David
Scottish Conservative
Posts: 7,998 
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Post by David on Nov 2, 2020 22:06:12 GMT
If Joe Biden wins, windmill cancer will censor traditional values apparently
"Homosexuals will erase Christopher Columbus". |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Nov 2, 2020 22:14:58 GMT
Betfair have a market on closest state. 12/1 on Arizona felt like a good use of 50 pence.
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Richard Allen
Non-Aligned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 17,157
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Post by Richard Allen on Nov 2, 2020 22:16:29 GMT
Biden to win all the Clinton 2016 states and add MI and WI comfortably; AZ, PA and NE-2 with relative ease and win narrowly in FL, NC and ME-2. Trump to narrowly win GA, IA, OH and TX.
Biden: 335
Trump: 203
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 2, 2020 22:28:36 GMT
If Joe Biden wins, windmill cancer will censor traditional values apparently
"Homosexuals will erase Christopher Columbus". "universal heathcare will force sex changes on baby Yoda" Hmm... |
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 3, 2020 0:56:48 GMT
Very few know. Even fewer care! |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman-romantic-reactionary Catholic
Posts: 6,042
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 3, 2020 6:04:47 GMT
At a first glance i would have guessed, that Trump would do much, much better than polled. Yet, it seems, that 50% have never been open to him. Thus:  |
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alien8ted
Independent
I refuse to be governed by fear.
Posts: 3,715
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Post by alien8ted on Nov 3, 2020 8:21:05 GMT
Bisexuals Will Cancel Babies.
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Bert
Forum Regular
Posts: 628
Member is Online
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Post by Bert on Nov 3, 2020 8:28:03 GMT
Biden to win 306 - 232. He'll ger PA, but not FL or GA
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WJ
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,500
Member is Online
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Post by WJ on Nov 3, 2020 8:47:41 GMT
Biden to win all the Clinton 2016 states and add MI and WI comfortably; AZ, PA and NE-2 with relative ease and win narrowly in FL, NC and ME-2. Trump to narrowly win GA, IA, OH and TX. Biden: 335 Trump: 203 The only change from this that I'll make for my prediction is that Biden will take GA and Trump will take FL. |
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ibfc
Forum Regular
Posts: 415
Member is Online
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Post by ibfc on Nov 3, 2020 12:05:52 GMT
Biden to flip the three rust belt states and win. Trump to hold on to everything else he won in 2016 including ME 2. No opinion on NE 2.
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CatholicLeft
Co-operative Party
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 2,852
Member is Online
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Post by CatholicLeft on Nov 3, 2020 14:44:46 GMT
Biden to flip the three rust belt states and win. Trump to hold on to everything else he won in 2016 including ME 2. No opinion on NE 2. I agree with this but would also give Arizona and North Carolina to Joe Biden. |
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Post by meatloaf84 on Nov 3, 2020 16:48:12 GMT
If Joe Biden wins, windmill cancer will censor traditional values apparently
Anarchists take away Fox News. Now I especially want Biden to win. |
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Roger Harmer
Lib Dem
Councillor for Acocks Green in Birmingham
Posts: 126
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Post by Roger Harmer on Nov 3, 2020 16:53:09 GMT
If Joe Biden wins, windmill cancer will censor traditional values apparently Anarchists take away Fox News. Now I especially want Biden to win. I have illegal aliens will erase Fox News - perhaps they will do that by building a wall around it! |
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Post by Admin Twaddleford on Nov 3, 2020 17:04:57 GMT
Figured I might as well post my predictions for both the Presidential and the Senate contests:  Presidential Election Senate ElectionWe shall see how wrong I am in a few days...  I've since revised my presidential predictions; fealing a bit more bearish on Biden's chances in Ohio and Iowa. So, my final guess is:  No changes to Senate predictions. Still a few hours to go to see how hideously wrong I manage to get it. |
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 3, 2020 17:31:31 GMT
My final predictions are below. Presidential: I think Texas will flip blue, but only just.  Senatorial: they'll be squeakers, but at the moment I favour Daines in Montana and Greenfield in Iowa.  Governorships:  Changes from ratings a week out: AK-PRES: lean R -> likely R AZ-PRES: lean D -> likely D GA-PRES: tilt D -> lean D IA-PRES: pure tossup -> lean R IA-SEN: tilt D -> pure tossup KS-SEN: lean R -> likely R MI-SEN: likely D -> safe D MO-PRES: likely R-> safe R MN-SEN: likely D -> safe D NC-GOV: likely D -> safe D NE-01: likely R -> safe R SC-SEN: lean R -> likely R TX-SEN: lean R-> likely R WV-GOV: likely R -> safe R |
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Post by Izzyeviel on Nov 3, 2020 18:24:36 GMT
Looking at the data so far, i have a hunch the polls are fundamentally wrong. A narrow Trump win.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 1,683
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Post by johng on Nov 3, 2020 18:36:02 GMT
Looking at the data so far, i have a hunch the polls are fundamentally wrong. A narrow Trump win. What data are you looking at that makes you think so?
I think that's all the data shows is that turnout is going to be very high.
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Post by Izzyeviel on Nov 3, 2020 18:51:54 GMT
Looking at the data so far, i have a hunch the polls are fundamentally wrong. A narrow Trump win. What data are you looking at that makes you think so?
I think that's all the data shows is that turnout is going to be very high.
The same as everyone else. I'm not convinced the Democrats have the early numbers they would want and feel the GOP have a better GOTV operation. Obviously I hope I'm wrong, but i've made my bets accordingly. I'll either be a bit richer or a bit happier tomorrow! edit: just saw your tweet in the florida thread, seems a bit more encouraging for Biden |
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johng
Labour
Posts: 1,683
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Post by johng on Nov 3, 2020 19:06:35 GMT
What data are you looking at that makes you think so?
I think that's all the data shows is that turnout is going to be very high.
The same as everyone else. I'm not convinced the Democrats have the early numbers they would want and feel the GOP have a better GOTV operation. Obviously I hope I'm wrong, but i've made my bets accordingly. I'll either be a bit richer or a bit happier tomorrow! edit: just saw your tweet in the florida thread, seems a bit more encouraging for Biden Did you also see the Quinnipiac poll of Florida I put in the main thread?
It said that Trump would win on-the-day voters 3 to 1 and still lose the election there.
And registration =/= who you vote. Hilary would have won Kentucky and West Virginia in 2016 if that was the case (she didn't!).
I think it really is impossible to say there whether the numbers are good for Trump or Biden. We'll find out in not too long though.
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Post by Izzyeviel on Nov 3, 2020 19:22:56 GMT
The same as everyone else. I'm not convinced the Democrats have the early numbers they would want and feel the GOP have a better GOTV operation. Obviously I hope I'm wrong, but i've made my bets accordingly. I'll either be a bit richer or a bit happier tomorrow! edit: just saw your tweet in the florida thread, seems a bit more encouraging for Biden Did you also see the Quinnipiac poll of Florida I put in the main thread?
It said that Trump would win on-the-day voters 3 to 1 and still lose the election there.
And registration =/= who you vote. Hilary would have won Kentucky and West Virginia in 2016 if that was the case (she didn't!).
I think it really is impossible to say there whether the numbers are good for Trump or Biden. We'll find out in not too long though.
Hopefully you're right! I just get the feeling the Dems will run up the score in all the wrong places and just about lose the EC. |
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