Toylyyev
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Post by Toylyyev on Sept 28, 2021 0:28:18 GMT
Broadland DC, Brundall, top vote:
Conservative 35, Labour 18, Liberal Democrat 11, Green 36. Conservative and Green wins.
Old Catton and Sprowston West:
Conservative 50, Labour 15, Liberal Democrat 15, Green 20.
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Post by rightleaning on Sept 28, 2021 4:25:42 GMT
Broadland. Brundall. C 48, Gn 28, Lab 15, LD 9. 2x C win
Broadland, Old Catton and Sprowston C 51, LD 34, Gn 11, Lab 4
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Post by andykernow on Sept 28, 2021 6:04:25 GMT
Broadland. Brundall. C 44, Gn 31, Lab 13, LD 12. 1 x Con 1 x green
Broadland, Old Catton and Sprowston C 48, LD 38, Gn 9, Lab 5
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Post by greenhert on Sept 28, 2021 6:57:29 GMT
Broadland DC, Blundall: Conservative 45, Green 34, Labour 13, Liberal Democrats 8. Conservative hold/Green gain from Conservative.
Broadland DC, Old Catton and Sprowston : Conservative 48, Liberal Democrats 34, Green 10, Labour 8.
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 28, 2021 10:29:11 GMT
Broadland. Brundall. C 44, Gn 31, Lab 13, LD 12. 1 x Con 1 x green Broadland, Old Catton and Sprowston C 48, LD 38, Gn 9, Lab 5 I assume there are 2-seats up at Brundall? If so, why do many of you expect the voting to be split-ticket? Is it to do with the attraction of just two of the candidates in differing parties? Normally I would have expected a fairly solid 2xCON here. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Sept 28, 2021 12:31:16 GMT
A couple of predictions for 1x Con and 1x Green elected in Brundall with the Conservatives being 11/13% ahead. That’s quite a big difference for the top Green candidate to beat the 2nd Conservative candidate and would require a higher level of split ticket voting than usual. Have the Greens done a first/ second choice candidate here or is there any other reason?
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Tony Otim
Green
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 28, 2021 17:36:20 GMT
A couple of predictions for 1x Con and 1x Green elected in Brundall with the Conservatives being 11/13% ahead. That’s quite a big difference for the top Green candidate to beat the 2nd Conservative candidate and would require a higher level of split ticket voting than usual. Have the Greens done a first/ second choice candidate here or is there any other reason? I don't think they've done first choice here. That said, one of them has more of a history of being a candidate here and significantly outperformed his running mate in 2019, so could again, but i would imagine he'd need to be a bit closer to the Tories than that to get a seat. It's also possible that the cause of one vacancy might negatively impact the Tories (although probably not much and I don't see why it would affect one more than another). So, I don't get it either. |
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johnloony
Conservative
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Post by johnloony on Sept 28, 2021 17:38:58 GMT
I predict:
EAST HAMPSHIRE DC; Horndean Downs: 2019: Grn 49 Con 45 Ind 6
EAST STAFFORDSHIRE DC; Tutbury & Outwoods: Con 44 Ind 38 Lab 15 Green 3
EDEN DC; Penrith West: LD 43 Con 22 Ind 13 Lab 10 PCF 7 Green 5
SUNDERLAND MBC; Hetton: Lab 32 LD 31 IndG 18 Con 14 IndA 3 Green 2
SWALE DC; Priory: LD 38 Con 30 Green 23 Lab 9
WEST SUFFOLK DC; The Rows: Con 65 Lab 19 LD 16
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Post by robbienicoll on Sept 28, 2021 20:11:29 GMT
15 entries this week, with agbutler returning after last week. Agbutler receives 1 fault for only getting to 99 in Brundall, aside from that all on time and correct. Brundall, Broadland: 12 have the Conservatives with the largest top vote whilst agbutler, peterl and Toylyyev have the Greens ahead on this metric. 8 have both the Conservatives and the Greens winning a seat apiece, with andrewp, European Lefty, johnloony, Right Leaning, Robert Waller and Tony Otim having the Conservatives holding both seats, and agbutler has the Greens gaining both. Old Catton and Sprowston West, Broadland: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 4.1% (DHAA) to 33.7% (Tony Otim). Results are available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mHI5iFjB-luKp8a6d6W8k9boDaEsukTsnAwMgAgxtnM/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 28, 2021 20:23:32 GMT
14 entries this week, with agbutler returning after last week but European Lefty missing. Agbutler receives 1 fault for only getting to 99 in Brundall, aside from that all on time and correct. Brundall, Broadland: 12 have the Conservatives with the largest top vote, peterl and Toylyyev have the Greens ahead on this metric. 8 have both the Conservatives and the Greens winning a seat apiece, with andrewp, johnloony, Right Leaning, Robert Waller and Tony Otim having the Conservatives holding both seats, and agbutler has the Greens gaining both. Old Catton and Sprowston West, Broadland: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 4.1% (DHAA) to 33.7% (Tony Otim). Results are available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mHI5iFjB-luKp8a6d6W8k9boDaEsukTsnAwMgAgxtnM/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! Presumably agbutler has the Greens ahead on top vote too, if he has them winning both seats  |
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Post by robbienicoll on Sept 28, 2021 20:25:07 GMT
