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Post by greenhert on Dec 2, 2021 23:59:48 GMT
Any ideas what the turnout is? Of course it'll bypass the news outlets who'll be reporting the Tory majority has been slashed from 19K to whatever much smaller number. It'll be interesting to see how much of the fall is related to the turnout. At the GE the turnout was 70%, is it feasible it could fall to barely more than half of that today? Approximately 34%, apparently. Pathetic.
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Post by Wisconsin on Dec 3, 2021 0:04:49 GMT
Disappointed to see the BBC politics page don't have their customary "the polls have closed" story. Is a Christmas party a year ago really more important than a by election today? Yes.
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Post by samdwebber on Dec 3, 2021 0:05:14 GMT
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Dec 3, 2021 0:06:28 GMT
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on Dec 3, 2021 0:15:24 GMT
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Post by Ben Walker on Dec 3, 2021 0:29:48 GMT
Calculating votes cast against the Dec 2020 electorate sizes (ONS) gives you 33%, so the 34% figure seems more accurate.
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Post by Alun Elder-Brown Esq on Dec 3, 2021 0:35:59 GMT
Calculating votes cast against the Dec 2020 electorate sizes (ONS) gives you 33%, so the 34% figure seems more accurate. 🥸
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Post by timrollpickering on Dec 3, 2021 0:41:30 GMT
Reports that there may need to be a bundle check to see if one or two parties have saved their deposits.
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cj
Socialist
These fragments I have shored against my ruins
Posts: 3,285
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Post by cj on Dec 3, 2021 1:07:21 GMT
Interesting imprint - the "Campaign for Truth in Politics" based out of a PO Box in Pudsey. That address leads straight to these guys headed by ex-BNPer Mark Collett. There's a name I haven't heard in too short a while
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,310
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Post by maxque on Dec 3, 2021 1:10:24 GMT
Interesting imprint - the "Campaign for Truth in Politics" based out of a PO Box in Pudsey. That address leads straight to these guys headed by ex-BNPer Mark Collett. Aren't the group (indirectly) causing that local by-election in Worthing?
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Post by greenhert on Dec 3, 2021 1:29:30 GMT
According to Sky News the result will definitely be declared before 2am. Watch this space.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Dec 3, 2021 1:44:16 GMT
Declaration imminent.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on Dec 3, 2021 1:52:07 GMT
Con - 11,189 ELECTED Lab - 6,711 REFUK - 1,432 Green - 830 Lib Dem - 647 English Democrat - 271 UKIP - 184 Rejoin - 151 Heritage - 116 Christian Peoples Alliance - 108 MRLP - 94
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Post by greenhert on Dec 3, 2021 1:52:11 GMT
By-election result:
Elaine Cheeseman (EDP) 271 Daniel Francis (Labour) 6,711 Louie French (Conservative) 11,189 Richard Hewison (Rejoin EU) 151 David Kurten (Heritage) 116 John Poynton (UKIP) 184 Simone Reynolds (Lib Dem) 647 Jonathan Rooks (Green) 830 Richard Tice (Reform UK) 1,432 Carol Valjinejad (CPA) 108 Mad Mike Young (OMRLP) 94.
Conservative hold (majority: 4,478).
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Dec 3, 2021 1:54:09 GMT
C 51.5 Lab 30.9 Ref UK 6.6 GP 3.8 L Dem 3.0 ED 1.2
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Dec 3, 2021 1:54:28 GMT
Result: 21,787 votes. English Dems - 271 Labour - 6,711. Conservative - 11,189. Rejoin EU - 151 Heritage - 116. UKIP - 184. LD - 647. Green - 830. Reform - 1,342. CPA - 108. OMRLP - 94. Majority - 4,478.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on Dec 3, 2021 1:54:29 GMT
Con - 11,189 ELECTED Lab - 6,711 REFUK - 1,432 Green - 830 Lib Dem - 647 English Democrat - 271 UKIP - 184 Rejoin - 151 Heritage - 116 Christian Peoples Alliance - 108 MRLP - 94 That means:
CON: 51.5% (-13.1) LAB: 30.9% (+7.4) REFUK: 6.6% (+6.6) GRN: 3.8% (+0.6) LDEM: 3.0% (-5.3) EDEM: 1.2% (+1.2) UKIP: 0.8% (+0.8) R-EU: 0.7% (+0.7) HP: 0.5% (+0.5) CPA: 0.5% (+0.0) MRLP: 0.4% (+0.4) According to BritainElects
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 3, 2021 1:55:35 GMT
Con | 11189 | 51.5% | Lab | 6711 | 30.9% | Ref | 1432 | 6.6% | Grn | 830 | 3.8% | LD | 647 | 3.0% | ED | 271 | 1.2% | UKIP | 184 | 0.8% | EU | 151 | 0.7% | Her | 116 | 0.5% | CPA | 108 | 0.5% | MRLP | 94 | 0.4% |
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Post by greenhert on Dec 3, 2021 1:55:45 GMT
In percentage terms this gives:
Conservative 51.5% (-13.1) Labour 30.9 (+7.4) Reform UK 6.6 Green 3.8 (+0.6) Liberal Democrats 3.0 (-5.3) English Democrats 1.2 UKIP 0.8 Rejoin EU 0.7 Heritage 0.5 Christian Peoples' Alliance 0.5 OMRLP 0.4
Swing: 10.2% Con to Lab
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Post by mercian on Dec 3, 2021 1:56:18 GMT
Very disappointed that Mad Mike came last. Good result for Tice though. Enough to scare the Tories.
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