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Post by robbienicoll on Aug 10, 2021 20:05:08 GMT
OP has now been updated with the Ashford by-election taking place on the 19th.
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Aug 11, 2021 6:38:41 GMT
EAST SUFFOLK DC; Orwell and Villages Liberal Democrat – 43% Conservative – 42% Labour – 15% HIGHLAND UA; Inverness West SNP - 32% Liberal Democrat - 28.2% Independent – 21% Conservative – 12% Independence for Scotland – 4% Green – 2.4% Libertarian – 0.4% SNP win after transfers HIGHLAND UA; Wick & East Caithness Independent – 62% SNP – 14.6% Conservative – 14.1% Liberal Democrat – 8.9% Scottish Libertarian – 0.4% Independent win NORTH AYRSHIRE UA; Dalry & West Kilbride SNP – 33.3% Conservative – 32% Independent – 18.9% Labour – 9.8% Liberal Democrat – 3.9% Socialist Labour Party – 2.1% Conservative win after transfers SOUTH LAKELAND DC; Grange Liberal Democrat – 60% Conservative – 25% Green – 8% Labour – 7% TOWER HAMLETS LBC; Weavers Labour - 50% Aspire – 20.2% Green)– 13% Conservative – 8% Liberal Democrat – 6.9% TUSC – 1.9% |
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Post by andrewp on Aug 11, 2021 9:10:04 GMT
EAST SUFFOLK DC; Orwell and Villages Liberal Democrat – 43% Conservative – 42% Labour – 15% HIGHLAND UA; Inverness West SNP - 32% Liberal Democrat - 28.2% Independent – 21% Conservative – 12% Independence for Scotland – 4% Green – 2.4% Libertarian – 0.4% SNP win after transfers HIGHLAND UA; Wick & East Caithness Independent – 62% SNP – 14.6% Conservative – 14.1% Liberal Democrat – 8.9% Scottish Libertarian – 0.4% Independent win NORTH AYRSHIRE UA; Dalry & West Kilbride SNP – 33.3% Conservative – 32% Independent – 18.9% Labour – 9.8% Liberal Democrat – 3.9% Socialist Labour Party – 2.1% Conservative win after transfers SOUTH LAKELAND DC; Grange Liberal Democrat – 60% Conservative – 25% Green – 13% Labour – 12% TOWER HAMLETS LBC; Weavers Labour - 50% Aspire – 20.2% Green)– 13% Conservative – 8% Liberal Democrat – 6.9% TUSC – 1.9% Your South Lakeland numbers add up to 110%. |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Aug 11, 2021 9:18:26 GMT
EAST SUFFOLK DC; Orwell and Villages Liberal Democrat – 43% Conservative – 42% Labour – 15% HIGHLAND UA; Inverness West SNP - 32% Liberal Democrat - 28.2% Independent – 21% Conservative – 12% Independence for Scotland – 4% Green – 2.4% Libertarian – 0.4% SNP win after transfers HIGHLAND UA; Wick & East Caithness Independent – 62% SNP – 14.6% Conservative – 14.1% Liberal Democrat – 8.9% Scottish Libertarian – 0.4% Independent win NORTH AYRSHIRE UA; Dalry & West Kilbride SNP – 33.3% Conservative – 32% Independent – 18.9% Labour – 9.8% Liberal Democrat – 3.9% Socialist Labour Party – 2.1% Conservative win after transfers SOUTH LAKELAND DC; Grange Liberal Democrat – 60% Conservative – 25% Green – 13% Labour – 12% TOWER HAMLETS LBC; Weavers Labour - 50% Aspire – 20.2% Green)– 13% Conservative – 8% Liberal Democrat – 6.9% TUSC – 1.9% Your South Lakeland numbers add up to 110%.
