Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 25, 2021 13:00:14 GMT
Just the one this week:
SANDWELL MBC; Tividale (Lab died)
Candidates:
BRADLEY, Nicholas (Liberal Democrat)
GINGELL, Richard (TUSC)
HENLAN, Emma Louise Camero (Conservative)
HEVICAN, Robert Lionel (Labour)
KUTEBURA, Energy (Independent)
2021: Lab 1323; Con 1173
2019: Lab 1051; Con 446; Grn 437
2018: Lab 1137; Con 637; Grn 226
2016: Lab 1489; Con 434; Grn 189
2015: Lab 2447; UKIP 1445; Con 1052; Grn 142
2014: Lab 1085; UKIP 968; Grn 342; Con 280
2012: Lab 1637; Con 390
2011: Lab 1884; Con 840; LD 189
2010: Lab 2166; Con 1571; LD 793; BNP 761
2008: Lab 1485; Con 1155
2007: Lab 1309; BNP 938; Con 567; LD 333
2006: BNP 1191; Lab 1158; Con 562; LD 308
2004: Lab 1735, 1539, 1438; BNP 1174
Robert Hevican is the husband of the deceased councillor.
Current council: Lab 59; Con 9; Ind 3; 1 vacancy
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,814
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Post by iang on Jun 25, 2021 16:12:43 GMT
Once, a very long time ago (1991 to be precise) it was a Lib Dem seat in rather odd circumstances. Said I'll help, but not over confident that it will happen again
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jun 25, 2021 16:22:39 GMT
Odd that the Greens have dropped out when they seemed to be building support.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 25, 2021 17:00:14 GMT
Odd that the Greens have dropped out when they seemed to be building support. Sandwell was the Met council where we had the biggest drop off in the number of candidates between 2019 and 2021. Whilst our numbers were generally up overall, in Sandwell we dropped from 18 candidates in 2019 to just 5 this year... |
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Post by iainbhx on Jun 25, 2021 17:38:17 GMT
Once, a very long time ago (1991 to be precise) it was a Lib Dem seat in rather odd circumstances. Said I'll help, but not over confident that it will happen again It must have been odd circumstances for us to win in Tivvy. If they offer you Tower Road as a leafletting round, just say no, but there's some great views up the top from Oakham Road. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 25, 2021 17:50:53 GMT
Once, a very long time ago (1991 to be precise) it was a Lib Dem seat in rather odd circumstances. Said I'll help, but not over confident that it will happen again It must have been odd circumstances for us to win in Tivvy. If they offer you Tower Road as a leafletting round, just say no, but there's some great views up the top from Oakham Road. No Tory candidate - it was a straight fight. 1991 was a particulary bad year for Labour in Sandwell (actually pretty bad in the West Midlands generally) so I guess you just benefitted from being not Labour |
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,814
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Post by iang on Jun 25, 2021 18:46:13 GMT
It must have been odd circumstances for us to win in Tivvy. If they offer you Tower Road as a leafletting round, just say no, but there's some great views up the top from Oakham Road. No Tory candidate - it was a straight fight. 1991 was a particulary bad year for Labour in Sandwell (actually pretty bad in the West Midlands generally) so I guess you just benefitted from being not Labour [br Yes, the Tories apparently screwed up the nomination, but there were always rumours that it was deliberate. The newly elected Councillor had been a member of both the Tories and Labour previously. |
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 25, 2021 20:31:30 GMT
Odd that the Greens have dropped out when they seemed to be building support. Sandwell was the Met council where we had the biggest drop off in the number of candidates between 2019 and 2021. Whilst our numbers were generally up overall, in Sandwell we dropped from 18 candidates in 2019 to just 5 this year... okay, but why? |
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Post by andrew111 on Jun 25, 2021 22:30:01 GMT
Sandwell was the Met council where we had the biggest drop off in the number of candidates between 2019 and 2021. Whilst our numbers were generally up overall, in Sandwell we dropped from 18 candidates in 2019 to just 5 this year... okay, but why? Probably because in 2019 it was all organised by one person who left or gave up.. |
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Post by rcronald on Jul 11, 2021 15:29:42 GMT
