LFI
6. Lionel Royer-Perreaut ENS-DVD
7. Sébastien Delogu NUPES-LFI
8. Jean-Marc Zulesi ENS-TdP
9. Lucas Trottmann NUPES-LFI
10. Marina Mesure NUPES-LFI
11. Mohamed Laqhila ENS-Modem
12. Eric Diard UDC-LR
13. Pierre Dharréville NUPES-PCF
14. Anne-Laurence Petel ENS-Ren
15. Marie-Laurence Anzalone ENS-Ren
16. Christophe Caillault NUPES-PS

Calvados
1. Fabrice Le Vigoureux ENS-Ren
2. Arthur Delaporte NUPES-PS
3. Jérémie Patrier-Leitus ENS-Hor
4. Christophe Blanchet ENS-Ren
5. Bertrand Bouyx ENS-Ren
6. Elisabeth Borne ENS-TdP

Cantal
1. Vincent Descoeur UDC-LR
2. Jean-Yves Bony UDC-LR

Charente
1. Thomas Mesnier ENS-Hor
2. Sandra Marsaud ENS-TdP
3. Sylvie Mocoeur ENS-Ren

Charente-Maritimes
1. Olivier Falorni DVG-PRG
2. Anne-Laure Babault ENS-Ren
3. Jean-Philippe Ardouin ENS-Ren
4. Raphaël Gérard ENS-Ren
5. Christophe Plassard ENS-Hor

Cher
1. François Cormier-Bouligeon ENS-Ren
2. Nicolas Sansu NUPES-PCF
3. Loïc Kervran ENS-Hor

Corrèze
1. Francis Dubois UDC-DVD
2. Frédérique Meunier UDC-LR

Corse-du-Sud
1. Laurent Marcangeli ENS-Hor
2. Paul-André Colombani Reg-PNC

Haute-Corse
1. Michel Castellani Reg-FaC
2. Jean-Félix Acquaviva Reg-FaC

Côte d’Or
1. Didier Martin ENS-Ren
2. Benoît Bordat ENS-FP
3. Fadila Khattabi ENS-Ren
4. Hubert Brigand UDC-LR
5. Didier Paris ENS-Ren

Côtes-d'Armor
1. Mickaël Cosson ENS-Modem
2. Hervé Berville ENS-Ren
3. Marc Le Fur UDC-LR
4. Murielle Lepvraud NUPES-LFI
5. Eric Bothorel ENS-Ren

Creuse
1. Jean-Baptiste Moreau ENS-Ren

Dordogne
1. Pascale Martin NUPES-LFI
2. Michel Delpon ENS-Ren
3. Jean-Pierre Cubertafon ENS-Modem
4. Sébastien Peytavie NUPES-G.s

Doubs
1. Laurent Croizier ENS-Modem
2. Eric Alauzet ENS-TdP
3. Nicolas Pacquot ENS-Hor
4. Frédéric Barbier ENS-TdP
5. Annie Genevard UDC-LR

Drôme
1. Mireille Clapot ENS-Ren
2. Gilles Reynaud NUPES-LFI
3. Célia de Lavergne ENS-Ren
4. Emmanuelle Anthoine UDC-LR

Eure
1. Séverine Gipson ENS-Ren
2. Fabien Gouttefarde ENS-Ren
3. Marie Tamarelle-Verhaeghe ENS-Ren
4. Philippe Brun NUPES-DVG
5. François Ouzilleau ENS-Ren

Eure-et-Loir
1. Guillaume Kasbarian ENS-Ren
2. Olivier Marleix UDC-LR
3. Luc Lamirault ENS-Hor
4. Philippe Vigier ENS-Modem

Finistère
1. Annaïg Le Meur ENS-Ren
2. Pierre-Yves Cadalen NUPES-LFI
3. Didier Le Gac ENS-TdP
4. Sandrine Le Feur ENS-Ren
5. Graziella Melchior ENS-Ren
6. Richard Ferrand ENS-Ren
7. Liliane Tanguy ENS-Ren
8. Erwan Balanant ENS-Modem

Gard
1. Françoise Dumas ENS-TdP
2. Nicolas Meizonnet RN
3. Anthony Cellier ENS-Ren
4. Arnaud Bord NUPES-PS
5. Michel Sala NUPES-LFI
6. Philippe Berta ENS-Modem

Haute-Garonne
1. Hadrien Clouet NUPES-LFI
2. Anne Stambach-Terrenoir NUPES-LFI
3. Corinne Vignon ENS-Ren
4. François Piquemal NUPES-LFI
5. Jean-François Portarrieu ENS-Ren
6. Fabien Jouvé NUPES-PS
7. Elisabeth Toutut-Picard ENS-Ren
8. Joël Arivagnet NUPES-PS
9. Christine Arrighi NUPES-EELV
10. Dominique Faure ENS-PRV

Gers
1. Jean-René Cazeneuve ENS-Ren
2. David Taupiac DVG-PS

Gironde
1. Thomas Cazenave ENS-Ren
10. Florent Boudié ENS-Ren
11. Edwige Diaz RN
12. Pascal Lavergne ENS-Ren
2. Nicolas Thierry NUPES-EELV
3. Loïc Prud'homme NUPES-LFI
4. Alain David NUPES-PS
5. Olivier Maneiro NUPES-LFI
6. Eric Poulliat ENS-Ren
7. Berangère Couillard ENS-Ren
8. Sophie Panonacle ENS-Ren
9. Sophie Mette ENS-Modem

Hérault
1. Julien Colet NUPES-LFI
2. Nathalie Oziol NUPES-LFI
3. Laurence Cristol ENS-Ren
4. Sébastien Rome NUPES-LFI
5. Pierre Polard NUPES-LFI
6. Emmanuelle Ménard RN
7. Gabriel Blasco NUPES-PCF
8. Sylvain Carrière NUPES-LFI
9. Patrick Vignal ENS-Ren

Ille-et-Vilaine
1. Frédéric Mathieu NUPES-LFI
2. Laurence Maillart-Méhaignerie ENS-TdP
3. Claudia Rouaux NUPES-PS
4. Anne Patault ENS-Ren
5. Christine Cloarec-Le Nabour ENS-Ren
6. Thierry Benoit ENS-Ren
7. Jean-Luc Bourgeaux UDC-LR
8. Mickaël Bouloux NUPES-PS

Indre
1. François Jolivet ENS-Hor
2. Nicolas Forissier UDC-LR

Indre-et-Loire
1. Charles Fournier NUPES-EELV
2. Daniel Labaronne ENS-Ren
3. Henri Alfandari ENS-Hor
4. Fabienne Colboc ENS-Ren
5. Sabine Thillaye ENS-Modem

Isère
1. Olivier Véran ENS-TdP
2. Jean-Charles Colas-Roy ENS-TdP
3. Elisa Martin NUPES-LFI
4. Marie-Noëlle Battistel NUPES-PS
5. Florence Jay ENS-Ren
6. Cendra Motin ENS-Hor
7. Yannick Neuder UDC-LR
8. Caroline Abadie ENS-Ren
9. Elodie Jacquier Laforge ENS-Modem
10. Marjolaine Meynier-Millefert ENS-TdP

Jura
1. Danielle Brulebois ENS-Ren
2. Marie-Christine Dalloz UDC-LR
3. Justine Gruet UDC-LR

