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Post by iainbhx on Sept 19, 2019 23:09:39 GMT
No Numbers but reports on twitter that the LibDems have gained Taunton Vivary.
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 19, 2019 23:14:10 GMT
Fulham Broadway (Hammersmith & Fulham) result:
LAB: 44.2% (-11.6)
LDEM: 30.4% (+21.8)
CON: 25.3% (-10.2)
Labour HOLD.
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Post by melthamhd94nn on Sept 19, 2019 23:20:57 GMT
On those figures compared to 2018 we would see Lab 32.2, LD 34.8 and Con 18.6.
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Post by tonygreaves on Sept 19, 2019 23:21:46 GMT
Labour vote down in every result so far.
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Post by melthamhd94nn on Sept 19, 2019 23:24:08 GMT
On those figures compared to 2018 we would see Lab 32.2, LD 34.8 and Con 18.6. That's across London in local elections. |
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Post by No Offence Alan on Sept 19, 2019 23:24:31 GMT
Hm. Takes all the fun out of it. but, subsequently you will get ballot box-level details of the results, plus other useful breakdowns. |
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Post by melthamhd94nn on Sept 19, 2019 23:32:56 GMT
No Numbers but reports on twitter that the LibDems have gained Taunton Vivary. Why is the result taking so long to be decalred? |
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 19, 2019 23:35:31 GMT
No Numbers but reports on twitter that the LibDems have gained Taunton Vivary. Why is the result taking so long to be decalred? The decalredcator has broken and they just can't extract the calreds. |
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Post by melthamhd94nn on Sept 19, 2019 23:37:17 GMT
very clever.
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 19, 2019 23:49:57 GMT
Vivary By-election Result:
Lib Dem - 648 (55%)
Conservative - 307 (26%)
Ind - 155 (13%)
Labour - 32 (generously, 3%)
Green - 30 (generously, 3%)
Turnout 1176 (32.1%)
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Post by robbienicoll on Sept 19, 2019 23:55:09 GMT
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Sept 20, 2019 6:45:04 GMT
CANTERBURY Chestfield Ben Fitter-Harding (The Conservative Party) 728 Peter John Old (Liberal Democrats) 562 Morag Warren (Labour) 140 Joe Egerton (Independent) 84 Nicole David (The Green Party) 68 Again, closer than expected, and to be targeted next time. I thought that one might be closer, hence my prediction! The Lib Dem candidate was local, the Conservative wasn’t. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Sept 20, 2019 6:47:28 GMT
Vivary By-election Result: Lib Dem - 648 (55%) Conservative - 307 (26%) Ind - 155 (13%) Labour - 32 (generously, 3%) Green - 30 (generously, 3%) Turnout 1176 (32.1%) I had a drive around Vivary Ward yesterday. Lots of Lib Dem posters, even a few in the very posh bits and a Lib Dem man in a suit knocking on doors. Had I seen that before my prediction, I would have upped them a bit! Also saw Neil Rudram driving around in a camper van talking to people. |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 20, 2019 7:03:31 GMT
There seems a common thread starting to appear, about really posh traditionally ultra-Tory areas swinging towards the Lib Dems, which in the present political situation may make some sense. I'm still debating with myself whether if this is true it is a Good Thing!
Of course now that the Tory Party has adopted Fuck Business as its rallying cry there is a gaping hole to be filled by somebody and I'd rather it was the Lib Dems filled it than the far Right.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Sept 20, 2019 7:14:25 GMT
There seems a common thread starting to appear, about really posh traditionally ultra-Tory areas swinging towards the Lib Dems, which in the present political situation may make some sense. I'm still debating with myself whether if this is true it is a Good Thing! Of course now that the Tory Party has adopted Fuck Business as its rallying cry there is a gaping hole to be filled by somebody and I'd rather it was the Lib Dems filled it than the far Right. I wonder whether the posher Tory areas are where the Tory remainers were? And they obviously have a reason to vote Lib Dem at the moment. In Taunton at the moment, the most middle class areas are now all quite comfortably Lib Dem. Although I think that the fact that they are near County Hall and Musgrove Park Hospital and are popular with workers from those places is a factor. Also, the Lib Dem’s gained the council here in May and success breeds success. I’m sure they are very motivated at the moment. Theres another almost certain Lib Dem gain on Somerset West and Taunton coming in a few weeks. |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 20, 2019 7:14:54 GMT
Again, closer than expected, and to be targeted next time. I thought that one might be closer, hence my prediction! The Lib Dem candidate was local, the Conservative wasn’t. You were pretty well spot on with the Lib Dem vote in Chestfield, but the "minor parties "and especially Labour did rather worse than you thought and the Tory was able to hang on to a few more of those votes. |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 20, 2019 7:21:14 GMT
Do names influence how people vote. Quite a close contest in Chestfield, in the race between Con and Lib Dem, but in the end the Lib Dem candidate was Old, while the Tory was Fitter  |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 20, 2019 9:11:04 GMT
Labour vote down in every result so far. Tories down in every one save their token candidacy in Liverpool. Labour held a seat most expected them to lose and another they could have lost on recent performances. I'll take that. |
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Post by polaris on Sept 20, 2019 9:16:23 GMT
Labour vote down in every result so far. Tories down in every one save their token candidacy in Liverpool. Labour held a seat most expected them to lose and another they could have lost on recent performances. I'll take that. The by-election results are consistent with Labour's national poll ratings in the low 20's. Will you take that as well? |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 20, 2019 9:17:59 GMT
Your concern for our welfare is genuinely touching. Though we are only "low 20s" recently in YouGov polls.
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