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Post by finsobruce on Jan 27, 2015 20:18:36 GMT
And i suspect stand to be as much, if not more affected, than Labour by any Green surge
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Post by Devonian on Jan 28, 2015 17:41:24 GMT
ICM poll for BBC Wales (changes since Sept last year)
Lab 38% (-1)
Con 21% (-2)
UKIP 13% (-3)
Plaid (-1)
L Dem 7% (+2)
Green 6% (+4)
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,915
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 29, 2015 11:08:18 GMT
Hmmm, roughly in line with the other one, so it's looking less rogue-like. IT's interesting because my thinking was that the only realistic chances of held deposits in Wales were Ceredigion and maybe one or two of the Cardiff seats. Those figures would indicate rather better than that, but we shall see.
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
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Post by cibwr on Feb 2, 2015 12:24:41 GMT
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Post by Devonian on Mar 9, 2015 23:59:25 GMT
YouGov/ITV Wales
Lab 39% (+2)
Con 25% (+2)
UKIP 14% (-2)
Plaid 10% (nc)
Green 6% (-2)
L Dem 5% (-1)
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 10, 2015 0:11:18 GMT
YouGov/ITV Wales Lab 39% (+2) Con 25% (+2) UKIP 14% (-2) Plaid 10% (nc) Green 6% (-2) L Dem 5% (-1) Compared to 2010 that's a 2% swing to Labour, and the Liberal Democrat vote has fallen from 20% to 5%. The Blaid are slightly down. |
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Post by manchesterman on Mar 10, 2015 0:11:22 GMT
LDs in 6th place?! Dearie me!
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,915
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Post by Tony Otim on Mar 10, 2015 14:14:27 GMT
UNS would give Lab gains in Cardiff North and Central and a Con gain in Brecon and Radnor with no other changes.
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Post by Penddu on Mar 13, 2015 13:26:57 GMT
There was also a Welsh Barometer poll on Assembly elections in last few days. Can't find the link right now, but it looks like next years Assembly elections will be more interesting than this years Westminster elections (in Wales).
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 13, 2015 17:38:52 GMT
There was also a Welsh Barometer poll on Assembly elections in last few days. Can't find the link right now, but it looks like next years Assembly elections will be more interesting than this years Westminster elections (in Wales). All hail Roger Scully blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/electionsinwales/ |
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,598
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Post by cibwr on Mar 24, 2015 8:18:30 GMT
Some good analysis of polling trends in Wales
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,915
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Post by Tony Otim on Mar 24, 2015 11:24:43 GMT
The fact that over 70% of Welsh voters don't know Bartolotti is probably to our advantage  |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 24, 2015 12:22:00 GMT
Amen to that!
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Mar 24, 2015 15:20:00 GMT
The fact that over 70% of Welsh voters don't know Bartolotti is probably to our advantage Plays for Liverpool. Slightly nuts. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,015
Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on Mar 24, 2015 15:37:11 GMT
The fact that over 70% of Welsh voters don't know Bartolotti is probably to our advantage Plays for Liverpool. Slightly nuts. <insert your own "compare and contrast" punchline here> |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Mar 24, 2015 18:59:39 GMT
The fact that over 70% of Welsh voters don't know Bartolotti is probably to our advantage Liverpool That word alone would reduce the Green vote around Capel Celyn, if it existed. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,044
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Post by Sibboleth on Mar 30, 2015 17:50:55 GMT
YouGov/ITV: Labour 40, Con 25, UKIP 14, Plaid 11, LDem 5, Greens 5.
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,598
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Post by cibwr on Mar 30, 2015 18:53:47 GMT
Suggesting on a uniform swing three changes, Cardiff North and Central both to Labour and Brecon and Radnor to the Conservatives. However uniform swing is not likely to happen.
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Post by manchesterman on Mar 30, 2015 21:59:26 GMT
I found that Wales Governance office briefing fascinating (I should get out more!)
It's a pity we dont have a "politics channel" which could show stuff like this 24/7 (I really should get out more!!)
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on Apr 15, 2015 17:36:17 GMT
New Yougov April poll released today for ITV Wales/ Wales Governance Centre
Labour 40% (+-0)
Conservatives - 23% (-2)
UKIP 13% (+-0)
Plaid Cymru 12% (+3)
Lib Dems 6% (+-0)
Greens 4% (-1)
On a UNS that would mean Labour (28) gaining two (Cardiff C and N), the Tories (8) flat (Losing Cardiff N, but gaining Brecon + R), Plaid (3) flat with the Lib Dems (1) holding on to only Ceredigion.
Comment: The Tories are holding up well and should be really pleased. So should UKIP actually, with this being a good result. Wonder how accurate this is though, with Welsh polling being so rare.
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