Landes
1. Geneviève Darrieussecq ENS-Modem
2. Lionel Causse ENS-Ren
3. Boris Vallaud NUPES-PS

Loir-et-Cher
1. Marc Fesneau ENS-Modem
2. Emmanuelle Chaplaut ENS-Ren
3. Christophe Marion ENS-Ren

Loire
1. Laëtitia Copin NUPES-EELV
2. Andrée Taurinya NUPES-LFI
3. Emmanuel Mandon ENS-Ren
4. Dino Cinieri UDC-LR
5. Antoine Vermorel-Marques UDC-LR
6. Jean-Pierre Taite UDC-LR

Haute-Loire
1. Isabelle Valentin UDC-LR
2. Jean-Pierre Vigier UDC-LR

Loire-Atlantique
1. Karim Benbrahim NUPES-PS
2. Andy Kerbrat NUPES-LFI
3. Ségolène Amiot NUPES-LFI
4. Julie Laernoes NUPES-EELV
5. Sarah El Hairy ENS-Modem
6. Jordan Esnault ENS-Ren
7. Sandrine Josso ENS-Modem
8. Xavier Perrin DVG
9. Yannick Haury ENS-Ren
10. Sophie Errante ENS-Ren

Loiret
1. Stéphanie Rist ENS-Ren
2. Caroline Janvier ENS-Ren
3. Karine Barbier-Beauregard ENS-Modem
4. Bruno Nottin NUPES-PCF
5. Anthony Brosse ENS-Ren
6. Richard Ramos ENS-Modem

Lot
1. Aurélien Pradié UDC-LR
2. Christophe Proença DVG-PS

Lot-et-Garonne
1. Michel Lauzzana ENS-Ren
2. Christophe Courrègelongue NUPES-PS
3. Xavier Czapla NUPES-LFI

Lozère
1. Pierre Morel-à-l’Huissier UDC-LR

Maine-et-Loire
1. François Gernigon ENS-Hor
2. Stella Duppont ENS-Ren
3. Anne-Laure Blin UDC-LR
4. Laëtitia Saint-Paul ENS-Ren
5. Denis Masseglia ENS-Ren
6. Nicole Dubre-Chirat ENS-Ren
7. Philippe Bolo ENS-Modem

Manche
1. Philippe Gosselin UDC-LR
2. Betrand Sorre ENS-Ren
3. Stéphane Travert ENS-TdP
4. Anna Pic NUPES-PS

Marne
1. Xavier Albertini ENS-Ren
2. Lynda Meguenine NUPES-LFI
3. Eric Girardin ENS-Ren
4. Lise Magnier ENS-Hor
5. Charles de Courson UDC-UDI

Haute-Marne
1. Bérangère Abba ENS-Ren
2. François Cornut-Gentille UDC-LR

Mayenne
1. Guillaume Garot NUPES-PS
2. Géraldine Bannier ENS-Modem
3. Yannick Favennec ENS-Hor

Meurthe-et-Moselle
1. Carole Grandjean ENS-Ren
2. Stéphane Hablot NUPES-PS
3. Xavier Paluszkiewicz ENS-Ren
4. Thibault Bazin UDC-LR
5. Dominique Potier NUPES-PS
6. Caroline Fiat NUPES-LFI

Meuse
1. Bertrand Pancher UDC-DVD
2. Florence Goulet RN

Morbihan
1. Anne Le Henanff ENS-Hor
2. Jimmy Pahun ENS-Modem
3. Nicole Le Peih ENS-TdP
4. Paul Molac REG-UDB
5. Lysiane Metayer ENS-Ren
6. Jean-Michel Jacques ENS-Ren

Moselle
1. Belkhir Belhaddad ENS-TdP
2. Ludovic Mendes ENS-Ren
3. Charlotte Leduc NUPES-LFI
4. Fabien Di Filippo UDC-LR
5. Vincent Seitlinger UDC-LR
6. Kévin Pfeffer RN
7. Hélène Zannier ENS-Ren
8. Céline Léger NUPES-LFI
9. Isabelle Rauch ENS-Ren

Nièvre
1. Perrine Goulet ENS-Modem
2. Patrice Perrot ENS-TdP

Nord
1. Adrien Quattenens NUPES-LFI
2. Ugo Bernalicis NUPES-LFI
3. Benjamin Saint-Huile DVG
4. Brigitte Liso ENS-TdP
5. Ophélie Delneste NUPES-LFI
6. Charlotte Parmentier-Lecocq ENS-Ren
7. Félicie Gérard ENS-Hor
8. David Guiraud NUPES-LFI
9. Violette Spillebout ENS-Ren
10. Gérald Darmanin ENS
11. Roger Vicot NUPES-PS
12. Anne-Laure Cattelot ENS-Ren
13. Christine Decodts ENS-Ren
14. Paul Christophe ENS-Agir
15. Emilie Ducourant NUPES-EELV
16. Alain Bruneel NUPES-PCF
17. Dimitri Houbron ENS-Agir
18. Guy Bricout UDC-UDI
19. Sébastien Chenu RN
20. Fabien Roussel NUPES-PCF
21. Béatrice Descamps UDC-UDI


Oise
1. Victor Habert-Dassault UDC-LR
2. Chanez Herbanne ENS-Hor
3. Valérie Labatut NUPES-LFI
4. Eric Woerth ENS-Ren
5. Pierre Vatin UDC-LR
6. Carole Bureau-Bonnard ENS-Ren
7. Maxime Minot UDC-LR

Orne
1. Marie-Annick Duhard ENS-Ren
2. Véronique Louwagie UDC-LR
3. Jérôme Nury UDC-LR

Pas-de-Calais
1. Bruno Duvergé ENS-Modem
2. Jacqueline Maquet ENS-TdP
3. Jean-Marc Tellier NUPES-PCF
4. Philippe Fait ENS-Ren
5. Jean-Pierre Pont ENS-Ren
6. Brigitte Bourguignon ENS-TdP
7. Pierre-Henri Dumont UDC-LR
8. Bertrand Petit DVG-PS
9. Marguerite Deprez-Audebert ENS-Modem
10. Thierry Frappé RN
11. Marine Le Pen RN
12. Jérôme Darras NUPES-PS

Puy-de-Dôme
1. Marianne Maximi NUPES-LFI
2. Christine Pirès-Beaune NUPES-PS
3. Laurence Vichnievsky ENS-Modem
4. Delphine Lingemann ENS-Modem
5. André Chassaigne NUPES-PCF

Pyrénées-Atlantiques
1. Josie Pueyto ENS-Modem
2. Jean-Paul Matteï ENS-Modem
3. David Habib DVG-PS
4. Inaki Echaniz NUPES-PS
5. Florence Lasserre ENS-Modem
6. Vincent Bru ENS-Modem

Hautes-Pyrénées
1. Sylvie Ferrer NUPES-LFI
2. Grégory Korn NUPES-LFI

Pyrénées-Orientales
1. Romain Grau ENS-Ren
2. Anaïs Sabatini RN
3. Natalie Cullell NUPES-LFI
4. Sébastien Cazenove ENS-Ren

Bas-Rhin
1. Sandra Regol NUPES-EELV
2. Emmanuel Fernandes NUPES-LFI
3. Bruno Studer ENS-Ren
4. Françoise Bugget ENS-Ren
5. Charles Sitzenstuhl ENS-Ren
6. Louise Morel ENS-Modem
7. Patrick Hetzel UDC-LR
8. Stéphanie Kochert ENS-Hor
9. Vincent Thiébaut ENS-Ren

