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Post by finsobruce on Jul 18, 2019 12:44:01 GMT
I know you have other matters on your mind, but I do hope you are not thinking of leaving over this spat, which is even more incomprehensibly overblown than most. Log off for a couple of days and see how you feel then. No, just to clarify my little aside, then - no, I would not leave over a some overblown spat- I'm not that precious! My point rather was that I may be unable to continue shortly depending on how things turn out in the next week or two, so had no desire to end it in some undignified dispute over nothing of significance.That's all. I'm glad to hear that YP and also hope that everything turns out for you as well as possible.
And if we could really, really,really now say goodbye to 'Swinging Bridlington' that would be terrific.
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Post by rhyfelwyr on Jul 18, 2019 12:59:16 GMT
Kin Co-ed So the first language Welsh speaker in our office says. But he's a North Walian! 'Kin-coyd' is how the Hwntws in Dde Cymru would pronounce it. |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 18, 2019 13:19:53 GMT
I know you have other matters on your mind, but I do hope you are not thinking of leaving over this spat, which is even more incomprehensibly overblown than most. Log off for a couple of days and see how you feel then. No, just to clarify my little aside, then - no, I would not leave over a some overblown spat- I'm not that precious! My point rather was that I may be unable to continue shortly depending on how things turn out in the next week or two, so had no desire to end it in some undignified dispute over nothing of significance.That's all. Genuinely hope that things turn out in such a way that you’re able to continue with us YP. |
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Post by johnloony on Jul 18, 2019 13:47:16 GMT
Some people like Davıd Boothroyd define the word "swing" as the average percentage net change of the Conservative and Labour parties; other people define at the ditto of the top two parties in whichever election one is considering; I prefer to define it as the ditto of whichever are the two parties which had the most significant net change. Any of these can be useful for the purposes of analysing or extrapolating results to other constituencies, as long as one is clear about which one is using. We could perhaps call them the swing, sweng and swong respectively. |
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Post by finsobruce on Jul 18, 2019 13:48:28 GMT
Some people like Davıd Boothroyd define the word "swing" as the average percentage net change of the Conservative and Labour parties; other people define at the ditto of the top two parties in whichever election one is considering; I prefer to define it as the ditto of whichever are the two parties which had the most significant net change. Any of these can be useful for the purposes of analysing or extrapolating results to other constituencies, as long as one is clear about which one is using. We could perhaps call them the swing, sweng and swing respectively. John..........
If it was anyone else, I might sweng for them.  |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 18, 2019 13:54:10 GMT
Some people like Davıd Boothroyd define the word "swing" as the average percentage net change of the Conservative and Labour parties; other people define at the ditto of the top two parties in whichever election one is considering; I prefer to define it as the ditto of whichever are the two parties which had the most significant net change. Any of these can be useful for the purposes of analysing or extrapolating results to other constituencies, as long as one is clear about which one is using. We could perhaps call them the swing, sweng and swong respectively. What swong with you ?! |
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Post by lbarnes on Jul 18, 2019 18:24:07 GMT
I wanted to check I had something right under the Boothroyd-Carlton Formula.
Take tonight's result in Richmond. If Labour don't get a single vote and the Tories fall to 40% then it's still a swing from Con to Lab? No other calculation is worthwhile.
Seems fair.
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mboy
Liberal
Listen. Think. Speak.
Posts: 23,716
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Post by mboy on Jul 18, 2019 18:49:20 GMT
I don’t know how no one else has remarked on this yet, but did the Green Party really get 0 (zero) votes here? Or did they have no candidate this time? |
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ColinJ
Labour
Living in the Past
Posts: 2,126
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Post by ColinJ on Jul 18, 2019 18:55:30 GMT
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 18, 2019 19:00:34 GMT
I don’t know how no one else has remarked on this yet, but did the Green Party really get 0 (zero) votes here? Or did they have no candidate this time? Yup- difficult to get any votes if you don't field a candidate. Slightly odd way of laying it out though. Don't think ALDC usually do that. |
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Post by finsobruce on Jul 18, 2019 21:00:16 GMT
I wanted to check I had something right under the Boothroyd-Carlton Formula. Take tonight's result in Richmond. If Labour don't get a single vote and the Tories fall to 40% then it's still a swing from Con to Lab? No other calculation is worthwhile. Seems fair. Ahem
(although I do like the idea of the Boothroyd-Carlton formula. Maybe it was used to partition a small country? or to turn old posts into Gold?)  |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 18, 2019 21:45:04 GMT
Westbury North: Turnout 24.4%.
936 verified ballot papers.
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Jul 18, 2019 21:57:15 GMT
Things omitted from andrewteale Previews about Westbury: 1. It's known for its White Horse hill figure, disappointingly now concreted and painted white rather than cut into the chalk, and allegedly commemorating Alfred the Great's decisive victory over the Vikings at Edington just outside the town (without which, arguably, England, and therefore the UK, would not exist) 2. The Regular Army Commissions Board is in the town (presumably due to proximity to Salisbury Plain) so generations of British Army officers have sat nervously in the waiting room there before their job interviews. |
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Post by spirit on Jul 18, 2019 22:03:21 GMT
Llanbadarn Fawr (Sulien)
Matthew Woolfall-Jones (PC) 186
Michael Chappell (LD) 93
Richard Layton (Lab) 15
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Post by andrewp on Jul 18, 2019 22:06:36 GMT
Llanbadarn Fawr (Sulien) Matthew Woolfall-Jones (PC) 186 Michael Chappell (LD) 93 Richard Layton (Lab) 15 PC 63.3% Lib Dem 31.6% Lab 5.1% |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 18, 2019 22:06:39 GMT
Llanbadarn Fawr (Sulien) Matthew Woolfall-Jones (PC) 186 Michael Chappell (LD) 93 Richard Layton (Lab) 15 Swing of 1.8% to the Conservatives |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 18, 2019 22:07:14 GMT
Llanbadarn Fawr (Sulien) Matthew Woolfall-Jones (PC) 186 Michael Chappell (LD) 93 Richard Layton (Lab) 15 Well, that's closer than usual. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 18, 2019 22:09:09 GMT
WILTSHIRE Westbury North
KING, Carole (Liberal Democrat) 488
CUNNINGHAM, Ian Charles Henderson (Independent) 231
PIAZZA, Antonio (Conservative) 140
RUSS, Jane Francesca (Labour) 57
MORLAND, Francis (Independent) 16
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Jul 18, 2019 22:10:07 GMT
Llanbadarn Fawr (Sulien) Matthew Woolfall-Jones (PC) 186 Michael Chappell (LD) 93 Richard Layton (Lab) 15 Swing of 1.8% to the Conservatives Very droll, Pete. Not so much LOL as WSOF (Wry Smile On Face) |
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Jul 18, 2019 22:12:03 GMT
WILTSHIRE Westbury North KING, Carole (Liberal Democrat) 488 CUNNINGHAM, Ian Charles Henderson (Independent) 231 PIAZZA, Antonio (Conservative) 140 RUSS, Jane Francesca (Labour) 57 MORLAND, Francis (Independent) 16 The Earth moved, under her feet. |
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