Thanks, now altered on original post.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 11, 2021 10:25:31 GMT
EAST SUFFOLK DC; Orwell and Villages Liberal Democrat – 43% Conservative – 42% Labour – 15% HIGHLAND UA; Inverness West SNP - 32% Liberal Democrat - 28.2% Independent – 21% Conservative – 12% Independence for Scotland – 4% Green – 2.4% Libertarian – 0.4% SNP win after transfers HIGHLAND UA; Wick & East Caithness Independent – 62% SNP – 14.6% Conservative – 14.1% Liberal Democrat – 8.9% Scottish Libertarian – 0.4% Independent win NORTH AYRSHIRE UA; Dalry & West Kilbride SNP – 33.3% Conservative – 32% Independent – 18.9% Labour – 9.8% Liberal Democrat – 3.9% Socialist Labour Party – 2.1% Conservative win after transfers SOUTH LAKELAND DC; Grange Liberal Democrat – 60% Conservative – 25% Green – 13% Labour – 12% TOWER HAMLETS LBC; Weavers Labour - 50% Aspire – 20.2% Green)– 13% Conservative – 8% Liberal Democrat – 6.9% TUSC – 1.9% Your South Lakeland numbers add up to 110%. If it had been the Tower Hamlets numbers that might have made sense 😉 |
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Post by Richard Cromwell on Aug 11, 2021 10:54:41 GMT
Orwell and Villages, East Suffolk Inverness West, Highland | SNP | 29% | | | LD | 28% | Win On Transfers | | CON | 20% | | | IND | 19% | | | GRN | 4% | | | Independence for Scotland | 1% | | | Libertarian | 0% | |
Wick & East Caithness, Highland | IND | 67% | | CON | 15% | | SNP | 14% | | LD | 4% | | Libertarian | 0% |
Dalry & West Kilbride, North Ayrshire | CON | 35% | Win On Transfers | | SNP | 32% | | | IND | 21% | | | LAB | 8% | | | LD | 3% | | | Socialist Labour | 1% | |
Grange, South Lakeland Weavers, Tower Hamlets | LAB | 40% | | Aspire | 18% | | GRN | 17% | | CON | 15% | | LD | 9% | | TUSC | 1% |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Aug 11, 2021 11:15:02 GMT
Your South Lakeland numbers add up to 110%. If it had been the Tower Hamlets numbers that might have made sense 😉 😅 I put in my penultimate not figures not final figures for some brain fart reason. |
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Toylyyev
Mebyon Kernow
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Post by Toylyyev on Aug 11, 2021 15:33:17 GMT
East Suffolk DC, Orwell and Villages:
Conservative 42, Labour 20, Liberal Democrat 38.
Highland UA,
Inverness West:
Conservative 9, Liberal Democrat 35, Green 8.6, SNP 29.5, ISP 1.5, Libertarian 0.4, Independent 16. Liberal Democrat win on transfers.
Wick and East Caithness:
Conservative 26, Liberal Democrat 21, SNP 20, Libertarian 1, Independent 32. Independent win on transfers.
North Ayrshire UA, Dalry & West Kilbride:
Conservative 41, Labour 10, Liberal Democrat 4, SNP 38.5, Socialist Labour Party 1.5, Independent 5. Conservative win on transfers.
South Lakeland DC, Grange:
Conservative 26, Labour 6.5, Liberal Democrat 58.5, Green 9.
Tower Hamlets LBC, Weavers:
Conservative 10, Labour 44, Liberal Democrat 5, Green 10, TUSC 1.5, Aspire 29.5.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 11, 2021 16:41:32 GMT
Orwell & Villages: Con 54.8; Lab 26.8; LD 18.4
Inverness West: SNP 29.0; LD 24.3; McDonald 23.9; Con 11.8; Grn 8.8; I4S 1.5; Libert 0.7 (Ind McDonald win on transfers)
Wick and East Caithness: Fernie 53.7; Con 19.8; SNP 16.9; LD 8.7; Libert 0.9
Dalry & west Kilbride: SNP 39.7; Con 38.7; Lab 13.3; Willis 4.3; LD 2.4; Soc Lab 1.6 (tosses a coin to see who wins overall - Conservative)
Grange: LD 59.6; Con 25.1; Grn 8.9; Lab 6.4
Weavers: Lab 50.5; Aspire 16.7; Grn 14.2; Con 8.9; LD 5.9; TUSC 3.8
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Post by iainbhx on Aug 11, 2021 18:15:39 GMT
East Suffolk DC, Orwell & Villages: Con 52; LDm 33; Lab 15
Highland SUA, Inverness West: SNP 30; LDm 27; Ind McDonald 16; Con 15; Grn 10; I4S 1.5; Scot Liber 0.5 (LDm win on transfers)
