The population is losing its patience with the restrictions; and not only with the incapable HealthMinister (Anschober), but the government in general, what is helping SPÖ's Mrs.RendiWagner:
Kurz has already begun to integrate her. Few years ago she was the highest-ranking CivilServant in the HealthMinistry responsible for pandemics, so looking at the GREENy or Mrs. Adern must have been painfullest for her... RendiWagner's biggest problem remains her party-"friend" Doskozil, who is presently attacking her cooperation-course. While is remains uncertain, whether the doctors can repair his voice and he can stay FM of the small Burgenland, he clearly tries to damage her constantly in order to be able to take the federal party over, as soon as he might have a chance against Kurz.
The ÖVP&Greens-coalition is - as was expectable from the beginning (unexpectable was rather, how free of public dispute it was run so far) - in a crisis because of a deportation: After the request of a family from Georgia (!) for asylum had been rejected in 15 years 6 times (!) by courts, after 6 (!) failed attempts their deportation was fulfilled by the ÖVP-run HomeOffice. (No doubt, anyway, that they will be back in few weeks - a for TaxPayers costly farce.) 5 Greens-MPs trying to blockade the police of their own government, the Greenish president appealing to circumvent law, the Twitteria infuriated. Already before TheGreens were once polled in single digits:
But that 1 poll by ResearchAffairs is certainly an OutLier. That company had overpolled them in 2017:
...albeit strongly underestimated them in 2019:
One hope for the coalition is, that some Greens-projects will start this year and will have to be supported by ÖVP; then 3/4 will be upset by Greenish taxes, while making the 1/4 closer to them happy.
Some salt is needed, but it's not entirely impossible: Recently the infamous antiCorruption-PublicProsecutors, who were already before called out openly by PM Kurz in public as left-leaning (built up in the 2000ies by a Green MP), have confiscated SmartPhones in his surrounding and are now handing out tweets around jobs in public companies for ÖVP-people.
43%:42% on whether the coalition will hold until 2024 (very, very likely not).
MarketInstitute came out with a spectacular OpinionPoll:
With a - for austrian levels - high number of participants (1.000). 3 other companies polled in MidMay a ÖVP-SPÖ-margin of still 10-12%; but it's not impossible, that the dark cloud of Kurz vs. parts of the JusticeSystem may have had such an enormous ImPact?
While in Austria the Right (ÖVP&FPÖ&BZÖ) has since 1919 nearly always had a majority (albeit the PresidentialElec. have often shown its rather theoretical nature):
... few recent OpinionPolls have detected a narrowing:
ÖVP is in the same uncomfortable position as SPÖ: Turning into a rightliberal (agro)business-party would deliver the leadership on the right to the FPÖ; but any shift towards antiImmigration & EUscepticism lets the SubUrbs swing towards NEOS. The latter's ImPact on the BusinessScene has so far been limited to the IT-circles, as the results of the BusinessChamber-election 2020 demonstrate (despite low electorate & participation):
Partly industrial cities (Vienna, Linz, Graz) and never socialistic Vorarlberg (ex-TextileInd.) were not included, but ÖVP-dominated areas [yellow] or SPÖ-friendly fringes (Carinthia, NorthBurgenland) were [pink].
On September 26th we will have 3 kinds of elections, alltogether not fitting into this thread: - UpperAustria: region election - UpperAustria: local elections - Graz-City (Styria): local SnapElection (instead of regular ones next spring) was proclaimed by the ÖVP-mayor (his partner FPÖ was informed by the media...)
But tomorrow will happen also an election: That of the GeneralDirector of Public BroadCaster ORF (whose channels are still watched by 35%). The chiefs since 1967:
Wrabetz - SPÖ, but from a FPÖ-family - was elected in the final days of ÖVP&BZÖ by an antiÖVPcoalition, which included also FPÖ (and even BZÖ, if i remember correctly). He was reelected twice by SPÖVP. The present composition of the electoral body:
...makes it clear, that his chances for being reelected are minimal, his only hopes are ÖVP-defectors (but the election won't be secret). Aside from Wrabetz and Prantner (another SPÖ&FPÖ-mixture) 2 "bourgeois" (= ÖVP-near) candidates will candidate: Mrs.Totzauer and Mr.Weißmann, behind whom ÖVP stands (officially) and who is as a result the high favorite. Apart from the 16 ÖVP-votes he can hope for 2-4 "bourgeois" Independents and seemingly also of ÖVP's CoalitionPartner, TheGreens, who are promised to get 2 of 4 directors (Finance & TV-programs; Radio & Technics are apparently reserved for ÖVP). Yet, even a ÖVP-leadership won't alter ORF's left-dogmatism:
Forum administrators and moderators reserve the right, in their sole discretion, to delete or modify forum posts, revoke membership to the forum, block access to the forum, modify Your account profile, or modify any User Content..
To clarify, You maintain full ownership of all your User Content posted to ProBoards.