Just the one this week: SANDWELL MBC; Tividale (Lab died) Candidates: BRADLEY, Nicholas (Liberal Democrat) GINGELL, Richard (TUSC) HENLAN, Emma Louise Camero (Conservative) HEVICAN, Robert Lionel (Labour) KUTEBURA, Energy (Independent) 2021: Lab 1323; Con 1173 2019: Lab 1051; Con 446; Grn 437 2018: Lab 1137; Con 637; Grn 226 2016: Lab 1489; Con 434; Grn 189 2015: Lab 2447; UKIP 1445; Con 1052; Grn 142 2014: Lab 1085; UKIP 968; Grn 342; Con 280 2012: Lab 1637; Con 390 2011: Lab 1884; Con 840; LD 189 2010: Lab 2166; Con 1571; LD 793; BNP 761 2008: Lab 1485; Con 1155 2007: Lab 1309; BNP 938; Con 567; LD 333 2006: BNP 1191; Lab 1158; Con 562; LD 308 2004: Lab 1735, 1539, 1438; BNP 1174 Robert Hevican is the husband of the deceased councillor. Current council: Lab 59; Con 9; Ind 3; 1 vacancy Is it a possible Tory gain? |
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Post by bjornhattan on Jul 11, 2021 22:43:43 GMT
Just the one this week: SANDWELL MBC; Tividale (Lab died) Candidates: BRADLEY, Nicholas (Liberal Democrat) GINGELL, Richard (TUSC) HENLAN, Emma Louise Camero (Conservative) HEVICAN, Robert Lionel (Labour) KUTEBURA, Energy (Independent) 2021: Lab 1323; Con 1173 2019: Lab 1051; Con 446; Grn 437 2018: Lab 1137; Con 637; Grn 226 2016: Lab 1489; Con 434; Grn 189 2015: Lab 2447; UKIP 1445; Con 1052; Grn 142 2014: Lab 1085; UKIP 968; Grn 342; Con 280 2012: Lab 1637; Con 390 2011: Lab 1884; Con 840; LD 189 2010: Lab 2166; Con 1571; LD 793; BNP 761 2008: Lab 1485; Con 1155 2007: Lab 1309; BNP 938; Con 567; LD 333 2006: BNP 1191; Lab 1158; Con 562; LD 308 2004: Lab 1735, 1539, 1438; BNP 1174 Robert Hevican is the husband of the deceased councillor. Current council: Lab 59; Con 9; Ind 3; 1 vacancy Is it a possible Tory gain? Any ward where the Conservatives stand a candidate and didn't win last time is a possible Tory gain. But to answer your question, it's definitely plausible. It's pretty representative of the West Bromwich West constituency so they will have carried it at the last general election, and they came close in the recent local elections. It may well come down to local factors and the general national mood. |
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Post by Merseymike on Jul 11, 2021 22:47:15 GMT
Is it a possible Tory gain? Any ward where the Conservatives stand a candidate and didn't win last time is a possible Tory gain. But to answer your question, it's definitely plausible. It's pretty representative of the West Bromwich West constituency so they will have carried it at the last general election, and they came close in the recent local elections. It may well come down to local factors and the general national mood. Perhaps some of our Midlands residents may hear some inside news? On paper it's clearly going to be close |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 14, 2021 20:52:09 GMT
Any ward where the Conservatives stand a candidate and didn't win last time is a possible Tory gain. But to answer your question, it's definitely plausible. It's pretty representative of the West Bromwich West constituency so they will have carried it at the last general election, and they came close in the recent local elections. It may well come down to local factors and the general national mood. Perhaps some of our Midlands residents may hear some inside news? On paper it's clearly going to be close Not really inside information as such, but Regional Office have sent an email this afternoon asking for volunteers tomorrow suggesting they feel the need for a big GOTV effort. |
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,814
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Post by iang on Jul 15, 2021 7:10:46 GMT
I'm not aware that we've done anything beyond some social media stuff, so it doesn't suggest a big effort from us
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Post by andrew111 on Jul 15, 2021 12:22:07 GMT
I'm not aware that we've done anything beyond some social media stuff, so it doesn't suggest a big effort from us That is a pity given our fantastic track record! |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 15, 2021 14:03:25 GMT
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Post by John Chanin on Jul 15, 2021 15:30:32 GMT
Very late this week. I’ve been checking regularly since last night. |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 15, 2021 15:40:47 GMT
Very late this week. I’ve been checking regularly since last night. I think it’s dependent on when Britain Elect choose to publish; I think I’ve noticed a pattern with them of the fewer the by-elections the later the publication of the Preview(s). |
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,773
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Post by andrea on Jul 15, 2021 22:06:47 GMT
Are Cllrs responsible for doctors' appointments?   |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 15, 2021 22:08:52 GMT
Are Cllrs responsible for doctors' appointments?  One of Stoke’s Conservative councillors (current Lord Mayor) is a semi retired GP, so, technically yes… |
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