Haut-Rhin
1. Brigitte Klinkert ENS-Ren
2. Jacques Cattin UDC-LR
3. Didier Lemaire ENS-Hor
4. Raphaël Schellenberger UDC-LR
5. Olivier Becht ENS-Agir
6. Bruno Fuchs ENS-Modem

Rhône
1. Aurélie Gries NUPES-LFI
2. Hubert-Julien Lafferrière NUPES-P. Eco
3. Marie-Charlotte Garin NUPES-EELV
4. Anne Brugnera ENS-TdP
5. Blandine Brocard ENS-Ren
6. Gabriel Amard NUPES-LFI
7. Alexandre Vincendet UDC-LR
8. Nathalie Serre UDC-LR
9. Alexandre Portier UDC-LR
10. Thomas Gassilloud ENS-Agir
11. Jean-Luc Fugit ENS-Ren
12. Cyrille Isaac-Sibille ENS-Modem
13. Sarah Tannzilli ENS-Ren
14. Idir Boumertit NUPES-LFI

Haute-Saône
1. Barbara Bessot-Ballot ENS-Ren
2. Christophe Lejeune ENS-Ren

Saône-et-Loire
1. Benjamin Dirx ENS-Ren
2. Josiane Corneloup UDC-LR
3. Rémy Rebeyrotte ENS-TdP
4. Cécile Untermaier NUPES-PS
5. Gilles Platret UDC-LR

Sarthe
1. Julie Delpech ENS-Ren
2. Marietta Karamanli NUPES-DVG
3. Eric Martineau ENS-Modem
4. Elise Leboucher NUPES-LFI
5. Jean-Carles Grelier ENS-DVD

Savoie
1. Marina Ferrari ENS-Modem
2. Vincent Rolland UDC-LR
3. Emilie Bonnivard UDC-LR
4. Jean-François Coulomme NUPES-LFI

Haute-Savoie
1. Véronique Riotton ENS-Ren
2. Antoine Armand ENS-Ren
3. Christelle Petex-Levet UDC-LR
4. Virginie Duby-Muller UDC-LR
5. Anne-Cécile Violland ENS-Hor
6. Xavier Roseren ENS-Ren

Paris
1. Sylvain Maillard ENS-Ren
2. Gilles Le Gendre ENS-Ren
3. Léa Balage El Mariky NUPES-EELV
4. Brigitte Kuster UDC-LR
5. Julien Bayou NUPES-EELV
6. Sophia Chikirou NUPES-LFI
7. Caroline Mécary NUPES-LFI
8. Eva Sas NUPES-EELV
9. Buon Tan ENS-Ren
10. Rodrigo Arenas NUPES-LFI
11. Maud Gatel ENS-Modem
12. Olivia Gregoire ENS-Ren
13. David Amiel ENS-Ren
14. Francis Szpiner UDC-LR
15. Danielle Simonnet NUPES-LFI
16. Sarah Legrain NUPES-LFI
17. Danièle Obono NUPES-LFI
18. Pierre-Yves Bournazel ENS-Hor

Seine-Maritime
1. Maxime Da Silva NUPES-LFI
2. Annie Vidal ENS-Ren
3. Hubert Wulfranc NUPES-PCF
4. Alma Dufour NUPES-LFI
5. Gérard Leseul NUPES-PS
6. Sébastien Jumel NUPES-PCF
7. Agnès Firmin-Le Bodo ENS-Hor
8. Jean-Paul Lecoq NUPES-PCF
9. Marie-Agnès Poussier-Winsback ENS-Hor
10. Xavier Batut ENS-Ren

Seine-et-Marne
1. Aude Luquet ENS-Modem
2. Frédéric Valletoux ENS-Hor
3. Jean-Louis Thiériot UDC-LR
4. Isabelle Périgault UDC-LR
5. Franck Riester ENS-Agir
6. Valérie Delage NUPES-LFI
7. Ersilia Soudais NUPES-LFI
8. Hadrien Ghomi ENS-Ren
9. Michèle Peyron ENS-TdP
10. Maxime Laisney NUPES-LFI
11. Olivier Faure NUPES-PS

Yvelines
1. Charles Rodwell ENS-Ren
2. Jean-Noël Barrot ENS-Modem
3. Béatrice Piron ENS-Ren
4. Marie Lebec ENS-Ren
5. Yaël Braun-Pivet ENS-Ren
6. Natalia Pouzyreff ENS-Ren
7. Nadia Hai ENS-Ren
8. Edwige Hervieux ENS-Ren
9. Bruno Millienne ENS-Modem
10. Aurore Bergé ENS-Ren
11. Aurélie Piacenza ENS-Ren
12. Karl Olive ENS-Ren

Deux-Sèvres
1. François Charron NUPES-LFI
2. Delphine Batho NUPES-P. Eco
3. Jean-Marie Fievet ENS-Ren

Somme
1. François Ruffin NUPES-LFI
2. Barbara Pompili ENS-EC
3. Emmanuel Maquet UDC-LR
4. Jean-Claude Leclabart ENS-Ren
5. Yaël Ménache RN

Tarn
1. Gérard Poujade NUPES-LFI
2. Karen Erodi NUPES-LFI
3. Jean Terlier ENS-Ren

Tarn-et-Garonne
1. Valérie Rabault NUPES-PS
2. Christian Astruc ENS-Hor

Var
1. Yannick Chenevard ENS-Hor
2. Ange Musso ENS-Hor
3. Isabelle Montfort ENS-Hor
4. Philippe Lottiaux RN
5. Julie Lechanteux RN
6. Frank Giletti RN
7. Cécile Muschotti ENS-EC
8. Fabien Matras ENS-Ren

Vaucluse
1. Farid Faryssy NUPES-LFI
2. Sylvie Viala ENS-Ren
3. Hervé de Lepinau RN
4. Marie-France Lorho Ext. D
5. Jean-François Lovisolo ENS-Ren

Vendée
1. Philippe Latombe ENS-Modem
2. Béatrice Bellamy ENS-Hor
3. Stéphane Buchou ENS-Ren
4. Véronique Besse DVD
5. Pierre Henriet ENS-Ren

Vienne
1. Françoise Ballet-Blu ENS-Ren
2. Sacha Houlie ENS-Ren
3. Pascal Lecamp ENS-Modem
4. Nicolas Turquois ENS-Modem

Haute-Vienne
1. Damien Maudet NUPES-LFI
2. Stéphane Delautrette NUPES-PS
3. Manon Meunier NUPES-LFI

Vosges
1. Stéphane Viry UDC-LR
2. David Valence ENS-PRV
3. Christophe Naegelen UDC-UDI
4. Jean-Jacques Gaultier UDC-LR

Yonne
1. Florence Loury NUPES-EELV
2. André Villiers ENS-Hor
3. Julien Odoul RN

Territoire-de-Belfort
1. Ian Boucard UDC-LR
2. Florian Chauche NUPES-LFI

Essonne
1. Farida Amrani NUPES-LFI
2. Mathieu Hillaire NUPES-LFI
3. Alexis Izard ENS-Ren
4. Marie-Pierre Rixain ENS-Ren
5. Cédric Villani NUPES-P. Eco
6. Jérôme Guedj NUPES-PS
7. Robin Reda ENS-Ren
8. Nicolas Dupont-Aignan DLF
9. Marie Guvenoux ENS-Ren
10. Antoine Léaument NUPES-LFI

