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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 18:09:23 GMT
It always helps if someone explains the acronyms and who the parties are. Most of us are not well clued up on Finland and certainly don't speak Finnish. KOK/NCP - National Coalition party /SDP/SDP- Social Democratic Party PS/F- True Finns |
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 18:23:35 GMT
3 way tie at the moment, based on what I’m seeing I think PS (True Finns) are going to win.
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 18:35:35 GMT
Outside of Helsinki itself, the least counted area is a right wing stronghold and SDP is already 1 seat behind PS and KOK/NCP
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,797 
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 2, 2023 18:35:55 GMT
3 way tie at the moment, based on what I’m seeing I think PS (True Finns) are going to win. What would mean, that they would be more likely to lose the negotiations (which are, what really counts instead of those childish FirstPlace-obSessions). Although a PS-supporter on another forum claimed and reassured, that a PS-PM would be thinkable (as an ignorant foreigner i doubt that). |
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 18:38:04 GMT
3 way tie at the moment, based on what I’m seeing I think PS (True Finns) are going to win. What would mean, that they would be more likely to lose the negotiations (which are, what really counts instead of those childish FirstPlace-obSessions). Although a PS-supporter on another forum claimed and reassured, that a PS-PM would be thinkable (as an ignorant foreigner i doubt that). PS+KOK+Centre+KD would be my prediction, but wouldn’t be shocked if Orpo (KOK) is the PM. |
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 18:39:43 GMT
PS has officially taken the lead
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 18:48:24 GMT
Looks like YLE disagree with me, as their forecast is:
KOK-48 (+10)
Finns-46 (+7)
SDP-43 (+3)
Centre-23 (-8)
Greens-13 (-7)
Left-11 (-5)
Swedes-9 (-)
KD-5(-)
Others-2
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,797
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 2, 2023 18:48:51 GMT
3 way tie at the moment, based on what I’m seeing I think PS (True Finns) are going to win. 2019 the PS did 2% worse in early voting compared to the actual result; but 2% better, when 51% of the electionDay-vote had been counted. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,797
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 2, 2023 18:51:27 GMT
Looks like YLE disagree with me, as their forecast is: KOK-48 (+10) Finns-46 (+7) SDP-43 (+3) Centre-23 (-8) Greens-13 (-7) Left-11 (-5) Swedes-9 (-) KD-5(-) Others-2 Yes, there is enough missing in Uusimaa, that KOK should be ahead finally. |
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 18:51:46 GMT
Looks like I underestimated the power of KOK (😉) in Helsinki…
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 18:53:07 GMT
SDP is definitely finishing 3rd
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 19:08:30 GMT
Yikes, Centre lost Oulu and Lapland to PS/Finns…
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 19:18:33 GMT
Yikes, Centre lost Oulu and Lapland to PS/Finns… And are now losing in Savo-Karelia as well… |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,005
Member is Online
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Post by Khunanup on Apr 2, 2023 20:08:53 GMT
It always helps if someone explains the acronyms and who the parties are. Most of us are not well clued up on Finland and certainly don't speak Finnish. KOK/NCP - National Coalition party /SDP/SDP- Social Democratic Party PS/F- True Finns True Finns are just Finns now. Pretty historic stuff with Centre being overtaken in certain regions. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Apr 2, 2023 20:17:45 GMT
'A dead head between the big three parties, none of which are the Centre Party' is quite...
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Apr 2, 2023 20:22:49 GMT
Are the Finns sufficiently anti-Putin to not rock the boat re: NATO / supporting Ukraine?
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Post by rcronald on Apr 2, 2023 20:36:13 GMT
KOK/NCP - National Coalition party /SDP/SDP- Social Democratic Party PS/F- True Finns True Finns are just Finns now. Pretty historic stuff with Centre being overtaken in certain regions. Agrarians and Greens don’t mix well in coalition… |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 2, 2023 20:38:28 GMT
KOK/NCP - National Coalition party /SDP/SDP- Social Democratic Party PS/F- True Finns True Finns are just Finns now. Pretty historic stuff with Centre being overtaken in certain regions. Especially when you consider that the Finns have their roots in the Rural Party, which was made up of people forced out of Centre by Kekkonen. |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,005
Member is Online
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Post by Khunanup on Apr 2, 2023 20:52:54 GMT
True Finns are just Finns now. Pretty historic stuff with Centre being overtaken in certain regions. Especially when you consider that the Finns have their roots in the Rural Party, which was made up of people forced out of Centre by Kekkonen. Yeah, it's all rather depressing... |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Apr 2, 2023 21:53:08 GMT
Looks like YLE disagree with me, as their forecast is: KOK-48 (+10) Finns-46 (+7) SDP-43 (+3) Centre-23 (-8) Greens-13 (-7) Left-11 (-5) Swedes-9 (-) KD-5(-) Others-2 On these numbers it is essentially outgoing government parties 100 seats (including Aland with Swedes) and parties broadly of the right 100 seats. |
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