US election maps

[Georg Ebner]

Cf.

[Deleted]

Continuing with states with 3 Electoral Votes, I'm still in awe of Mary Peltola's electoral firepower.

[eastmidlandsright]

Jul 15, 2023 6:57:13 GMT @weld said:

Continuing with states with 3 Electoral Votes, I'm still in awe of Mary Peltola's electoral firepower.

Peltola's result was exceptional good but I don't think her winning a super majority of State House seats is remarkable. The Alaska democrats have favourable voter distribution with the GOP running up stonking majorities in the Anchorage burbs while the rest of the state is more closely divided. I think I am right in saying that Mark Begich won a majority of House districts even while losing his 2014 senate re-election bid.

[Deleted]

FDR got 60% of the nationwide popular vote in his 1936 re-election bid. He won New England in the process. Maine and Vermont were the only states FDR lost in all four of his election victories. FDR built on earlier Democratic coalitions.

[Deleted]

Maine looks polarised, but ME-02 re-elected a Dem Congressman, while Susan Collins won by 9%. 

Cumberland Co. (Portland) was 60% Biden, while the northern ruby red bits backed Perot in 1992.

Maine's 2nd went 38% Clinton, 33% Perot in '92, and Trump won it by about 10% in 2016 and 2020.

[Georg Ebner]

PartyRegistration in MD (taken from a Twitter-GIF):

Dem.s remaining fairly stable, Rep.s sinking from 30% to 24%.

[Deleted]

Georgia primary electorate shifts. Georgia's 2nd stands out (it’s the state’s southwest portion and Dem held since 1875). Still, the Kemp vs Perdue Gov. primary contest probably explains Republican turnout surging there in 2022.

[riccimarsh]

Jul 17, 2023 8:39:12 GMT Georg Ebner said:

PartyRegistration in MD (taken from a Twitter-GIF):

Dem.s remaining fairly stable, Rep.s sinking from 30% to 24%.

I’m sorry but I just cannot take the shape of Maryland seriously. How on Earth was this abomination allowed to happen??

[johnloony]

Jul 18, 2023 23:39:24 GMT riccimarsh said:

Jul 17, 2023 8:39:12 GMT Georg Ebner said:

PartyRegistration in MD (taken from a Twitter-GIF):
Dem.s remaining fairly stable, Rep.s sinking from 30% to 24%.

I’m sorry but I just cannot take the shape of Maryland seriously. How on Earth was this abomination allowed to happen??

It had arguments with all the neighbouring states, and lost.

blog.mailasail.com/vulcanspirit/posts/2011/11/14/220-why-is-maryland-the-shape-it-is-#:~:text=The%20dispute%20dragged%20on%20however,strange%20shape%20of%20western%20Maryland.

Maryland was created by Royal Charter issued in 1632 by King Charles I, to provide a place in the New World for England's Catholics. But this act, while full of good intent, was also full of bad geography whose errors led to a long history of border disputes between Maryland and every one of its neighbours - all of which disputes Maryland proceeded to lose.

Maryland's Royal Charter set its northern border at 40N - which turned out to be in the middle of (Puritan) Philadelphia, a conflict eventually resolved in Pennslvania's favour when Maryland's northern border was moved in 1732 to a line 15 miles south of South Street in Philadelphia. The dispute dragged on however until 1763 when two of England's most eminent scientists were commissioned to survey the border westwards thus creating the famous Mason-Dixon line - the cause of the apparently strange shape of western Maryland.
Delaware isn't part of Maryland because at the time of the Royal Charter it was (Protestant) Dutch. When the English finally ousted the Dutch from their American colonies in 1674 Pennsylvania claimed the Delaware area to get access to the sea. However the area clearly fell within Maryland's Royal Charter boundaries - or so Maryland thought. The King's Committee for Trade and Plantations ruled in 1685 that Delaware was a separate jurisdiction because Maryland's Charter was only intended to include land uncultivated by Christians - the actual wording being "in a country hitherto uncultivated, in the parts of America, and partly occupied by Savages, having no knowledge of the Divine being". Delaware, being occupied by incontravertibly Christian Dutch settlers, was outside the Maryland Charter area. The 'Savages' of course, had no say in this.
Maryland lost more land to Delaware when its Colonial Governor, Lord Baltimore, in London arguing to locate Delaware's southern boundary discovered too late that his map had incorrectly placed Cape Henlopen (the intended border on the Atlantic) 25 miles to the south of its true location.The 'other side' had a correct map, but of course kept quiet until the deal was sealed.
And the southern end of the peninsula was 'lost' to Virginia (an older colony). The Royal Charter included this land in Maryland. But it had already been settled by (Protestant) Virginia, which successfully petitioned the King to divide the southern portion of the peninsula with a line from Watkins Point on Chesapeake Bay, due east to the Atlantic, to avoid Protestants being governed by Catholics . Unfortunately by the time this decision was reached Watkins Point had eroded away. The local men chosen to survey the line in 1666 tried to figure out where it had been, but they figured wrong, and proceeded to magnify their error by veering off to the north by some way. Maryland protested, but the Revolution, War of 1812, and the Civil War all got in the way. Not until 1877 did Congress get round to considering the matter, by which time the whole area was heavily settled by farmers whose boundaries matched the (wrong) State line. So Congress decided to leave things as they were; Maryland lost again.