14 entries this week, with agbutler returning after last week but European Lefty missing. Agbutler receives 1 fault for only getting to 99 in Brundall, aside from that all on time and correct. Brundall, Broadland: 12 have the Conservatives with the largest top vote, peterl and Toylyyev have the Greens ahead on this metric. 8 have both the Conservatives and the Greens winning a seat apiece, with andrewp, johnloony, Right Leaning, Robert Waller and Tony Otim having the Conservatives holding both seats, and agbutler has the Greens gaining both. Old Catton and Sprowston West, Broadland: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 4.1% (DHAA) to 33.7% (Tony Otim). Results are available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mHI5iFjB-luKp8a6d6W8k9boDaEsukTsnAwMgAgxtnM/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! Presumably agbutler has the Greens ahead on top vote too, if he has them winning both seats He does, thanks for the spot! |
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 28, 2021 20:37:34 GMT
East Hants: Con 41.1; Alexander 33.8; Grn 25.1
East Staffs: Con 47.5; Lab 30.4; Anderson 16.5; Grn 5.6
Eden: LD 31.1; Con 20.9; Lab 17.7; Thomson 13.1; PCF 10.3; Grn 6.9
Sunderland: Lab 46.2; Geddis 25.9; Con 21.4; Grn 3.4; LD 2.3; Allen 0.8
Swale: LD 58.3; Con 26.1; Lab 8.8; Grn 6.8
West Suffolk: Con 44.5; LD 29.5; Lab 26.0
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Post by andykernow on Sept 29, 2021 10:25:45 GMT
East Hampshire - Horndean - Con Hold
Independent - 14%
Green - 28%
Conservative - 58%
East Staffordshire - Tutbury - Lab gain from Con
Independent - 7%
Labour - 41%
Green - 12%
Conservative - 40%
Eden - Penrith - Lib Dem Gain from Con
Lib Dem - 40%
Putting Cumbria First - 13%
Labour - 18%
Conservative - 20%
Green - 5%
Independent - 4%
Sunderland - Hetton - Lab Hold
Independent A - 12%
Conservative - 28%
Independent W - 18%
Lib Dem - 3%
Green - 10%
Labour - 39%
Swale - Priory - Lib Dem Hold
Conservative - 30%
Lib Dem - 48%
Green - 10%
Labour - 12%
West Suffolk - The ..... - Con Hold
Labour - 16%
Lib Dem - 39%
Conservative - 45%
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Post by Richard Cromwell on Sept 29, 2021 10:52:32 GMT
Horndean Downs, East Hampshire Tutbury & Outwoods, East Staffordshire Penrith West, Eden | CON | 36% | | LD | 27% | | LAB | 21% | | GRN | 9% | | IND | 6% | | Cumbria First | 1% |
Hetton, Sunderland | David Geddis | 36% | | LAB | 31% | | CON | 17% | | GRN | 13% | | Maurice Allen | 2% | | LD | 1% |
Priory, Swale The Rows, West Suffolk |
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Tony Otim
Green
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 29, 2021 11:12:38 GMT
Horndean Downs, East Hampshire Tutbury & Outwoods, East Staffordshire Penrith West, Eden | CON | 41% | | LD | 29% | | LAB | 23% | | IND | 6% | | Cumbria First | 1% |
Hetton, Sunderland | David Geddis | 36% | | LAB | 31% | | CON | 17% | | GRN | 13% | | Maurice Allen | 2% | | LD | 1% |
Priory, Swale The Rows, West Suffolk You've missed a candidate in Penrith |
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Tony Otim
Green
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 29, 2021 11:16:24 GMT
Delighted to have completely messed up the double vacancy in Blundall...
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Post by Richard Cromwell on Sept 29, 2021 12:28:19 GMT
You've missed a candidate in Penrith Thank you, kindly. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 29, 2021 14:11:38 GMT
14 entries this week, with agbutler returning after last week but European Lefty missing. Agbutler receives 1 fault for only getting to 99 in Brundall, aside from that all on time and correct. Brundall, Broadland: 11 have the Conservatives with the largest top vote whilst agbutler, peterl and Toylyyev have the Greens ahead on this metric. 8 have both the Conservatives and the Greens winning a seat apiece, with andrewp, johnloony, Right Leaning, Robert Waller and Tony Otim having the Conservatives holding both seats, and agbutler has the Greens gaining both. Old Catton and Sprowston West, Broadland: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 4.1% (DHAA) to 33.7% (Tony Otim). Results are available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mHI5iFjB-luKp8a6d6W8k9boDaEsukTsnAwMgAgxtnM/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! No I wasn't |
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Post by robbienicoll on Sept 29, 2021 14:13:10 GMT
14 entries this week, with agbutler returning after last week but European Lefty missing. Agbutler receives 1 fault for only getting to 99 in Brundall, aside from that all on time and correct. Brundall, Broadland: 11 have the Conservatives with the largest top vote whilst agbutler, peterl and Toylyyev have the Greens ahead on this metric. 8 have both the Conservatives and the Greens winning a seat apiece, with andrewp, johnloony, Right Leaning, Robert Waller and Tony Otim having the Conservatives holding both seats, and agbutler has the Greens gaining both. Old Catton and Sprowston West, Broadland: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 4.1% (DHAA) to 33.7% (Tony Otim). Results are available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mHI5iFjB-luKp8a6d6W8k9boDaEsukTsnAwMgAgxtnM/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! No I wasn't Neither you were, absolutely no idea how I missed you but apologies for that. I'll amend the results page with your entry just now. Edit to add: Not only did you submit an entry, you were also closest in Old Catton which puts you to second for the month, so congratulations and apologies again. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Sept 29, 2021 19:24:30 GMT
East Hampshire, Horndean Downs, Con 48, Ind 35, Green 17
East Staffordshire, Tutbury and Outwoods, Con 53, Lab 32, Ind 8, Green 7
Eden, Penrith West LD 41, Con 24, Lab 15, Ind 8, Green 7, PCF 5
Sunderland, Hutton. Lab 45, Geddis 25, Con 18, Green 4, LD 5, Allen 3
Swale. Priory, LD 49, Con 30, Lab 15, Green 6
West Suffolk, The Rows. Con 57, LD 27, Lab 16
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