Yes, very sad. As SoS at MHCLG he overturned official advice and refused planning permission in relation to a poorly designed tall building in my area, for which my local community is eternally grateful.
It's terribly sad news. A very good man who even if you had crossed swords with him was always kind and personable if you met him later. Not something you could say of many politicians who got that far.
I take it that the lead is too much for Labour to overturn and a Liberal breakout would be the most plausible way for this to fall, buy this last had a Liberal second place in the 1980s.
This blog puts the Referendum result as almost 2:1 to Leave, but that's not going to be enough on its own to stop a Liberal breakout
It's not as promising as Chesham, but the Liberals [sic] must be disappointed if they lose this by-election.
Astonishing spin. Disappointed not to get a 28+(?) point swing and take a seat from third place?
No, it's a compliment. This is an incredibly skittish time and the Lib Dems have a by-election machine second to none.
If I wanted to spin this I'd be talking about Labour's secure second place and saying this was a test for Keir as not only can't Labour win this (unlike the Liberals) but it would big up the lesser threat. In fact I'd be expecting exactly this line from Tory Central office if they have their wits about them more than they did in Amersham.
Post by Richard Cromwell on Oct 8, 2021 11:23:32 GMT
"The equal right of all men to the use of land is as clear as their equal right to breathe the air — it is a right proclaimed by the fact of their existence. For we cannot suppose that some men have a right to be in this world, and others no right." - Henry George
It's not as promising as Chesham, but the Liberals must be disappointed if they lose this by-election.
I'm not sure if this is serious or not. The Lib Dems have no chance of gaining this. They've never been the main challenger and they even lost their deposits in 2015 and 2017. My early take is it will be comfortable Tory hold.
RIP James Brokenshire. I think it will be a comfortable Tory hold. Outer London leave voting seat. I would love to see the Mayoral and GLA elections to compare. To the Lib Dem, this is no Chesham and Amersham, democrgrahics are not in your favour and your not in second place by a mile.