[Deleted]

Gretchen Whitmer moment in Michigan. 2028 nominee?

[stb12]

Jul 18, 2023 23:39:24 GMT riccimarsh said:

Jul 17, 2023 8:39:12 GMT Georg Ebner said:

PartyRegistration in MD (taken from a Twitter-GIF):

Dem.s remaining fairly stable, Rep.s sinking from 30% to 24%.

I’m sorry but I just cannot take the shape of Maryland seriously. How on Earth was this abomination allowed to happen??

When it comes the argument over DC statehood one of the solutions mentioned is adding most of it to Maryland, which I think I’m correct in saying it used to be part of anyway

[Deleted]

Hot on the heels of Denver’s 2020 magic mushroom poll 🍄

[Deleted]

10 years challenge. Romney-Clinton Cobb, Gwinnett, Henry. All also trended left in 2012. Dems flipped Henry Co in 2014

[Deleted]

A bright spot for Michigan's GOP: two-time Senate nominee John James won Detroit, Warren (MI-10).

[Deleted]

New Deal coalition moment. The GOP held its Yankee heartlands (ME, VT, NH) and won CA, MD and SD.

[The Bishop]

North Dakota was Nonpartisan League (de facto GOP) and Minnesota was Farmer-Labor (who not long after formally joined up with the Dems)

Wisconsin was a final holdout of Progressivism.

[Deleted]

A ‘dummymander’? Williamson County (red north of Austin) went to Biden and O’Rourke lost it by 1% in 2022. The paler red is all where you’d expect. Starr Co. (‘Southern Texas’ on this map) could see Republican gains - Trump lost it by 5%.

Collin County (northwest of Dallas) is as college-educated as Fairfax County, Virginia now, and that area bolted left in the 21st century. Biden was the first Dem to win Tarrant Co (west of Dallas) since LBJ and trends there don’t bode well for Republicans.

All in all, I do think Democrats will win the Texas House at some point this decade and that this gerrymander bursts.

[maxque]

Aug 5, 2023 2:24:27 GMT @weld said:

A ‘dummymander’? Williamson County (red north of Austin) went to Biden and O’Rourke lost it by 1% in 2022. The paler red is all where you’d expect. Starr Co. (‘Southern Texas’ on this map) could see Republican gains - Trump lost it by 5%.

Collin County (northwest of Dallas) is as college-educated as Fairfax County, Virginia now, and that area bolted left in the 21st century. Biden was the first Dem to win Tarrant Co (west of Dallas) since LBJ and trends there don’t bode well for Republicans.

All in all, I do think Democrats will win the Texas House at some point this decade and that this gerrymander bursts.

Texas constitution has some very strict rules on county splitting for the State House, so the Republicans were quite restrained on what they could do (unlike State Senate and federal House).

[Deleted]

🗳️ Frank Church (Dem - Idaho) moment. He lost in 1980.

[stb12]

Aug 8, 2023 3:48:03 GMT @weld said:

🗳️ Frank Church (Dem - Idaho) moment. He lost in 1980.

Before my time but he was apparently on the progressive wing of the Democratic Party which is very interesting. I know things used to be much less partisan but I’d have thought a Democrat from somewhere somewhere like Idaho would have been conservative