Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,014
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Post by Khunanup on Mar 1, 2013 2:38:29 GMT
Lowest percentage for a winner in a by-election since when? I'm probably forgetting something very obvious, but it's lower than Hillhead. Curtice said since the war. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
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Post by Sibboleth on Mar 1, 2013 2:38:54 GMT
Ah, that means he doesn't know either.
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Post by Andrew_S on Mar 1, 2013 2:45:40 GMT
UKIP got 28% to the nearest whole percentage point, not 27%.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 1, 2013 2:45:55 GMT
Combined Universities 1946. Failing that 1909 Sheffield Attercliffe (labour 27.5)
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 1, 2013 2:50:39 GMT
There was a lower winning percentage in the Combined English Universities byelection in 1946 (30.0%) so it is not quite the lowest since the war, although perhaps University seats ought not to be comparable.
If that's discounted then there are no lower winning percentages since 1918.
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Post by Tangent on Mar 1, 2013 3:07:19 GMT
Well, at least we saw a proper by-election special.
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johnloony
Conservative
Posts: 24,567
Member is Online
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Post by johnloony on Mar 1, 2013 3:23:21 GMT
LD got 32.1% in Feb 2013 and won
AV got 32.1% in May 2011 and lost
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 1, 2013 4:51:02 GMT
Terrible performance by LD (-15 lest we forget), terrible for us (-14), terrible for labour (no improvement from 2010). Only one winner tonight. Felt really sorry for Maria who obviously gave her all. Is this the first time a -19% swing has been talked about it in positive terms. Terroble? We held the seat. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 1, 2013 5:54:32 GMT
A terrible result. You could say this result is UKIP's version of Roy Jenkins in Warrington in 1981. Could UKIP be doing to the Conservatives what the SDP did to Labour?
We'll see what the impact of this will be in national opinion polls but the chances of a Labour landslide under Ed Miliband just got stronger.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 1, 2013 6:24:36 GMT
LD got 32.1% in Feb 2013 and won AV got 32.1% in May 2011 and lost The Liberals also got 32% in 1987 and lost by over 13,000. David Cameron has succeeded in splitting the Conservative vote down the middle |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 1, 2013 6:49:06 GMT
Did he really say that?? I wasn't listening to him as I've already heard enough from weird looking and twattish Lib Dems from Preston this evening Ooh, get the madam.... |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 1, 2013 7:11:44 GMT
IN the space of four months
14% at Corby - Best ever UKIP result in a by-election (3rd)
21% at Rotherham - Best ever UKIP result in a by-election (distant 2nd)
28% at Eastleigh - - Best ever UKIP result in a by-election (close 2nd)
complete the sequence...
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 1, 2013 7:20:54 GMT
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Post by anthony on Mar 1, 2013 8:09:18 GMT
Did he really say that?? I wasn't listening to him as I've already heard enough from weird looking and twattish Lib Dems from Preston this evening Oi! |
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Post by anthony on Mar 1, 2013 8:11:45 GMT
A good result for UKIP - they deserve to be pleased. Interesting what it means for polling companies, none *quite* anticipated the swing to UKIP.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 1, 2013 8:22:17 GMT
Did he really say that?? I wasn't listening to him as I've already heard enough from weird looking and twattish Lib Dems from Preston this evening Oi! Are you from Preston too? |
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Post by anthony on Mar 1, 2013 8:24:05 GMT
Are you from Preston too? Originally yes, haven't lived there since I was 13. Although all my family have moved back, so I go there regularly. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 1, 2013 8:26:53 GMT
Well it wasn't aimed at you, for a start I don't know what you look like (but you know if the cap fits ..  ) |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 1, 2013 8:28:10 GMT
Nick Robinson commenting on Radio 4 this morning said that UKIP would probably have won 'if Nigel Farage had had the courage to stand'. Doesn't make it true because he said it, but its likely to take hold as part of the narrative
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 1, 2013 8:45:19 GMT
IN the space of four months 14% at Corby - Best ever UKIP result in a by-election (3rd) 21% at Rotherham - Best ever UKIP result in a by-election (distant 2nd) 28% at Eastleigh - - Best ever UKIP result in a by-election (close 2nd) complete the sequence... Labour win a whopping majority in 2015 |
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