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Post by batman on Feb 21, 2023 16:59:52 GMT
yes, the shirt would be inside the underpants, which in turn would have been (indeed, surely still are) inside the trousers. Bell deliberately drew a grotesque & comical version of this with the underpants outside the trousers.
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Post by london(ex)tory on Feb 21, 2023 23:30:08 GMT
Our first 10% score in any poll. Very happy with that.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,323
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Post by CatholicLeft on Feb 21, 2023 23:47:37 GMT
Our first 10% score in any poll. Very happy with that. 10% in these particular seats, where UKIP polled well, and your predecessor, Brexit Party, polled better.
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Post by batman on Feb 21, 2023 23:57:41 GMT
I'd certainly settle for 55% in those seats
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,666
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Post by European Lefty on Feb 22, 2023 3:27:53 GMT
Our first 10% score in any poll. Very happy with that. And which particular nonsense definition of red wall are we using this time?
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Post by batman on Feb 22, 2023 8:52:09 GMT
I think this would be the correct list : West Bromwich E & W, Birmingham Northfield, Wrexham, S Clwyd, Delyn, Vale of Clwyd, Ynys Mon, Bridgend, Wolverhampton NE, Stoke Central & N, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Ashfield, Bassetlaw, Bolsover, Great Grimsby, Scunthorpe, Bolton NE, Bury N & S (Bury N in particular shouldn't be included but usually is), Heywood & Middleton, Leigh, Penistone & Stocksbridge, Don Valley, Rother Valley, Wakefield, Burnley, Hyndburn, Blackpool S, Hartlepool, Redcar, Darlington, NW Durham, Bishop Auckland, Dudley N, Sedgefield, Blyth Valley & Workington. However, I could be wrong about some of those lol
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Post by michaelarden on Feb 22, 2023 10:23:35 GMT
I think this would be the correct list : West Bromwich E & W, Birmingham Northfield, Wrexham, S Clwyd, Delyn, Vale of Clwyd, Ynys Mon, Bridgend, Wolverhampton NE, Stoke Central & N, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Ashfield, Bassetlaw, Bolsover, Great Grimsby, Scunthorpe, Bolton NE, Bury N & S (Bury N in particular shouldn't be included but usually is), Heywood & Middleton, Leigh, Penistone & Stocksbridge, Don Valley, Rother Valley, Wakefield, Burnley, Hyndburn, Blackpool S, Hartlepool, Redcar, Darlington, NW Durham, Bishop Auckland, Dudley N, Sedgefield, Blyth Valley & Workington. However, I could be wrong about some of those lol I assume the 1% other in this poll is for MrZ in Ashfield? Probably enough for him to win then.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,804
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 22, 2023 13:54:41 GMT
Pending legal proceedings permitting, of course....
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,371
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Post by Tony Otim on Feb 22, 2023 15:03:28 GMT
Our first 10% score in any poll. Very happy with that. And which particular nonsense definition of red wall are we using this time? The standard definition.... Whatever random selection of Seats best supports my spurious argument...
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,369
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Post by YL on Feb 22, 2023 17:02:17 GMT
I think this would be the correct list : West Bromwich E & W, Birmingham Northfield, Wrexham, S Clwyd, Delyn, Vale of Clwyd, Ynys Mon, Bridgend, Wolverhampton NE, Stoke Central & N, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Ashfield, Bassetlaw, Bolsover, Great Grimsby, Scunthorpe, Bolton NE, Bury N & S (Bury N in particular shouldn't be included but usually is), Heywood & Middleton, Leigh, Penistone & Stocksbridge, Don Valley, Rother Valley, Wakefield, Burnley, Hyndburn, Blackpool S, Hartlepool, Redcar, Darlington, NW Durham, Bishop Auckland, Dudley N, Sedgefield, Blyth Valley & Workington. However, I could be wrong about some of those lol The list is in the tables. Compared with that, Bury North is in fact not included (but South is) and Barrow & Furness and Gedling both are.
