Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 31, 2013 14:31:05 GMT
From the Hootsman
The Panelbase poll was conducted among 1,012 adults in Scotland between 13-20 December.
The results are:
Scottish Parliament constituency vote:
SNP: 40%
Labour: 32%
Conservative: 15%
Lib Dem: 5%
Other: 8%
Regional List vote:
SNP: 40%
Labour: 31%
Conservative: 14%
Lib Dem: 5%
Green: 5%
Other: 5%
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 2, 2014 20:27:19 GMT
Anything which panelbase produce I ignore.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 3, 2014 11:12:55 GMT
As I said before, CyberNat infiltration of their panels is strongly rumoured.....
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,907
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 3, 2014 22:33:27 GMT
MOre than just rumoured, I thought...
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 3, 2014 23:21:15 GMT
As I said before, CyberNat infiltration of their panels is strongly rumoured..... They have a Tower Hamlets level of appreciation of democracy. Only fooling themselves though. |
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 1,944 
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Post by johnr on Jan 6, 2014 9:27:37 GMT
MOre than just rumoured, I thought... Indeed, I've seen on facebook screenshots of various pro-independence websites advocating their members to sign up to panelbase and including a link to do so. It wouldnt take much to skew any such online panel, especially one with less of a track record such as panelbase. At least You Gov have a long history of the voting intentions of their panel members, so can ensure their selections are representative. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2014 11:41:25 GMT
MOre than just rumoured, I thought... Indeed, I've seen on facebook screenshots of various pro-independence websites advocating their members to sign up to panelbase and including a link to do so. It wouldnt take much to skew any such online panel, especially one with less of a track record such as panelbase. At least You Gov have a long history of the voting intentions of their panel members, so can ensure their selections are representative. Didn't Panelbase run an indyref poll and also commission the same Q etc from another polling company that returned results within the margin of error? I feel like they did, but I can't find a link anywhere. |
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 1,944
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Post by johnr on Jan 6, 2014 14:27:52 GMT
Not sure why panelbase would commission a poll from another company. They have consistently given higher figures for both the SNP and Yes than other pollsters. If you mean the SNP, then I think they have only ever used panelbase, as have wings over scotland.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2014 15:55:34 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 26, 2014 9:55:16 GMT
ICM reporting a significant tightening to 53/47 NO when forced.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jan 26, 2014 13:18:28 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 26, 2014 14:05:51 GMT
I'm encouraged, but I'll wait for the next couple of polls before getting excited.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 26, 2014 23:40:23 GMT
The Scotsman have an ICM Euro VI coming out. All I can see from front page is 4th: UKIP 7%, 5th: LD 6%
SNP 43%, Lab 24%, Con 14%, UKIP 7%, LD 6%.
SNP 3
Lab 2
Con 1
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Post by AdminSTB on Jan 27, 2014 0:33:05 GMT
Round 1: SNP 43, Lab 23, Con 14, UKIP 7, LD 6
SNP Elected
Round 2: Lab 23, SNP 21.5, Con 14, UKIP 7, LD 6
Lab Elected
Round 3: SNP 21.5, Con 14, Lab 11.5, UKIP 7, LD 6
SNP Elected
Round 4: SNP 14.3, Con 14, Lab 11.5, UKIP 7, LD 6
SNP Elected
Round 5: Con 14, Lab 11.5, SNP 10.8, UKIP 7, LD 6
Con Elected
Round 6: Lab 11.5, SNP 10.8, Con 7, UKIP 7, LD 6
Lab Elected
So yes,
SNP 3
Lab 2
Con 1
Interesting that SNP 4 is in fact a lot more likely than either a UKIP or a Green seat. So much for the Greens ramping it up as a fight between them and UKIP...
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 27, 2014 0:59:26 GMT
Even though the SNP tend to do well, and Scottish Labour badly, in European elections - it still seems a very big margin for the SNP to have.
Almost all polling for European elections is tainted by the fact of chronically low turnout.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 27, 2014 1:25:26 GMT
Were the Greens behind the LibDems in that poll, or were we simply not prompted for?
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Post by AdminSTB on Jan 27, 2014 1:41:22 GMT
Were the Greens behind the LibDems in that poll, or were we simply not prompted for? I presume you were in the poll, you just weren't mentioned in the Scotsman article. Maybe the full result tables will be available later today. |
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Post by marksenior on Feb 1, 2014 22:43:12 GMT
Survation today
Scottish Westminster VI Lab 38 SNP 30 Con 16 LD 10 Others 6 ( UKIP 3 )
Scottish Holyrood VI Lab 36 SNP 38 Con 12 LD 9 Others 5 ( UKIP 2 )
Referendum Yes 32 No 52 Undecided 16 Higher Yes % when asked how they would vote if Conservatives looked likely to win the 2015 GE
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 1, 2014 22:50:35 GMT
Survation today Scottish Westminster VI Lab 38 SNP 30 Con 16 LD 10 Others 6 ( UKIP 3 ) Scottish Holyrood VI Lab 36 SNP 38 Con 12 LD 9 Others 5 ( UKIP 2 ) Referendum Yes 32 No 52 Undecided 16 Higher Yes % when asked how they would vote if Conservatives looked likely to win the 2015 GE Makes me angry when they only ask one VI Q for Holyrood. TNS Indyref poll out too, No ~13% ahead |
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Post by marksenior on Feb 1, 2014 22:55:36 GMT
The TNS figures ( a privately commissioned poll ) Yes 29 No 42 DK 29
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