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Post by Deleted on Feb 1, 2014 22:58:47 GMT
The TNS figures ( a privately commissioned poll Yes 29 No 42 DK 29 and No twenty points ahead in Survation poll. I see Yessers trying to talk up slight move to Yes, but  |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 1, 2014 23:04:22 GMT
Looking on the bright side, it means I won't feel obligated to join the Yes campaign.  |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 1, 2014 23:06:07 GMT
Looking on the bright side, it means I won't feel obligated to join the Yes campaign. Yes, for all the positivity it looks like a lost cause. EDIT: Maybe I should pay more attention.. apparently this represents at ~5% swing when DKs excluded > More from Curtice |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 2, 2014 15:40:04 GMT
So that previous poll looks a real rogue then, solid lead for NO, remember as time goes on DK's more likely to vote NO
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 2, 2014 15:57:11 GMT
So that previous poll looks a real rogue then, solid lead for NO, remember as time goes on DK's more likely to vote NO Not a rogue, just methodological differences that show higher yes percentage. Seems all polls are showing Yes picking up a bit with DKs going more Yes than No for now. Still very unlikely though. |
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Post by Devonian on Feb 9, 2014 10:18:53 GMT
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Post by marksenior on Feb 9, 2014 12:00:53 GMT
New Panelbase/ST Poll Yes 37 (-1) NO 49 (+2) DK 14
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 9, 2014 17:24:45 GMT
Swing away from panelbase. A slight surprise.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 9, 2014 18:22:13 GMT
Panelbase poll 9th Feb  Despite thumping leads the SNP would still lose their majority.  |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 9, 2014 20:16:41 GMT
Not believable. At all.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 9, 2014 20:28:31 GMT
Perhaps, but when you compare Scottish Labour to the SNP then this doesn't seem quite so outlandish. |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 9, 2014 20:52:46 GMT
Yes, but the implicit swings in that poll bears sod all relation to, well, real votes since the last election....
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by johnr on Feb 9, 2014 21:29:30 GMT
And also all the other polls done since, which do show a swing away from the SNP. Whether that remains the case in 2016 is a different matter, but it does show that relative to all the other polling companies they favour the SNP.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 9, 2014 21:43:05 GMT
True and true, but Labour would be wise not to believe they're level pegging or they'd be in for a shock. Still so much to unfold before the next Holyrood election. Nice to see the Greens at 7% after the bad EU poll.
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by johnr on Feb 10, 2014 9:38:21 GMT
I think we've been burnt by believing polling before! Although my view is not that the polls in january 2011 were wrong, but that there was a genuine movement of public opinion, for a number of reasons.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Feb 10, 2014 15:25:58 GMT
FWIW, those figures do show a swing to Labour since 2011, but just not a very significant one. Negligible in the consitituencies and about 1% on the list.
I tend to agree with John that there was a late strong swing to the SNP in 2011. I suspect that they are still ahead in terms of Holyrood intentions, but maybe not by that margin and it may all be different come 2016.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 10, 2014 16:10:07 GMT
Speculation about the next Holyrood election is a bit pointless until after the referendum, really.
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by johnr on Feb 10, 2014 21:04:21 GMT
I'd also add that speculation about Scottish Westminster seats is pointless as well....
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 20, 2014 8:39:24 GMT
44/35 referendum to NO. 21% Dk.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 20, 2014 10:32:07 GMT
44/35 referendum to NO. 21% Dk. Whom did the poll? |
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