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Post by mattbewilson on Feb 22, 2023 17:35:11 GMT
I think this would be the correct list : West Bromwich E & W, Birmingham Northfield, Wrexham, S Clwyd, Delyn, Vale of Clwyd, Ynys Mon, Bridgend, Wolverhampton NE, Stoke Central & N, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Ashfield, Bassetlaw, Bolsover, Great Grimsby, Scunthorpe, Bolton NE, Bury N & S (Bury N in particular shouldn't be included but usually is), Heywood & Middleton, Leigh, Penistone & Stocksbridge, Don Valley, Rother Valley, Wakefield, Burnley, Hyndburn, Blackpool S, Hartlepool, Redcar, Darlington, NW Durham, Bishop Auckland, Dudley N, Sedgefield, Blyth Valley & Workington. However, I could be wrong about some of those lol The list is in the tables. Compared with that, Bury North is in fact not included (but South is) and Barrow & Furness and Gedling both are. so seats that were Labour in 2015 and Blackpool South
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Post by batman on Feb 22, 2023 17:41:46 GMT
All seats in the so-called Red Wall were won by Labour in 2017, so some seats which have "Red-Wall-style" voting patterns, such as Walsall North & Mansfield, are generally excluded. Hartlepool, which was of course won by Labour in 2019 as well, is almost always included. Barrow & Furness is probably logical as it had been Labour since 1992 until the 2019 election and has some affinity to a limited degree with certain other seats, although the principal industry there is almost unique to it now
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Post by london(ex)tory on Feb 22, 2023 23:16:09 GMT
Our first 10% score in any poll. Very happy with that. 10% in these particular seats, where UKIP polled well, and your predecessor, Brexit Party, polled better. Brexit Party scored 6.5% in this particular set of constituencies in 2019 GE.
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Post by andrewp on Feb 27, 2023 18:08:42 GMT
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Post by robert1 on Mar 6, 2023 17:07:46 GMT
Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest voting intention poll in Great Britain finds the Labour Party leading by 26%, one point less than in our previous poll released on Monday last week. Altogether, the full numbers (with the changes from 26 February in parentheses) are as follows: Labour 50% (-1) Conservative 24% (–) Liberal Democrat 9% (–) Reform UK 7% (–) Green 5% (–) Scottish National Party 3% (–) Other 1% (–)
The Government’s net competency rating stands at -27% this week, up seven points from last Saturday. Altogether, 20% find the Government competent (+4), and 47% find the Government incompetent (-3).
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak receives a net approval rating of -9%, up eight points from our poll last Sunday. Yesterday’s poll finds 30% approving of his overall job performance (+5) against 39% (-3) disapproving.
Labour leader Keir Starmer’s net approval rating stands at +9%, down four points from last week. 37% approve of Starmer’s job performance (–), while 28% disapprove (+4).
And finally, Keir Starmer (41%, –) leads Rishi Sunak (35%, +3) by six points on who would be the better Prime Minister at this moment.
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Post by robert1 on Mar 13, 2023 17:12:03 GMT
Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest voting intention poll in Great Britain finds the Labour Party leading by 21%, five points less than in our previous poll released on Monday last week. Altogether, the full numbers (with the changes from 5 March in parentheses) are as follows:
Labour 48% (-2) Conservative 27% (+3) Liberal Democrat 11% (+2) Reform UK 6% (-1) Green 5% (–) Scottish National Party 3% (–) Other 1% (–)
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Post by batman on Mar 13, 2023 21:45:23 GMT
that ComRes poll seems to be quite a long way out of line with pretty much all other polls at the moment.
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clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
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Post by clyde1998 on Mar 13, 2023 22:02:26 GMT
that ComRes poll seems to be quite a long way out of line with pretty much all other polls at the moment. They are at the top end of Conservative vote share, so that poll seems to be very much inline with their typical range (unless there's a poll I've missed) - even if it's the lowest Labour lead in a few months.
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Post by mattbewilson on Mar 13, 2023 22:08:01 GMT
I think we can roughly say Tories are probably upper end of the 20s at this point with labour upper end of the 40s
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Post by batman on Mar 13, 2023 23:13:25 GMT
that would be what you'd get if you averaged the polls out, yes, so it's unlikely to be far out.
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