punditt/pollster predictions for past general elections

[nodealbrexiteer]

www.iaindale.com/articles/my-10-predictions-for-the-general-election

Iain dale's predictions

[manchesterman]

Jun 30, 2024 20:47:46 GMT nodealbrexiteer said:

www.iaindale.com/articles/my-10-predictions-for-the-general-election

Iain dale's predictions

Predictions 2 - 10 are , to some degree or other, quite reasonable; but if Labour only get a majority of between 60-100, then the polling  companies reputation will be trashed and the Tories will be the ones celebrating (ironically)

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Jun 30, 2024 20:47:46 GMT nodealbrexiteer said:

www.iaindale.com/articles/my-10-predictions-for-the-general-election

Iain dale's predictions

Thay are inconsistent. If the Labour majority is 60-100, then that means Labour seats between 355 and 375. That doesn't go with the numbers he predicts for the other parties to get to 650.

[manchesterman]

Jun 30, 2024 22:20:10 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Jun 30, 2024 20:47:46 GMT nodealbrexiteer said:

www.iaindale.com/articles/my-10-predictions-for-the-general-election

Iain dale's predictions

Thay are inconsistent. If the Labour majority is 60-100, then that means Labour seats between 355 and 375. That doesn't go with the numbers he predicts for the other parties to get to 650.

Well he dosent predict total seats for Reform (other than Farage win) so maybe he's expecting them to win dozens??

[Old Fashioned Leftie]

He has updated:

"UPDATE: This is what I have sent out to my Sunday newsletter readers. One of them has pointed out that the maths don't quite work, and using these figures Labour would get a majority in excess of 130. Maths was never my strong point. But I'll leave it as it is!