Hauts-de-Seine
1. Elsa Faucillon NUPES-PCF
2. Marie-Dominique Aeschlimann UDC-LR
3. Philippe Juvin UDC-LR
4. Isabelle Florennes ENS-Modem
5. Céline Calvez ENS-Ren
6. Constance Le Grip ENS
7. Pierre Cazeneuve ENS-Ren
8. Prisca Thevenot ENS-Ren
9. Pascal Louap UDC-LR
10. Gabriel Attal ENS-Ren
11. Aurélien Saintoul NUPES-LFI
12. Jean-Louis Bourlanges ENS-Modem
13. Maud Brégeon ENS-Ren

Seine-Saint-Denis
1. Eric Coquerel NUPES-LFI
2. Stéphane Peu NUPES-PCF
3. Thomas Portes NUPES-LFI
4. Soumya Bourouaha NUPES-PCF
5. Jean-Christophe Lagarde UDC-UDI
6. Bastien Lachaud NUPES-LFI
7. Alexis Corbière NUPES-LFI
8. Fatiha Keloua-Hachi NUPES-PS
9. Aurélie Trouvé NUPES-LFI
10. Alain Ramadier UDC-LR
11. Clémentine Autain NUPES-LFI
12. Stéphane Testé ENS-TdP

Val-de-Marne
1. Frédéric Descrozaille ENS-Ren
2. Clémence Guetté NUPES-LFI
3. Laurent Saint-Martin ENS-Ren
4. Maud Petit ENS-Modem
5. Mathieu Lefevre ENS-Ren
6. Guillaume Gouffier-Cha ENS-Ren
7. Rachel Kéké NUPES-LFI
8. Michel Herbillon UDC-LR
9. Isabelle Santiago NUPES-PS
10. Mathilde Panot NUPES-LFI
11. Sophie Taillé-Polian NUPES-G.s

Val-d'Oise
1. Emilie Chandler ENS-Ren
2. Guillaume Vuilletet ENS-Ren
3. Cécile Rilhac ENS-Ren
4. Naïma Moutchou ENS-Hor
5. Paul Vannier NUPES-LFI
6. Estelle Folest ENS-RR
7. Dominique Da Silva ENS-Ren
8. Carlos Martens Bilongo NUPES-LFI
9. Arnaud Le Gall NUPES-LFI
10. Victorien Lachas ENS-Ren

Guadeloupe
1. Dominique Biras DVG
2. Christian Baptiste DVG-PS
3. Max Mathiasin DVC
4. Elie Califer DVG-PS

Martinique
1. Philippe Edmond-Mariette DVG-MIM
2. Marcellin Nadeau NUPES-DVG
3. Johnny Hajjar DVG-PPM
4. Jean-Philippe Nilor NUPES-DVG

Guyane
1. Jean-Victor Castor DVG
2. Davy Rimane NUPES-LFI

La Réunion
1. Philippe Nailet NUPES-PS
2. Karine Lebon NUPES-PLR
3. Nathalie Bassire UDC-DVD
4. David Lorion UDC-LR
5. Jean-Hugues Ratenon NUPES-LFI
6. Frédéric Maillot NUPES-PLR
7. Thierry Robert DVC

Mayotte
1. Estelle Youssouffa ENS-DVD
2. Mansour Kamardine UDC-LR

Saint-Barthélémy – Saint-Martin
1. Daniel Gibbs UDC-LR diss.

Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon
1. Stéphane Lenormand UDC-AD

Nouvelle-Calédonie
1. Philippe Dunoyer ENS-autres
2. Nicolas Metzdorf ENS-autres

Wallis-et-Futuna
1. Mikaele Seo UDC-DVD

Polynésie française
1. Nicole Bouteau ENS-Tapura
2. Tepuaraurii Teriitahi ENS-Tapura
3. Moetai Brotherson NUPES-DVG

Français hors de France
1. Roland Lescure ENS-Ren
2. Eléonore Caroit ENS-Ren
3. Alexander Holroyd ENS-Ren
4. Pieyre-Alexandre Anglade ENS-Ren
5. Stéphane Vojetta ENS-autres
6. Marc Ferracci ENS-Ren
7. Frédéric Petit ENS-Modem
8. Meyer Habib UDC-UDI
9. Elisabeth Moreno ENS-Ren
10. Amal-Amélia Lakrafi ENS-Ren
11. Anne Genetet ENS-Ren



I have:
293 Ensemble (51 safe, 112 likely, 130 leaning)
161 NUPES (53 safe, 43 likely, 65 leaning)
84 UDC (36 safe, 24 likely, 24 leaning)
16 RN (1 safe, 2 likely, 13 leaning)
14 left-wing (2 safe, 5 likely, 7 leaning)

4 regionalists, autonomists, independentists (1 safe, 2 likely, 1 leaning)
2 centrists (both leaning)
2 right-wing (both leaning)
1 far-right (leaning)

Among the 245 leaning, the beaten candidates are:
109 NUPES
68 Ensemble
57 RN
5 left-wing
3 UDC
3 centrists

[ilerda]

16 with only 2 safe seems quite low for RN. I know it’s not a direct comparison but they came out on top in a lot more than that in the second round of the presidential. In fact there are more than 2 seats where they won more than 40% of the vote this time, and I’d have thought they’d be more than certain in Var’s 4 given the likelihood of hoovering up Zemmour’s vote their.

I know they don’t necessarily win loads of transfers, but is there a methodological reason for you predicting them to fail in so many of the seats they led the first round in?

[finsobruce]

Jun 16, 2022 15:53:12 GMT mattbewilson said:

If you're good I'll show you my collection

Yes, my mother warned me about blokes like you.

[Khunanup]

Jun 16, 2022 12:10:02 GMT mattbewilson said:

Jun 16, 2022 11:56:01 GMT johnloony said:

I haven’t been following the micro-Details of French politics in the last few years as much as I would have done perhaps 15 or 20 years ago, so I went to Wikipedia to check exactly what “NUPES” is. I was amused to discover that it includes:

Generation.s which aims to “refound and gather the left” and supports eco-socialism;
Ensemble! which Ensemble!, which is anti-capitalist, anti-racist, feminist and eco-socialist;
La France Insoumise, which is democratic socialist, populist and eco-socialist;
as well as the Socialist Party and the Communist Party.

If all these eclectic and eccentric lefties had stuck with continuing to vote for, and be involved in, the Socialist Party like they were 30 or 40 years ago, they might have achieved more of their objectives in the first place, instead of splitting all over the place and being slow to co-operate again.

It might have helped if France had adopted FPTP from 1958 instead of having its silly two-round system.
The silly two-round system is only possible because they don’t even use proper ballot papers like proper countries do.

if the left is known for doing anything it's splitting and hating each other more than they hate the opposition. Sadly not only true of France. Currently watching the Unison conference unfold in dispair. They clearly took one look at unity and thought not for us

What's got the delegates of Unison (my union) to engage in some mutual loathing this time?

