|
|
Post by finsobruce on Oct 4, 2019 15:58:30 GMT
Great result, I think Colin Clark is on track to increase his majority substantially. The doom mongerers shouldn’t write off the Scottish Conservatives just yet! The result would hardly indicate that the Tories are about to be wiped out by the SNP in a general election, as everyone keeps declaring. Quite the reverse if anything.
Makes the dynamic in the forthcoming general election even more interesting than it was promising to be.
|
|
|
|
Post by gwynthegriff on Oct 4, 2019 16:50:16 GMT
Our rule of thumb was that the mid-point was 4pm. 50% would vote in the first 8 hours; 50% in the last 5 hours. Varies by the nature of the ward of course. And 30% will already have voted by post.. This was back in the days of minimal postal voting. |
|
|
|
Post by finsobruce on Oct 4, 2019 16:55:20 GMT
Maybe those who're plotting to depose Jackson Carlaw will stop and think now. Don't you want 'the widest possible debate"?  |
|
|
|
Post by andrew111 on Oct 4, 2019 19:57:11 GMT
Don't you want 'the widest possible debate"? Never. We want are own way on eveything forever. Can you write that in English please? |
|
|
|
Post by finsobruce on Oct 4, 2019 20:03:32 GMT
Never. We want are own way on eveything forever. Can you write that in English please? He did. Just not necessarily in the right order. |
|
|
|
Post by gwynthegriff on Oct 4, 2019 20:17:55 GMT
Can you write that in English please? He did. Just not necessarily in the right order. |
|
Toylyyev
Mebyon Kernow
CJ Fox avatar
Posts: 1,067 
|
Post by Toylyyev on Oct 4, 2019 22:50:38 GMT
He did. Just not necessarily in the right order. .  |
|
|
|
Post by andrew111 on Oct 4, 2019 22:57:25 GMT
Can you write that in English please? He did. Just not necessarily in the right order. I have been trying to put it in the right order, but whatever I try, "eveything" just does not seem to be a word 🤔 |
|
|
|
Post by carlton43 on Oct 4, 2019 23:03:25 GMT
He did. Just not necessarily in the right order. I have been trying to put it in the right order, but whatever I try, "eveything" just does not seem to be a word 🤔 A) It was deleted shortly after your post. B) I can assure you that they are all words. Two contained typos. C) At least I do this rarely and do not confuse 'Your' with 'You are', as was done again this evening. D) Why are you concerned at all? Why do you read me? |
|
|
|
Post by andrew111 on Oct 4, 2019 23:17:51 GMT
I have been trying to put it in the right order, but whatever I try, "eveything" just does not seem to be a word 🤔 A) It was deleted shortly after your post. B) I can assure you that they are all words. Two contained typos. C) At least I do this rarely and do not confuse 'Your' with 'You are', as was done again this evening. D) Why are you concerned at all? Why do you read me? Why do you reply? 😉 🤔🙄 |
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Oct 5, 2019 6:00:01 GMT
D) Why are you concerned at all? Why do you read me? Indeed |
|
|
|
Post by carlton43 on Oct 5, 2019 7:13:18 GMT
A) It was deleted shortly after your post. B) I can assure you that they are all words. Two contained typos. C) At least I do this rarely and do not confuse 'Your' with 'You are', as was done again this evening. D) Why are you concerned at all? Why do you read me? Why do you reply? 😉 🤔🙄 For closure! |
|
|
|
Post by carlton43 on Oct 5, 2019 7:27:01 GMT
D) Why are you concerned at all? Why do you read me? Indeed But you do don't you? |
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
|
Post by The Bishop on Oct 5, 2019 9:16:39 GMT
Great result, I think Colin Clark is on track to increase his majority substantially. The doom mongerers shouldn’t write off the Scottish Conservatives just yet! The result would hardly indicate that the Tories are about to be wiped out by the SNP in a general election, as everyone keeps declaring. Quite the reverse if anything.
Makes the dynamic in the forthcoming general election even more interesting than it was promising to be.
Until this contest, all Scottish byelections since Johnson became PM showed the Tory vote dropping. Add in the (admittedly not abundant) poll evidence and its not hard to see why some were thinking this way. There are quite a few vacancies north of the border coming up, let's see what they say. |
|
|
|
Post by phil156 on Oct 5, 2019 10:38:22 GMT
If anybody has the turnout figure for Clacton please pass it on as it's the only one missing
|
|
Toylyyev
Mebyon Kernow
CJ Fox avatar
Posts: 1,067
|
Post by Toylyyev on Oct 5, 2019 16:04:53 GMT
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 5, 2019 19:54:26 GMT
Last two Scottish by elections show very little change in SNP share I think the results (particularly this one in Bridge of Don) shows that the assumption of widespread SNP gains in the event of a General Election may be off the mark. Tory vote looks very solid and I suspect where they broke though in 2017, particularly in NE, they may prove difficult to dislodge. Legacy of Ruth has been to establish SCons as main alternative to SNP and Unionists will cohere around them particularly where they have a sitting MP. The ones to watch are the six SLAB seats won in 2017 which remain v vulnerable. They could all very easily go back to SNP (East Lothian possibly to Tories). LibDems are safe as houses in the four they hold and likley to win NE Fife bringing them to 5. would suggest tge yougov marginal poll of con/snp seats is horribly wrong |
|
|
|
Post by andrew111 on Oct 5, 2019 20:01:24 GMT
I think the results (particularly this one in Bridge of Don) shows that the assumption of widespread SNP gains in the event of a General Election may be off the mark. Tory vote looks very solid and I suspect where they broke though in 2017, particularly in NE, they may prove difficult to dislodge. Legacy of Ruth has been to establish SCons as main alternative to SNP and Unionists will cohere around them particularly where they have a sitting MP. The ones to watch are the six SLAB seats won in 2017 which remain v vulnerable. They could all very easily go back to SNP (East Lothian possibly to Tories). LibDems are safe as houses in the four they hold and likley to win NE Fife bringing them to 5. would suggest tge yougov marginal poll of con/snp seats is horribly wrong Or out of date.. But seriously, if local by-elections were the key to general elections the Lib Dems would have swept to power several times in my life time.. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 5, 2019 20:12:04 GMT
would suggest tge yougov marginal poll of con/snp seats is horribly wrong Or out of date.. But seriously, if local by-elections were the key to general elections the Lib Dems would have swept to power several times in my life time.. aye i take the point just noticed their lack of progress is all and if it is because its out of date things are changing fast |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 5, 2019 21:12:04 GMT
The result would hardly indicate that the Tories are about to be wiped out by the SNP in a general election, as everyone keeps declaring. Quite the reverse if anything.
Makes the dynamic in the forthcoming general election even more interesting than it was promising to be.
Until this contest, all Scottish byelections since Johnson became PM showed the Tory vote dropping. Add in the (admittedly not abundant) poll evidence and its not hard to see why some were thinking this way. There are quite a few vacancies north of the border coming up, let's see what they say. I expected the Conservatives to take a hiding from the Lib Dems here since Bridge of Don is the sort of place where one would expect Ruth to be popular, and thus logic would suggest that we would take a hit following her resignation. This has clearly not been the case, and bodes well for our chances of holding Aberdeen South and East Renfrewshire. |
|