Highland SUA Wick and East Caithness: Fernie 40.5; Con 26; SNP 23; LDm 10; Scot Liber 0.5 (Ind Fernie win on transfers)
North Ayrshire SUA, Dalry & West Kilbride: SNP 40; Con 36; Lab 15; Ind Willis 5; LDm 3; Soc Lab 1 (SNP win on transfers)
South Lakeland DC, Grange: LDm 52; Con 30; Grn 12; Lab 6
Tower Hamlet LBC, Weavers: Lab 47; Aspire 17; Grn 12; Con 11; LDm 10; TUSC 3
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Post by andrewp on Aug 11, 2021 19:01:20 GMT
East Suffolk. Orwell and Villages. Con 50, LD 35, Lab 15
Highland, Inverness West. SNP 29, LD 26, McDonald 26, Con 11, Green 5, Ind 2, Libert 1. MCDonald to win on transfers
Highland. Wick and East Caithness. Fernie 35, SNP 30, Con 23, LD 11, Lib 1. Fernie to win on transfers,
North Ayrshire, Dalry and West Kilbride, SNP 39, Con 34, Lab 17, LD 7, Willis 2: Soc Lab 1. SNP win on transfers
South Lakeland, Grange. LD 57, Con 30, Green 7, Lab 6
Tower Hamlets, Weavers. Lab 56, Aspire 14, Green 11, LD 10, Con 7, TUSC 2
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
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Post by peterl on Aug 11, 2021 19:03:05 GMT
East Suffolk DC, Orwell & Villages: Con 52; LD 38; Lab 10
Highland SUA, Inverness West: SNP 32; LD 25; Con 17; Ind McDonald 14; Grn 11; I4S 0.5; Scot Liber 0.5 (SNP win)
Highland SUA Wick and East Caithness: Fernie 36; Con 27; SNP 24.5; LD 12; Scot Liber 0.5 (Ind Fernie win)
North Ayrshire SUA, Dalry & West Kilbride: SNP 42; Con 33; Lab 13; Ind Willis 7; LD 4; Soc Lab 1 (SNP win on transfers)
South Lakeland DC, Grange: LD 46; Con 32; Grn 15; Lab 7
Tower Hamlet LBC, Weavers: Lab 55; Aspire 21; Grn 10; Con 7; LD 5; TUSC 2
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Post by greenhert on Aug 11, 2021 20:26:12 GMT
East Suffolk DC, Orwell & Villages: Conservative 56, Liberal Democrats 37, Labour 7.
Highland UA, Inverness West (1st preferences): SNP 35, Liberal Democrats 25, Conservative 17, Independent (McDonald) 12, Green 9, Scottish Libertarian 1, Independence for Scotland 1. Liberal Democrat gain from Independent on transfers.
Highland UA, Wick & East Caithness: Independent (Fernie) 35, SNP 27, Conservative 24, Liberal Democrats 12, Scottish Libertarian 2. Independent Fernie gain from another Independent on transfers.
North Ayrshire UA, Dalry & West Kilbride: SNP 42, Conservative 33, Labour 16, Liberal Democrats 5, Independent (Willis) 2, Socialist Labour 2. SNP hold on transfers.
South Lakeland DC, Grange: Liberal Democrats 55, Conservative 33, Green 7, Labour 5.
Tower Hamlets LBC, Weavers: Labour 53, Aspire 22, Green 9, Liberal Democrats 8, Conservative 6, TUSC 2.
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 11, 2021 20:51:46 GMT
East Suffolk DC, Orwell and Villages:
Conservative 50, Labour 25, Liberal Democrat 25.
Highland UA,
Inverness West:
Conservative 10, Liberal Democrat 24, Green 9, SNP 29, ISP 1, Libertarian 0.5, Independent 26.5. Independent win on transfers.
Highland UA,
Wick and East Caithness:
Conservative 25, Liberal Democrat 20, SNP 30, Libertarian 1, Independent 24. Independent win on transfers.
North Ayrshire UA, Dalry & West Kilbride:
Conservative 43, Labour 7, Liberal Democrat 4, SNP 42, Socialist Labour Party 2, Independent 2. Conservative win on transfers.
South Lakeland DC, Grange:
Conservative 31, Labour 4, Liberal Democrat 52, Green 13.
Tower Hamlets LBC, Weavers:
Conservative 5, Labour 50, Liberal Democrat 5, Green 10, TUSC 2, Aspire 28.
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 11, 2021 21:22:58 GMT
East Suffolk, Orwell & Villages: Con 48. Lab 13, LD 39
Highland, Inverness West: Con 10, LD 33, SGP 9, SNP 30, Libt 0.5, Ind 16, I4S 1.5 . LD win on transfers
Highland, Wick &East Caithness: Con 26, LD15, SNP 20, Libt 1, Ind 38. Ind win on transfers.
Ayrshire, Dalry & West Kilbride: Con 39, Lab 12, LD4, SNP 38, Ind 6, Soc Lab 1. Con win on transfers.