[maxque]

Jun 16, 2022 12:10:02 GMT mattbewilson said:

Jun 16, 2022 11:56:01 GMT johnloony said:

I haven’t been following the micro-Details of French politics in the last few years as much as I would have done perhaps 15 or 20 years ago, so I went to Wikipedia to check exactly what “NUPES” is. I was amused to discover that it includes:

Generation.s which aims to “refound and gather the left” and supports eco-socialism;
Ensemble! which Ensemble!, which is anti-capitalist, anti-racist, feminist and eco-socialist;
La France Insoumise, which is democratic socialist, populist and eco-socialist;
as well as the Socialist Party and the Communist Party.

If all these eclectic and eccentric lefties had stuck with continuing to vote for, and be involved in, the Socialist Party like they were 30 or 40 years ago, they might have achieved more of their objectives in the first place, instead of splitting all over the place and being slow to co-operate again.

It might have helped if France had adopted FPTP from 1958 instead of having its silly two-round system.
The silly two-round system is only possible because they don’t even use proper ballot papers like proper countries do.

if the left is known for doing anything it's splitting and hating each other more than they hate the opposition. Sadly not only true of France. Currently watching the Unison conference unfold in dispair. They clearly took one look at unity and thought not for us

Générations was funded by Hamon (the 2017 PS candidate) after it became clear the PS was opposed to all the left working together and still was on the fence about Macron. It is pretty much a satellite of the Greens, now.
Ensemble was a NPA (New Anticapitalist Party) outshoot that left the NPA to join the FG (Left Front; the alliance of the PCF and the previous Mélenchon Party, PG (Left Party)).

[relique]

Jun 16, 2022 20:27:08 GMT ilerda said:

16 with only 2 safe seems quite low for RN. I know it’s not a direct comparison but they came out on top in a lot more than that in the second round of the presidential. In fact there are more than 2 seats where they won more than 40% of the vote this time, and I’d have thought they’d be more than certain in Var’s 4 given the likelihood of hoovering up Zemmour’s vote their.

I know they don’t necessarily win loads of transfers, but is there a methodological reason for you predicting them to fail in so many of the seats they led the first round in?

I'm quite puzzled at the potential transfers from Zemmour candidates to Le Pen candidates.

You might very well be right but
- on the ground Zemmour and his candidates are having a "little virgin boy pulling a tantrum for not getting his toy to work" moment and are calling to not vote RN
- the transfers were very very bad in the presidential as their two electorates are completely different (rn and nupes electorates sharing more similarities than rn and reconquête).

I might be wrong, of course, but these facts make me wonder and doubt


Finally, one thing: it's very hard for RN to won when they are not at least 15 points ahead on the first round, even with such vote "reserves"

[ilerda]

Jun 17, 2022 4:06:42 GMT relique said:

Jun 16, 2022 20:27:08 GMT ilerda said:

16 with only 2 safe seems quite low for RN. I know it’s not a direct comparison but they came out on top in a lot more than that in the second round of the presidential. In fact there are more than 2 seats where they won more than 40% of the vote this time, and I’d have thought they’d be more than certain in Var’s 4 given the likelihood of hoovering up Zemmour’s vote their.

I know they don’t necessarily win loads of transfers, but is there a methodological reason for you predicting them to fail in so many of the seats they led the first round in?

I'm quite puzzled at the potential transfers from Zemmour candidates to Le Pen candidates.

You might very well be right but
- on the ground Zemmour and his candidates are having a "little virgin boy pulling a tantrum for not getting his toy to work" moment and are calling to not vote RN
- the transfers were very very bad in the presidential as their two electorates are completely different (rn and nupes electorates sharing more similarities than rn and reconquête).

I might be wrong, of course, but these facts make me wonder and doubt


Finally, one thing: it's very hard for RN to won when they are not at least 15 points ahead on the first round, even with such vote "reserves"

I agree that in the vast majority of places REC transfers to RN would be quite bad because of the different voter profiles - in Paris and the metropolitan cities for example. However my thinking on Var’ 4 is that a lot more RN-inclined voters might have gone for Zemmour in the first round because he’s a big name and they thought his high profile made him more likely to make the second round than the RN candidate.

Also not sure how many voters will listen to him saying don’t transfer to RN when he said the exact opposite for the presidential election.

[mattbewilson]

Jun 16, 2022 22:20:31 GMT Khunanup said:

Jun 16, 2022 12:10:02 GMT mattbewilson said:

if the left is known for doing anything it's splitting and hating each other more than they hate the opposition. Sadly not only true of France. Currently watching the Unison conference unfold in dispair. They clearly took one look at unity and thought not for us

What's got the delegates of Unison (my union) to engage in some mutual loathing this time?

there appears to be a showdown between the newly elected NEC and conference delegates. It's all in foreign language to me but they all seem very passionate about something. Not sure what but it's very important

[Toylyyev]

Jun 12, 2022 23:51:16 GMT mattbewilson said:

Jun 12, 2022 23:49:21 GMT relique said:

I think the difference between the two is that Le monde classified some over-seas candidates as nupes while the interior ministry didn't

ah that makes sense. I was reading the vote totals in Le Monde and Interior Ministry and getting very confused. How can less people vote and the turnout be higher! Thanks for clearing that up

After reading up on the fascinating hexagonal brawl about the result and the nuance¹, a comparison of the left, centre, right and extreme right totals to  quantify the change to 2017 as an alternative to sorting out and adding up 579 constituencies, with a couple of its own debatable lands. ECO lost EELV in 2022. DXG and RDG are with the left despite of my penchant for the argument that a non-negligible share of the 'extreme left' may fit better with other collective memes than 'left'. And that the combo of 'radical' and 'left' has oxymoronic quality.

NUP+DVG+DXG+RDG² 6,942,754 30.52% (+6.50) |  5,442,592 24.02%  FI+SOC+COM+DVG+EXG+RDG³
        ENS+DVC² 6,140,976 27.00% (-5.33) |  7,323,496 32.33%  REM+MDM³
     RN+REC+DXD² 5,219,769 22.95% (+9.45) |  3,058,774 13.50%  FN+EXD³
 LR+DVD+UDI+DSV² 3,348,887 14.72% (-8.02) |  5,151,417 22.74%  LR+UDI+DVD+DLF³
            ECO²   608,314  2.67% (-1.62) |    973,527  4.30%  ECO³
            REG²   291,384  1.28%  (+.38) |    204,049   .90%  REG³
            DIV²   192,624   .85% (-1.36) |    500,309  2.21%  DIV³
                --------------------------|------------------
                22,744,708 46.46% (-1.16) | 22,654,164 47.62%  
  Blank ballots    362,193   .74%  (-.01) |    357,018   .75%
   Null ballots    149,306   .30%  (-.02) |    156,326   .33%
                --------------------------|------------------
     Electorate 48,953,748                | 47,570,988

1. noted in Belgium www.moustique.be/actu/monde/2022/06/14/elections-legislatives-2022-pourquoi-la-nupes-parle-de-manipulation-des-chiffres-240790
   
2. 2022 nuances: www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives-2022/nuances.html
   
3. 2017 nuances: www.interieur.gouv.fr/Elections/Les-resultats/Legislatives/elecresult__legislatives-2017/(path)/legislatives-2017//nuances.html
   

[john07]

Jun 16, 2022 13:02:04 GMT mattbewilson said:

Jun 16, 2022 12:24:52 GMT finsobruce said:

Would they still have a COHSE relationship?

