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Post by robbienicoll on Jun 26, 2019 11:28:12 GMT
Liberal Democrat defence of a pretty rock solid seat for them. Second constituency by-election of the Scottish Parliament in this term, last being Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire in 2016.
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Jun 26, 2019 11:39:58 GMT
I think I’ll sit this one out - as fun as a trip up there in the summer would be!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2019 11:43:06 GMT
Didn't expect that! Lib Dems will walk it, nothing to see here. Liberal Democrat defence of a pretty rock solid seat for them. First constituency by-election of the Scottish Parliament in this term, last being Cowdenbeath in 2014. Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire?
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Post by robbienicoll on Jun 26, 2019 11:45:48 GMT
Didn't expect that! Lib Dems will walk it, nothing to see here. Liberal Democrat defence of a pretty rock solid seat for them. First constituency by-election of the Scottish Parliament in this term, last being Cowdenbeath in 2014. Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire? I'll put forgetting that one down to it also having nothing interesting happen!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2019 11:48:37 GMT
Is this the safest seat in Holyrood?
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Post by robbienicoll on Jun 26, 2019 12:42:29 GMT
Is this the safest seat in Holyrood? Percentage wise yes. Around 44% majority which works out to about 4,000. Aberdeen Donside is the safest numerical majority, but that's not what its MSP is best known for at the moment!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2019 13:34:39 GMT
Already bought a train ticket to Bergen to help out in the campaign.
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Jun 26, 2019 14:07:03 GMT
Already bought a train ticket to Bergen to help out in the campaign. Politics to trains in seven posts. A new record?
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 26, 2019 14:51:02 GMT
50.1 % in 2007 was the biggest majority the Lib Dems have managed here. Under present circumstances that seems a reasonable target for them...
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Post by samdwebber on Jun 26, 2019 15:04:49 GMT
Not sure of the party rules for ensuring a female candidate is selected for the defending party or not?
By-elections might well be different to selecting a new candidate for an all out election but surely this is a great opportunity to bring a bit of gender diversity to the LD group at Holyrood?
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johnloony
Conservative
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Member is Online
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Post by johnloony on Jun 26, 2019 15:07:14 GMT
I predict a win for the Norse Restoration Party.
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,889
Member is Online
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Post by carlton43 on Jun 26, 2019 15:09:38 GMT
50.1 % in 2007 was the biggest majority the Lib Dems have managed here. Under present circumstances that seems a reasonable target for them... What we need is a full-scale Unionist/Leave campaign by the Conservatives and a full-scale Separatist/Remain campaign by the SNP with lots or cash and effort and high profile with very carefully chosen popular locals. Then we shall see how old tradition and Remain/Unionist fares against that bifurcation.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,140
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Post by cogload on Jun 26, 2019 16:15:55 GMT
Going up there next month, not necessarily to help out...
Speaks volumes about Holyrood though, People leaving to find more gainful employment elsewhere..
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Post by BucksDucks on Jun 26, 2019 17:22:24 GMT
Lib Dems won quite well in 2016. Candidate selection will be interesting.
2016 Result:
LD
| Tavish Scott
| 7,440 | 67.4% | SNP | Danus Skene
| 2,545 | 23.1% | Lab | Robina Barton
| 651 | 5.9% | Con | Cameron Smith
| 405 | 3.7% |
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Post by afleitch on Jun 26, 2019 17:55:36 GMT
This will be a contest between candidates rather than the party banner.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2019 18:18:19 GMT
Lost deposits for Labour and Conservatives?
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Post by markgoodair on Jun 26, 2019 18:30:03 GMT
Will the Brexit Party bother to make an appearance?
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Post by timrollpickering on Jun 26, 2019 19:19:29 GMT
Will the Brexit Party bother to make an appearance? If they do then I wonder what they'll say about postal votes. Before the derestriction, one of the longest permitted reasons for having a postal vote was if a voter would otherwise need to cross water to get to a polling station. This is a situation that never appears on the standard "Only valid reasons!" list that anti-PV campaigners shout out, yet in a constituency with many inhabited islands, some quite small and not all having polling places of their own, this would have applied quite a bit before the relaxation in 2001. As an example, a glance at a past SOPN shows that the polling station for Fetlar was in Sellafirth on Yell and this may not be the only case. If nothing else it would make for a great YouTube hit to see a visiting Brexit Party campaigner telling postal voters in Fetlar that they don't need them and they just need to get better at managing their time around the ferry timetable to nip over and vote in person. (Note the ferry goes to Gutcher, not Sellafirth which is a couple of kilometres away.) Oh and on the trains, surely Thurso is the nearest station to the constituency? It includes Fair Isle.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2019 19:26:38 GMT
Will the Brexit Party bother to make an appearance? If they do then I wonder what they'll say about postal votes. Before the derestriction, one of the longest permitted reasons for having a postal vote was if a voter would otherwise need to cross water to get to a polling station. This is a situation that never appears on the standard "Only valid reasons!" list that anti-PV campaigners shout out, yet in a constituency with many inhabited islands, some quite small and not all having polling places of their own, this would have applied quite a bit before the relaxation in 2001. As an example, a glance at a past SOPN shows that the polling station for Fetlar was in Sellafirth on Yell and this may not be the only case. If nothing else it would make for a great YouTube hit to see a visiting Brexit Party campaigner telling postal voters in Fetlar that they don't need them and they just need to get better at managing their time around the ferry timetable to nip over and vote in person. (Note the ferry goes to Gutcher, not Sellafirth which is a couple of kilometres away.) Oh and on the trains, surely Thurso is the nearest station to the constituency? It includes Fair Isle.Bergen, at least according to Jo Grimond
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2019 19:27:43 GMT
Will the Brexit Party bother to make an appearance? If they do then I wonder what they'll say about postal votes. Before the derestriction, one of the longest permitted reasons for having a postal vote was if a voter would otherwise need to cross water to get to a polling station. This is a situation that never appears on the standard "Only valid reasons!" list that anti-PV campaigners shout out, yet in a constituency with many inhabited islands, some quite small and not all having polling places of their own, this would have applied quite a bit before the relaxation in 2001. As an example, a glance at a past SOPN shows that the polling station for Fetlar was in Sellafirth on Yell and this may not be the only case. If nothing else it would make for a great YouTube hit to see a visiting Brexit Party campaigner telling postal voters in Fetlar that they don't need them and they just need to get better at managing their time around the ferry timetable to nip over and vote in person. (Note the ferry goes to Gutcher, not Sellafirth which is a couple of kilometres away.) Oh and on the trains, surely Thurso is the nearest station to the constituency? It includes Fair Isle.Nearest, maybe, but depending on where your going from doing it via Bergen is probably cheaper, quicker, easier and a hell of a lot more fun!
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