South Lakeland, Grange: Con 30, Lab 5, LD 55, GP 10
Tower Hamlets, Weavers: Con 10, Lab 50, LD 4, GP 7, Asp 28, TUSC 1
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 11, 2021 22:06:22 GMT
Orwell & Villages (E. Suffolk): Con 55 LD 35 Lab 10
Inverness W. (Highland): SNP 32 LD 28 Ind 20 Con 14 Grn 3 I4S 2 Lbtn 1 LD GAIN on transfers
Wick & E. Caithness (Highland): Ind 40 SNP 30 Con 20 LD 9 Lbtn 1 Ind HOLD
Dalry & W. Kilbride (N. Ayrshire): Con 45 SNP 40 Lab 7 LD 5 Ind 2 SocLab 1 Con HOLD
Grange (S. Lakeland): LD 55 Con 20 Grn 20 Lab 5
Weavers (Tower Hamlets): Lab 55 Asp 25 Con 10 LD 5 Grn 3 TUSC 2
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Post by agbutler on Aug 12, 2021 1:45:57 GMT
Orwell & Villages (E. Suffolk): Con 35 LD 45 Lab 20
Inverness W. (Highland): SNP 30 LD 26 Ind 26 Con 12 Grn 3 I4S 2 Lbtn 1 LD win on transfers
Wick & E. Caithness (Highland): Ind 38 SNP 27 Con 25 LD 9 Lbtn 1 Ind win on transfers
Dalry & W. Kilbride (N. Ayrshire): Con 42 SNP 41 Lab 7 LD 7 Ind 2 SocLab 1 SNP win on transfers
Grange (S. Lakeland): LD 58 Con 20 Grn 12 Lab 10
Weavers (Tower Hamlets): Lab 55 Green 13 Asp 12 Con 10 LD 8 TUSC 2
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Post by rightleaning on Aug 12, 2021 5:09:12 GMT
East Suffolk DC, Orwell & Villages: C 51; LD 37; Lab 12
Highland SUA, Inverness West: SNP 32; LD 26; C 20; Ind 12; Gn 7; I4S 2; Lib 1 (SNP win)
Highland SUA Wick and East Caithness: Ind 36; C 30; SNP 24; LD 9; Lib 1 (Ind Fernie win)
North Ayrshire SUA, Dalry & West Kilbride: C 40; SNP 35; Lab 14; Ind 6; LD 4; SocLab 1 (SNP win on transfers)
South Lakeland DC, Grange: LD 54; C 30; Gn 11; Lab 5
Tower Hamlet LBC, Weavers: Lab 58; Aspire 17; Gn 10; C 9; LD 4; TUSC 2
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Post by robbienicoll on Aug 13, 2021 9:46:18 GMT
Apologies for the late posting this week. 14 entries, all on time, but with andykernow picking up 2 faults for going 1 over in South Lakeland and Tower Hamlets apiece, and Richard Cromwell receiving 1 for the same in Inverness. Orwell and Villages, East Suffolk: 11 Conservative hold, with agbutler, alien8ted and Richard Cromwell Liberal Democrat gain. Inverness West, Highland: 12 have SNP ahead on first preferences, with Toylyyev and Yellow Peril Liberal Democrat ahead. 7 then have the Liberal Democrats gaining the seat on transfers, with alien8ted, andykernow, peterl and Right Leaning SNP gain, and andrewp, Robert Waller and Tony Otim Independent (McDonald) win. Wick and East Caithness, Highland: 13 have Independent (Fernie) ahead on first preferences, majorities ranging from 5% (andrewp) to 52% (Richard Cromwell), Robert Waller has the SNP ahead. 100% then have Independent (Fernie) winning the seat, 11 after transfers and alien8ted, Richard Cromwell and Tony Otim on first preferences. Dalry and West Kilbride, North Ayrshire: Perfect split on first preferences, with 7 favouring the Conservatives and 7 the SNP. 7 have the Conservatives gaining from the SNP after transfers (2 of whom have the SNP ahead on 1sts), 6 have an SNP hold (2 of whom had the Conservatives ahead on 1sts) and andykernow (with the SNP ahead on 1sts) has an Independent (Willis) gain. Grange, South Lakeland: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 14% (peterl) to 40% (Richard Cromwell). Weavers, Tower Hamlets: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 14.5% (Toylyyev) to 42% (agbutler and andrewp). Results are available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FmyT493HQ9XRLBpQhXAwkI0HEAwkt0WIW8XFwPWUozM/edit?usp=sharing - with Toylyyev narrowly leading over Yellow Peril ahead of the Scottish results. Good luck to all! |
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johnloony
Conservative
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Post by johnloony on Aug 13, 2021 10:10:07 GMT
In East Suffolk Orwell, I predicted a Lib Dem gain (albeit that I forgot to say so).
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