I've got a COHSE badge at home

I have a tea COHSE.

[relique]

The 203 constituencies to watch on sunday, that would give or not Macron his absolute majority. He needs 126 of them.

Aisne 4.
Alpes-Maritimes 4.
Alpes-Maritimes 5.
Aube 1.
Aveyron 2.
Aveyron 3.
Bas-Rhin 2.
Bas-Rhin 3.
Calvados 1.
Charente 1.
Charente-Maritimes 2.
Côte d’Or 2.
Côte d’Or 3.
Côtes-d'Armor 1.
Côtes-d'Armor 4.
Côtes-d'Armor 5.
Creuse 1.
Deux-Sèvres 1.
Dordogne 1.
Dordogne 3.
Dordogne 4.
Doubs 1.
Doubs 2.
Doubs 4.
Drôme 1.
Drôme 3.
Essonne 10.
Essonne 3.
Essonne 5.
Essonne 6.
Essonne 7.
Essonne 9.
Eure 2.
Eure 3.
Finistère 5.
Finistère 6.
Finistère 7.
Finistère 8.
Français hors de France 8.
Français hors de France 9.
Gard 1.
Gard 2.
Gard 3.
Gard 6.
Gers 1.
Gironde 11.
Gironde 12.
Gironde 6.
Gironde 7.
Gironde 9.
Guadeloupe 1.
Guadeloupe 2.
Guadeloupe 3.
Guyane 2.
Haut-Rhin 1.
Haut-Rhin 2.
Haute-Garonne 10.
Haute-Garonne 3.
Haute-Garonne 5.
Haute-Garonne 6.
Haute-Garonne 7.
Haute-Marne 1.
Haute-Saône 1.
Haute-Saône 2.
Haute-Vienne 1.
Haute-Vienne 3.
Hautes-Alpes 1.
Hautes-Pyrénées 1.
Hautes-Pyrénées 2.
Hauts-de-Seine 11.
Hauts-de-Seine 12.
Hauts-de-Seine 13.
Hauts-de-Seine 3.
Hauts-de-Seine 4.
Hauts-de-Seine 5.
Hauts-de-Seine 9.
Hérault 1.
Hérault 3.
Hérault 9.
Ille-et-Vilaine 1.
Ille-et-Vilaine 2.
Ille-et-Vilaine 3.
Ille-et-Vilaine 4.
Ille-et-Vilaine 7.
Indre-et-Loire 1.
Indre-et-Loire 4.
Isère 10.
Isère 2.
Isère 5.
Isère 6.
Isère 9.
La Réunion 7.
Landes 2.
Loir-et-Cher 2.
Loire 1.
Loire 2.
Loire 6.
Loire-Atlantique 1.
Loire-Atlantique 10.
Loire-Atlantique 6.
Loire-Atlantique 7.
Loire-Atlantique 9.
Loiret 2.
Loiret 3.
Loiret 5.
Lot 2.
Lot-et-Garonne 1.
Maine-et-Loire 1.
Manche 4.
Mayotte 1.
Mayotte 1.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 1.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 2.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 3.
Meuse 2.
Morbihan 1.
Morbihan 5.
Morbihan 6.
Moselle 2.
Moselle 6.
Moselle 7.
Nièvre 2.
Nord 11.
Nord 12.
Nord 17.
Nord 7.
Oise 2.
Oise 6.
Orne 1.
Paris 10.
Paris 11.
Paris 14.
Paris 18.
Paris 3.
Paris 4.
Paris 7.
Paris 8.
Paris 9.
Pas-de-Calais 1.
Pas-de-Calais 9.
Polynésie française 3.
Puy-de-Dôme 1.
Puy-de-Dôme 3.
Puy-de-Dôme 4.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 1.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 5.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6.
Pyrénées-Orientales 1.
Pyrénées-Orientales 2.
Pyrénées-Orientales 4.
Rhône 1.
Rhône 14.
Rhône 4.
Rhône 8.
Saint-Barthélémy – Saint-Martin 1.
Sarthe 1.
Savoie 4.
Seine-et-Marne 1.
Seine-et-Marne 10.
Seine-et-Marne 9.
Seine-Maritime 1.
Seine-Saint-Denis 12.
Seine-Saint-Denis 3.
Seine-Saint-Denis 8.
Somme 2.
Somme 4.
Tarn 2.
Tarn 3.
Tarn-et-Garonne 2.
Val-d'Oise 1.
Val-d'Oise 10.
Val-d'Oise 2.
Val-d'Oise 3.
Val-d'Oise 4.
Val-d'Oise 6.
Val-d'Oise 7.
Val-d'Oise 8.
Val-de-Marne 1.
Val-de-Marne 3.
Val-de-Marne 4.
Val-de-Marne 5.
Val-de-Marne 6.
Val-de-Marne 7.
Var 2.
Var 3.
Var 4.
Var 5.
Var 6.
Var 7.
Var 8.
Vaucluse 2.
Vaucluse 3.
Vaucluse 4.
Vaucluse 5.
Vendée 4.
Vienne 1.
Vienne 2.
Wallis-et-Futuna 1.
Yonne 2.
Yonne 3.
Yvelines 11.
Yvelines 7.
Yvelines 8.

[mattbewilson]

Jun 17, 2022 17:48:47 GMT relique said:

The 203 constituencies to watch on sunday, that would give or not Macron his absolute majority. He needs 126 of them.

Aisne 4.
Alpes-Maritimes 4.
Alpes-Maritimes 5.
Aube 1.
Aveyron 2.
Aveyron 3.
Bas-Rhin 2.
Bas-Rhin 3.
Calvados 1.
Charente 1.
Charente-Maritimes 2.
Côte d’Or 2.
Côte d’Or 3.
Côtes-d'Armor 1.
Côtes-d'Armor 4.
Côtes-d'Armor 5.
Creuse 1.
Deux-Sèvres 1.
Dordogne 1.
Dordogne 3.
Dordogne 4.
Doubs 1.
Doubs 2.
Doubs 4.
Drôme 1.
Drôme 3.
Essonne 10.
Essonne 3.
Essonne 5.
Essonne 6.
Essonne 7.
Essonne 9.
Eure 2.
Eure 3.
Finistère 5.
Finistère 6.
Finistère 7.
Finistère 8.
Français hors de France 8.
Français hors de France 9.
Gard 1.
Gard 2.
Gard 3.
Gard 6.
Gers 1.
Gironde 11.
Gironde 12.
Gironde 6.
Gironde 7.
Gironde 9.
Guadeloupe 1.
Guadeloupe 2.
Guadeloupe 3.
Guyane 2.
Haut-Rhin 1.
Haut-Rhin 2.
Haute-Garonne 10.
Haute-Garonne 3.
Haute-Garonne 5.
Haute-Garonne 6.
Haute-Garonne 7.
Haute-Marne 1.
Haute-Saône 1.
Haute-Saône 2.
Haute-Vienne 1.
Haute-Vienne 3.
Hautes-Alpes 1.
Hautes-Pyrénées 1.
Hautes-Pyrénées 2.
Hauts-de-Seine 11.
Hauts-de-Seine 12.
Hauts-de-Seine 13.
Hauts-de-Seine 3.
Hauts-de-Seine 4.
Hauts-de-Seine 5.
Hauts-de-Seine 9.
Hérault 1.
Hérault 3.
Hérault 9.
Ille-et-Vilaine 1.
Ille-et-Vilaine 2.
Ille-et-Vilaine 3.
Ille-et-Vilaine 4.
Ille-et-Vilaine 7.
Indre-et-Loire 1.
Indre-et-Loire 4.
Isère 10.
Isère 2.
Isère 5.
Isère 6.
Isère 9.
La Réunion 7.
Landes 2.
Loir-et-Cher 2.
Loire 1.
Loire 2.
Loire 6.
Loire-Atlantique 1.
Loire-Atlantique 10.
Loire-Atlantique 6.
Loire-Atlantique 7.
Loire-Atlantique 9.
Loiret 2.
Loiret 3.
Loiret 5.
Lot 2.
Lot-et-Garonne 1.
Maine-et-Loire 1.
Manche 4.
Mayotte 1.
Mayotte 1.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 1.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 2.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 3.
Meuse 2.
Morbihan 1.
Morbihan 5.
Morbihan 6.
Moselle 2.
Moselle 6.
Moselle 7.
Nièvre 2.
Nord 11.
Nord 12.
Nord 17.
Nord 7.
Oise 2.
Oise 6.
Orne 1.
Paris 10.
Paris 11.
Paris 14.
Paris 18.
Paris 3.
Paris 4.
Paris 7.
Paris 8.
Paris 9.
Pas-de-Calais 1.
Pas-de-Calais 9.
Polynésie française 3.
Puy-de-Dôme 1.
Puy-de-Dôme 3.
Puy-de-Dôme 4.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 1.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 5.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6.
Pyrénées-Orientales 1.
Pyrénées-Orientales 2.
Pyrénées-Orientales 4.
Rhône 1.
Rhône 14.
Rhône 4.
Rhône 8.
Saint-Barthélémy – Saint-Martin 1.
Sarthe 1.
Savoie 4.
Seine-et-Marne 1.
Seine-et-Marne 10.
Seine-et-Marne 9.
Seine-Maritime 1.
Seine-Saint-Denis 12.
Seine-Saint-Denis 3.
Seine-Saint-Denis 8.
Somme 2.
Somme 4.
Tarn 2.
Tarn 3.
Tarn-et-Garonne 2.
Val-d'Oise 1.
Val-d'Oise 10.
Val-d'Oise 2.
Val-d'Oise 3.
Val-d'Oise 4.
Val-d'Oise 6.
Val-d'Oise 7.
Val-d'Oise 8.
Val-de-Marne 1.
Val-de-Marne 3.
Val-de-Marne 4.
Val-de-Marne 5.
Val-de-Marne 6.
Val-de-Marne 7.
Var 2.
Var 3.
Var 4.
Var 5.
Var 6.
Var 7.
Var 8.
Vaucluse 2.
Vaucluse 3.
Vaucluse 4.
Vaucluse 5.
Vendée 4.
Vienne 1.
Vienne 2.
Wallis-et-Futuna 1.
Yonne 2.
Yonne 3.
Yvelines 11.
Yvelines 7.
Yvelines 8.

[maxque]

Jun 17, 2022 21:46:22 GMT mattbewilson said:

Jun 17, 2022 17:48:47 GMT relique said:

The 203 constituencies to watch on sunday, that would give or not Macron his absolute majority. He needs 126 of them.

Aisne 4.
Alpes-Maritimes 4.
Alpes-Maritimes 5.
Aube 1.
Aveyron 2.
Aveyron 3.
Bas-Rhin 2.
Bas-Rhin 3.
Calvados 1.
Charente 1.
Charente-Maritimes 2.
Côte d’Or 2.
Côte d’Or 3.
Côtes-d'Armor 1.
Côtes-d'Armor 4.
Côtes-d'Armor 5.
Creuse 1.
Deux-Sèvres 1.
Dordogne 1.
Dordogne 3.
Dordogne 4.
Doubs 1.
Doubs 2.
Doubs 4.
Drôme 1.
Drôme 3.
Essonne 10.
Essonne 3.
Essonne 5.
Essonne 6.
Essonne 7.
Essonne 9.
Eure 2.
Eure 3.
Finistère 5.
Finistère 6.
Finistère 7.
Finistère 8.
Français hors de France 8.
Français hors de France 9.
Gard 1.
Gard 2.
Gard 3.
Gard 6.
Gers 1.
Gironde 11.
Gironde 12.
Gironde 6.
Gironde 7.
Gironde 9.
Guadeloupe 1.
Guadeloupe 2.
Guadeloupe 3.
Guyane 2.
Haut-Rhin 1.
Haut-Rhin 2.
Haute-Garonne 10.
Haute-Garonne 3.
Haute-Garonne 5.
Haute-Garonne 6.
Haute-Garonne 7.
Haute-Marne 1.
Haute-Saône 1.
Haute-Saône 2.
Haute-Vienne 1.
Haute-Vienne 3.
Hautes-Alpes 1.
Hautes-Pyrénées 1.
Hautes-Pyrénées 2.
Hauts-de-Seine 11.
Hauts-de-Seine 12.
Hauts-de-Seine 13.
Hauts-de-Seine 3.
Hauts-de-Seine 4.
Hauts-de-Seine 5.
Hauts-de-Seine 9.
Hérault 1.
Hérault 3.
Hérault 9.
Ille-et-Vilaine 1.
Ille-et-Vilaine 2.
Ille-et-Vilaine 3.
Ille-et-Vilaine 4.
Ille-et-Vilaine 7.
Indre-et-Loire 1.
Indre-et-Loire 4.
Isère 10.
Isère 2.
Isère 5.
Isère 6.
Isère 9.
La Réunion 7.
Landes 2.
Loir-et-Cher 2.
Loire 1.
Loire 2.
Loire 6.
Loire-Atlantique 1.
Loire-Atlantique 10.
Loire-Atlantique 6.
Loire-Atlantique 7.
Loire-Atlantique 9.
Loiret 2.
Loiret 3.
Loiret 5.
Lot 2.
Lot-et-Garonne 1.
Maine-et-Loire 1.
Manche 4.
Mayotte 1.
Mayotte 1.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 1.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 2.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 3.
Meuse 2.
Morbihan 1.
Morbihan 5.
Morbihan 6.
Moselle 2.
Moselle 6.
Moselle 7.
Nièvre 2.
Nord 11.
Nord 12.
Nord 17.
Nord 7.
Oise 2.
Oise 6.
Orne 1.
Paris 10.
Paris 11.
Paris 14.
Paris 18.
Paris 3.
Paris 4.
Paris 7.
Paris 8.
Paris 9.
Pas-de-Calais 1.
Pas-de-Calais 9.
Polynésie française 3.
Puy-de-Dôme 1.
Puy-de-Dôme 3.
Puy-de-Dôme 4.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 1.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 5.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6.
Pyrénées-Orientales 1.
Pyrénées-Orientales 2.
Pyrénées-Orientales 4.
Rhône 1.
Rhône 14.
Rhône 4.
Rhône 8.
Saint-Barthélémy – Saint-Martin 1.
Sarthe 1.
Savoie 4.
Seine-et-Marne 1.
Seine-et-Marne 10.
Seine-et-Marne 9.
Seine-Maritime 1.
Seine-Saint-Denis 12.
Seine-Saint-Denis 3.
Seine-Saint-Denis 8.
Somme 2.
Somme 4.
Tarn 2.
Tarn 3.
Tarn-et-Garonne 2.
Val-d'Oise 1.
Val-d'Oise 10.
Val-d'Oise 2.
Val-d'Oise 3.
Val-d'Oise 4.
Val-d'Oise 6.
Val-d'Oise 7.
Val-d'Oise 8.
Val-de-Marne 1.
Val-de-Marne 3.
Val-de-Marne 4.
Val-de-Marne 5.
Val-de-Marne 6.
Val-de-Marne 7.
Var 2.
Var 3.
Var 4.
Var 5.
Var 6.
Var 7.
Var 8.
Vaucluse 2.
Vaucluse 3.
Vaucluse 4.
Vaucluse 5.
Vendée 4.
Vienne 1.
Vienne 2.
Wallis-et-Futuna 1.
Yonne 2.
Yonne 3.
Yvelines 11.
Yvelines 7.
Yvelines 8.

Amélie de Montchalin might be targeted by opponents as she is an important Cabinet minister.

[relique]

I remember the expression Global Britain.

Just for fun, a look at "Global France".

Polls will open in:
- Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon: today 10am GMT
- Guyane: 11am GMT
- Martinique, Guadeloupe, Saint-Martin, Saint-Barthélémy: 12am GMT
- Polynésie française, Wallis et Futuna: 8pm GMT
- Nouvelle-Calédonie: 9pm GMT
- La Réunion: sunday 4am GMT
- Mayotte: 5am GMT
- Metropolitan France: 6am GMT

And, of course, I'm not including foreign countries.

We should expect the first second round result in Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon between 9 and 10pm GMT today. Then Guyane, foreign countries french 1st and 2nd, then Guadeloupe, Martinique and the Saint-Barthélémy-Saint-Martin constituency.

Polynésie française and Wallis-et-Futuna will come on sunday morning, Nouvelle-Calédonie as well, then between 6 and 7pm for La Réunion, later Mayotte and then Metropolitan France.

[dizz]

Jun 17, 2022 17:48:47 GMT relique said:

The 203 constituencies to watch on sunday, that would give or not Macron his absolute majority. He needs 126 of them.

Aisne 4.
Alpes-Maritimes 4.
Alpes-Maritimes 5.
Aube 1.
Aveyron 2.
Aveyron 3.
Bas-Rhin 2.
Bas-Rhin 3.
Calvados 1.
Charente 1.
Charente-Maritimes 2.
Côte d’Or 2.
Côte d’Or 3.
Côtes-d'Armor 1.
Côtes-d'Armor 4.
Côtes-d'Armor 5.
Creuse 1.
Deux-Sèvres 1.
Dordogne 1.
Dordogne 3.
Dordogne 4.
Doubs 1.
Doubs 2.
Doubs 4.
Drôme 1.
Drôme 3.
Essonne 10.
Essonne 3.
Essonne 5.
Essonne 6.
Essonne 7.
Essonne 9.
Eure 2.
Eure 3.
Finistère 5.
Finistère 6.
Finistère 7.
Finistère 8.
Français hors de France 8.
Français hors de France 9.
Gard 1.
Gard 2.
Gard 3.
Gard 6.
Gers 1.
Gironde 11.
Gironde 12.
Gironde 6.
Gironde 7.
Gironde 9.
Guadeloupe 1.
Guadeloupe 2.
Guadeloupe 3.
Guyane 2.
Haut-Rhin 1.
Haut-Rhin 2.
Haute-Garonne 10.
Haute-Garonne 3.
Haute-Garonne 5.
Haute-Garonne 6.
Haute-Garonne 7.
Haute-Marne 1.
Haute-Saône 1.
Haute-Saône 2.
Haute-Vienne 1.
Haute-Vienne 3.
Hautes-Alpes 1.
Hautes-Pyrénées 1.
Hautes-Pyrénées 2.
Hauts-de-Seine 11.
Hauts-de-Seine 12.
Hauts-de-Seine 13.
Hauts-de-Seine 3.
Hauts-de-Seine 4.
Hauts-de-Seine 5.
Hauts-de-Seine 9.
Hérault 1.
Hérault 3.
Hérault 9.
Ille-et-Vilaine 1.
Ille-et-Vilaine 2.
Ille-et-Vilaine 3.
Ille-et-Vilaine 4.
Ille-et-Vilaine 7.
Indre-et-Loire 1.
Indre-et-Loire 4.
Isère 10.
Isère 2.
Isère 5.
Isère 6.
Isère 9.
La Réunion 7.
Landes 2.
Loir-et-Cher 2.
Loire 1.
Loire 2.
Loire 6.
Loire-Atlantique 1.
Loire-Atlantique 10.
Loire-Atlantique 6.
Loire-Atlantique 7.
Loire-Atlantique 9.
Loiret 2.
Loiret 3.
Loiret 5.
Lot 2.
Lot-et-Garonne 1.
Maine-et-Loire 1.
Manche 4.
Mayotte 1.
Mayotte 1.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 1.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 2.
Meurthe-et-Moselle 3.
Meuse 2.
Morbihan 1.
Morbihan 5.
Morbihan 6.
Moselle 2.
Moselle 6.
Moselle 7.
Nièvre 2.
Nord 11.
Nord 12.
Nord 17.
Nord 7.
Oise 2.
Oise 6.
Orne 1.
Paris 10.
Paris 11.
Paris 14.
Paris 18.
Paris 3.
Paris 4.
Paris 7.
Paris 8.
Paris 9.
Pas-de-Calais 1.
Pas-de-Calais 9.
Polynésie française 3.
Puy-de-Dôme 1.
Puy-de-Dôme 3.
Puy-de-Dôme 4.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 1.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 5.
Pyrénées-Atlantiques 6.
Pyrénées-Orientales 1.
Pyrénées-Orientales 2.
Pyrénées-Orientales 4.
Rhône 1.
Rhône 14.
Rhône 4.
Rhône 8.
Saint-Barthélémy – Saint-Martin 1.
Sarthe 1.
Savoie 4.
Seine-et-Marne 1.
Seine-et-Marne 10.
Seine-et-Marne 9.
Seine-Maritime 1.
Seine-Saint-Denis 12.
Seine-Saint-Denis 3.
Seine-Saint-Denis 8.
Somme 2.
Somme 4.
Tarn 2.
Tarn 3.
Tarn-et-Garonne 2.
Val-d'Oise 1.
Val-d'Oise 10.
Val-d'Oise 2.
Val-d'Oise 3.
Val-d'Oise 4.
Val-d'Oise 6.
Val-d'Oise 7.
Val-d'Oise 8.
Val-de-Marne 1.
Val-de-Marne 3.
Val-de-Marne 4.
Val-de-Marne 5.
Val-de-Marne 6.
Val-de-Marne 7.
Var 2.
Var 3.
Var 4.
Var 5.
Var 6.
Var 7.
Var 8.
Vaucluse 2.
Vaucluse 3.
Vaucluse 4.
Vaucluse 5.
Vendée 4.
Vienne 1.
Vienne 2.
Wallis-et-Futuna 1.
Yonne 2.
Yonne 3.
Yvelines 11.
Yvelines 7.
Yvelines 8.

The result I'm most closely watching is whether Anne de Montmorency will regain the seat that Anne formerly held.